Beyond the Cusp

June 6, 2018

My How the Tables Have Turned

 

Richard Nixon was wrong, as wrong as wrong can be. He utilized the investigative powers of the Federal Government, the FBI, Justice Department, IRS and whatever might have aided his reelection, against his opponent, anything and anyone was a target, forging a theft which was his downfall. This was criminal in every way and President Nixon was fortunate to only have to resign and not spend many months or years in prison. His reputation was in tatters with everything positive he had accomplished now tarnished. His actions resulted in half a century of more and more liberal policies and culture taking over America. Now the tables have turned and the shoe is on the other foot and a million other trite sayings.

 

The questions now revolve around where will the investigation lead and who will be held culpable. Some of the names tossed about range from lesser known until the recent political free-for-all while others are household names. Who had heard of Mueller, Comey, Clapper, Steele, Brennan and other names which will become all too familiar in the near future, as everything plays out? Then there are the two names which we all are already very familiar with, former Secretary of State, Senator for New York and First Lady Hillary Clinton and former President Barack Obama. The same questions from the Nixon era will be heard all over again. Questions such as how high did it go, who knew and when did they know and a host of others will be thrown around and featured in article after article. Then there will be the big question, who, if anyone, will fall on their sword to save those above them who actually gave the orders. This was done and bartered into making himself into a folk hero of an odd sort when Lieutenant Colonel Oliver North in full uniform took total responsibility for the Iran-Contra Affair. His standing at attention while taking the oath and taking his valiant responsibility clearing President Reagan of any accountability.

 

Mueller, Comey, Clapper Brennan, Steele

Mueller, Comey, Clapper
Brennan, Steele

 

Now we have heard reports that former CIA Director John Brennan and former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper lied in their testimony given to Congress. This is a crime, obviously, defined by U.S. Code sections 1621 and 1001 of Title 18. These crimes could result in a maximum five-year prison sentence and potential fine. Both men are highly unlikely to actually face anything more than fines, especially if they are willing to give testimony leading to indictments of what are often called bigger fish. The truth should be sought over making the entire affair into some kind of vendetta. But there is a larger question involved this time around; is it worth the time, effort and attention for the Trump Administration to expend when the same efforts can be used to accomplish the Trump and the nation’s agendas.

 

This is what we will attempt to predict. President Trump is unlikely to seek convictions of his former opponent, Hillary Clinton, or of former President Barack Obama. What the FBI and other agencies desire may be something of a different matter. The FBI and CIA will likely desire to clear their agencies of any hints of corruption and could turn on their former heads which might not fare well for James Comey and John Brennan. These two disgraced their agencies and these are not agencies which can stand for politics entering into their lairs as these are investigatory agencies whose reputation is for providing administrations of both parties with equal diligence. But as far as Clinton and Obama, they will probably not face any serious difficulties, well; Obama will not likely be facing any charges. Hillary Clinton may face some charges for her handling of classified information while Secretary of State but will get a pass in sentencing if the charges are even pursued. The one thing is this might prove to be an interesting circus to watch while the antics are filling the three rings with the media doing its finest job at making molehills out of mountains. In the meantime, the media will be making mountains out of absolutely nothing over the presumed Trump-Russia collusion fantasy. The mainstream media has become so unfortunately predictable.

 

The main driving force in these investigations will probably be completely independent of President Trump and his closest team members. Coming from the business world, President Trump probably looks at the moves and machinations which were used to attempt to defeat his election as a done bad deal and in business; you move on from such difficulties and simply hope to never need to deal with such people again. President Trump is more forward looking and wants to get things accomplished, not dwell on things he would rather simply ignore and forget. President Trump has plans which he wants to get done and knows that looking back is counter-productive to getting everything accomplished as quickly as possible. President Trump probably has some long term plans which he realizes will take a second term, and he knows a second term is not a guarantee. This means he has a driving force to get as much accomplished as quickly as possible. This has been evident to anybody who has watched the blizzard of Executive Orders he issued almost as soon as he returned to the White House after the Inauguration. Things have slowed somewhat as much of what he desires to accomplish requires Congress, and Congress is a problem for Presidents, something Prime Ministers are unfamiliar with facing. A Prime Minister has the support of his coalition until he doesn’t, and then he has a problem which is called a new election. Presidents know when their next election is, they just are never quite sure if Congress will work with him, even if his party is in the majority. President Trump has realized that in spades.

 

That brings us to what President Trump is probably most concerned with over the coming six months, the mid-term elections. He is about to attempt what most Presidents have found very difficult, increasing his party’s numbers in both houses at their first mid-terms. Sitting a mere 9,387 kilometers, or 5,833 miles, from Washington D.C., we must rely on articles to get a feel for the electorate and information on the tricky Senate where only one-third of the Senators are up for re-election at any election cycle. From what we have read, the predictions are all over the place with some predicting the Republicans gaining three to five seats while others predict the Democrats taking control of the Senate gaining as many as seven or eight seats. We are glad we will not be in the business of predicting the outcome of the thirty-five seats up for election, apparently there are a couple of special elections making it more than the normal thirty-three seats. Perhaps when the coverage becomes somewhat more informative closer to the election and we will know who made the biggest gaff or posted a disturbing Tweet we will be bold enough to take a stab at a prediction. The only prediction we can make now is that President Trump will probably work hard to retain the House of Representatives and try very hard to increase his majority in the Senate by at least three seats giving him a better advantage at accomplishing his legislative agendas. This will mean much more to President Trump than wasting efforts on gaining conviction against people for past grievances. That he will leave up to the wheels of justice which move ever so slowly that we often forget what the crime was when politicians face prosecution for past misdeeds.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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April 27, 2018

The Eventual, Irresistible, Unstoppable and Inevitable Liberal Society

 

The last election, which pitted two unsavory and undesirable candidates as the major party candidates for President of the United States, became a test of philosophies. What we learned was that the United States is relatively evenly divided between elitist and leftists on one side and the unwashed and presumed lowbrowed on the other side. One group lives in the large metropolises and the other in rural farmlands and the lesser cities and towns. The future of the United States is written in the flow of people and the surges about to be made in automation making ever more of the society run eventually completely by machines from concept through manufacture, distribution and finally sales. Amazon is one side of this new form of retail from warehouse to your door free of any middleman and with the latest in automated delivery systems. The greatest automation of the past two centuries has been in farming such that today a single farmer produces and farms an area of land which took almost a thousand farmers a mere and short two-hundred years ago at the turn of the eighteenth century. This sent the initial wave of people from working the land to working in a city and these became the megalopolises of the world today. The current political battle can be seen as a struggle between the major cities and those who remember a time where things were simple and everyone needed to have a certain level of self-reliance. All of this is what is changing and what all the fuss is about and there is going to be a winner between these two different societies.

 

First, allow us to paint a simple picture which explains the difference between these two groups, a horrible oversimplified picture. One group not only knows how and is capable of the following tasks, but they more often than not actually perform these tasks. They change their own flat tires and many can even repair the tire if the damage is from a nail or other type puncture and not a tear in the sidewall which means the tire is scrap. They can perform a tune-up on their vehicle as it is older and does not have all the fancy computer controls. They change their own oil, repair shutters from wind damage, can rehang a door with a friend, can build a deck or storage shed, and mow their own lawns. Those on a farm can repair many of their pieces of equipment on the fly either to complete the job or to at least get them back to the barn for repair. They can perform many simple and some not as simple plumbing repairs and are the people you can find early on a Saturday or Sunday morning at the local building supply store with a pickup truck or car and trailer loading up supplies for their latest project around their or their friend’s home. This is the group who are mostly self-reliant.

 

Opposites

 

The other group resides in the city or suburbs and have a handyman they can call to make simple repairs around the home. If they have a flat tire, they call for a tow truck or service advised by their auto insurance company to come and change their tire. They go to a service station or oil and lube service when they require an oil change. For a tune-up they go to a specialty shop or their dealership. When the vehicle breaks down such as will not start, they have the vehicle towed to the dealership. If they need a deck or storage shed built, they call a few contractors to get bids and then decide which one they trust the most to do the job for the estimated price. These people are not self reliant and their own ability might be sufficient to find and reset a tripped breaker in their junction box, provided they know where the junction box is located. They probably do not mow their own lawn and have a service which weeds, fertilizes and mows their yard for them. If they reside where snow is a problem, they have a service to clear their driveway and walkways when it snows. They cannot even hire a neighborhood youth to clear the snow as used to be the case as such things have been regulated all but completely out of any possibility. They live in an area where self-reliance is often made illegal by a homeowners association which demands you keep up your property but often demand you hire someone reliable and licensed and will punish those attempting to do the work themselves. Others reside in apartment buildings in their condo and have building maintenance fees to cover building maintenance.

 

The world over their has been and will continue to be a ceaseless flow of people from the rural areas and small towns to ever larger cities. This migration will eventually lead to next to nobody residing outside the major metropolitan areas. We already have spoken about the future where robots and artificial intelligence (AI) will have taken over almost all the jobs with only those humans who desire work actually being employed. There will be a core of people who will be required until some future where the AIs are capable of matching human minds to a very high extent. The reason human beings will always be required for certain positions will be due to the fact that humans are capable of making leaps of logic finding solutions which are not necessarily reached through step-by-step logic, or as a friend puts it, human beings can take fact A and fact B and then come to a new fact Z without any steps or obvious logic. The word most often used is that human beings have intuition, a way and form of solving problems which defies scientific explanations but manages to function despite no actual logical means. What is nice to know is that there will always be a need for the most illogical of all things, human beings who often will need to be placed in control or at least in a position which makes them above question by their AI coworkers.

 

This flow of people is such that the masses will be residing in megalopolises and very few will be needed to reside in rural regions. Farm equipment will run huge corporate farms using full automation, GPS positioning, satellite monitoring, fertilizer with irrigation computer regulated and minimal need for any human intervention with crops being planted, raised and harvested with full automation. With more people residing in the largest cities and the need, due to limited land space, to maximize population density placing much of the population living in high-rise apartment buildings, the numbers of the old variety self-reliant people will naturally decline. As people become more dependent on specialists and others to perform repairs and other services, the more they will also become dependent upon government and the more they will expect and demand from government. This will lead to people electing leaders who promise to provide them with the most amount of assistance with their lives. There is one more factor which will lead to these changes coming to pass, the current education system. The public schools currently are teaching their students to expect government to care for their requirements and needs. They are not teaching some of the most necessary lessons which might tie their students with the kind of self-reliance expounded by the Founding Fathers. They no longer teach civics, traditional American and world history or the Founding Documents of the United States. Their students are not introduced to the Constitution, Bill of Rights, or especially the Declaration of Independence. Instead, students are taught the entire socialist agenda where everyone must be made equal with government redistributing wealth, providing security and performing almost every needful comfort and function of life. Today the student is taught dependence and little in the way of critical thinking.

 

Those of us who are of sufficient age, we have already seen this slide to the left by the entirety of the developed world and their societies. The Republicans today are holding the positions very similar to the Democrat Party of the 1950’s and 1960’s. The Democrats, at least, are treading in new territory well to the left of their former selves. Roseanne Barr responded during a Jimmy Kimmel interview about her having been a liberal by stating that she’s “still the same” socially liberal person she always has been, telling Kimmel that “you all went so f—king far” to the left that “you lost everyone.” See video below for the quote at the more interesting repartee around 2:45 in the recording.

 

 

Perhaps having Roseanne Barr backing one side it is time to just let things stand. There will be some times when the people will say, slow down, let us not change so quickly and take a breather and think about things for a while. That might be what the Trump election was, a call for things to slow down as people were having difficulty keeping up with all the changes made during the Presidency of Barack Hussein Obama and desired a pause to straighten things out and make whatever adjustments might be required. The slide leftward will continue as the people become more addicted and dependent upon the government. Also the federal government will slowly eclipse the state governments taking power and responsibility from them making them simply the training league for future Federal office holders. What will be the next big wrinkle will be the usurping of power by international governance. The leader in this is the European Union which has been taking away the independence and powers from the individual member governments. This too hit a snag with BREXIT and the British deciding to pull out from the European Union for the moment. Expect Britain to return in time going crawling back to the European Union. Eventually, there will be world governance which eventually will become the power center of the planet. The best hope is by that time the AI will be those in charge of governing and the people retired from holding such power. Potentially, the AIs will be the first where power, even absolute power, does not corrupt partially and especially not absolutely. The future will be interesting and socialism will be the future in some form but there will be a capitalist venture system with entrepreneurs and those who wish to explore their abilities and chase the golden ring hoping to grab ahold. Let us hope we live to see a hopefully glorious future where humanity finally rids the world of want, hunger and poverty.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

March 13, 2018

Lapid Using Liberman to Shoot for the Stars

 

Everybody knows the worst kept secret in Israel, Yair Lapid has designs of replacing Bibi as soon as he can get elections and then he is aiming to replace the Heavenly Choir. Yair Lapid thinks very highly of himself and his silver tongue which has gotten him far in life. His ability to set dulcet tones to the lyrics written on his teleprompter should remind people of another great speaker whose heart was cold and calculations have placed the Middle East in jeopardy by strengthening Iran. That sweet talker was President Obama, the still revered leftist who used Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals to take the already radical Iran and use an injection of Russian military airpower to reinstate al-Assad and Iran in a power position in Syria and with Hezballah in Lebanon while allowing Hamas to reunite their ties with Iran who are looking like the strong horse. These also emboldened Turkey to attempt and solve their Kurdish problem with another genocide which will be denied while it is occurring. All the wrong players in the Middle East are now playing more powerful positions and Russia is stuck in the quicksand.

 

Where would Yair Lapid fit into this formula? He would be the next installment in what next can go wrong. Lapid is very talented at telling everybody what they wish to hear. He will tell much of Israel that he is strictly a Zionist and stands to the right of Netanyahu. He will tell the university crowd that he strongly supports all versions of individual rights and the Two State Solution is the central spine of his Middle East policies. He tells the labor union that he stands one-hundred-percent behind Histadrut and supports stronger worker mediations. Basically he is the chameleon who stands before any crowd and adopts their greatest hopes and fears into reality and instantly becomes their best hope. Lapid only really believes in three things, his visceral distaste for everything religious, especially Jewish; his belief that he can find a gift so worthy that he will found two states for two people even if both those people will end up as Arab states and the Jews vanquished, and Lapid believes in Lapid and would claim to be the Messiah if he believed in the Messiah. All in all, the three things are all actually just ways for aggrandizing the last one, Yair Lapid.

 

Yair Lapid Enticing Avigdor Lieberman into Challenging Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu

Yair Lapid Enticing Avigdor Lieberman into Challenging Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu

 

Lapid is also very good at wrapping people into his plans by making them promises, some which he would actually keep. Currently Yair Lapid wants one thing and only one thing, a means to replace Bibi Netanyahu as Prime Minister. His plan is so painfully obvious; it would take a deaf, dumb and blind man not to see it. Currently, Lapid is planning to drive a wedge between Yisrael Beytenu leader, Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman and his boss, Prime Minister Netanyahu. The weapon is the Haredi draft bill which has been laboriously hammered out to almost everyone’s satisfaction. Lapid has been whispering into Lieberman’s ear telling him of all the power he will bestow upon him when he makes his coalition after new elections. Unfortunately for Bibi, Lieberman has been soaking the praise and lauding up like a schoolboy receiving praise from his favorite teacher. The fact that Lieberman and his party share much of Lapid’s dislike for the religious is not a secret but this new draft law was drawn up extracting almost everything possible from the religious parties and is actually a fair and tough bill. But Yair wants elections and is willing to do anything to get them and to get them now. So why is it so important to get elections immediately?

 

That is an easy one to answer. Currently Bibi is, as usual, under a myriad of investigations and has been recommended for being brought to trial once more by the police who never tire of rejections. They were unable to get a single charge leveled against Bibi with a far more leftist Attorney General in the past and they are now facing a serious and strict law abiding Attorney General who will not take kindly to having his office used or his time wasted. Lapid knows that if he can force elections, then he can go to the police, who already have him as their main witness for at least one of their cases against Netanyahu, and drop a few well-timed “bombshells” and they can add that to their attempt to have the Prime Minister arraigned, and that could seal the deal. If an arraignment can be timed to coincide with new elections, Lapid can sue in the Supreme Court to have Netanyahu barred from seeking the office of Prime Minister which would weaken the power of Likud and as his party is polling number two, he sees himself as naturally replacing Likud with his party, Yesh Atid. He has even gone so far as to file bills to dissolve the Knesset in conjunction with Meretz. Meretz Party has no chance to lead a coalition and thus is filing purely to help Lapid. If filing with Meretz does not show his true alignment to the world, and Israel particularly, nothing will and his con just might work. The main part of the Lapid coup is to have Bibi arraigned and new elections so the Supreme Court can take Bibi out of the picture making Yair Lapid, as he sees it and us fear, the next Prime Minister. That is a frightful scenario which we would hate to watch occur.

 

The problem here is that Lapid is trying to pull down the coalition while working to have the Prime Minister prevented from defending himself through elections and will do whatever it takes to become Prime Minister and impose his cleverly concealed leftist principles and love of the Two State Solution in his attempt to win a Nobel Peace Prize even if that requires the destruction of Israel as the Jewish State and homeland to the Jewish People. Everything Yair Lapid does is for the aggrandizement of Yair Lapid. He views himself as a larger than life, anointed by the fates, and infallible man of principle. We view him as utterly lacking that final quality, flawed in many ways, and hope he is fated to never hold power of Prime Minister of Israel. We foresee his attaining that dreamed of position leading to placing Hamas backed completely by Iran and armed similarly to Hezballah into Judea and Samaria after agreeing to remove all the Jewish communities from beyond the Green Line. Did we mention he hates them as well though would promise them he would protect them to their faces, redividing Jerusalem, removing all border checkpoints, destroying the terror barrier on his way in full retreat and pulling every last IDF and other force and all intelligence operatives from beyond the Green Line and expect the Arabs to remain an unarmed state. Of course as soon as the Palestinian Authority has been overthrown and Hamas, or worse, Hezballah, replaces them with all the officials still seen as belonging to anything other than a fully religious theocratic terror state supporter removed from any position of power and possibly violently removed, Iran will arm the area and ready it for an attack on Israel. For Iran and both Hezballah and Hamas, being a nationalistic terror state supporter would be inadequate as only pure religious fanaticism will be accepted once Iran gets into the act. This would leave only the Jordan and the Sinai Peninsula left before Israel would be encircled by Iran on every land border.

 

It has been known that the Syrian leader, Bashir al-Assad, and his father before him, have always had designs on rejoining Jordan to Syria as they see Jordan and Israel as parts of Southern Syria and have designs on militarily reestablishing their Syrian hegemony. Any Syrian hegemonic interests would merely be serving the hegemonic obsessions of Iran. Iran would hardly need but blink in order to overwhelm the Jordanian forces and take Jordan. That would be an easy task except for two small items, Jordan has long been allied with the United States and Britain plus Israel is well aware that it is in their interests to prevent such a takeover. During the Black September attempted coup by Yasser Arafat and the PLO in 1970, Syrian forces dressed as Fedayeen crossed the border with air support. The Syrian efforts ended fairly quickly as they met more formidable resistance than they expected and their PLO allies were being decimated and were fleeing to Lebanon. Syria gave up on that attempt to reunify Jordan into southern Syria. That lesson was given Bashir’s father, he may require his own lesson before he learns plus he has Iran whispering in his ear. Another difference is that Jordan and Israel have a signed peace agreement and the United States has a rather unpredictable President in Trump. President Trump has pretty much steered clear of much in the Middle East beyond strongly backing Israel and recognizing the obvious by announcing that the United States will move its embassy to the Israeli capital of Jerusalem.

 

Syria has already fired into Israel sufficiently and been sternly blunted by IDF responses. When Syria and Iran invaded Israeli airspace with a military drone, not only was the drone quickly destroyed, but the command and control center which sent the drone and other similar installations were destroyed in response with Israel losing one aircraft as a response. Attempting at testing Israel through attacking Jordan may not be the wisest course of action, but we are talking of the Assad Regime which has never shown much of a propensity for wisdom guided actions. Let it rest that the Middle East is dangerous enough and does not need Yair Lapid as Prime Minister of Israel; it requires a strong and dependable Israel ready to act as necessitated. That would, for the present, mean Bibi Netanyahu at the very least until the end of this government’s legal term and elections on November 5, 2019. After that many expect that Bibi would either allow a new person to lead Likud or announce that this would be his final time serving as Prime Minister and start to groom a new leader for his party. It would be wise for that to begin immediately and there are a number of contenders, but that should wait for another time.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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