Beyond the Cusp

October 16, 2017

Israel Palestinian Conundrum Culmination

 

For initial articles, click for first here and click for second here.

 

Where two days ago we gave some potential options and yesterday, we gave a possible scenario; the scenario was less than wonderful for much of the free world and horrific for Israel. The fortunate thing is that none of these things are likely to occur. There is a small fly in the ointment and it is about the size of the average rhinoceros. We mentioned the problem and some of you probably caught the problem, Hamas gets to retain their twenty-five-thousand man Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades military. This will be the central question to be resolved at the Cairo meeting on Tuesday, November 21, where the reconciliation will be finalized. The main stumbling block will be Hamas’ insistence on retaining their rather large police/security forces, well over ten-thousand strong plus their military wing, all twenty-five thousand well-armed men with a number of officers trained in Iran. The initial agreement allowed Fatah and the Palestinian Authority (PA) to station a security force numbering about ten-thousand officers strong. If you do the math, it turns into thirty-five thousand Hamas force fully armed against the PA lightly armed ten-thousand police force largely toting with side arms. It’s not really a fair fight, which is why we are glad that we are not part of their security force. Hamas has little intention of allowing the PA to actually take control over Gaza and is simply making the initial steps towards unification which will come to a crashing halt at their next meeting. This has happened before with the initial agreement being reached in order to throw a large wrench into the machinery while everything falls apart subsequently after whatever peace proposals forming are burned to ashes from whence they came. The PA and Hamas are great believers in ashes to ashes when it comes to peace initiatives. As we explained over the last two days, there are quite a few peace proposals being initiated or given some trial run and the PA was getting quite nervous that things just might turn against them and they would be trapped by Trump or Mudar Zahran or whoever so they turned to their supposed rivals for a little cooperation for a period of time sufficient to destroy all peace proposals.

 

What it comes down to is that Mahmoud Abbas, the leadership of Hamas, of Fatah, of the PLO and of the PA have millions of reasons why they do not desire peace at any price. Each of those reasons has a Dollar or a Euro attached to them and amount to millions per year except for Mahmoud Abbas and family where it comes to millions per month. They cannot accept any form of peace treaty where Israel remains as a Jewish State. It could remain as an Islamic run state under sharia law where the Jews are subject to the Jizya and the Jews, Christians and anyone not within the PA, PLO or Fatah are dhimmi subjected to the shame and degradations which goes along with dhimmitude. The problem for Mahmoud Abbas is he promised to destroy the Zionist Entity otherwise known as Israel or the Jewish State. He promised to accomplish this by swamping Israel with millions of displaced Arabs, something he actually did not have until recently with the destruction and dissolving of Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and the Arab world in general after the Arab Spring initiated by President Obama with the able support of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Hamas has an even larger promise they intend to keep. They also want to destroy Israel as the Jewish state but want to also eradicate the Jewish population. Just to make things clear, Hamas wants to eradicate the entirety of the Jewish population everywhere. The rest of the terror groups are either attached to the PA, PLO plus Hamas or they are permitted to operate within the areas under their control. Islamic Jihad is one such group who operates within Gaza and is aided by Iran and work cooperating with Hamas. Sometimes Hamas uses the presence of Islamic Jihad as an excuse for terror strikes when they need to explain attacks against treaties. There are a number of other minor groups operating in Gaza plus rumors that al-Qaeda, Islamic Jihad and Muslim Brotherhood have been known to operate command and control people out of Gaza controlling their Sinai Peninsula forces. All of these groups depend on there being no peace with Israel to continue their operations.

 

The reconciliation, as we keep stating, was used as it always has, to destroy any possibility for any peace talks or other potential for ending the Palestinian cause which has been used as a center for terror operations worldwide. Hezballah in Lebanon has been used as a conduit by Iran to funnel weapons into Gaza for Islamic Jihad and at times for Hamas as well. Hezballah is not just a terror group working for Iran in Lebanon as well as Syria but also worldwide with a large base in the tri-border area in South America where Argentina, Paraguay and Brazil borders meet. Hezballah uses the area for training and attack simulations for operations anywhere in the world. They work with the Iranian IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) which includes a special group, the al-Quds force, which specializes in attacks to attack Israel in general and Jerusalem in particular (al-Quds is the Muslim Arab name for Jerusalem). The faithful execution of any missions such cells may be utilized to commit is often assured through holding family members within Lebanon as persuasion over their actions and trusted loyalty. We know Iran has extensive abilities to strike anywhere within the Americas as we witnessed in two separate bombings in Argentina; the first was the bombing of the Israeli Embassy on March 17, 1992, with the second being the bombing of the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) on July 18, 1994, both in Buenos Aires. The IRGC likely cooperating with Hezballah have also attacked American interests such as murdering United States Marines in their barracks in Lebanon as well as assaulting the United States Embassies in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and Nairobi, Kenya. All of these attacks were either simulated in Lebanon, Iran or the tri-border area before being triggered on their actual targets. Iran also supplies Islamic Jihad and often Hamas and has attempted to make inroads into Fatah and the PLO as they try to encircle Israel. This is information which should be sufficient evidence that the terrorism which starts with Israel will not remain contained in Israel. This lesson has been pressed on Europe as their Islamist infiltration has brought with it terrorism similar in nature as Israel faces. The United States has also been targeted by terrorism including the horrific attacks of 9/11 and numerous others since and before.

 

Tri_Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

Tri_Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994 bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

 

The real problem is that there can be no solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict which allows for the continued existence of Israel as the Jewish state. Where many within the European power structure appear to be fine with solutions which would erase the Jewish nature of Israel if it would bring their Islamist problem to a close, it would actually change nothing. Additionally, Israel as the Jewish state is not going anywhere and is back to stay. Further, the United States is linked with Israel though there are signs that this bond may be weakening. The Democrat Party has decided that Israel is expendable while the Republican Party has become the pro-Israel party. This might appear strange as most Jews support the Democrat Party with blind passion. The reality comes down to the fact that the Evangelical Christians support Israel and are an important group for the Republican Party. Completely opposite of what many claim, often vindictively, the United States supports Israel because the Jews control the government when the reality is the largest group in the United States supporting Israel are the Christians. This is not hard to see, as Jews are, at most, a mere two and a half percent of the total population. Israel is once again a political football which will be fumbled by many amongst the Democrat Party only to now be picked up by the Republican Party, a change from the earlier periods of Israel. The United States may find itself more alone in supporting Israel and this could lead to more challenges ahead. There are some who predict that the United States may soon find Israel too much a burden to continue their support and this leads these people to claim that once Israel no longer has American protection they will face an isolation which could spell the end of Israel. They claim that Israel is completely dependent upon American military aid.

 

The reality is that Israel can survive without the military aid providing Israel takes the steps necessary to become self-sufficient militarily. This would require Israel to begin making their own weaponry including the ammunition. Israel currently uses the .223 ammunition which is consistent with NATO despite Israel not belonging to NATO. The advantage is Israel manufactures this ammunition, as do numerous nations. Israel makes very fine rifles and their Merkava tank is first rate. They are capable in almost every area with two main weaknesses, ships and aircraft. The Israeli Navy is dependent upon Germany for her submarines which are all Dolphin class and depends on European shipyards for their Corvette class ships. Israel might be capable of constructing her own ships and even submarines if pressed as she does much of the outfitting of her ships and adapting the submarines to fit her requirements. The challenge Israel would face would be manufacture of her own aircraft, something Israel should start to consider seriously. Israel is receiving the United States fifth generation fighter F-35 JSF. This is a decent stealth airframe but they are also very expensive. Fortunately, the United States gave Israel financial assistance, something which will become more difficult as the United States debt situation grows, for reasons which historians will be dumbfounded to explain, makes supporting anybody impossible. Israel has sufficient GDP to afford the costs of developing her own aircraft and the additional jobs would be a boost to her economic health providing well paying jobs. Further, Israel could enter into the arms market and if past developments of technology, then any aircraft she produced would very likely be of a quality worthy of competing with that of any other nation and in demand on the world market. The avionics for the export model along with weapons targeting and other systems would be different than those she produced for her own use which is the same as every other nation. Most nations prefer placing their own systems of avionics and weapons rather than depend on other nations systems for such sensitive equipment.

 

Israel also has to take charge of the entire peace process. This can only be accomplished once Israel is completely self-sufficient militarily and in most other industries as well as food production leaving very little to outside providers. Israel is one of the few, if not the only, nation which could conceivably face a complete embargo from the industrialized world or even the entire world. This would mean that Israel would, and needs to face this soon if not immediately, needs to rely totally on her own production of weapons, food, automobiles and all other products which Israelis could need or simply desire. Finally, many of these items from cell phones to cherry tomatoes to software were invented or developed in Israel. The gaps which Israel faces also includes their not having a domestic vehicle, car or trucks of all sizes, production but for a nation with the capabilities Israel has shown, they will most likely produce a vehicle which runs on air and water. Any nation capable of such inventiveness will pull through despite what challenges the world throws at her. And the peace will only work when the reputed but disputed words of Golda Meir, “Peace will come when the Arabs will love their children more than they hate us.”

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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