Beyond the Cusp

July 11, 2017

What if the United States Does Not Respond?

 

The threats abound all around the globe. Let’s start here with Saudi Arabia and Egypt, along with more minor states such as the UAE, Bahrain and, in a pinch, Jordan are in serious dispute with Oman, thus with Iran and Turkey plus potentially Russia. Syria is a whirlpool of conflicts with more sides than one can reasonably figure with Bashir al-Assad as the so-called President of Syria being protected by Iran, who is also fighting a proxy war in Yemen in order to surround Saudi Arabia, and Hezballah with assistance of air power from Russia and funds from Qatar as one power; the Islamic State as a diminished but still dangerous threat; al-Nusra allied with other al-Qaeda and Muslim Brotherhood terror fighters aim to defeat and replace al-Assad and rule Syria; the Kurds who are allied throughout Iraq as well as Syria and only wish to make a new nation of Kurdistan and wish to be left alone and have received aid from the United States in secret; Turkey who claim to be fighting the Islamic State but are actually fighting the Kurds as Erdogan has an ethnic hatred for the Kurds who are the new Armenians in the politic of Turkey who would ally with Iran if a general war were to break out in the Middle East. This defined the current mess in the Middle East (diagrammed below) without Israel who could easily be considered an enemy of every groups mentioned above with the possible exception of Russia who would remain neutral or aid the Arabs quietly.

 

Middle East Guide to Conflict and Syria c/o ElderOfZiyon.com

Middle East Guide to Conflict and Syria c/o ElderOfZiyon.com

 

There is another area of conflict much overlooked by the world and the media apparently refuses to comment except if an exceptional distress and disaster strikes the region, and that is a swath across Africa, which has been named the African Transition Zone. This area (pictured below) stretches from the Atlantic Ocean through Mali, Nigeria, Cameroon, Chad, the two Sudans (Sudan and South Sudan), Ethiopia, and Somalia to the Indian Ocean. The zone strikes across Africa just south of the Sahara Desert reaching into the heart of the continent and delineates the borders between the Islamic world and the worlds of Christian and Animist Africa and all the rest of the non-Islamic peoples. This is a war of terrorism and slaughters trying to drive the non-Muslims from their homes and take the territories after which the war will continue southward until the entirety of the continent has been washed clean and made wholly the realm of Islam. The violence and murdering will not cease until one side has vanquished the other or Islam turns within itself and discovers a means by which it purges the Quran of verses such as those we posted yesterday and instead follow the verses of the Quran written in Mecca where coexistence and the goodness of humankind was the theme rather than the violence of the verses written in Medina which we explained in very simple means and little depth here. This is “a war between civilizations,” “between the civilization based on the Bible and between the civilization based on the Koran exactly as described by Professor Moshe Sharon. He was close as that is the main war as far as the Western World is concerned, but the reality is it is a war of one civilization, Islam, as they have declared war on the entire world, it is simply that the world is refusing to believe the truth, the fact of what they all face and they have a choice, face it together and prevail or fight it separately and they will each fall one nation at a time, one culture at a time and one civilization at a time until there is only one civilization; Islam. That is the reality which need be learned.

 

African Transition Zone

African Transition Zone

 

There is a war starting across Europe and reaching to the United States. As far as Western World and its culture are concerned, this war began with Israel, though the Western World is doing everything to deny this fact. Europe used to distrust everything Israelis said and ignored when the Israelis warned that there would come a time when Europe would face the same threat and it was really sad that it would take this for Europe to understand what Israel faced. The Israelis were wrong. The Europeans, particularly Western Europe, or Old Europe, are facing the initial stages of terrorism and the terror war (map below denotes terror attacks since 9/11) and they still doubt Israel claiming that Israel is insincere about peace and this is the cause of the problem. The Europeans are blinded by their continued anti-Semitism, which has begun to spread itself into everyday European life, and many Jews are beginning to realize that they have no home in Europe and that it is time to return to their true home, Israel. Yes, a fair number are choosing the United States and will find that home too will become less than comfortable over time. As terror increases, the rest of the peoples will initially blame the Jews making the claim that the entire conflict began because the Jews would not return the lands they purportedly stole from the Palestinian Arabs. This ignores the millennium and a half war which began as the Arab Muslims spread from the Arabian Peninsula to conquer the Middle East followed by Northern Africa (MENA) and have made three attempts before the present one to conquer Europe and are still attempting to conquer India, another conflict which could turn nuclear between India and Pakistan, so note this as another point of potential open and serious warfare. The Islamic warfare in Europe will continue politically and physically through terrorism and the courts with their claims of Islamophobia and hate crimes as their means of enforcing Sharia, the subjugations of the European societies. Additionally, there is also a Province, Xinjiang Province that has approximately fifty-percent Muslim of which virtually all are of the Uyghur ethnicity, which has its origins in Turkey.

 

Map of Terrorist Attacks in Europe Middle East and North Africa after 9/11

 

The final nation causing turmoil in the world is North Korea whose leader, Kim Jong-un, has continued testing and developing missiles and nuclear weaponry. The North Koreans have been working coordinating with the Iranians with each nation testing weapons technology for the other when it suits skirting sanctions. This has led to suspicions that Iran has tested some missile technologies in the past for North Korea while North Korea has likely tested nuclear weapons for Iran. Of course, each nation, Iran and North Korea, have conducted their most sensitive technologies themselves. The one item on each of these belligerent nations to-do list is the conquest of the world, or at least large swaths of area and both have an overriding hatred for the United States. This hatred could drive them to attack other nations so as to force the United States to act. In the case of Iran it might be a nuclear weapons attack on Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Israel or make an assault upon a smaller target such as Bahrain, UAE, or Oman which would cause Saudi Arabia to defend any of these nations as they are all members of the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) which is an economic and mutual defense pact. North Korea has often made direct threats to destroy South Korea, Japan and/or the Philippines. These three have direct defense pacts with the United States. North Korea, when they say destroy, they mean they would use either overwhelming conventional weapons or nuclear weapons alone or in combination with conventional weapons in order to annihilate the entirety of the lands leaving the ruins relatively to completely uninhabitable. They do not mean conquest in the normal sense, they honestly mean to completely eradicate the cities and thus strip the remains of any and all wealth, which remains to continue the rule of the Kim family.

 

Should the violence erupt to the point that the world sits up and takes attention and every eye turns to Washington D.C. to watch for the coming action of the United States, one must wonder how the world would react if the Congress demanded that the President sit this war out or face impeachment and the President decided not to test the Congress and ordered the Pentagon to stand down. This is the big question, what if when World War III breaks out with everybody pointing their weapons at everybody else and only a select few nations are spared threats, direct or otherwise, and the United States is not under threat or targeted directly. This was the case at the beginning of World War I where the Austria-Hungarian Empire, Germany and the Ottoman Empire went to war against the Empire of France, British Empire, Russian Empire and Japan, yes, Japan. That pretty much was the entire world outside of parts of the Americas and much of Asia outside of the areas under control of Japan. The United States sat back watching as the continent of Europe drew lines in trenches across the Eastern and Western fronts and fought across the lands included in MENA controlled by the Ottoman Empire against the French and British colonial holdings. Even Arab tribes broke from their Ottoman Turkish overlords to fight with the British, as did the Jews of the British territories in the Middle East, all for promises from the British and the French. They were double-crossed as the British and French had already made arrangements reaching an understanding known as the Sykes-Picot Treaty, which divided up the entirety of the MENA lands, as well as redrawing the lands that were the Austria-Hungarian Empire. Also reached was the San Remo Agreement, which formalized the Balfour Declaration.

 

World War I, the Great War, began on July 28, 1914, and it was not until after the sinking of the Lusitania on May 7, 1915, that the United States first considered entering the war as they finally declare war on Germany on April 6, 1917, and later on the Austria-Hungarian Empire on December 7, 1917. World War I ended on November 11, 1918. The United States entered World War one three years after it began and the war ended a little over a year and a half later and only about a year after they declared war against all the entities engaged in the war. World War II was not all that different as it began on September 1, 1939, and ended on September 2, 1945, while the United States only entered the war after Pearl Harbor on December 7, 1941. The odds were a little better this time around, as the United States entered the war two year and two months after the start and the war concluded just under four years later. One can only wonder whether the United States would have ever entered World War II at all or how much longer had it taken had they not been attacked, another year, two, three, when the Nazis and Japanese closed in on the Americas? That is the question, when would the United States enter the next World War? Even the wars with the Barbary Pirates was only entered by the United States after their shipping had been under attack and the price paid for protection was raised too high that war was the more affordable option. That was the first time the United States warred with Islam. There were two Barbary Wars. The third war the United States had with Islam was in 1911 in the Philippines fighting the Morro Tribes as a result of the Spanish American War; their descendants are the ones fighting the Philippine government today on Mindanao.

 

So, what does the world do if the United States decides not to react to an attack on one of their allies? The one thing we can believe is that should the Americans sit any such attack out that every enemy of the United States will feel free to attack whomever they please and the world will erupt into complete and total chaos with nobody looking over their shoulder for the United States to act. They will have shown a total lack of concern and that will be taken as a go signal by every aggressor worldwide. Eventually the Americans will enter, but how many will have died before that happens. These are unpleasant considerations which must be addressed by a world on the edge, a world threatening to fall beyond the cusp.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

July 10, 2017

What are we to do About North Korea?

 

It would have to have been Kim Jong-un and North Korea who would be the initial test between President Trump and a leader perfectly willing to push their luck beyond all reason. What we have here is a brewing cauldron about to blow its top. North Korea is pressing to get something for nothing and President Trump always has to receive something in order to make a deal. The problem for Kim Jong-un is his nation has nothing to offer other than peace. President Trump believes he already has peace and sees Kim Jong-un as a petulant child throwing a temper tantrum in the super market in order to get his parents to buy him some candy. President Trump is ready to deal some tough love to put Kim Jong-un in his place. Further, President Trump is not going to make any deal where he gets nothing and gives away anything, that’s the title of his book, “The Art of the Deal,” where giving up something for nothing is considered a fool’s game. Meanwhile, playing on the North Korean side of this threat are Russia and China with both preventing the use of the Security Council and the United Nations to calm things down from the current roiling boil. China and Russia have refused to defuse the situation and sit Kim Jong-un down and inform him that his screaming and making noise waving his arms around with a loaded gun in one hand is not working with President Trump and that Trump is a different kind of President than the ones North Korea has dealt with before. Instead, they are allowing this to reach a critical point and for what reason is not clear, but there are theories.

 

The one thing that everybody may be counting on is the claim by Secretary of Defense General Mattis, who said that any war in Korea would be a catastrophe. But on the other side of the coin there is what United States Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley said on Wednesday when she stated that the U.S. is prepared to defend itself from the North Korean threat. Then there were the recent war games with South Korea and Japan where the United States fielded three super-carriers in the waters around Japan and within striking distance of North Korea. There was also the fly-by of within range of North Korea of a B-1B heavy bomber over the Korean Peninsula. Further, there have been B-52’s Nuclear Capable Heavy Bombers now stationed in South Korea along with stealth F-35 Fighter Jets with new floating of plans of B-1 Bombers also being stationed in South Korea in the near future. Much of this brought the area to the brink back in September while the build-up was done as much as a show of force and to have assets in place for the then up-coming war games. Even with time, the area has far from cooled as the latest has reported Kim Jong-un having tested an ICBM, which experts have claimed, is capable of striking the West Coast of the mainland United States. Military analysts have stated that the United States would be unable to prevent any nuclear or conventional attacks on South Korea or Japan and would be relegated to staging some retribution for the possible destruction of these allies and the deaths of United States service personnel stationed in these countries. Some have questioned the wisdom of staging such a retribution as it would do little to save the American allies which would have been decimated even if Kim Jong-un simply used conventional weapons and with nuclear weapons he could destroy both Japan and South Korea within minutes of ordering the strikes, and the United States would be left with the choice of escalation or conversation.

 

North Korea with South Korea and Japan

North Korea with South Korea and Japan

 

We would not pretend to understand or be capable of accurately predicting what reaction President Trump might take. What we can safely predict is testing President Trump with the wholesale destruction of South Korea, Japan or both would not likely end well for anybody. Such a provocation would very conceivably result in the rapid destruction of everything between the Korean Demilitarized Zone on the 38th Parallel north to the border with China. The North Koreans have made their position on unification of the Korean Peninsula clear from the very start of the armistice setting up the DMZ signed on July 27, 1953, in P’anmunjŏm of the North Hwanghae Province just above the delineated Armistice Line. Their idea of any unified Korea, they insist, would be simply the spread of their rule over the entire peninsula and the surrender of South Korea at which point all the wealth and industry of South Korea would enhance the Kim family’s iron grip on Korea and be used to produce weapons of mass destruction with which to threaten the rest of the world. The leadership of North Korea are only willing to accept one end to the standoff on what they consider their peninsula with South Korea simple being an American colonial outpost imposed upon them through the United Nations and deceptions sold there. This is a viewpoint President Trump had best get his arms around as it is the exact same view Hamas and the Palestinian Authority (or PLO) have concerning Israel seeing it as an American colony forced upon them through the United Nations and deceptions sold there. This was also the view of the North Vietnamese towards South Viet Nam, which originally may have been a French colony, but soon became an American colony imposed upon the people of Viet Nam. Russia under Putin sees many of the East European nations as stolen and made into American colonies and are a result of American Imperialism which is as much a cultural imperialism as it is a military one.

 

What is the solution to such view in which many see the world as being in a number of different camps all against the same enemy, American Imperialism? The Islamists view Europe as a rotting corpse being held up by the United States who treats them as if they were her colonies being kept protected through the NATO enforced American Imperialism. China sees the only threat to their spread into the South China Sea as an attempt by the United States to dictate to the Chinese what they are permitted to do and what is forbidden them because the American Imperialist views the entire world as theirs to define as they please and further that the Americans are simply looking out for their imperialist protections of Japan and the Philippines. It’s only a matter of time before Maduro claims that his opposition in Venezuela is nothing more than the fascist American Imperialist interests funneling funds to prop up those fighting against a better future for Venezuela and keeping it as an American colony and furthering American Imperialism. We have witnessed similar language coming from Fidel Castro against President Kennedy and will possibly hear the same from Raoul Castro should Trump prevent United States wealth from flowing into the Cuban economy propping up the Communist government in Cuba. All the other uses of the claim that American Imperialism is threatening some dictatorial kleptocracy, such as the bankrupt government of North Korea which still manages to grant Kim Jong-un and his closest compadres an extravagant and lavish life-style with grand feasts and banquets and celebrations as well as paying for their nuclear and missile programs while his people starve living off the scraps from his tables, are the simple fare of a world in revolt thrashing against what they all view as their lack of power against the democratic industrialized information age world against which they feel helpless. They know that there are weak points in this American Goliath, this behemoth which spreads its culture, music, movies, television, dances and dress, especially blue jeans, around the world robbing others of their ethnicity and culture often rooted in centuries passed. For Islam the time was a millennia ago when their thrusts into the world ended and their dream of world conquest, well, that did not die and they know that if they are to succeed in that conquest they must do so now. This is why Iran, whose glory was the Persian Empire which fell to the Greeks and the Greek culture today is represented to them by the American culture where there exists, in their eyes, a people fully debauched and ravaged by sexual misconduct and an overly sexually based culture robbed of any moral character. This is not the United States heartland but is the picture most often painted in film and music and is the impression they see. Iran has a plan to bring down the American cultural machine. North Korea has a plan to bring down the American cultural machine.

 

They shared this plan with one another and are both using the identical playbook and are cooperating with one another sharing technology and testing missiles and nuclear devices for each other. Currently Iran cannot test a nuclear device without it being detected and then President Trump having everything he would need to sanction Iran back to the Stone Age, trading-wise with Europe as well as the United States. Europe would complain as they trade with Iran and have been making hay since President Obama opened Iran up to the world and freed them from the crippling sanction they had been under since they took the American Embassy and kept the staff hostage back in 1979 during the Presidency of Jimmy Carter. When President Obama opened Iran to the world allowing them free trading with Europe as well as the United States, the industrial world celebrated making deals right and left. President Trump has rolled back some of the freedoms placing sanctions on Iran for missile tests. A nuclear test by Iran would seal the deal and they would be cut off and anybody risking trading with Iran would face the wrath of United States sanctions. Thus, Iran cannot test their own nuclear devices, but North Korea is free to test anything they wish, they are already sanctioned to the hilt. Thus, the recent North Korean nuclear tests have shown very different signatures than their earlier tests. North Korea claims this is because they are using a new type of device, which is quite different than their earlier tests. They are telling the truth as the newer test devices are of Iranian design and are made for one kind of explosion, an EMP device which has a yield of approximately fifteen to twenty-five kilotons but sends a massive EMP pulse which would destroy most electronic devices over a large region depending on the location of the detonation. The prime location for maximum area of effect would be approximately five-hundred miles over the center of the target. Such a device could, if exploded over the central United States, destroy much of the electrical grid and pose a direct threat to the survival of much of the American population. This is the design for an attack by both Iran and North Korea. This is the point where the two nations differ, North Korea has developed longer range missiles even to their recent claim to have developed an ICBM. Iran has largely medium range ballistic missiles with a far lesser range but have perfected launching them from freighter ships which disguise the launcher covering it with shipping containers.

 

The Iranian attack would launch several devices from such ships off the three coasts, Atlantic, Pacific and Gulf of Mexico with each EMP device being exploded as the missiles reached apogee destroying the coasts electrical grids and making the major coastal cities into a dark place without power until the transformers could be replaced. This process could easily take as much as a decade. North Korea has a completely different approach as they have satellite launch capability which means they can strike anywhere on the globe they decide to target. The only item would be how long it would take their satellite to get into position. They proved this as they already have a satellite circling the globe that passes over the United States as well as the rest of the planet many times each day. What this satellite does remains unknown and for anybody knows, it is a circling nuclear warhead or simply a large chunk of orbiting proof of an ability. This satellite does have an interesting orbit as it circles from the poles and comes across the United States often orbiting from the south through the gulf and continuing through the center of the nation. What is interesting about this trajectory is it exactly matches the orbit developed by the Soviet Union and China to defeat the NORAD defense grid. The Soviets and the Chinese realized that the United States NORAD grid faced out from the east and west coasts and continued north across northern Canada and Alaska but had almost no coverage facing south. This information was shared with the North Koreans by China and the Soviet Union and they shared the information with Iran. Fortunately, for the United States, Iran is not yet capable of implementing such a strike, but North Korea is capable, as their satellite has proven.

 

That brings us back to where the standoff stands today with Kim Jong-un waving his missiles in everybody’s face almost as if daring them to jump if they feel froggy. They do not fear the United States because they believe, quite possibly rightfully, that the United States would do nothing if both South Korea and Japan disappeared under a barrage of conventional and nuclear missiles tomorrow. If that is the case and North Korea tests the promises of America and is not destroyed immediately thereafter, that will be a lesson every nation will understand and the world will collapse into inevitable warfare from every angle. There will no longer be any threat of consequence for attacking whomever you please, as long as you leave the United States alone. That may have been the real lesson of the two World Wars that the United States never entered until she herself felt she was attacked. World War I it was the murder of her citizens on the Lusitania and World War II it took Pearle harbor, so maybe the United States is no more than the threat of power and never the use of power unless in her own interests. That would be a wake up call to every psychotic dictator and power hungry psycho on the planet to realize the United States talks the talk but won’t walk the walk unless it is in her defense or her own interests. Of course one can never tell quite what might tickle the interests of either the CIA or the State Department, which somehow always means that the Department of Defense will be close behind to finish the dirty work. Things appear to be heating up in the kitchen and we can only hope that Kim Jong-un does not plan on stirring things up just to see what shakes out, the world might not enjoy the answers. There is one thing assured, should Kim Jong-un explode anything in the mix, the world will be watching what follows with great interests, both the friends and enemies of America as they all have an interest in the outcome.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

June 2, 2017

Where Will the Spiraling End?

 

The United States new President, Donald Trump, apparently is not reacting to the threats from North Korea in the routine and usual manner, giving in and sending money, food and meet whatever demands are made by the current psychotic leader of that Communist death trap claims must be met or else he will destroy the world starting with South Korea and moving on to Japan and finally the United States. The past administrations have all responded with the goods every time the North Korean leader has rattle sabers making foul sounding threats if his little realm had used all the treasure from the previous confrontation has reached its end. This was the routine which wound itself repeatedly over time. Apparently, this time may end differently. First, China has called an end to their calling their attack-dog to heel and desist or even make an effort which also was a change in the normal routine. Everything appears as if the forces who might make a difference and avoid the most horrific of results has decided that they prefer to stand aside and see what the mettle of the new President is made of. The Chinese are preparing to sit this little game out and watch from the sidelines after making the feeblest of attempts to calm their friend to their south and instead allowed him to continue bellowing his threats. It appears that China is not receiving the reaction they expected as it was likely their impression that President Trump was not versed in the game of brinkmanship and would simply fold and give in to the threats from Kim Jong-un and provide North Korea with a renewed treasury, feed their starving masses and walk away simply licking his wounds and broken ego, tarnished reputation.

 

Apparently President Trump does not respond well to threats from a proven madman, a leader who has murdered a general for contradicting him, executed his uncle simply because he thought him a threat to his leadership and ordered the assassination of his half-brother in a foreign country so there could be no successor to his leadership other than whomever he should designate. President Trump initially sent the aircraft carrier fleet with the USS Carl Vinson and Kim Jong-un simply continued his ranting and threats. Then President Trump sent the aircraft carrier fleet with the USS Ronald Reagan and Kim Jong-un simply continued his ranting and threats. Now President Trump has further upped the anti and sent the aircraft carrier fleet with the USS Nimitz. We are willing to bet that Kim Jong-un could not care less and might even react unkindly or he might respond with more missile tests and possibly even a full-blown nuclear test. This situation, to put it mildly, is rapidly spiraling and where it might end is simply terrifying to imagine.

 

Kin Jong-un (김정은) is the grandson of Kim Il-Sung (김일성), the founder of North Korea; the son of Kim Jong-il (김정일), the second leader of North Korea, and is the current leader of North Korea, obviously. His threats are not to be taken so lightly as to make it appear that he is being taken lightly, something this ever-escalating response could impart. Seoul, South Korea, the national capital city is the first place threatened to be destroyed by Kim Jong-un, a threat he could carry out in under fifteen minutes from making the decision. North Korea has approximately 13,000 artillery pieces positioned along the border which could be fired striking Seoul leveling most of the capital city. Making matters even more troubling is the report by the Federation of American Scientists telling of the North Korean known quantities of anthrax, mustard gas, sarin, botulism and phosgene. Such weapons placed in artillery shells designed to release poison gas would not only permit Kim Jong-un to all but flatten Seoul, but to guarantee his artillery fire murdered most of the over ten-million people living within the city. That would be the opening scenario of Kin Jong-un deciding to raise President Trump’s move of positioning three aircraft carrier groups within striking distance of North Korea.

 

The Kim Family

 

The problem in this situation is that President Trump may have stated that all options are on the table, but this does not mean, as some in the media have claimed, that he is out looking for a fight, that he wants a war to prove something. The hope has to be on settling this problem, this saber rattling, with the least amount of violence and a lowering of the threat options. Unfortunately, this is apparently not going to be an option which either side is wishing to utilize, opting instead to raise the stakes, or at least the consequences, should the other side opt to initiate violence first. This is the idea behind placing so much power within the theater surrounding North Korea. This hopefully is the idea behind President Trump placing sufficient firepower within range of North Korea thus making any threats for use of force by Kim Jong-un suicidal at best and foolhardy at the least. The problem is that Kim Jong-un has all the classical signs of numerous psychological disorders one of which is obviously paranoia. A preliminary analysis of Kim Jong-un’s personality by Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics reveals him to apparently be agreeable, acquiescent, charming, placing a high premium on external approval, sympathetic to others’ needs and socially gregarious on the plus side along with a few other lesser traits resulting in an assessment that he is relinquishing too much authority, failing to assert himself sufficiently, delegating too much responsibility, as well as showing hesitation in taking the initiative when circumstances demand boldness or daring. As they say next, just who is really in charge and pulling the strings presumably controlling Kim Jong-un from the background.

 

North Korean Artillery Display

North Korean Artillery Display

 

Should this personality inventory be accurate, then there is an even greater danger in the threats emanating from North Korea, the person making them is hiding behind a figurehead which they are taking the precaution of making appear pompous and unpredictable. Hiding behind this figurehead making threats may make such a figure so assured of their safety from acting in the shadows that they might take chances believing that boldness would force President Trump to weaken and possibly fold or meet their demands with a simple promise from China that they have received assurances that if a basic set of demands were met by the west that North Korea would end their missile tests and enter negotiations over their nuclear program. Then it would be up to President Trump to react to such an offer. The main risk is that should they send a warning shot such as trading artillery fire as happened and reported in the New York Times on August 20, 2015 when the two nations still technically at war exchanged rocket and artillery fire in the first major armed clash across their border in five years. This was an exchange which reportedly resulted in no casualties and was a show of intent and test of wills and response. North Korea has taken an offensive stance with threatening with missile tests into the Pacific Ocean when testing potential ICBMs, shorter-range ballistic missiles towards the Sea of Japan to threaten Japan and claiming to be ready to test a new and more powerful nuclear weapon. The threat to Japan has been sufficient that the parliament has been deliberating to revise the Japanese stance since the end of World War II and enlarge their navy and other military strength beyond simple island protection in response to threats perceived from both North Korea and China.

 

China is another reason that President Trump may be placing so much naval and air power into the west Pacific Ocean near both China and North Korea. China has been extending claims challenging Islands claimed by Japan, Viet Nam, Taiwan and the Philippines. These challenges are in addition to their building islands in the South China Sea moving towards the East China Sea and militarizing many of these islands even to the point of placing airstrips on the larger of these water-bound embankments. This challenges one of the most heavily traversed sea-lanes in the world which handles close to one third of the sea trade making it as important as the Suez Canal, Strait of Hormuz which controls the world’s oil flow from the Middle East, and the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait which controls the southern exit from the Red Sea into the Arabian Sea. Both the Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb Strait (see map below), through their control of Yemen using the Houthis Rebels, are currently under threat of control from Iran, an ally of North Korea, allowing the two to exchange information and technology regarding missiles and nuclear weapons as they share a common enemy, the United States and the Western world. Iran is also allied with Russia as well as China which makes for a real threat in response to the presumed former sole super-power, the United States. The power of the United States is formidable but would face a serious challenge from the combined strength and nuclear power of the combined forces of Russia, China, Iran and North Korea. The real question could at some point become are Iran and/or North Korea really worth facing down the United States for either China or Russia, especially with a presumed unknown in President Trump whose most powerful weapon might be his reputation of being a bit of a hot-head.

 

Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

 

Still, one can be assured that President Trump would be best served and likely prefer some assistance from China defusing the current situation with North Korea. What is troubling is if the situation is as the personality profile of Kin Jong-un is accurate and he really is just a puppet being worked by a rogue general or party official working from the presumed safety of anonymity, then President Trump and his advisers plus those in the Pentagon all actually are operating blind as they do not know who they are working against. It is difficult to find a solution if you have no real clue who is the operator on the other side. Kim Jong-un either completely baffled those trying to inventory his personality or is just as unstable as he appears or somebody finds it advantageous to make the ruler of North Korea appear unstable. All of this leads one to really feel that North Korea is, and will continue for the time being, one threat which is front and center. But if that does not frighten you, then keep in mind that standing right alongside them is Iran that has spread terror armies throughout the world and thought to have more operatives living under cover inside the United States simply waiting for the code for them to strike a predetermined target or even instructions of where to strike. They have a training center in South America in an area known as the Tri-Border Area which sits at the borders of Argentina, Paraguay, and Brazil. And you thought that you could sleep comfortably tonight. Well, probably for tonight, but for how many more nights is the big question.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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