Beyond the Cusp

August 25, 2015

Iran Working to Purchase New Front on Israel

 

Iran will be using some amount of their coming new found wealth which with its sales of oil and weapons will be a renewable funding starting with the billions it will receive right up front after the deal passes the Congress either outright or through inability to override Presidential veto. There have been credible reports that Hezballah has been once again actively seeking to convert members of the al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades into cells which Iran can control to perform shooting attacks and eventually planting IEDs (Improvised Explosive Devices) which Iran will provide either through teaching these cells the methods for building their own or by providing the knowledge along with the necessary parts and leave the rest to the best trained to do the logistical planning. This recruitment drive, for lack of a better term, is being led by an operative of Hezballah known to Israeli intelligence named Qais Obeid, an Israeli-Arab and grandson of former Knesset member Diyab Obeid. These recruitment efforts by Hezballah has been an ongoing threat which of late has been more vigorous thus making it a potential new and more active terrorist front which will require additional intelligence gathering and interventions. In the past these efforts may have had some begrudging assistance from Fatah and Palestinian Authority as allowing Hezballah to become overly influential in Judea and Samaria would erode Palestinian Authority and Mahmoud Abbas’s authority. Meanwhile, this is an inroad which Iran has already set in motion to increase their threat potential against Israel and in their mind another way to place additional pressures against Israel and thus make any attack on their nuclear facilities less likely. Increasing the near threat thus making the more distant threat appear less of a pressing issue may be behind these Iranian efforts.

 

Mahmoud Abbas may be another problem that requires steps to be addressed. Abbas is preparing to make a visit to Tehran, Iran. This visit will definitely have a discussion of recruiting Fatah and potentially buying the entirety of the Palestinian Authority outright. This may be part of the reason that Abbas has distanced and may further distance himself from the being the head of certain elements within the Palestinian Authority structures, as convoluted as that structure may appear. This may be in preparation to allow Iran to have its influence over certain political and terrorist entities while allowing for the majority of the Palestinian Authority, including the authority itself, to come outside obvious Iranian control and thus remain easily supportable by their European and other Western backing and funding while turning over critical terror networks to Iranian influence or even outright control. Iran is almost desperate to open a reliable front against Israel other than Hezballah which already had too much on its plate with Syria, Iraq and even reports of some Hezballah assisting the Houthis in Yemen and now a new front with Islamic State appearing to organize and gain influence of Sunnis in Lebanon who have reached the point of desperation and a represent low hanging fruit just waiting for some supporting influence to provide them with the leadership assistance and weaponization to present a new threat to Hezballah and gain their own front against Israel.

 

This partially represents the new threats approaching from the distant horizons to place themselves right on Israel’s front porch, so to speak. On one side there are the traditional Sunni influences such as Saudi Arabia and the ‘nice’ Palestinians which wear ties and speak peace in English while unsheathing daggers and potentially IEDs when dressed in more traditional garb with their keffiyeh shaped in the form of Israel, a tradition popularized by the late Yasser Arafat which he claimed showed his intention to replace Israel, not share any of the lands as he refused to recognize any Jewish presence as long as he was able to defy the Israeli presence as the State of the Jews. There is likely to be additional pressures felt from both Gaza and Judea and Samaria as the bidding wars increase. We have outlined the potential threats coming from Iran in Judea and Samaria and the on again and currently off again relationship between Iran and Hamas can become active at any time and present an active terror front against Israel. There are likely other influences in Gaza with potential for Iranian meddling such as Islamic Jihad or simply any terror cells who desire greater prominence which a fresh influx of money and arms, especially rocket parts, with which to attack Israel would present an additional threat. Where some would point to such a threat being of minimal importance to which the reply that comes to mind is to inquire at what number of rockets striking Israeli cities and potentially only prevented through interception at the minimal price of near twenty-thousand-dollars per interceptor fired. With rockets being priced to manufacture between fifty dollars to as much as at the most a thousand dollars, how many of the midrange priced rockets at say two-hundred-dollars or less does an Iranian backed group need to fire before they become more than a menace, and this does not count those that strike and murder Israeli families, at what point are rockets over the border sufficient to trigger a greater response? How many rockets fired at your neighborhood would be considered a minor menace, an inconvenience, something that you would be capable of simply living with the minor inconvenience of hearing a siren in the middle of the night or while your children are walking to or from school, a favorite time for rocket launches into Israel by Hamas and Islamic Jihad, how many would you accept. Well, that should be the same answer for Israeli communities as Jewish and Israeli lives matter! All lives matter providing they are also living by that credo.

 

Live and let live is a nice theory to live by despite the murderous intentions of your neighbors, but after three-thousand-years of neighbors intent on murdering every single Israeli and Jew which included conquest at any price, we have seen it throughout time and will not go quietly, that can be a promise we will keep. We have had our survival instincts molded and hardened by the Egyptian Pharaohs, the Hittites, the Babylonians, the Assyrians, the Persians, the Greeks, the Romans, the Byzantines, the Islamic invasions, the Crusaders, the near constant wars where the Jews were a primary target by both sides between of Islam against the Crusaders. These were followed by the various European and Islamic states throughout the Dark and Middle Ages, expulsions from Russian pogrom, Spanish Inquisition, Purification of France, the Religious Purges by both Catholic and Protestant Monarchs, the Protestant Reformation in the German City-States, Pogroms throughout all of Europe; the Jizyah of the Arab, Muslim and Ottoman City-States and Empires. Then was a defining slaughter known as the Shoah by the Nazis, and then pogroms and disenfranchising by the various Muslims States after the formation of Israel. Coming into the present we are targeted by Iran, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, the PLO, Fatah, and the too numerous to name other assaults with the intent on conquest, wholesale conversions, eradication of Judaism and other threats be they from ancient history or about to spring at our throats tomorrow. Enough is enough and Never Again will Jews take such threats without a fight as we have no weapon against the most insidious of all threats, assimilation and the loss of Jewish identity which accompanies such. I realize that was a long sentence but we Jews have a very long history and very little of the time were we left in peace. The present is not proving to be much of an improvement. Name me one nation which has been historically and is presently under direct threat of being eradicated once again. Another exile may very well turn Judaism into a small cultish religion practiced by small pockets of religious Jews who will all still remain under threats for their annihilation through many different means and only surviving by the will of Hashem. We will not go into that dark night without a fight, a great effort to do whatever it takes to remain in the light of assurance through strength of our own lands, of Israel.

 

The power struggle in our, what almost needs to be defined as internal threats, is that of those Arabs which desire the destruction of Israel. They exist in the obvious camps in Gaza including Hamas and Islamic Jihad as well as smaller groups sworn allegiance to al-Qaeda, Islamic State, al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades and assuredly more; in Judea and Samaria including PLO, Fatah, al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, al-Qaeda, Islamic State, Hezballah and other smaller groups some only comprised of a single or couple of cells; the threats from across the border from the numerous forces in Syria from Bashir al-Assad to al-Qaeda groups, Islamic State (they have become a larger than normal terrorist run state centrally located to keep their fingers in a large number of pies), Muslim Brotherhood, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC and an actual number of troops which are an elite corps from within the Iranian religious and fanatical organized army which is as large and well-funded as their regular army), Hezballah in Lebanon and Syria, Islamic State and Muslim Brotherhood within the Sinai Peninsula, and cells which hold Israeli identification cards and many of which who vote and run candidates for seats in the Israeli Parliament, the Knesset. Needless to say, Israel is kept busy and that is before the overt external threats being fomented on our borders with their monies or fanaticisms such as Islamic State (in addition to the terror threat they pose), and Iran with their now fully blessed and open for business arms programs and their under the radar parallel nuclear research and arms production sites which very likely include nuclear warhead development and production along with the rockets to place them upon. We can assume that after Mahmoud Abbas completes his precedent setting Tehran visit which will very likely include the agreement, signed or simply a non-gentleman’s agreement made with a deferential bow and handshake to give over to Iran control over part or an entire substructure of the al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades or other groups controlled by Abbas himself or by other terror masters within the political tangled web conceived in deceit with its main purpose being deception and allowing for setting up a high degree of believable deniable plausibility for any and every person in a leadership position. The entire apparatus which makes up the Palestinian Authority even currently includes Hamas and Islamic Jihad while working against them in the favor of PLO, al-Aqsa Martyrs and other cells utilized for attacks which must never be traced back to any political entity thus these groups’ names are kept secret until it is required to permit the leadership of the various disparate terror entities and political entities, forever are they attached through finances, all a jumbled mass of confusion. With Abbas having resigned as the head of the PLO planning board or some such title from amongst his numerous leadership positions granting it for the interim to Saab Erekat, actually Saab Erekat has replaced Mahmoud Abbas as Chair of the Secretary-General of PLO placing him in direct line to assume leadership of the entirety of the Palestinian Authority once Mahmoud Abbas steps down and retires from the scene.

 

Months after stepping down from all, or nearly all, of the leadership positions currently held by Abbas, he will then return becoming something even Yasser Arafat never achieved, becoming the Elder Statesman for the Palestinian Authority and in such position he will make himself available to speak to any ruling body the world over including even more frequent trips to the White House and potentially demanding and receiving the coveted position of addressing a joint session of the United States Congress within a week of two of any address so given by any Israeli official, especially any Prime Minister and particularly the current Prime Minister, Benyamin Netanyahu. We would be expecting to see Mahmoud Abbas giving bi-monthly addresses to the General Assembly of the United Nations, the United Nations Human Rights Council (HRC), and any other international organization especially those tasked with determining War Crimes and Crimes Against Humanity all as part of a carefully planned and scripted series of addresses culminating each year with his address at the opening ceremonies of the United Nations General Assembly where he will open the idea for a new provision to be enacted by that body denouncing Israeli existence and fortifying the Palestinian position of claiming all the lands and having domain over all of the land as the Arab struggle has been and always will be the eradication of Israel and a wiping of the Jews from the Middle East and then the rest of the world. This has been the root of the vicious and vengeful hatreds which only allow for the complete destruction of Israel and the figuratively making Jerusalem the Capital City of the coming Caliphate instead of the Capital and Holiest of Cities to the Jewish People.

 

Within Israel there has been a political development which warrants some discussions. The recent dust-up caused by the release of a taped interview with Ehud Barak which cast aspersions on a number of political rivals which might likely stand between him and another run at being Prime Minister and the only person to defeat Bibi Netanyahu twice for Prime Minister. While Ehud Barak mostly stated that the reasons behind Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites were not carried out in the entirety of his time as Minister of Defense were attributable largely to Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi, the then-chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), who claimed the Israeli military he commanded had not trained sufficiently nor was it in any condition to face all of the potential consequences which might befall Israel after such an attack, and also placed a degree of blame on current Defense Minister and then Strategic Affairs Minister Moshe Ya’alon as well as current Minister of National Infrastructure, Energy and Water Resources and then member of the Inner Cabinet of Eight Yuval Steinitz as well as members of the Inner Cabinet Dan Meridor and Bennie Begin making it impossible to gain a five vote majority necessary to take it to the next level. Ehud Barak talked about Netanyahu’s weakness mostly due to not being capable of pressing through his plans for an attack on the known Iranian facilities and potentially other targets related to governance or military command and control.

 

 

Ehud Barak Speaks Out about Israeli failure to execute Iran strike against nuclear sites due to everybody except yours truly, Ehud Barak

Ehud Barak Speaks Out about Israeli failure to execute Iran strike against nuclear sites due to everybody except yours truly, Ehud Barak

 

 

Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi claimed the IDF not trained sufficiently, Defense Minister and then Strategic Affairs Minister Moshe Ya’alon, and Inner Cabinet of Eight Yuval Steinitz were all named by Ehud Barak as running negative interference preventing attacks on Iranian Nuclear Sites across a three year span from 2010 to 2013.

Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi claimed the IDF not trained sufficiently, Defense Minister and then Strategic Affairs Minister Moshe Ya’alon, and Inner Cabinet of Eight Yuval Steinitz were all named by Ehud Barak as running negative interference preventing attacks on Iranian Nuclear Sites across a three year span from 2010 to 2013.

 

 

These events, including secondary releases from the taped interview being released, have raised suspicions that Ehud Barak believes and has started acting on another run for the golden ring, the Office of Prime Minister. First item on that path is to retake the leadership of the Labor Party, something he is expected to be opposed by Isaac Herzog, Shelly Yachimovich and potentially former Commander of the IDF and retired Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi who is the most feared challenge facing a Ehud Barak triumphant return to politics. Should Ehud Barak actually try to make a comeback we can bet that he will use the inaction against Iran and his hawkish views and decisiveness which he will claim was a certainty in his mind despite what those around him felt. There will be little mention on Judea and Samaria plans which, if memory serves me correctly, Barak is in agreement with Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni that Israel would be best served by the formation of an Arab state in virtually all of the lands of Judea and Samaria as well as Eastern Jerusalem claiming that such would end the terrorist threats from that area allowing Israel to concentrate all of her resources both military and political to prevent Iran from ever developing and producing nuclear weapons. Ehud Barak’s hopes that surrendering the ancient lands which hold most of the Israeli holiest locations starting with the Temple Mount and the Old City of Jerusalem, Hevron, the Cave of Machpelah, the Tomb of Joseph, the Tomb of Rachel, near countless Synagogues, Shechem, the City of David and many others as this is just to name a few. Further, relenting control and giving such to the Arab dominion will lead to the desecration of everything Jewish which means that Israelis will be required to sneak into these places under the cover of darkness and repair and restore the tombs and other places. With some being almost totally destroyed or restructured such as placing minarets at the four corners of a Synagogue and repurposing it as a Mosque, permanently destroying any Jewish character that building may have held making it Jewish, these building could only be reclaimed by taking a meaningful act of terror traceable to within Judea and Samaria and just annex them once they have been liberated from Islamic occupation.

 

 

Isaac Herzog, Shelly Yachimovich and former Commander of the IDF retired Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi are the expected Labor Candidates Barak would need to defeat if he is to run against Netanyahu in any upcoming elections.

Isaac Herzog, Shelly Yachimovich and former Commander of the IDF retired Lt. Gen. Gabi Ashkenazi are the expected Labor Candidates Barak would need to defeat if he is to run against Netanyahu in any upcoming elections.

 

 

Such is not a new action taken by Muslims as they performed such an abomination on the Hagia Sophia Cathedral and it was transformed into the Hagia Sophia Mosque. That would be the fate of many of the Christian and Jewish holy sites and giving them the land will not bring a moment of peace but would embolden them to press even harder as terrorism got them the lands thus far, maybe the rest is almost in sight. That would be their interpretation of Israel gifting them all of Judea and Samaria that they claim as their lands as they do to the rest of Israel. Such a move would also embolden Iran as they would also view such a surrender of lands rightfully Israeli would simply reinforce that the Jewish People had no stomach for a prolonged fight thus simply by opposing them long enough and they would become weak-willed and gift to its adversaries the surrender they demand, to an Islamist such is but an invitation.

 

Third Temple placed on Temple Mount adjacent to the Dome of the Rock in space that is currently open areas leaving more than sufficient room for tourism and worshippers of all faiths to visit and enjoy every religious building. It will; however, leave far less room for youth to play soccer which many might claim is a good thing.

Third Temple placed on Temple Mount adjacent to the Dome of the Rock in space that is currently open areas leaving more than sufficient room for tourism and worshippers of all faiths to visit and enjoy every religious building. It will; however, leave far less room for youth to play soccer which many might claim is a good thing.

 

 

Even when confronted with the testimony of historic facts many refuse to see the obvious. Such would be far less of a tragedy if only they would not bring our downfall alongside those who surrender that which is rightfully Israeli by every legal code and international law known to mankind. They are flaunting these international laws and agreements simply because the Israeli governance is permitting their perfidy through its cowardice and concerns for what the world thinks. We can tell you what the world thinks, they believe the Jews will cut their own throats if given a sharp enough knife rather than to turn that knife upon their adversaries. That is what they believe and all too many Israelis, especially in high office in the government, military and security services, prove their assessment right day in and day out. This foolish idea that the dragon can be dealt with if we just make this one additional sacrifice, there will always be one more sacrifice demanded of us until we are all dead and buried. When do the Jewish People make their stand, tell me when, please make it soon.

 

 

Istanbul, Turkey pictures of Hagia Sophia and Blue Mosque Montage. The Hagia Sofia Mosque was originally a cathedral built when the city was known as Constantinople.

Istanbul, Turkey pictures of Hagia Sophia and Blue Mosque Montage. The Hagia Sofia Mosque was originally a cathedral built when the city was known as Constantinople.

 

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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August 21, 2013

Is Netanyahu About to Pull an Ariel Sharon?

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,1967 Borders,Administration,Amalekites,Ambassador Samantha Power,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appeasement,Appointment,Arabist,Arabs,Bayit Yehudi Party,Blood Libel,Borders,Building Freeze,Building Freeze,Cabinet,Chuck Hagel,Civilization,Condemning Israel,Condoleezza Rice,Defend Israel,Demolitions,Disengagement,Divided Jerusalem,Domestic NGOs,Elections,European Union,Executive Order,Fatah,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Gaza,George W. Bush,Government,Green Line,Hamas,Hate,History,International Politics,Islam,Islam,Islamic State,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Jerusalem,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,John Kerry,Judea,Judean Hills,Kotel,Labor Party,Mahmoud Abbas,Myth,Naftali Bennett,Netanyahu,Old City,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Legislative Committee,Partition Plan,Peace Process,Politics,Pre-Conditions,President Obama,Prime Minister,Prisoner Release,Promised Land,Response to Terrorism,Rocket Attacks,Russian Pressure,Saeb Erekat,Samaria,Secretary of Defense,Secretary of State,Settlements,Shas,Shelly Yachimovich,Statehood,Support Israel,Susan Rice,Tel Aviv,Temple Mount,Terrorist Release,Third Intifada,Tzipi Livni,United Nations Ambassador Rice,United States,United States Pressure,West Bank,Western Wall,World Opinion,World Pressures,Yair Lapid,Yesh Atid Party,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 5:11 AM
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Since the very first day after Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu accepted as the first party into his current coalition the Hatnuah Party and placed its leader Tzipi Livni as the new government’s Minister of Justice and placed Ms. Livni as the lead negotiator of the Israeli negotiations team with the Palestinians, I have had a creeping suspicion that Netanyahu was going to fall on his sword in order to satisfy President Obama and allow anything to be bargained away if it produced a treaty. What made things even worse, Netanyahu announced that she would have complete freedom and full latitude to do whatever she believed was necessary to reach a peace agreement with the Palestinians in the model of the two state solution. The presumed safety catch that would limit anything that Minister of the Knesset Livni may eventually give away was presumably that there would have to be a Knesset vote to ratify any potential treaty and then if particular lands given away met the criteria, then there would also be a referendum of the Israeli people to decide whether or not any treaty would be accepted and ratified. But even here there are some suspicions and recent events and announcements have only served to deepen my qualms that all is not well in Jerusalem.

 

Before we theorize on the future and what we believe are the signs we will need to be on the lookout for and where such paths lead, perhaps we should review some of the most pertinent facts from the Gaza disengagement fiasco and what the steps were the last time such events transpired. The first item was that the President of the United States was George W. Bush who was perceived to be a good friend of Israel and one who, while not perfect, at least was not going out of his way to destroy and compromise Israel. The Secretary of State was Condoleezza Rice, who despite her misconceptions and misgivings such as believing the Palestinians were being persecuted in a similar manner to the Black Americans during the Jim Crow era; despite her idiosyncrasies, Secretary Rice honestly thought she was working towards a good end and really pursued peace and a better future for all, both the Palestinians and the Israelis; and despite their intents, the Bush Administration fell into a number of traps which doomed their efforts we can claim with some assurance as to its validity that they had honest and good intentions. Their first misstep was their decision to force Prime Minister Ariel Sharon into disengaging all Israeli presence from the Gaza Strip and turning it over to Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinians presumably so that the Palestinian leadership could demonstrate their abilities to rule and manage their own areas and live at peace alongside the Israelis. The thought was that once the Palestinian leadership had proved to administrate the Gaza Strip while preventing any terrorist attacks on Israelis or their territories, then the final formation of a Palestinian State could proceed without any further problems.

 

The next set of problems followed rapidly one on top of the next. President Bush gave Prime Minister Sharon guarantees that after Israel had released their control over the border areas between Egypt and Gaza, also known as the Philadelphia Corridor, that the European Union monitors and real-time remote video monitoring by Israeli security experts would prevent the movement of weaponry into Gaza as well as monitoring the passage of people interdicting any suspected terrorists. Soon thereafter it was time for the Palestinian government to hold elections. Big mistake number two was cued up as Secretary of State Rice insisted, with the backing of President Bush, that all factions be permitted to field candidates for the Palestinian Parliament, of course including Hamas. Despite warnings from Israel, Mahmoud Abbas, and numerous Middle East experts who warned that allowing Hamas to field candidates would guarantee that Hamas would take the majority of the seats and rise to unseat Fatah as the majority in the Palestinian Authority, the elections were held allowing Hamas candidates who won a majority of the seats as the Palestinians voted for anybody but Fatah as they perceived that Hamas would not commit fraud anywhere near the levels which had been rampant to date in the Palestinian Authority. The Hamas victory scared the living daylights out of Abbas who feeling certain that Hamas would also replace him as President and Chairman of the Palestinian Authority forcing him to cancel elections for these offices in order to preserve his positions. The Americans saw no problem with this as the overwhelming Hamas sweep in the Palestinian parliamentary elections had shaken their trust that they understood the Palestinian’s moods and proclivities. Soon the worst of the disasters that followed one after another came to fruition as Hamas executed a violent coup and took complete control over the Gaza Strip forcing Fatah and their portion of the Palestinian Authority from Gaza to Judea and Samaria, the West Bank. With Hamas in control of the Gaza Strip, the European Union monitors made a quick retreat from their posts back to their hotels in Israel never to return to their posts after which the Hamas personnel who took control of the Rafah Crossing destroyed the video monitoring equipment. This forced Israel to rely on the good graces of Egypt to monitor the Egypt-Gaza interchange which fortunately was more successful than one might have originally expected. As it turned out, the Egyptians had issues with Hamas as Hamas was directly tied to the Muslim Brotherhood which gave Egyptian President Mubarak reasons to be suspicious and to actually monitor the border.

 

Today the President of the United States Barack Obama is considered not exactly a trusted friend to Israel and some of the members of his Administration are equally not to be trusted by Israel. Some of those who cause both politicians and residents in Israel the most qualms would include Secretary of State John Kerry, Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel, National Security Adviser Susan Rice, United Nations Ambassador Samantha Power and some might add Vice President Biden though his record is not as adverse as others are. As anyone who has been watching the news out of Israel and the Palestinian areas has noted, the negotiations have been reinstated but at considerable cost to the Israelis who were cajoled and pressed into releasing over the period of the negotiations up to one-hundred-four terrorists who were serving life sentences, some multiple life sentences, and had much Israeli blood on their hands in order to entice and give proper cover for Mahmoud Abbas to agree to negotiate. Of course Israel only received the privilege of holding talks for their unprecedented concessions. Even with such a sacrifice by the Israelis in releasing many terrorists whom they had refused to release numerous times before, this momentous gesture was challenged by the Palestinian leadership who demanded even more. They demanded that the borders for their state be debated from the standpoint that they were to be assumed to be starting on the 1949 Armistice Lines and included every inch of the contested areas of Judea and Samaria plus they insisted they include all of Eastern Jerusalem including all of the Old City and Temple Mount. Israel refused to grant such a request but it has been leaked that Secretary of State Kerry assured Abbas that he would steer any discussion over borders in a direction that would meet his demand. Then, almost immediately after the first meeting when the Israelis announced their intention to build housing in parts of Jerusalem and the surrounding Israeli towns which the Palestinians claim is on their lands the Palestinians threatened to terminate the negotiations unless the Israelis instituted a building freeze immediately and were prevented from realizing such plans. This fortunately blew up in their faces as Secretary Kerry, to his credit, announced that the Palestinians had been offered a building freeze but had chosen the prisoner release instead and that they had been informed that such an announcement of the building was coming within the near future and they had not objected at that time. This squelched their threat to end the negotiations.

 

The negotiations are supposed to be held in complete silence with nothing to be released to the press or announced in any other manner. Thus far that criterion has unfortunately held. The first sign that trouble is on the horizon came this week when Shelly Yachimovich announced that the Labor Party is ready, willing and very able if not anxious to replace Bayit Yehudi and Naftali Bennett in order to assure that any treaty will be enacted without any difficulties. Here are some of the signs that we need to look for in the coming months of this presumably nine-month series of negotiations which are to produce a workable treaty. There will be meetings out of which there will be no announcements or release to the press held by Prime Minister Netanyahu with his inner cabinet, the same people who voted to allow the release of the hundred plus terrorists. Lead negotiator Tzipi Livni will be noticeable at each of these meetings and may even appear to have a spring in her step and a bright smile that refuses to droop. Eventually there will be disagreements which at some point will lead to a rearrangement of the makeup of the coalition. We will begin to hear rumors that Naftali Bennett and his Bayit Yehudi are being marginalized and may soon be replaced in the coalition. At the same time it is possible that Yair Lapid and the Yesh Atid Party may also be mentioned as inhibiting certain objectives and may join Bennett in being replaced in the coalition. The new coalition will replace these two Zionist parties with Shas and Labor both of whom will willingly and enthusiastically approve virtually any peace agreement hammered out by Tzipi Livni and Saeb Erekat.

 

Many people would claim that this would not make any difference as any peace treaty if it requires surrender of any sizeable amount of territories must face a referendum of the people and the Israelis would never allow Jerusalem to be divided or for all of the lands beyond the Green Line to be forfeited to the Palestinians. The problem here is the wording as I have been led to understand is rather vague on which lands being forfeit would require a referendum by the people. The last item which will signal an imminent disaster will be the start of a debate in the United States over providing peacekeeping troops to be placed in the new Palestinian State to prevent terrorist attacks and keep everything quiet between the new Palestinian State and Israel. Needless to point out that the American peacekeepers will provide little protection and instead simply provide the terrorists a plethora of targets until they are pulled due to overwhelming demands by the Americans themselves as their ire is raised over mounting casualties. Once we get to the point that there are debates in the United States over providing peacekeepers the only salvation which Israelis may pray for is either the American public raising a holy eruption of indignation that prevents President Obama from following through with his promise to provide peacekeepers or for Heavenly intervention. My prayers will be for Heavenly intervention.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

July 1, 2013

Kerry Announces Great Strides in Hope Towards Resumption of Peace Process

Kerry made what at best can be called an optimistic message to the press regarding the advancement of peace accomplished by his efforts during this trip to the Middle East. He indicated that the talks were fruitful and that the distance between the two parties had been lessened leaving but a narrow difference remaining to be bridged in order for talks to resume. He expressed a general feeling of pleasure over what had transpired and reiterated that he felt that the talks had been fruitful. The real question is what the average person should take from Secretary of State Kerry’s politispeak and what the reality is regarding any near term resumption of the peace talks. The other mentions of this week’s activities were pretty much duplicates of the longstanding positions the major players had long before Secretary Kerry arrived last week. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu still holds that he is willing to return to peace talks at a moment’s notice without preconditions of any sort by either side. He further clarifies this by pointing out that this does not mean that neither side be allowed to expect certain outcomes, just that any point should be agreed upon through the negotiating process and not be forced to grant either side’s wishes before negotiations even begin. Palestinian Authority Chairman and Palestinian President Abbas remains adamant that the Israelis release all prisoners remaining in Israeli prisons who received their sentence before the signing of the Oslo Accords in September of 1993 all of whom are serving multiple life sentences for numerous murders resulting from terrorist strikes, all Israeli construction be frozen within the contested lands including all of Samaria, Judea, Eastern Jerusalem, the Old City and Temple Mount or anywhere else within the lands gained from Jordan during the Six Day War, that Prime Minister Netanyahu deliver a map of the proposed boundaries for the Palestinian State that will result from the negotiation for Abbas to approve, and Israel agree to allow for the Right of Return to within Israel for the five million plus Palestinian Arab refugees living anywhere around the world. So, what exactly was Secretary speaking of when he claimed that there had been progress and the separation between the two sides had been lessened leaving just a small gap between them and reinitializing the peace process negotiations?

 

What needs to be understood is that the peace process has become more about appearance than it is about reality. Because of this anything can and will be claimed and then verified as reality is of no consequence. Everybody involved, concerned, or oblivious to the Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process have realized and accepted that nothing is going to change because the truth is there never was any such thing as a peace process to begin with. The entire Peace Process from the beginning with the Madrid Conference to the Oslo Accords to the Saudi Plan through the Roadmap on to whatever it is currently being named have all been about whether or not Israel would be allowed to exist. From day one the process has been a winner takes all proposition because the Palestinians as the representatives of the entire Arab and Muslim world would only accept the eradication of Israel as a Jewish State and the Israelis refused to surrender their state and live, if permitted life, as Dhimmi second class citizens under an Arab or Muslim governance. Since the distance between the two sides is unable to be bridged, even having them both agreeing to meet with an intermediary from a third party is an accomplishment. Since nobody actually expects the talks to resume in the foreseeable future, Secretary Kerry and everybody else are free to make whatever claims they wish as long as they are indefinite and do not set any actual expectations for real progress. Expect for Kerry to make a number of additional trips to the Middle East and each time report great strides being managed through his diligence, hard work, his honesty with the two parties and the willingness to reach an agreeable peace. Actually, reaching an agreeable peace is the one thing that both Abbas and Netanyahu can agree is their desire; they just are in complete disagreement as to what such a peace would entail.

 

Then again, Secretary Kerry may have been referring to something completely unrelated to the Israeli-Palestinian situation when he mentioned that progress had been made and the two sides were closer to reaching an agreement. Kerry could very well have been speaking about Jordanian King Hussein and the disparate groups which make up the Jordanian population and their desire for democratizing changes to be made to their governance. Democratization has been a hot button issue in Jordan ever since the start of the turmoil originally named the Arab Spring and oft renamed the Arab Winter. The Jordanian King has made some preliminary alterations and enacted laws both restricting his universal hold on state powers and allowing for a more powers to be relegated to the Parliament and additional oversights to guarantee free and open elections. King Hussein has also relented on his right to appoint a new Prime Minister allowing for that power to be vested in the elected representatives of the people. Full implementation of these new rules have not been as swift as most would like and it may be that Secretary Kerry has made some ground towards these reforms being implemented, though it did sound like he was referring to making strides on the Peace Process between the Palestinians and the Israelis and not the Jordanian King and the Jordanian people.

 

According to Jordanian news reports, Prime Minister Netanyahu apparently had agreed to implement an informal building freeze, one in which the government prevents any construction but simply never announces the freeze. We call it the building freeze whose name must not be mentioned. Of course President Abbas demands the building freeze be instituted by a formal public announcement made by Netanyahu. This might lead one to think that Abbas is also attempting to force Prime Minister Netanyahu to take a public move that would result in his losing power and the current government coalition breaking thus forcing new Israeli elections. Abbas might be playing for such an end in the hopes of somebody else winning the next election other than Likud or other nationalist parties. One can understand where President Abbas would much prefer to negotiate with Tzipi Livni or Shelly Yachimovich over Netanyahu. Of course judging from the wave of new younger faces primed to take over some of the leadership roles in the upcoming Likud internal Party elections, it would be more likely that new elections would bring into the Prime Minister’s office somebody from Likud like Danny Danon if not somebody from a different party such as Yair Lapid from the Yesh Atid Party or Naftali Bennett from the Jewish Home Party; any of whom would be far more nationalistic and less likely to allow for the formation of the Palestinian state than would be expected from Prime Minister Netanyahu. So Abbas might want to be careful what he wishes for as it may not be as rosy a picture as he expects should he succeed in forcing Prime Minister Netanyahu from office. In the meantime, with Secretary Kerry’s announcement that the peace talks are not about to reconvene this week but that progress has been occurring, we can expect that Secretary Kerry will return to have another round of fruitless talks and give another glorious report about the gains and the ever closer the two sides are drawing making the restart of the peace talks almost, but not quite imminent. I love polispeak where you get to use many, many words having polysyllabic properties but being almost completely devoid of any true or real meaning or consequence.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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