Beyond the Cusp

September 10, 2014

President Obama Steps Up Proposing Too Little Too Late

President Obama will be giving the plan that he is proposing to address the situation with ISIS and the threat it poses to the heart of the Middle East. Where I have no actual copy of the speech or even of an early draft of the speech, I feel I might be able to predict much of the plan President Obama will present. He will continue to do anything within his power to continue to avoid using American military force if at all possible. His plan will call for nations in the Middle East to step up and take the responsibility for the dangers threatening them as ISIS gains more followers and additional strength. President Obama will offer to assist any efforts by the nations who step up and take actions by providing them with air power which will continue until the first United States aircraft is shot from the skies and its pilot becomes the next subject of a brutal beheading video. The President will avoid any mention of coordinating with Syrian dictator Bashir al-Assad or with the Iranian leadership or military commanders though he will not deny providing their troops with air support. The initial five to ten minutes of the President’s speech will fill every listener with hope and feel assured that the President is about to promise definitive actions to directly challenge and in turn defeat ISIS both in Iraq and Syria. Unfortunately, the speech will take another twenty or more minutes where President Obama will fill in and flush out the steps and other moves the United States is working to bring to utilize force against IS. The more he describes his plans the more evidence will be forthcoming that there is no actual immediate plan to defeat or even blunt ISIS from continuing gathering strength and possibly gaining even more territories. The President will make clear that he is working with other nations who will gather the forces which will, in time, begin to oppose ISIS and eventually wear them down and reduce their power and ability to afflict people’s lives. The one missing element will be United States boots on the ground directly engaging ISIS and working to defeat the menace they pose.

What may not be included in the President’s speech but I fear will be mentioned as part of the steps that the President sees as potentially helpful in ending the menace of ISIS or Islamist extremists will be the need for a settlement between Israel and the Palestinians and Israel making the necessary sacrifices which will allow for the formation of a Palestinian State standing side by side with Israel in peace and mutual security. This has been the President’s pipe dream which he claims would end all the problems throughout the Middle East and North Africa. President Obama has seldom missed an opportunity to lay the blame on Israel and the lack of progress towards establishing a Palestinian State and this speech will likely be yet another opportunity for President Obama to demand the immediate establishment of a the Palestinian State. There is a distinctive possibility that President Obama will quote his close friend, Turkish President Erdogan, and quote his advice which laid the blame for ISIS and the rest of the troubles in the Middle East on Israel and the overthrow of the government in Egypt of President Morsi and the Muslim Brotherhood replacing it with a government with former General and commander of the Egyptian military President SISI. There will be mention of the recent conflict between Hamas and Israel and their current negotiations where again the President will point to the need for compromise and equal and fair treatment which is conducive to peace and respect for both sides calling on Israel to bring an end of the Israeli blockade of Gaza as necessary for a future of calm. The President will call on Saudi Arabia to step forward and claim their reticence and refusal to take military actions as something that is unhelpful and one of the causes of the difficulties which led to IS. The President will call on the European members of NATO to pull together and take the bold steps to fight ISIS and work towards minimizing their effects with an aim to make their threat be made more manageable. The President will claim that it will take years of efforts by all those he has claimed need to address the situation and reduce the effects of ISIS until they are reduced in effects making their threat manageable and no threat to the United States and Europe. That will be the main theme; a reduction in the threats posed by ISIS making them something which has been reduced to a manageable level of threat. Exactly what a manageable threat potential means, but that will be the result that President Obama will be seeking and the solution he will lay out tonight. May Heaven help the world to survive long enough for the next resident of the White House to return some valid and believable foreign policy where the United States takes the lead that has been the stabilizing force in a world which would otherwise turn to insane threats unseen in most of our lifetimes. Sometimes I fear the world will explode before the next White House resident takes office and that thought scares me and should scare any rational person. Another frightful item will be the speech given by President Obama, well, at least the rest of his speech after the promising platitudes he will regale us with for the first five to ten minutes, the part of the speech before he reveals all the steps he is unprepared to make.

Beyond the Cusp

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