Beyond the Cusp

July 25, 2019

Proportionality in War a Losing Proposition

 

There is one particular word which the leftists, Arabists, terrorist leaders, BDS advocates and the rest of the destroy Israel groups love to pull from their bag and berate Israel for winning, Proportionality is its name. There is one area where Jews have more diverse and deep knowledge than most modern nations, and that is war. This is not because the Jews started all the wars throughout history. It is because the Jews, no matter what nation they resided within, would volunteer to fight in wars to protect their homeland even though that homeland was not Jewish but because it was where they resided and they appreciated being accepted. The one item which has been consistent in warfare until extremely recently was that there was nothing to be gained by proportionality and ensuring that your side and your enemies both suffer similar losses. Here is a little secret, that is not the formula for winning a war. The formula for winning a war is to force disproportional losses upon your enemy while minimizing your own losses. So, from where does this idea that the IDF soldiers must ensure proportionality in every engagement?

 

Unfortunately, the idea of proportionality is a direct result of the IDF view of conducting any conflict whereby the IDF is utilized in ways by which the numbers of civilian casualties are kept to a minimum. The various wars with Hamas and Islamic Jihad terror organizations are where these terror fighters tend to hide behind crowds of civilians, use children as chest protectors and fire rockets and mortars from atop schools, hospitals, mosques, and residential blocks of apartments. The one place where these attacks are never fired from are the neighborhoods where the terror leaders reside in nice homes near a modern mall and numerous restaurants. They make sure to preserve their lives while victimizing their own people and their safety. The terror forces of Hamas and Islamic Jihad see the deaths of Palestinian Arabs as a win-win situation as they can display these corpses as murdered by the IDF regardless of their being placed in harm’s way by their own government forces. Should a terrorist be killed, remove their rifle, their spare ammunition magazines, grenades and other weaponry or markers and instantly there is another civilian murdered. Further, if it can be shown that the IDF efforts killed more Gazans than Israelis killed by the terrorists, this is where Proportionality comes into play. Many of the countries from whence these demands for proportionality be practiced by Israel are themselves not obeying the concept of proportionality when their nation is in the field of battle. The United States and Britain are two of the nations for whom proportionality is great for thee but not for me. The CBS News report spells out plainly that the allied forces in Afghanistan efforts resulted in a greater number of civilian deaths and injuries than the Taliban during the same period. While the United States, predominantly, was singled out for the largest share of blame, there still was no call for proportionality. Often, whenever the term proportionality is pulled out, it is done to paint Israel into a corner and to threaten the young IDF soldiers with charges of war crimes in the hope that when that split second decision comes, the IDF soldier will think longer as to whether to shoot and thus the result is the Israelis will face far higher casualties. Of course, this is the aim of this insipid and morose game, to murder Israelis, or simply put, murder Jews.

 

General Patton was quoted in a movie about World War II stating, “No dumb bastard ever won a war by going out and dying for his country. He won it by making some other dumb bastard die for his country.” Under such advice, there could not be any belief that General George Patton would have ever supported proportionality, he supported victory, complete victory. Bringing this closer to home, allow us to quote Azzam Pasha immediately before the dawn assault upon Israel on May 15, 1948, the very morning Israel was brought into being. He stated that the next morning was to bring an assault with an intent best described so succinctly by Azzam Pasha, Secretary-General of the Arab League at that time, who stated, “It will be a war of annihilation. It will be a momentous massacre in history that will be talked about like the massacres of the Mongols or the Crusades.” This was what was intended by the six Arab armies from Saudi Arabia, Syria, Lebanon, Egypt, Iraq and Jordan which were perched on every border just awaiting the command. We fail to note any attempts at proportionality in the Arab intent the very morning Israel first breathed air in her own lands. But the Arabs forces are never required to consider proportionality when killing Israelis, or as they look at it, killing Jews. The Arab and Islamic forces which have intent of destroying Israel are permitted to use any amount of disproportional force to wipe Israel off the map while Israel must be mindful of proportionality. This will be spread to Europe and eventually the United States as the Islamic world continues to spread across the globe in another attempt to bring the world under Islam.

 

Quoting President Trump as reported by CNBC, the President has made a concession which could come back down the road to hamstring American military forces. President Trump claimed foolishly that he called off the attack on Iran after their downing a multi-million-dollar United States surveillance drone Tweeting, “We were cocked & loaded to retaliate last night on 3 different sights when I asked, how many will die,” Trump wrote. “150 people, sir, was the answer from a General. 10 minutes before the strike I stopped it, not […] proportionate to shooting down an unmanned drone. I am in no hurry, our Military is rebuilt, new, and ready to go, by far the best in the world.” This sets a very dangerous and impossible standard for the United States military to meet and with President Trump bringing proportionality into the discussion, it will only hurt American and allied forces. There do exist ideals which one hopes their military can live up to and standards which they are required to live up to and these must be kept separate. The ideals you teach the troops as guidelines for ethical behavior and the troops are to bear these in mind when engaging an enemy. These ideals are not to be advertised to the world as they place troops in less favorable positions when engaging on the field of battle. Then there are standards which every soldier is expected to obey and use as guides for all actions on the field of battle. Standards can be shared as these should be the rules by which every military practice in warfare. Unfortunately, when your enemies hold to a different set of moral codes, then there will be no reciprocity and these restrictions then only serve to restrict one side. This will be the same once again as the War in the Pacific where prisoners of war held by the Japanese were often mistreated, malnourished denied religious observance and even marched to death by the Japanese as well as torture used as a means of forcing compliance. Japanese prisoners were fed the same as the allied troops, had their own areas with a bed (cot) and small chest where they could keep any belongings and they were permitted to pray as they saw fit. Any coming war with Islamic forces will have consequences and disproportionate rules of engagement where all attempts will be made to force proportionality upon the Western forces as theirs are moral based armies who rely on superior firepower and technology for their upper hand while the Islamic forces will be living as best they are able to the description of what was given above by Azzam Pasha.

 

The problem is that most of the Western World will now actually attempt to fight a proportionate war simply because they desire to meet the highest possible standards in their troops and methods of engagement. While we saw much of the Islamic concept of warfare where all is fair in war, we are not sure about love as none will be forthcoming to the United States or Israel in the coming fight for control of Europe, Middle East, Northern Africa and the Americas, all of which are fronts which Iran expects to dominate. Thus far, Iran has walked casually across Iraq, Yemen, Syria and Lebanon without a single complaint by the United Nations and the world. Israel, on the other hand, has received several rebuts for attacking Iranian forces, be they IRGC, Hezballah or Iranian military forces when they launched upon Israeli forces and civilian towns. The math makes everything become so painfully obvious as to how the United Nations reacts to legitimate efforts by Israel, the United States and others when their efforts bring them into conflict with Islamic forces. In the United Nations there are over twenty Arab States and an additional thirty-five Islamic nations and finally the NAM group (Non-Aligned Movement) which itself has one-hundred-twenty member states in and of itself allowing for these allied groups to rule virtually every United Nations Agency, the General Assembly and should the United States decide to no longer protect Israel in the Security Council, these allied forces will be able to bring the weight of the world down on Israel simply because it is hated and the United States because, well, they are too powerful and require being brought down low so the rest of the world can overtake her.

 

The apparent coming war which will begin in the Middle East will be fought on Iranian terms as the United States, specifically due to President Trump not desiring to initiate any conflict, thus leaving the initial launching of hostilities to be at the behest of Iran. The questions surrounding what Iran decides will be their initial offensive moves. There is one item which is all but guaranteed is that Hezballah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the IRGC forces in Syria will launch literally thousands of rockets and missiles against Israel. Whether this will be the entirety of the initial Iranian assault will also be determined by Iran. The question is will any nations support Israel or will she be left to fight completely on her own. Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hezballah, an Iranian armed and supported terrorist army which controls all of southern Lebanon and used by Iran in Syria and Yemen, has promised that his armaments are capable of striking all of Israel which he states will be the destruction of the Jewish State. Nasrallah has stated that should the United States and Iran enter into a conflict; this would be the sign which would allow his army to launch rockets on Israel for as long as they are capable. With Hezballah having over one-hundred-fifty-thousand rockets and missiles of varying sizes, ranges and warheads, their intent will be to launch as many of these armaments as rapidly as they are capable upon the major cities and other vital targets. Nasrallah bragged that Hezballah used to be capable of striking barely south of Haifa can now strike targets even beyond Eilat, the southernmost Israeli city. There was one item in his speech which was almost comforting as he stated that they were not intending to begin such a conflict immediately. Still, such is not all that comforting as should Iran order their terrorists to strike and attempt to destroy Israel, they will obey their orders leading to Israel facing a war on at least two fronts, Hezballah from southern Lebanon, Hamas and Islamic Jihad attacking from Gaza and combined forces engaging Israel from southwestern Syria. These forces have already launched rockets and drones into Israel bringing Israeli responses to bring these attacks to a close, but these are nothing compared to what the Iranian allies are capable of using.

 

Then there is the final threat to Israel and the United States. This also brings us to the point where history has taught that the human race has always utilized the weapons which brought the previous war to a close as the opening act in the next major conflagration. This brings us to the question which has been avoided, does Iran have nuclear weapons, if so, how many, what yields and how many missiles and rockets capable of delivering such weapons. With several Iranian military commanders and politicians claiming that Israel is merely a one or two bomb nation strongly implied the use of nuclear weapons. The claim that Iran does not currently possess nuclear weapons we find to be an obvious refusal by the Western World to accept what should be an obvious truth. Iran has been seeking nuclear weapons since at the least the mid 1990’s. This has provided Iran with more than sufficient time to develop nuclear fission weapons and leads to a high probability that they also possess thermo-nuclear weapons and have had the time to miniaturize these weapons such that they will easily sit atop Iranian ballistic missiles. Add to this that Iran has perfected the means of launching ballistic missiles from freighter cargo ships which means they could easily attack the United States using this method. Iran places their lack of belief that Hiroshima and Nagasaki were destroyed by nuclear weapons just as they claim the Holocaust never happened. The rejection of the Holocaust is used to claim that the Jews use this to pressure the world into doing what Israel desires and the atomic bombs ending World War II were used to prevent other nations from attaining these weapons leaving the United States as the most powerful nation. When one adds that Iran has Uranium mines within their borders, a heavy water reactor which can produce plutonium and many advanced centrifuges with which to produce a uranium based weapon all without having to import much of anything before having all required to make any variety of nuclear weapons their scientists are capable of building. Below is a map showing the distance from Iran to Israel and the Iranian nuclear facilities. It appears to be preposterous to believe that Iran has not already acquired a nuclear arsenal which they could launch at Israel, Saudi Arabia, the United States fleets and anyone else they decide to strike setting off the next war.

 

Distance Between Israel and Iran Plus Nuclear Sites and Size Comparison

Distance Between Israel and Iran Plus Nuclear Sites and Size Comparison

 

This leads to questions as to whether Israel should preemptively strike the weapons stores which have been built up by Hezballah and other Iranian proxies or should the United States find a means of destroying any nuclear weapons Iran may be preparing to use. This next war could start whenever Iran decides that such is to their advantage. Human history does not make one comfortable with the threats growing from Iran and her allied terrorist forces. Iran can block almost all oil shipments from the Middle East by blocking the Straits of Hurmuz and isolate Europe from Asia, the Middle East and Pacific Ocean by closing the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait closing off the Red Sea making the Suez Canal completely useless. The cards would initially appear to be stacked in Iranian favor which is likely one of the reasons that they have yet to pull the trigger, so to speak. Eventually, Iran will finish their countdown and the attacks will be launched. We have little idea how much of the countdown is left and where the initial war will be launched. The two things we can rely upon are that the United States and Israel will be amongst the initial targets. The rest we will simply have to wait and see. Such a situation is far from ideal but that has been the problem with the Western World, always reacting to what has been thrust upon it and always playing catch-up as they always allow their enemies to decide and direct the initiating salvos.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

July 18, 2019

Are Iranian Threats for Real?

Filed under: Israel — qwertster @ 1:54 AM
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

 

If the Iranian threats are real, then what should or even can the rest of the world do to prepare? Iran regularly threatens Israel both from Tehran and out of Lebanon using Hezballah and Islamic Jihad and Hamas out of Gaza. Iran also is almost as consistent in threatening the United States from rallies in Tehran. We realize that part of the reason for these rallies where “Death to Israel, death to America” is because it is chanted most often on Friday afternoon after services. The problem is that the Western World measures the Iranian actions according to Western Judeo-Christian ethics expecting that they would be reasonable and negotiations would serve to mitigate any differences. The real problem is that the Western World has given up completely on any single nation conquering the Earth. What the West is missing out on is that the rest of the world has not given up on world conquest. Iran definitely believes that they will conquer the world and force Shia Islam onto the entire population using threats of convert or death. This is an intricate part of the philosophy encased in the Quran where Allah has promised that Islam will rule the entire planet and force the world to convert to Islam. What it does not tell is whether Shia Islam or Sunni Islam will be the version which will conquer the world. But the one thing which matters is that both Sunni and Shia Muslims believe that they are to be the eventual conquerors of Earth.

 

Iran is not the only nation which believes they should conquer the world and place all humankind under their rule. These nations are not democratic nations and instead choose dictatorial leaders who rule absolutely. Hamas’s original charter specified that once they destroyed Israel, they would then take their Islamic revolution to the rest of the world and genocidally murder every Jew everywhere on Earth before forcing all to convert to Islam. The Islamic State at their most powerful also insisted that they were chosen to conquer the world for Islam. The same can be stated about al-Qaeda, Muslim Brotherhood and numerous other Islamic leaders. Then there is the Communist threat which China poses as they intend to spread their form of governance. These are just scratching the surface as who knows where the next threat might arise just as we likely never anticipated ISIS before they exploded on the scene and conquered an area the size of many nations and far larger than Israel. The Western World will be required to wake to the threat which is most ascendant at the current time, and that threat is Iran. Much of the Sunni Islamic world currently appear to be satisfied to currently wait for a future period to rise to take the world. What it would require would be a charismatic leader who could unite the entirety of the Sunni Islam into a single power. Shia Islam has already been set to be unified under Iran as they control Iraqi Shia, Yemenis Shia, Syrian Shia and Lebanese Shia in what many refer to as the Shiite Crescent (see map below). This is the spread of IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) and even Iranian regular army. Iran is also utilizing Hezballah in Syria and Yemen as well as threatening Israel from Lebanon.

 

Shiite Crescent including Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Iran

Shiite Crescent including Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Iran

 

Their control of Yemen, which has not been completed, places Iranian aligned forces surrounding Saudi Arabia. Additionally, Iran is in control of the Strait of Hurmuz and with Yemen they control the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait. This provides them with the ability to threaten the oil shipments from the Middle East and shut the Suez Canal by closing off the mouth of the Red Sea. Iran has taken strategic points to control which could easily lead to an isolated Europe cut off from Asia, the Indian Ocean and the Pacific Islands. If one were planning to conquer the world using Iran as the central force, this would be the exact tactics which could set up such a threat becoming reality. Iran appears to be waiting for Europe to become overrun by Islamic “refugees” who will refuse to assimilate and instead insist that their religion be granted absolute rule. Then, Iran hopes that if they are able to destroy or conquer Israel or Saudi Arabia that this will influence the majority of Muslims to change from Sunni to Shia Islam. Iran has already laid out their plan for the conquest of Saudi Arabia and the removal of the Saudi Royal Family which the Iranian leaders claim are apostates. Their intent would be to attack the northeastern oil fields which has a majority Shia population while attacking from Yemen taking Mecca and Medina, the Two Holy Cities. This would remove the mystic which the Saudi Royal Family use to remain in power, namely their oil money to bribe the Wahabi clerics and they would lose their title as protectors of the holy cities which would, according to Iran, steal from the Saudi Royals their main pillars of support which could lead to serious opposition from the Saudi population.

 

Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

 

The Iranian leadership will not remain patient forever and eventually they will launch attacks either at Saudi Arabia, Israel or the United States and any combination thereof. But there is one item which the Iranian Mullahs ignore at their own peril, or so we can all pray. The average Persian citizen largely go through the motions of following Shia Islam while many also follow the Persian religion of Zoroastrianism, at least according to Amil Imani in a recent article. This provides an opportunity for the Western World to assist the Iranians who attempted to challenge the Mullahs but were basically sold down the river by President Obama as he desired making an agreement through which he could guarantee that Iran becomes a nuclear armed nation but not until he will have left office. This was the Green Revolution of 2009. Should the Iranian people rise up against their theocratic dictatorial governance where the actual leadership decide who are permitted to run for office making sure that the government will always behave properly and fully support everything the Mullahs, and specifically the Supreme Leader and Grand Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. For those who hold out hope that when a new Supreme Leader is chosen when Ali Khamenei passes will be more moderate, allow us to point out that every politician the West believed were moderates would fall in line behind the Supreme Leaders and enforce his every whim. Ali Khamenei is simply following the exact political plans which originated with the former Supreme Leader Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini who initiated the Iranian revolution of 1979 with the blessings of President Jimmy Carter who claimed that as a cleric, Ruhollah Khomeini would be a man of peace and was the first American politician to claim that Islam was the religion of peace.

 

Perhaps some of the State Department leadership need to read the Quran, realize that the Medina Quran has overruled the peaceful beliefs of the Meccan Quran. Islam divides the world into two worlds, Dar al Islam, where Islam had established rule and is thus to be considered a world at peace, and Dar al-Harb, the world of war which has yet to be conquered by Islam. That is the reality which the world is simply standing around twiddling their thumbs waiting for Iran to obtain a sizable nuclear armaments with missiles capable of delivering them anywhere on the planet, and even then, the West will wait for Iran to pick and choose when and where they wish to initiate their world conquest. What is really sad is that should Iran decide to begin with Israel, the world will stand by with their hands in their pockets claiming what a great loss it was to lose Israel. This will be the statements coming from Europe and probably the United States after President Trump before Iran even actually attacks as Iran will study the reactions of the rest of the Western leadership as they increasingly threaten to destroy Israel. Israel will very likely be the Czechoslovakia of the coming World War. Fortunately, we in Israel are aware, at least those of us who are pragmatic enough to realize that the world is not exactly going to come running to aid Israel, and Iran is simply waiting for the United States to join Europe in being critical of Israel willing to blame Israel for their being threatened and attacked by Iran. This war is coming, potentially in stages which very readily start with attacks upon Israel. After Israel, expect Jordan to be the next and then Saudi Arabia and as long as the United States remains hands off, Iran will expand and expand taking one nation after another, slowly so as to allow the world to return to a state of calm before advancing to the next victim. For those who claim this is nonsense, Iran has already absorbed Iraq, Yemen, Syria and long-ago Lebanon without even much of a peep from the world, specifically the United Nations who regularly blames Israel for the aggressions from Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Hezballah, all in the name and at the direction of Iran. Does anybody really believe things will get any better?

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

July 11, 2019

Iran Does Not Want War with America; Really?

 

Well, actually, Iran does not want war with America…….now. Iran does desire an excuse to have a war which includes the fleets off of their shores, but they have a deeper desire which allows for this as simply a necessity. Their current desire is to fight America in their region while using such a conflict in order to instigate a war with Israel. Iran intends to replace the United States and any other contenders for the hegemonic power in the world. Iranian leadership actually sees one main obstacle to their initial steps in their hope to eventually be a world power and leader of the allied world. Please do not believe that only the United States and other powers are able to forge coalitions, Iran also seeks to form a coalition which will grant them hegemony over the Middle East and control of the oil within. Iran also seeks to gain control over the Islamic holy cities, Mecca and Medina, currently under Saudi control. Iran desires to take the Saudi, Kuwaiti and Gulf States oil fields as well as taking the region where Saudi Arabia borders on the Red Sea giving them control over Mecca and Medina. Their reasoning behind this place is plainly obvious, they would have control of approximately one-third of the world’s oil supplies, take over being the protector of the holy cities of Mecca and Medina and remove the claim to power held by the Saudi Royal Family, who claim to be the protectors of the holy cities, Mecca and Medina. But the true Iranian desire is to completely destroy Israel and being able to claim they restored the rule of Allah in Jerusalem (al Quds). This is one of the two main reasons for the Iranian involvement in Syria backing Bashar al-Assad. The other reason is to gain and retain control over Damascus, the third actual city in the Islamic hierarchy of metropolitan areas which have holiness. For the Iranians and all other Shiite Muslims, the city of Qom is also amongst the holiest places on Earth. Qom is the location where the Twelfth Imam is supposed to return after, shall we say, a rather lengthy absence from the scene. This Imam disappeared and went into hiding towards the end of the initial violence between Sunni Islam and the new offshoot, Shia Islam. The rumor being that he hid deep in a well and is to return and lead Shiite Islam to their rightful world domination. This well is in Qom, Iran.

 

Most of the Western Media and almost all of the heavily anti-Israel world media are touting Iran as the coming savior which will finally eradicate that Zionist monstrosity at the east end of the Mediterranean Sea, Israel. All one need do is listen to almost any of the regularly held Friday afternoon hate-fests, an even very reminiscent of the 1984 Two Minutes of Hate, just more drawn out. These demonstrations are often accompanied with the burning of Israeli and American flags as well as the burnings of Bibi Netanyahu and Donald Trump in effigy. These are often accompanied by chants of, “Death to Israel,” and, “Death to America.” These demonstrations are often attended by numerous high-ranking Iranian politicians, including those the West labels as moderate, and even the Supreme Leader who has been known to lead these chants of hate and spite towards the developed world. Iranian leaders often make allusions to their former glory years as Persia while continuing to persecute those people who continue to follow the ancient religious practices of the Zoroastrianism. Their relating their greatness to ancient Persia while continuing to imprint the Islamic conqueror’s Islamic faith is very much part of their having fully adopted this conquering faith of Islam. Iran not only has accepted Islam as the replacement for the ancient Persian faiths but have adopted the less followed Islamic cult of Shia Islam.

 

The first idea for supremacism under Shia Islam is the conquest of the Islamic world. The Iranian Mullahs view the destruction of Israel and the eradication of the Jewish faith as their ticket to Islamic prevalence. They believe that if they can become the party of Islam which destroys Israel that the remaining Muslims in the world will suddenly awaken to the supremacy of Shia Islam. It is their belief that they are the one, and definitely not Saudi Arabia, whose leaders they label as apostates, or Egypt which they see as far too nationalistic. Whenever others claim that Iran is also following a supremacist conquest of the Middle East, the fig leaf applied to their nurturing conquest being that of the purification of Islam. Iran sees itself as the Martin Luther of Islam and leading the revolution against the tired and former glories of Sunni Islamic conquest and replacing them with the more energetic and purist Shiite Islam and then from replacing Saudi Arabia and Egypt they see an easy path claiming their supremacy throughout the Middle East and Northern Africa. Their intent then with the destruction of Israel is on a par with their desires to replace Egypt and Saudi Arabia as the nation at the fore of Islam, Islamic thought, Islamic belief and Islamic teachings. Because they are the ones who have been chosen to lead Islam and the future world, their initial test is to destroy Israel, take the Saudi Oil Fields, replacing the Saudi Royal family as the guardians of the two sacred cities and taking over Egypt and converting these Muslims to Shiite Islam from which the rest of the Islamic world will no doubt see the light. With such conquests under their belts, they believe the entirety of the remaining Islamic followers will fall behind their leadership and place them as the true Islamic leaders leaving behind the centuries under Sunni Islam and joining its main rival. This would then be followed by a rewriting of the various Islamic historical thought with supremacist Sunni ideology.

 

Currently, the leaders of Iran view Israel as one of the protectors of Sunni Islam as they view Israel as allied with and protecting Saudi Arabia and the plethora of other peoples and forces that the Iranians are currently engaged. The Mullahs often blame Israel for their setbacks in replacing Sunni Islam with Shia Islam. The disagreement and war between Sunni and Shia Islam are almost as old as the Islamic faith. Their split, as many such dichotomies are, is over who was the rightful heir to Muhammad with each side choosing a different individual and their family lineage on to the current separate leaderships across the Muslim world. Iran also intends to not only impose their version of a perfect form of Islam traceable all the way back to Muhammad, but to replace all religious belief in the world with Shiite Islam providing those they conquer the choice of Islam or a very hurried trip to the world beyond life. These efforts by Iran currently spread across Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States, Syria, Lebanon and beyond, reaching far beyond the constraints of the Islamic world. Iran has implemented a structure of military control whereby they can use their IRGC military assets to foment terror across the globe and spreading their influence across Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and beyond to the Tri-Border Region in South America with the hopes and visions to spread Shiite Islam further. It is the Iranian intent to use this region as their jumping-off point from which to conquer the Americas striking at the United States through its southern borders. Iran and their Hezballah proxy have already been caught attempting to slip terror forces into the United States across her southern borders.

 

Tri-Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

Tri-Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994 bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

 

One of the major fronts developing in the Middle East involves Iran and the United States. Thus far, Iran has been the one initiating a conflict almost as if they relish a chance to prove their superiority over the United States who they largely blame along with the British for the existence of Israel. They blame the British for allowing Israel in the first place and the United States presumably for allying with Israel from her inception. Beyond recognition of the Jewish States, American aid and support did not start until the 1970’s. But what is one more lie amongst the myriad of lies piled up by the forces of the world against the Jewish State. Review the logs of the United Nations and her various agencies and one will find Israel as the primary target by the remainder of the world and the Iranian fervor and fire used when referring to the country of Israel. Iran is the primary supporter for Hamas, Hezballah, Bashir al-Assad, Islamic Jihad and numerous other forces which are allied together for the destruction of Israel. Iran does not desire there be a resolution and instead desires to replace continued warfare across the Middle East as conflict and confusion are two of the best weapons used by Iran and her forces with confusion as their favorite weapon behind which there is always their blanket of misinformation placing all blame upon their enemies and espousing their victim status as the offended party only there to defend their good and peaceful name and version of Islam, Shia Islam. Iran couches their claims within the various quotes from within the Quran which denounces the Jews and their Sunni enemies while claiming that Iran is forming the new Caliphate, once Iran manages to convert the bulk of Islam to their way of thinking.

 

Iran believes they can win any conflict with the United States in the Middle East theaters of operation. They also believe that Israel is unable to stand on her own were the United States forced to flee the region after realizing the foremost capacities of the Iranian forces and their masterful superiority. Funny how delusions of greatness almost inevitably lead to one’s downfall. Such is particularly valid when selling the United States short just as has been proven by scoffing at the abilities of Israel. Iran has intentionally placed themselves on the wrong side of both of these fronts and has of late been attempting to force a confrontation in the region’s waters with the American fleets. Their method has been to disable ships passing through the Straits of Hormuz while not sinking them, yet. Despite their intent to simply give the United States a bloody nose and sending them whimpering from the Middle East, their bluster and methods are more likely to lead to a direct and immediate confrontation with America. The main reason such has yet to begin is a credit to the patience of America and not to any careful planning by Iran.

 

Contrary to Iranian claims and the anti-Trump politics in America that it is the United States seeking a confrontation, it has been the patience and desire to avoid all-out war by President Trump which have thus far avoided such a conflict. When Iran pressed a confrontation shooting down an American drone presumably, and likely, in international airspace, it was President Trump who made the final decision to recall the American strike. Rumors have circulated of a difference of opinion over responding militarily and with strength put forward by John Bolton and Trump’s hopes to force negotiations without forcing direct confrontation being at the forefront of United States Iranian policies. President Trump seeks to use sanctions and other pressures to force Iran to the negotiation table that is becoming the primary American policy which we fear Iran will interpret as weakness and inevitably leading to the conflict Trump desires to avoid. Iran will likely eventually attack either shipping through the Straits of Hormuz or upon the American fleets, specifically an aircraft carrier, the stated preferred target by Iran, which could very easily light off the violence which has a great potential for breaking out. This is the unfortunate but likely end result of this face-off over the Iranian nuclear program. Iran is currently backing out of all their presumed obligation in the Iran Nuclear Deal which Europe and Iran remain signatories through the United Nations which is threatening to provoke conflict. Iran recently announced their intent to return to uranium enrichment to twenty-percent which is the greatest threat. Such enrichment in quantity can only be for a singular purpose, the manufacture of nuclear weapons. As Iran most certainly already posses the technology to produce such weapons and that they probably already possess a number of nuclear weapons which should worry the world and not the fact that President Trump pulled out of an agreement which would have most certainly led to a nuclear armed Iran with as many weapons as they are able to produce. Further, the Iranian leaders, both political and military, though there is little difference between the two, in which they claimed that they would sacrifice their entire nation if they are able to take Israel and the United States down with themselves. This is the same frightening position taken by Japan in the Pacific theater which led to the devastating battles during World War II. Iran has even invited the onset of World War III if that is what is required to end their perceived American and Israeli hegemony in the world.

 

It is the supremacist view of the Iranian Mullahs which will force any confrontation and eventually President Trump will run out of patience which will force a response to some future Iranian provocation. When such eventuality forces the confrontation, we will witness the Iranians complaining that it was the United States which forced this confrontation because they refused to comply with Iranian demands. This has been the Mullahs playbook from the onset of this situation and in other cases of the past such as their violent putting down of the Green Revolution in 2009. They blame their adversaries for starting the violence when mostly they were unarmed, as in the Green Revolution which was largely peaceful protests which were set upon by IRGC forces and Basenji militias. The same will come whenever the Iranians push the envelope too far and the United States responds. The claim will be that Iran was simply safeguarding their own waters and the United States violations of Iranian waters or airspace and not the Iranian assaults which will have set off the conflict. One needs to keep in mind that Iran claims that all of the Straits of Hormuz as their waterway which set off the last burst of conflict between the United States and Iran. This time promises to be of little difference. IRGC naval commanders have already claimed that the United States has parked their carrier fleets in Iranian waters. Such would be preposterous if it were not so serious. The American fleets are nowhere near the Iranian shores but Iran is claiming that the United States has no right to have fleets anywhere in the Persian Gulf or Arabian Sea as these are all part of Iranian sovereignty. Iran will continue to press and prick at the United States until a conflict is the only means of ending the stalemate. This will be the point that Iran will order their forces around Israel to begin what they claim will be the destruction of Israel within hours. This will entail rockets and other military assaults from Hezballah in Lebanon, the IRGC in Syria and Hamas with Islamic Jihad from Gaza very probably aided with ballistic missiles fired from Iran and potentially Iraq upon Israel most likely targeting Tel Aviv primarily. When Israel responds, Iran will blame Israel for starting any further conflict as the proper response in their minds would be for Israel to surrender to the presumed superior Islamic forces and come begging and whimpering for their Islamic betters to be kind and allow them to just enjoy their protections. Iran has already made numerous jabs at Israel using rockets, drones and tunneling under the border to which Israel has responded with care not to force the situation beyond each insult. When Israel responds to these aggressions, the Iranian leaders immediately claim that Israel is pushing for a war with Iran despite the fact that Israel has not fired a single weapon into Iranian lands. It is Iran that has placed forces in Syria, armed and trained Hezballah in Lebanon and is currently doing all they can to further arm Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza. Israel has remained within her borders even when striking back at the Iranian missile launchers and artillery in Syria firing their missiles from aircraft still in Israeli airspace. But Iran will not be satisfied until they have provoked a war with Israel and presumably the United States. Our hope is that the Iranian people can be saved from these militaristic, supremacist belligerents. This might also prove to be the best step for saving the world from a future heavily armed nuclear Iran choosing the when and where they begin their intentioned war for the proper conquest of the world by Shia Islam of which they are its ruling elites and proper world rulers if the rest of us only knew what was best for us.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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