Beyond the Cusp

October 16, 2017

Israel Palestinian Conundrum Culmination

 

For initial articles, click for first here and click for second here.

 

Where two days ago we gave some potential options and yesterday, we gave a possible scenario; the scenario was less than wonderful for much of the free world and horrific for Israel. The fortunate thing is that none of these things are likely to occur. There is a small fly in the ointment and it is about the size of the average rhinoceros. We mentioned the problem and some of you probably caught the problem, Hamas gets to retain their twenty-five-thousand man Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades military. This will be the central question to be resolved at the Cairo meeting on Tuesday, November 21, where the reconciliation will be finalized. The main stumbling block will be Hamas’ insistence on retaining their rather large police/security forces, well over ten-thousand strong plus their military wing, all twenty-five thousand well-armed men with a number of officers trained in Iran. The initial agreement allowed Fatah and the Palestinian Authority (PA) to station a security force numbering about ten-thousand officers strong. If you do the math, it turns into thirty-five thousand Hamas force fully armed against the PA lightly armed ten-thousand police force largely toting with side arms. It’s not really a fair fight, which is why we are glad that we are not part of their security force. Hamas has little intention of allowing the PA to actually take control over Gaza and is simply making the initial steps towards unification which will come to a crashing halt at their next meeting. This has happened before with the initial agreement being reached in order to throw a large wrench into the machinery while everything falls apart subsequently after whatever peace proposals forming are burned to ashes from whence they came. The PA and Hamas are great believers in ashes to ashes when it comes to peace initiatives. As we explained over the last two days, there are quite a few peace proposals being initiated or given some trial run and the PA was getting quite nervous that things just might turn against them and they would be trapped by Trump or Mudar Zahran or whoever so they turned to their supposed rivals for a little cooperation for a period of time sufficient to destroy all peace proposals.

 

What it comes down to is that Mahmoud Abbas, the leadership of Hamas, of Fatah, of the PLO and of the PA have millions of reasons why they do not desire peace at any price. Each of those reasons has a Dollar or a Euro attached to them and amount to millions per year except for Mahmoud Abbas and family where it comes to millions per month. They cannot accept any form of peace treaty where Israel remains as a Jewish State. It could remain as an Islamic run state under sharia law where the Jews are subject to the Jizya and the Jews, Christians and anyone not within the PA, PLO or Fatah are dhimmi subjected to the shame and degradations which goes along with dhimmitude. The problem for Mahmoud Abbas is he promised to destroy the Zionist Entity otherwise known as Israel or the Jewish State. He promised to accomplish this by swamping Israel with millions of displaced Arabs, something he actually did not have until recently with the destruction and dissolving of Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and the Arab world in general after the Arab Spring initiated by President Obama with the able support of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Hamas has an even larger promise they intend to keep. They also want to destroy Israel as the Jewish state but want to also eradicate the Jewish population. Just to make things clear, Hamas wants to eradicate the entirety of the Jewish population everywhere. The rest of the terror groups are either attached to the PA, PLO plus Hamas or they are permitted to operate within the areas under their control. Islamic Jihad is one such group who operates within Gaza and is aided by Iran and work cooperating with Hamas. Sometimes Hamas uses the presence of Islamic Jihad as an excuse for terror strikes when they need to explain attacks against treaties. There are a number of other minor groups operating in Gaza plus rumors that al-Qaeda, Islamic Jihad and Muslim Brotherhood have been known to operate command and control people out of Gaza controlling their Sinai Peninsula forces. All of these groups depend on there being no peace with Israel to continue their operations.

 

The reconciliation, as we keep stating, was used as it always has, to destroy any possibility for any peace talks or other potential for ending the Palestinian cause which has been used as a center for terror operations worldwide. Hezballah in Lebanon has been used as a conduit by Iran to funnel weapons into Gaza for Islamic Jihad and at times for Hamas as well. Hezballah is not just a terror group working for Iran in Lebanon as well as Syria but also worldwide with a large base in the tri-border area in South America where Argentina, Paraguay and Brazil borders meet. Hezballah uses the area for training and attack simulations for operations anywhere in the world. They work with the Iranian IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) which includes a special group, the al-Quds force, which specializes in attacks to attack Israel in general and Jerusalem in particular (al-Quds is the Muslim Arab name for Jerusalem). The faithful execution of any missions such cells may be utilized to commit is often assured through holding family members within Lebanon as persuasion over their actions and trusted loyalty. We know Iran has extensive abilities to strike anywhere within the Americas as we witnessed in two separate bombings in Argentina; the first was the bombing of the Israeli Embassy on March 17, 1992, with the second being the bombing of the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) on July 18, 1994, both in Buenos Aires. The IRGC likely cooperating with Hezballah have also attacked American interests such as murdering United States Marines in their barracks in Lebanon as well as assaulting the United States Embassies in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and Nairobi, Kenya. All of these attacks were either simulated in Lebanon, Iran or the tri-border area before being triggered on their actual targets. Iran also supplies Islamic Jihad and often Hamas and has attempted to make inroads into Fatah and the PLO as they try to encircle Israel. This is information which should be sufficient evidence that the terrorism which starts with Israel will not remain contained in Israel. This lesson has been pressed on Europe as their Islamist infiltration has brought with it terrorism similar in nature as Israel faces. The United States has also been targeted by terrorism including the horrific attacks of 9/11 and numerous others since and before.

 

Tri_Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

Tri_Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994 bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

 

The real problem is that there can be no solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict which allows for the continued existence of Israel as the Jewish state. Where many within the European power structure appear to be fine with solutions which would erase the Jewish nature of Israel if it would bring their Islamist problem to a close, it would actually change nothing. Additionally, Israel as the Jewish state is not going anywhere and is back to stay. Further, the United States is linked with Israel though there are signs that this bond may be weakening. The Democrat Party has decided that Israel is expendable while the Republican Party has become the pro-Israel party. This might appear strange as most Jews support the Democrat Party with blind passion. The reality comes down to the fact that the Evangelical Christians support Israel and are an important group for the Republican Party. Completely opposite of what many claim, often vindictively, the United States supports Israel because the Jews control the government when the reality is the largest group in the United States supporting Israel are the Christians. This is not hard to see, as Jews are, at most, a mere two and a half percent of the total population. Israel is once again a political football which will be fumbled by many amongst the Democrat Party only to now be picked up by the Republican Party, a change from the earlier periods of Israel. The United States may find itself more alone in supporting Israel and this could lead to more challenges ahead. There are some who predict that the United States may soon find Israel too much a burden to continue their support and this leads these people to claim that once Israel no longer has American protection they will face an isolation which could spell the end of Israel. They claim that Israel is completely dependent upon American military aid.

 

The reality is that Israel can survive without the military aid providing Israel takes the steps necessary to become self-sufficient militarily. This would require Israel to begin making their own weaponry including the ammunition. Israel currently uses the .223 ammunition which is consistent with NATO despite Israel not belonging to NATO. The advantage is Israel manufactures this ammunition, as do numerous nations. Israel makes very fine rifles and their Merkava tank is first rate. They are capable in almost every area with two main weaknesses, ships and aircraft. The Israeli Navy is dependent upon Germany for her submarines which are all Dolphin class and depends on European shipyards for their Corvette class ships. Israel might be capable of constructing her own ships and even submarines if pressed as she does much of the outfitting of her ships and adapting the submarines to fit her requirements. The challenge Israel would face would be manufacture of her own aircraft, something Israel should start to consider seriously. Israel is receiving the United States fifth generation fighter F-35 JSF. This is a decent stealth airframe but they are also very expensive. Fortunately, the United States gave Israel financial assistance, something which will become more difficult as the United States debt situation grows, for reasons which historians will be dumbfounded to explain, makes supporting anybody impossible. Israel has sufficient GDP to afford the costs of developing her own aircraft and the additional jobs would be a boost to her economic health providing well paying jobs. Further, Israel could enter into the arms market and if past developments of technology, then any aircraft she produced would very likely be of a quality worthy of competing with that of any other nation and in demand on the world market. The avionics for the export model along with weapons targeting and other systems would be different than those she produced for her own use which is the same as every other nation. Most nations prefer placing their own systems of avionics and weapons rather than depend on other nations systems for such sensitive equipment.

 

Israel also has to take charge of the entire peace process. This can only be accomplished once Israel is completely self-sufficient militarily and in most other industries as well as food production leaving very little to outside providers. Israel is one of the few, if not the only, nation which could conceivably face a complete embargo from the industrialized world or even the entire world. This would mean that Israel would, and needs to face this soon if not immediately, needs to rely totally on her own production of weapons, food, automobiles and all other products which Israelis could need or simply desire. Finally, many of these items from cell phones to cherry tomatoes to software were invented or developed in Israel. The gaps which Israel faces also includes their not having a domestic vehicle, car or trucks of all sizes, production but for a nation with the capabilities Israel has shown, they will most likely produce a vehicle which runs on air and water. Any nation capable of such inventiveness will pull through despite what challenges the world throws at her. And the peace will only work when the reputed but disputed words of Golda Meir, “Peace will come when the Arabs will love their children more than they hate us.”

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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October 8, 2017

Gun Controls Are On the Political Horizon

 

The Republican Speaker of the House, who was once upon a time the darling of the leading edge conservatives in the party and was a name to run for President, came out and claimed that Republicans are open and considering possible limitations on limiting accessories and possibly types of firearms. We have included the video below for your viewing displeasure or pleasure, depending on your views. Before you run to the video, allow us a few comments. Paul Ryan was accurate to some extent when he pointed out that fully automatic weapons have been banned for a long time, well, almost correct. Fully automatic weapons, like explosives and rocket launchers, require a Federal Firearms License (FFL) weapons permit which requires a series of steps depending on what types of weapons one will be dealing. So, they are not illegal, just very difficult to own and there are special fees and taxes involved in ownership or dealing in such weapons which can become onerous. But then Speaker Ryan states something interesting, namely that he was not aware of such things as bump stocks until this week. Well, allow us to admit that we too were ignorant about such accessories for rifles and other weapons. Speaker Ryan then expresses the idea that a bump stock can take a normal weapon and make it fully automatic fire rate. We did something that the Speaker of the House has apparently not done, actually bothered to read into bump stocks and what they actually do in aiding in the use of a firearm. Wikipedia defines “Bump Fire” as the resultant effect of using a bump stock thus allowing, quote, “The act of using the recoil of a semi-automatic firearm to fire shots in rapid succession, which simulates the ability of a fully automatic weapon.” That is they allow one to simulate, not actually become a fully automatic weapon fire. Now, before delving deeper, here is Speaker Ryan and MSNBC News.

 

 

Now, we looked a little further into bump stocks ourselves and what is about to be stated are our reactions and interpretations of what the use of a bump stock does and does not permit. First, if you are an amateur gun enthusiast whose main firearms use is plinking at targets once every month or so with some friends, then a bump stock will allow you to look ‘kewl’ shooting at the range. With some practice, it, along with the practice, allow you to be more accurate. With a whole lot of practice, it will also aid your rate of fire significantly. So, what exactly is a bump stock and how does it work. It is a recoil-absorbing tool which allows for better accuracy allowing the entire rifle to slide directly backwards when fired. The theory is if one can keep their finger exactly where the trigger-pull fires a bullet, then upon return another round will fire thus mimicking full automatic. This mimicking is exactly that, as you still must have trigger pull for each individual shot fired. Yes, you can, with practice, increase your rate of fire but will suffer a lower accuracy. With some patience, the bump stock can aid accuracy by absorbing recoil allowing one to remain on target between shots requiring less adjustment as recoil is absorbed by the stock as well as the normal recoil mechanisms of the weapon. The Las Vegas shooter was not as concerned with accuracy as he was firing at a mass target, the crowd at an outdoor concert. This means he was able to use the bump stock to fire more rapidly sacrificing any actual target acquisition. He was simply spraying rounds into a large mass of people and hoping for the worst. Firing from the thirty-second floor of Mandalay Hotel into the concert crowd spread out over an acre or more area. The people below were little more than dots running in every direction and he was likely not actually choosing targets with the majority of his shots fired. Military personnel have a name for such firing; they call it ‘spray and pray’ when one simply puts rounds out hoping to hit something, anything of the enemy or of his targets. But now let us talk about the CNN screenshot below used to announce Speaker Ryan’s startling readiness to consider some form of firearm control and especially the banning of bump stocks as they, he falsely claimed, can make a firearm fully automatic fire, remember, falsely stated.

 

CNN Gun Control and Paul Ryan

CNN Gun Control and Paul Ryan

 

The weapon they used in the graphic was deliberately chosen to frighten anybody who is completely devoid of any actual firearm knowledge. Let us count the ways the weapon depicted is illegal for the average firearm owner. There is one very nice sound suppressor, often referred to as a silencer, on the end of the barrel. It would be next to useless which we will explain in a little while. That stock is an adjustable stock which can be made longer or shorter in order to fit a person of any size. The scope is a military styled scope. But here is the clincher, the tube under the barrel would be a grenade launcher which would make the firearm a military weapon and definitely not legal to own without an FFL license (described above). The weapon pictured above is a wonderful weapon which if society ever fails I would love to have with me. It is also probably select fire rate including single shot, three round burst and full automatic. The M203 grenade launcher fires 40mm grenades including White Phosphorous, High Explosive, High Explosive Anti-Tank and Flechette amongst others (see image below).

 

40mm Grenade Rounds

40mm Grenade Rounds

 

The problem with a sound suppressor on that particular weapon is that, without special sub-sonic ammunition, the round leaving the weapon will exceed the speed of sound, thus making a distinctive and very loud ‘crack’ upon hitting the air and breaking the sound barrier. There is no means of preventing the crack made from breaking the sound barrier. Still, the weapon chosen resembles very closely the weapons shown on the pages linked to above which are all military weapons. The weapon shown in the CNN clip and probably in most broadcasts will largely be military weapons which are not purchasable at your neighborhood firearms dealership. They are the Lotus racecar of weapons. The one item which many of the reports are counting on is the ignorance of the average viewer. They are aware that the average person who resides within a metropolitan area, especially along the two coasts, probably has not fired a gun in a long time if ever. They are using this ignorance, the lack of in depth knowledge of firearms to show a firearm which they are fully aware is nothing at all similar to any firearm that one can purchase under the law without special licensing. But here is something nobody is likely to tell you about firearms. The scary-looking weapons may not be the more dangerous weapons. The first thing one needs to know is the military style weapon and the hunting rifle both fire one bullet for every trigger pull. Either weapon can be adjusted to take a bump stock but a well-trained weapons expert can use techniques to perform the exact same firing style which the bump stock is presumed to provide with a normal stock. The bump stock may make the rapid-fire rate easier for the lesser skilled marksman, it can be equaled through additional training. Now there are some differences which are due directly to the length of the barrel. The military styled weapons have shorter barrels than their hunting rifle variants. Both use identical bullets for the same caliber. The additional length of the barrel for the regular rifle allows for greater accuracy and a faster exit velocity for the projectile, the bullet. These two points are that the hunting rifle which in most instances has similar, if not identical bullet capacities, are actually more dangerous even in the average person’s hands who has a modicum of weapons training.

 

Finally, let us talk about what laws, which can make shootings like those which have plagued the United States, a thing of the past. We are talking about school shootings, church shootings, the Las Vegas mass shooting and the carnage such as experienced in the city of Chicago and other major metropolitan areas. The one item which would work if enforceable would be making bullets and firearms illegal. The problem is unless the energy entities from the Star Trek episode, “Errand of Mercy,” where the Organians disable all offensive weaponry by making them radiate extreme heat making them incapable of being touched, let alone used, we are stuck with what humans can do. Unfortunately, we doubt the Organians are real, but unless such beings do exist and the governments have kept contact a secret, then this attempt to end gun violence will be ineffective. The idea that if weapons such as firearms are made illegal, then only outlaws will have guns is valid if for no other reason than owning a firearm would make one a criminal. The meaning behind it is that criminals really have this habit of disregarding laws and thus would continue to use implements of crime such as firearms in their commission of crimes when helpful. Finally, the only means by which weapons controls could have any hope of working would be if they were universal and that would include disarming nations and their militaries. For reasons which we hope are obvious, this also could never work as there would be at the least a dozen or so nations which would make weaponry illegally and in as clandestine a manner so as to try and catch those nations silly enough to obey such a United Nations decree disarmed and conquer them. Oddly enough, the best means to prevent these mass murders and the straight criminal use of firearms would be counter-intuitive. The solution is to require everybody to take weapons training with refresher courses every year and qualifying and everybody who qualifies will be required to carry a firearm concealed everywhere they go, criminal, stock broker, salesman, parking attendant, stock clerk, accountant, lawyer, car salesman, rocket scientist, physician, physicist and anyone else. In this way there is likely to be an armed person capable of using their weapon close to any criminal use to end the shooting plus criminals would be suspecting that their potential targets would be armed thus crime would drop to the lowest levels in history. That is correct; arm everybody capable of controlling a firearm. Yes, it sounds crazy, but this is the only method which would work and this has been proven, guess where, Israel where the IDF infantry and other trained personnel carry their weapons in public. Shootings are often brought to an end very rapidly as a trained person with a firearm is often close at hand to bring the shooter to justice with great swiftness. But many would quickly claim that some things which work in Israel might not work as well outside Israel and we agree.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

September 24, 2017

Obamacare in the Balance

 

The Graham-Cassidy partial repeal and replacement for Obamacare is rapidly approaching the September 30 reconciliation deadline by which it must be enacted to be of any real usefulness. The problem facing the Republicans is very simple, they probably will never have the votes to do any replacement and a straight repeal is even less likely. The problem is very easily stated from their last fiasco where the votes which sunk them all came from the Republican side, as they knew going in that the Democrat vote would be a single block of solid against any repeal of their President Obama signature accomplishment. The Democrats are going to double and triple down on Obamacare as without Obamacare they stand behind eight years of nothing. The problem this time includes everyone from the last go-round Lamar Alexander, Shelley Moore Capito, Susan Collins, Dean Heller, John McCain, Lisa Murkowski, and Rob Portman plus one additional, Rand Paul. Many a pundit and Capital Hill expert claim that this list can be narrowed down to probably just four names, Rand Paul, Susan Collins, John McCain and Lisa Murkowski. The good side is apparently the Graham-Cassidy Obamacare Replacement Bill has addressed the concerns of the rest of the Republicans and cemented the opposition of the entirety of the Democrats. With reports that place Rand Paul and Susan Collins in Schumer’s Democrat opposition column, McConnell cannot lose a single other Republican vote; and with too many placing John McCain and Lisa Murkowski as still in the undecided column, the entire idea of calling a vote should be in doubt. Still, it appears that McConnell will call for a vote next week. Now many articles are going to talk endlessly about how the Republicans are committing suicide playing these games while the entire healthcare insurance business burns to the ground. They will claim that their promise to repeal and replace Obamacare was a sacred oath which will cost them dearly in the midterm elections. Well yea and yes on all of that and what more can be said. That has been covered ad-nauseum. Why not talk about Chucky Schumer and the Democrat solid block of opposition for a change.

 

The one item which has escaped coverage in the debate over repeal and replacement of Obamacare has been the lockstep denial of any need to do so by almost every single Democrat and every single democrat in the Senate. Senator Chuck Schumer has been leading them to what might be for them an inglorious end come the midterms. The people who have witnessed their insurance premiums go up or their plans nixed all together or who have lost their physician were not merely Republicans, many were also Democrats who may feel betrayed if something is not done to turn these events around. One need recall that President Trump won thirty states outright in the Presidential elections which would appear to depict that there are some very upset Democrats who either voted for Trump and thus favor the repeal and replace of Obamacare amongst other items or an equal number of Democrats who stayed home as they are done with the Democrats until they get their bearing back. Either way you look at this, it means that the Democrats tripling down on Obamacare is very likely to bode poorly for them come the midterm elections. Sure, the Republicans will face some anger but their anger will be focused on those who refused to vote according to their promises of seven years when they were repealing Obamacare once a month on average, or so it seemed. The voters know that Obamacare was passed purely on Democrat support and lies, but mostly on forced Democrat unity while the Republicans in both the House of Representatives and Senate voted against it, not a single Republican vote was cast to pass Obamacare. Apparently, there is a difference between voting for Obamacare and voting to remove Obamacare on the Republican side, not so on the Democrat side, as they remain lockstep voting as a block without any defectors to save Obamacare at all costs. This has apparently become a position upon which the leadership of the Democrat Party are willing to hang their shingle upon and run as the Obamacare Party in elections for as long as this remains an issue, which apparently will be at least through the midterm elections. They are following Chuck Schumer in the Senate as if he were the Pied Piper.

 

Chuck Schumer and his Democrats

Chuck Schumer and his Democrats

 

The idea that not being capable of repeal and replace will sink the entire Republican Party is what we hear from critic after critic and apparently, the Democrats have been sold the concept that Republicans and only Republicans are going to pay for any failure to repeal and replace Obamacare. This is a false picture as what is far more likely is that should Obamacare not be repealed and replaced then on the Republican side Rand Paul, Susan Collins, John McCain and Lisa Murkowski will be held to blame and face the ire of their voters. Senator McCain will not likely be running for another term due to health issues and thus does not care about the ire of his constituents, but the rest, if they are not also retiring, should. On this issue, all those hurt by Obamacare will likely have very long memories even to lasting six years out for those just reelected. Meanwhile, the Graham-Cassidy Obamacare Replacement has been revamped and though not a complete repeal and replacement, it fills in many of the gaps and repeals much of the hurtful sections of Obamacare, retains the most popular, and is still not the complete fix desired but a long step in the right direction. There is plenty to be happy over and there will be further legislation to tweak and patch the remaining problems both foreseen and unforeseen but soon to crop up. The voters are not in favor of the complete repeal because Obamacare did give voters free things and they want to retain all the free stuff which is understandable even if unwise. Where the problems arise is it took far too many things people have relied upon for a long time and destroyed those systems. Many realize that should Obamacare continue that it would destroy the entirety of the healthcare insurance business leaving only government healthcare for all and this was completely unacceptable to a large sector of people. This includes a good percentage of Democrat voters and they are scared, just as scared as the Republican voters, and this will be shown as the Democrats become the Obamacare Party and seen to represent little else than complete takeover of healthcare by the government. Has it even occurred to anybody that the people of the United States do not want to become just another European style government handout nation? If that thought has escaped you as a representative of the people, perhaps it is time you weighed that thought before you vote to retain the one piece of legislation designed to do exactly that. That includes Democrats as well as Republicans. If the Democrats wish to go down as the Obamacare Party, that is their choice, but as the Whig Party went down over opposition to slavery and the Republican Party was thus born, perhaps some of the Democrats should consider what to call the party that will be founded on the remains of the Democrat Party as its brand dies over Obamacare.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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