Beyond the Cusp

March 25, 2016

The American Election Problem

 

The election is going to come down to a choice, if it can be called that, between the one least hated. The reason that has become the race is due to the fact that far too many voters will be voting to make sure the other candidate does not ruin the nation and potentially the world. That still allows for primary election coverage as that is where the only real choices are. Any normal election year none of the front-runners would be leading to receive their party’s nomination. Hillary is simply the less damaged goods still vying for the Democrat nomination while Trump is the more mainstream candidate on the Republican side of the ledger. The problem is neither one of them is a preferred choice; they are simply the masters of their neighborhood. Hillary has been running on the “It’s my turn and you had best let me run or I will scorch the earth beneath your feet,” candidate. She has become a fire-breathing dragon and the Democrats have wisely decided to turn her loose on the Republicans. Trump has become the product of the year of the ‘anybody but Hillary’ candidate and he wisely took up that mantra before any of the others realized what it was they were running for. Ted Cruz managed his second place finish because he actually has a following which survived having all the oxygen sucked out of the room. And that is why this will be the year the Presidency was lost more than it was won.

 

What has the public upset is that there are no good choices left as all the adults were kicked out of the sandbox before anyone realized what was actually happening. The only real candidates still in the running who actually have a platform are Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders. The two who are not getting the chance to run for President in November are the socialist, a real redistributionist socialist, and a man who would seem more at home on the pulpit than on the stump running for President of the United States. Instead the choices will be the man-child and the anti-man, and as for which is which, does it really matter? When other than the true believers are going to the polls in order to salvage what they can of America from ruination knowing that the person they are voting against has them more annotated to vote than does the person for whom they are voting, should tell the world that sanity has left the building. Those voting for Hillary are likely more scared of what a Trump Presidency would bring than they really believe Hillary is the best person for the White House with the exceptions being those who were with her in 2008, and even some of those have likely awakened to the horrifying allure. And for those who Hillary in the White House is more horrifying than Godzilla loose in Tokyo will not be voting for Trump as much as defending the realm from a fate worse than death. Yes, each has their core who believes they will make for a great President but neither has sufficient support to win an election except against the other. This will be the election where the majority leaving the voting booth when asked who they voted for would be more honest saying who they voted against. What was mystifying this past week was a seminal series of events at AIPAC where the candidates who felt a need to gain a stage appeared and revealed who may actually prove to earn their trip to the White House and the Presidency. Hillary gave her address and received exactly what everyone expected. Cruz gave his speech and was also well received. Kasich was Kasich. Bernie wisely skipped AIPAC knowing full well that he had few friends who honestly know his views on the Middle East.

 

Hillary Clinton for President

Donald Trump for President

Bernie Sanders for President

Ted Cruz for President

 

That leaves us with Donald Trump. He gave what was honestly a solid performance starting out slightly hesitantly. This was to be expected as he was not exactly in friendly climes. If anything he was in enemy waters as was noted by the number of those who walked out as he entered. Trump was not expected to impress and many probably stayed initially to watch him crash and burn. He did nothing of the sort. Donald Trump actually won some respect and may have made some friends. Trump started to give what was expected but at some point appeared to change gears and actually win over many listening and probably by the end were trying to figure out exactly what had happened. Donald Trump came to survive and thrived; he actually thrived and hopefully realized that he can win being himself in any room against any challenge. This appearance at AIPAC may have produced an actual honest contender if only he grows from this and not revert to his clownish easy road. Winning is a lot harder to do than simply not losing, and the difference is what makes a leader.

 

Beyond the Cusp

March 2, 2016

Super Tuesday Results with Maps

 

We are going to hear much about the Republican race being between Trump and Rubio trying to minimize Cruz as the Republican Party can only beat Trump if they can put every last non-Trump Vote to one candidate even if it was a more popular Donald, that being Donald Duck. Cruz and Rubio are going to continue to split the voters leaving Trump slowly eclipsing them both right out of the delegate count, especially as the winner take all states start appearing rather than the proportional representation they are facing now. The results in the Republican primaries will not change the fight but simply serve to fortify the three man race plus Kasich will claim he has not been ruled out and he will come roaring back once he wins Ohio which is becoming more unlikely as the delegates are divided up and him just missing threshold after threshold. But the Republicans will continue as advertised but the Democrats the fat lady may be singing.

 

Probably the stake through the heart of the Sanders campaign was losing Massachusetts as well as every other state looking being eclipsed in the eye. Bernie Sanders may as well thank his supporters and workers for their faith and hope in him and recognize that H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary has won the nomination with little if any potential for doubt. So, now H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary can campaign on a low keyed style taking extra care to not say anything which might be used against her in the general elections. All H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary need do is keep her mainstay base of minorities to remain committed and have a level of excitement to produce them at the polls in November. She can float trial balloons testing how they play with the public. Bernie Sanders cannot claim to have any hope when the only states won so far are New Hampshire, Vermont, and Oklahoma while losing Alabama, Georgia, Iowa, Nevada, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia. These were the results in the early states and the projections look very much like same as above with H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary winning and winning. We could go with so many ways of trivializing the results claiming the fat lady is singing, turn out the lights the party’s over, or put a fork in him, he’s done. So, what is next for H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary?

 

The questions now will revolve around who will H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary choose as her running mate, her Secretary of State, her this, that and the other. That will be the news cycle over and over as they try to keep H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary in the news reminding everybody how popular H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary is with so many different demographics making it appear so clear that she will win the all-important elections come November. They will mostly avoid those death subjects such as her e-mail server, her mishandling of top secret and more secure information, Benghazi, telling lies to bereaved parents about why their children gave their lives, and every other scandal she hides from the public with the complicity of the mainstream media. This election may hinge on whether or not H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary will be indicted which may remain hanging over her head with many claiming the election is also about whether or not H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary wins and avoids a messy trial dominating every new hour. The Democrat Party now has the luxury of knowing who their candidate will be for the election in November. This can also be a downside as they will face the challenge of keeping their candidate in each news cycle in a positive light avoiding the obvious sinkholes.

 

 

Primary Results of Super Tuesday Maps

Primary Results of Super Tuesday Maps

 

What did Super Tuesday do to the two parties can be summarized in two words, H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary and Trump. That will most likely be the candidates the American public will have to choose between. This may be a more interesting race than the pundits might believe as both parties will be facing a single challenge of getting out their voters. Both candidates will necessarily need to announce their preferred appointments to the major cabinet posts such as to define them beyond their own persona of simply thirsting for power. This election will necessarily be a referendum on which of the far from perfect candidates, Trump and H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary, will be capable of bringing forth the votes while leaving the base for the other side from awakening. If history is any measure, H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary would be more likely to manage such a feat as the Democrats have traditionally been better able of getting their voters to the polls and pulling out the close races but that will be made more difficult with their having a wounded candidate in H for Hillary Clinton the new President Operfectillary just as the Republicans apparently will also have apparently an injured and bloodied candidate in Donald Trump as he will have challengers continuing through the remainder of the primaries until he freezes all others out in the delegate count. Let the games begin.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

January 4, 2015

Lessons of the Likud Primary Elections

Filed under: Absolutism,Administration,Amalekites,Appointment,Arabs,Balfour Declaration,Blood Libel,British,Cabinet,Capitalism,Churchill White Paper,Civilization,Coalition,Cost of Living,Debt,Disengagement,Ditherer in Chief,East Jerusalem,Economic Growth,Economy,Executive Order,Feiglin,Galilee,Government,Great Britain,Green Line,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Hevron,History,Internal Pressures,International Politics,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Jehrico,Jerusalem,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,Jordan River,Jordan Valley,Judaism,Judea,Judean Hills,Kadima,Kever Yosef,Knesset,Kotel,Labor Party,Land for Peace,Leftist Pressures,Likud,Machpelah,Mediterranean Sea,Ministership,Moshe Feiglin,Muslims,Negev Desert,Netanyahu,Obama,Old City,One State Solution,Oslo Accords,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Parliament,Parliamentary Government,Peace Partner,Peace Process,Politics,President Obama,Prime Minister,Promised Land,Samaria,San Remo Conference,Secular Interests,Settlements,Shechem,Statehood,Support Israel,Temple Mount,Third Intifada,Two State Solution,Tzipi Hotovely,Tzipi Livni,Union Interests,United Nations,United States,United States Pressure,Voting,West Bank,Western Wall,World Opinion,Yuli Edelstein — qwertster @ 5:11 AM
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

 

The initial lesson almost everybody will claim is that nothing notable resulted from the Likud primary elections. Binyamin Netanyahu easily won the top spot and Danny Danon retained a seat in the Knesset. Yuli Edelstein, followed by Gilad Arden – then Israel Katz, Miri Regev, Silvan Shalom, Moshe Ya’alon, Ze’ev Elkin and Tzachi Hanegbi rounded out the top positions. The presumably big story is that none of the Likud leadership mentioned ceding land for making a Palestinian state, nor making conciliatory moves to placate the Demands of the European Union, nor surrendering lands demanded by the United Nations nor folding before pressures from United States President Obama nor buckling to demands made by the Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions (BDS) threats nor bending under to the compulsion emanating from any of the European governments nor mollifying to any pressures to relent claim to any land claims by any Arab or Muslim entity. This would have been laudable and reassuring except for the lack of claiming anything concerning the surrender of lands beyond the Green Line. Probably the one comment heard in the reporting was an assurance that the Western Wall would remain under Israeli control made by Tzipi Livni and Yitzhak Herzog which would have made the perfect invitation to address that the Likud would not only retain control over the Kotel but would keep all of Jerusalem, the settlements, the Jordan Valley, the Judean Hills and all of ancient Israel, but no such retort was presented. The question of what they are in favor of committing themselves to about the ancient homelands of the Jewish State, of the lands of Judea and Samaria is a question of paramount importance and the answer must not contain any ambiguities or vagueness and must be replied to without even the slightest hesitation of falter so as to be given spontaneously proving it is their default and singular position. Such must be the position and response to the state of mind of any candidate on any list before a true Zionist can feel comfort in granting any party their vote.

 

There was some disconcerting news pertaining to the subterfuge around efforts to keep Moshe Feiglin from attaining a safe position or even any position on the Likud list and with that news one might also question if these efforts also had an effect on Tzipi Hotovely just missing making the list of favorably situated spots when she missed being in the twentieth spot and that pushed her back to the twenty-sixth spot behind some seats reserved for party regional leadership and people chosen by the Prime Minister personally. Another step towards proving that Likud stands firmly in the nationalist camp and also the Zionist camp would be Benyamin Netanyahu placing Tzipi Hotovely in one of his discretionary spots assuring her a better chance at continuing to serve and have an additional Zionist voice in the Knesset. The next step which the Zionist camp must take careful notes to will be the filing by the parties of their official lists. If any Zionist belongs to a party which places within its list any appreciable numbers of candidates who have ever stated their approval to surrendering Judea and Samaria and permitting a new Arab state which will most assuredly become another Hamastan either through elections or by force of arms, just as did Gaza, then one should seriously consider giving their vote to another party. There should be little if any room for Ministers to the Knesset who would allow another debacle such as the events which formed Kadima and led to the unilateral disengagement from Gaza producing a similar result with Judea and Samaria. This was one fear that occupied my mind and led to great consternation when after the last elections when Prime Minister Netanyahu immediately chose to bring into his potential coalition Tzipi Livni’s Hatnuah Party (הַתְּנוּעָה) which had not only surrender lands for peace members on her party list but also was headed with the ultimate land for peace person outside Labor, Meretz and the Arab Parties. When Tzipi Livni was then given the position to be the lead Israeli for negotiating and dealing with the Palestinians and all that would eventually entail, which came way too close to my worst fears, I said prayers that like Pharaoh, Abbas and companies’ hearts would harden and refuse every offer. That is apparently exactly what came to be as Abbas once again proved the wisdom of Abba Eban who stated referring to the forming of another Arab nation west of the Jordan River that, “The Arabs never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity.”

 

It is always nerve racking when offers are made where almost the entirety of Judea and Samaria and especially if Eastern Jerusalem is included which initially guarantees that Jews will lose all access to the Temple Mount and the Kotel and additionally the Synagogues which were so painstakingly refurbished and restored will once again be torn asunder and be once again defiled. There is still one last thing which granting the Arabs and Abbas their state and Hamas taking control within one year or two is that within six months of Hamas rising to power Israel will once again be facing a war of extinction against who knows how many armies. The war that would follow Hamas taking over Judea, Samaria and Eastern Jerusalem would be frightful and potentially the most dangerous situation since the War of Independence as it is surreal yet potentially possible, if not probable should such a war come four or five years down the road, that the Arabs would have a number of European nations aiding their efforts and arming them with top of the line NATO equipment. It might even become a worst case scenario should Turkey also become a party to the conflict and demand that the rest of NATO come to the aid against the nation warring with Turkey, a fellow NATO member who is permitted such a request. Where it is unlikely, though not completely out of the realm of possibilities, that the United States would aid Turkey against Israel, but it is nowhere near as certain when one considers that the numerous European NATO members might comply with the request resulting in a much broader war and increases the potential for Israel to be defeated without, as assisted Israel in all her previous conflicts, the good L0rd assists once again.

 

The one thing that Israel needs to make sure does not happen is for the leftists make up the lead in any coalition, especially if the Prime Minister position will be occupied by Tzipi Livni as she most assuredly would surrender the store simply to assure herself a legacy. Tzipi Livni is driven to become the Prime Minister who achieved peace with the Arabs and received a Nobel Peace Prize for her heroic and valued leadership. The question with her deciding what is acceptable could potentially lead to her insisting that Israel retain Tel Aviv but hopefully she not surrender both the Negev Desert and the Galilee central plains and hills and certainly not surrender Netanya and Nahariya. Of course she might not get the opportunity as Yitzhak Herzog would be allowed first shot at surrendering almost all of Israel. Yitzhak Herzog recently vowed to shut down the World Zionist Organization’s Settlement Division, which functions as an operational arm of the government to build and establish communities and infrastructures in Judea and Samaria. Herzog stated on ‘Meet the Press’ Saturday night, “As Prime Minister I will close the Settlement Division and open it later to serve the Negev and the Galilee. We see again and again the same group takes over the interests of the state and Netanyahu gave in to it.” This is a blanket inference that the lands beyond the Green Line are of little concern and that Yitzhak Herzog is willing to surrender all of Judea and Samaria forcing almost one-million Jews from their homes, something which the Israeli voters must take the efforts to avoid giving this man any power. Not only is that necessary but the Israeli voters must make certain that whichever party gets to form the next government is a party headed by a devout and solid Zionist who knows that not only without Jerusalem does Israel fail, but also without Hevron, Shechem, Jericho, and possibly also Bethlehem. These are the minimalist demands and retaining all the lands promised by treaties are reserved solely for a Jewish State where the peoples living within have individual rights, commercial rights, property rights and religious rights but political rights are reserved for the Jews when voting and ruling the nation come into question. This was decided immediately after World War I and was ratified by the European nations, Japan and the United States and ratified by the United Nations. Without going into detail, here is the thumbnail sketch one more time, The San Remo Conference implemented the Balfour Declaration word for word as their conclusion; following that decision the British had the mandate and proposed splitting the mandate with three-quarters approximately was to be utilized for an Arab state and would be defined as the lands west of the Jordan River while the lands east of the Jordan River, that less than one-quarter of the Mandate lands, would be reserved into perpetuity for the Jewish State where all people living within were to keep their properties, businesses, religious rights, civil rights and all rights with the exception of political rights which could be granted them if and only if the Jewish government deemed them to have such powers. All of these treaties were adopted subsequently by the United Nations under Article 80. Get it, got it, good!

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Next Page »

Blog at WordPress.com.