Israeli Possible Futures and American Elections

 

There have been many numbers of articles predicting the fate of Israel should one party or the other take the White House next January. Where this early on it is a bit futile to be second guessing the American people, there are some concrete facts we can observe more generally and some rather specific. The most obvious fact is that Israel will likely fair better with virtually any Republican in the White House than either of the Democrat frontrunners. This has been the trend which has steadily become absolute starting with President George H. W. Bush who was far less Israel friendly than President William Jefferson Clinton. The Republican side is the most undecided; so we will begin with them, though there are some tantalizing consequences for discussion on the Democrat side.

 

The knowledge that Israel would be better served by any Republican than with either Democrat frontrunner is a no-brainer; there are still sufficient untested Republicans which leave things unsettled there as well. The top three caucus winners in Iowa are a case in point. Ted Cruz is as pro-Israel as anyone could ask for and would likely increase whatever aid Israel claimed to have or needs identified by United States Military assessments. Mr. Cruz is also the one most likely to ignore the current State Department being fully aware that the United States Department of State is closer to being an enemy foreign agent than an American foreign policy agency. They are so far into the pocket of whatever Islamic forces appear dominant at any given time ignoring the small fact that the United States can alter that picture with the slightest influence added by clandestine units in their military. Truth be known, even with Russian influence, the United States can alter any reality on the ground should it so choose. The drawback would be risking a general confrontation with the Russians which would require active duty forces in numbers sufficient to require Congressional approval and thus general media coverage. Much of the American as well as European and the World media will bend left as the media is generally more an agent of leftist ideological proponents and similarly predisposed on reporting on the Middle East which had been made evident by their misreporting or bias and slanted reporting on the Arab Israeli conflict which is decidedly anti-Israel.

 

 

 

 

 

Next down the caucus line is Donald Trump followed by Marco Rubio. Mr. Trump is completely untested in any and all policy positions and this is even more pronounced on foreign policy. Mr. Rubio is only slightly less of a mystery. The advantage Rubio has is he will likely follow the mainline Republican positions which had become more pro-Israel. Mr. Trump has talked a good game but his true heart is unknown and he is more likely to allow the State Department and the Pentagon along with whatever foreign advisors already exist within the government initially for his positions andthis would produce a period of time where he could damage Israeli relations even further. The question is how and if that would change when he received different and pressing information from the Israelis themselves and other contacts even to include business influence from people he has dealt with and gained a degree of trust. Rubio would also be somewhat untested and known to follow the advice he receives which then would rest heavily on his choice for Secretary of State and the weight he would put on Military and other foreign policy influences against the State Department. The one thing we know is Rubio is the candidate most likely to allow others from the Republican hierarchy to set his foreign policy. The decision, if one is honest, is still out on these two candidates who were definitive winners in Iowa.

 

Of the remaining herd of contenders who at this point are not even sufficient to be second tier and are closer to third tier with the one exception, the sole other Republican candidate to clear 2%, Ben Carson. Dr. Carson would necessarily need to rely heavily on experts and thus his positions would depend completely on who he appoints with the one obvious difference, the Pentagon and the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Our feelings are Dr. Carson would be very similar to President George W. Bush than any other predecessor. Hopefully Dr. Carson could look at a map of the areas surrounding Israel and the Middle East and realize that Egypt is currently stable, Jordan is stable with a few big ‘if’s’ sitting on her northern and eastern borders and might need to rely heavily on Israeli intelligence and potentially military support should the Islamic State turn their eyes westward seeking a border with Israel which Jordan would provide. We hear the people with their maps out pointing to the fact that such a move would still leave the West Bank and Jordan River as impasses to an Islamic State assault on Israel. We feel it would be a near certainty that not only Israel would aid Jordan but so would Saudi Arabia and the other member nations to the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council). Currently the three main challenges which would face anyone stepping into office would be, in descending order, from the greatest threat down three steps are, Iran, Islamic State and the Iranian controlled terror networks of Hezballah, Islamic Jihad, to a lesser extent Hamas, and soon to be acquired Palestinian Authority which is likely to see a leadership change within two to three years as Abbas and family will take off for safer climes, probably somewhere in the United States under the witness protection agency’s assistance.

 

 

The remainders of the Republican herd who we can take the measure of are Jeb Bush and Chris Christie who both talk a good pro-Israel game but remain untested as being governors they had little to deal with outside their States and were able to leave the big foreign policy decisions to Washington D.C. Both would likely play Republican ballgame until they were able to put their own people in place. This would mean heavy reliance on the State Department and its Arabist and Islamist leaning viewpoint and having a disparaging and deleterious effect on Israeli ability to trust any recommendations initially from the White House. The long term relations would be heavily dependent on the people placed in positions such as Secretary of State, State Department Middle East experts and department leaders, Ambassador to Israel, Ambassador to the United Nations, Security Advisor and on.

 

The Democrat side of the equation has one twist and is otherwise underwhelming. Bernie ‘Feel the Bern’ Sanders has a voting record only the Muslim Brotherhood would applaud. He has proven to have adopted the erroneous leftist view that Israel is guilty of the two greatest sins, colonialization and capitalism. On the latter, Israel can only plead guilty and proud of it. On the foremost charge Israel is provably not guilty. First piece of evidence is the Holy Bible and in particular, Torah. The Torah other than the five books which chronical the early life from Abraham forward of the Jewish people but is the deed of ownership of all the lands between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea and south of the Litany River, though the current border with Hezballah, oops, sorry, Lebanon will suffice. Don’t you just hate when that happens. Then there are the treaties, Mandates and conferences which resulted in the League of Nations declaration of intent and right of the Jews to their own state located where the Biblical accounts define their Holy Promised Lands. Bernie may have been born into a Jewish family but that little fact never softened his heart nor gave him an appreciation of the necessity for the Jewish People to have a place of refuge where they may defend themselves if again the world decides it is best to either actively slaughter the Jews or simply not lift a finger to save those few where offers are provided for their potential to save such as the SS St. Louis. We can place Senator Sanders on the State Department side and likely to continue the Obama aggressive policies concerning Israel and even supporting an Iranian centric Middle East and North Africa. Bernie Sanders has not proven to be a friend of Israel.

 

Hillary Clinton is an easier story. She really does not think all that highly of Jews. This was most evident when after Bill lost an election she angrily screamed at the campaign manager calling him some kind of derogatory form of Jew with questionable parenting engaged in a lewd act and the campaign manager was not even a Jew so the word Jew in this racy and lewd epithet could only have been included as a further form of insult. This episode has been known in political circles and in Israel for quite some time, since early in Bill Clinton’s Presidency and is chronicled here. Additionally there is e-mailgate, really, e-mailgate? Haven’t we beat the gate means scandal after Watergate back during President Nixon’s administration where Hillary Clinton did a part of the research on this case which might mitigate this and no that did not mean miti-gate conspiracy though somebody from some conspiracy website will see gate and jump ugly to conclusions. Hillary has to win the Democrat nomination and the election or she is toast and the FBI is the toaster. Any normal individual, we know that normal can never be used when the Clintons are involved, would have been detained, tried, convicted, appealed, lost and be serving time in a Federal Penitentiary. Should she lose anything leading to the White House she will be indicted immediately. As far as Hillary and Israel, could we simply state oil and water for the comparison. No, need more? Sure, Hillary is the water and Israel is the highly flammable oil floating above and Hillary lights a match above the liquid line causing all the oil to disappear in a burst of flames and smoke and the water barely gets any warmer. Hillary fully supported every Obama policy regarding Israel and with gusto. Yes, she pandered to the Jews in New York when she ran for the Senate from New York. She wanted to get elected and also have additional campaign funds. Any pro-Israel comments can be placed as purely political and playing a particular audience though probably not that necessary as most of the Jews supporting Hillary do not support Israel either. Having met too many such leftist Jews, by birth only, who line up lockstep in the parade of the Democrat mainstream which has been as hijacked. This claim can be validated by inspecting after terrorists strike and they attempt to mitigate any terror act claiming the person was hijacked and does not represent the Islam they are familiar with. Hillary will only be less of a detriment to Israel because she will pay little if any attention to foreign policy decisions leaving the majority to aids and reliance on the State Department, need more be said. The big question is rapidly becoming who will be placed replacing Hillary should she become toxic either by actual arraignment or simply too much stacked against her and her base, as fickle as it may be, simply melts away and she becomes an unviable candidate. Joe Biden has ruled out a run and in keeping with the first woman President motif, we would suggest they would have Hillary give her delegates to Elizabeth Warren who would sweep Bernie Sanders aside in a tidal change potentially notifiable from the ISS, from the International Space Station. The tide would sweep across the Democrat primary voters and her coronation would take place at the Democrat National Convention. Her likelihood of taking the Presidency would be a complete lock should she decide to choose Bernie Sanders as her running-mate as that addition to her ticket would cement the youth vote, a vote which proved so vital to President Obama. Lastly, Elizabeth warren polls excellently with Democrats and the population as a whole. We expect this last scenario to play out as it appears that the FBI has built their case and are waiting for her to falter to pull the pin on the indictment grenade which would finish her candidacy, something the Democrat main controlling interests just might prefer as they watch her national polling numbers tank.

 

 

 

 

There remains one critical position which almost nobody from either side is likely willing to take except one. The position is that there is not and never has been an honest partner for peace from the Palestinian Authority and most definitely not from Islamic Jihad, Hamas, Fatah, the PLO or any other Arab influence with the possible exception of Egyptian President Sisi whose efforts to force a reformation for Islam with the transformative impact greater than that of the Protestant Reformation in Europe and definitely more dangerous and threatening to President Sisi’s continued health. One can only hope for his success and pray for his continued health. As far as Israeli policy, any administrations pushing any deal other than the full annexation of the territory of Judea and Samaria with a weeding out of the most dangerous of the terror operatives and their leadership. Additionally, Israel could offer any Arab desiring to leave and never return, meaning never ever return, in exchange for a generous dispensation including purchase of their properties and holdings and a generous award of separation which would likely to exceed their expected lifetime earnings with the understanding that should they or any member of their family return they would be executed on sight. Any pushing of the deader than a doornail policy of two states living side by side in peace, security and prosperity is not realistic especially looking around the Middle East and North Africa and one sees a sea of turmoil and conflict with little comfort in sight for most of these conflicts and with all eyeing attacking Israel as a potentially solid option. How erroneous and self-destructive such a policy decision would prove, the fact it bears mention is a testament to the insanity which has soaked the region.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Accounting of Third Intifada Attacks for Yesterday

 

On Wednesday October 7, 2015 there was quite a bit of activity on the front lines of the third intifada, the intifada begun by Mahmoud Abbas declaring the Oslo Accords dead and the resumption of the Arab war to annihilate the Jews and turn Israel into a sea of blood. The attacks started ramping up in both numbers and potential for lethality with a number of Israelis being killed since last Wednesday approaching at least a half dozen if not more as the news has been flying by with attacks averaging one evert three to four hours during the day and into the evening. A quick rundown on the attacks which made the news sources we were tracking during the day, an incomplete list but as accurate as we are able.

An Arab man stabbed an IDF soldier and grabbed his gun in the southern city of Kiryat Gat, a few miles outside Ashkelon and within the Green Line and not even near the presumed disputed areas. He then fled to a fourth floor apartment, where he was shot and killed by police.

Arab Palestinian mob throwing cinder blocks and equally sized rocks caused Rivi Ohayon, who was driving to work in Jerusalem, to stop as they also blocked the road. She recounted the confrontations reporting that, “One of them opened the door. There was murder in their eyes. I thought they were going to lynch me.” Ohayon was hospitalized with light injuries. She was saved when a group of Israelis who witnessed the attack interdicted firing at the Arab mob which then dispersed after one was struck. The terrorist is in hospital in critical but stable condition.

Another terrorist attempted running down IDF soldiers at the A-Za’im checkpoint located outside of Maalei Adumim, located just outside Jerusalem. The attack was prevented by the soldiers.

One teenage Arab Palestinian woman stabbed an Israeli man near the Lions’ Gate of the Old City of Jerusalem this morning. The man was carrying his legal concealed weapon and turned and shot the assailant before she could plunge the knife into him a second time possibly killing him. Magen David Adom paramedic Aharon Adler told reporters, “Upon arriving, I saw two patients. One of them, an approximately 30-year-old male with stab wounds to his upper body, fully conscious; alongside him, a young woman with gunshot wounds. According to him, she came up and stabbed him twice from behind, and then she was shot. Her condition was worse than his.” Both victim and attacker were transferred to the hospital after receiving treatment at the scene.
Another stabbing took place in central Petah Tikva next to a busy shopping mall where a man, 25, was injured in the upper part of his torso and rushed to the hospital in moderate but stable condition. This too was well inside the Green Line which the media likes to claim there is no terror and the terror is only against the so-called “Israeli settlers” and not just all Israelis or all Jews.

Josh Hasten, who is a resident of Elazar in the Gush Etzion area of Judea, was assaulted almost immediately behind the attack on Rivi Ohayon as he slowed as did all the traffic when approaching the attack on Rivi Ohayon. Looking towards the Arab village of Beit Sahur he realized there were between thirty and fifty Arabs charging down the hill with yells and holding cinder blocks and rocks. But why not allow Josh Hasten tell his story in the video below.

 

 

 

 

The above report probably misses the usual dozens of rock throwing incidents where the motorist is fortunate to pass through whatever gauntlet of cinder block and rock hurling Arab youths between the ages of twelve to low thirties suffering only damage to their vehicle. These are daily events and with the more serious attacks now taking up the new spaces we are not going to hear about these assaults, life threatening as they may be, because the news reporters can only be so many places at any given time. If Josh Hasten was not a journalist his confrontation would likely have never received any publicity because the main assault was against the young woman may Hashem bring her a speedy and complete recovery along with all the other victims of today’s and every day’s violence. The attacks have definitely increased in numbers and severity as there had not been attempts to drag motorists from their vehicles for only one purpose, and that is to murder them tearing their bodies’ limb from limb. The attempts today and over the past week to increase the levels of the attacks with the intent to murder the victim if at all possible has placed the Israeli public on edge, especially as about one third to half of the assaults have taken place within pre-1967 Six Day War Israel meaning inside the 1949 Armistice Line also known as the Green Line. We here at BTC are not surprised that much as we have held the belief, nay, the knowledge that the intent of the Arab war on Israel is the complete and total elimination of the State of Israel and every Jew living within after which the other non-Muslims would be targeted.

 

 

Terrorist Mayhem Killing Jews Anti-Semitism

 

 

Mahmoud Abbas and the rest of the hierarchy behind the Arab Palestinians, we can no longer refer to them as Palestinian Authority or even Fatah as both of these were names designed by the now refused Oslo Accords in order to white wash the terrorism and criminal infrastructure and kleptocracy run by Yasser Arafat in order to permit the return of Yasser Arafat and his other henchmen and KGB trained murderers, and most important, also his number two man and aid through thick and thin, Mahmoud Abbas such that there could be invented the “Peace Process” which never was entered into with any honesty by Arafat. From the very first Yasser Arafat had lain out the plans for the conquest of Israel by stages. Each stage would require the facilitation by the United Nations, its nearly uncountable NGOs and other agencies, eventually the European and lastly the United States all forcing Israel to comply with demands without giving up even a hint of their demands. This has been why there has been a demand by the world at every restart of the Peace Racket for Israel to make some grand compromise as an inducement for the privilege of having the Arab side walk out once they had drawn every last possible compromise from Israel and immediately announcing that any promise the parties may have though the Arabs had agreed to make were all an illusion and they would then state the next demand for Israel to meet as their obligation for peace. This worked because the Israelis suffer from two really serious shortcomings, the first is they are willing to do almost anything for peace and the second is they are willing to follow any demand from a world that wishes them dead if it is in the name of peace and so they do not ruffle a single feather on any of the vultures all waiting to pick the Israeli corpse once it is truly dead. That brings us to the next subject from the United States.

 

The United States House of Representatives has overwhelmingly approved legislation last week to take forty-three-billion dollars of the frozen Iranian assets in order to pay American victims of Iranian-sponsored terrorism who were awarded that amount by United States Courts. This legislation has been called the Meehan bill for terror victims. The legislation is on its way to the United States Senate where it will likely die a slow and ignoble death tabled due to threat of a filibuster. Even should it actually receive a favorable vote without even changing a single punctuation mark and having no additional attachments and be passed along to President Obama, it will then be duly vetoed. But let us assume for one moment that this legislation makes it into law, what will follow is as easy to predict as it is that the sun will rise out of the east and set in the west. The State Department will object and give some flimsy reason that these funds must be paid as intended to the Iranian government as there is a treaty in place and the State Department will enforce the treaty to the last letter. If a further fight erupts and the whole matter end up before the Supreme Court under Chief Justice Rogers (I know, do not remind you) then it will be a close five to four vote if not a six to three vote that the monies must be remitted to the Iranians and then those who sued can collect directly from Iran, if they can get any assistance from either the Justice Department, who will claim it is the State Department’s jurisdiction, or from that State Department which will give the families a runaround and eventually find somebody whose job it is to say “No!” with great authority. Such attempts have been tried before and failed and this will as well.

 

 

Ostridge placing its head in the sand, oh, wait, it is a particular person of note taking stock of their positions

 

 

Back to Israel and politics which are supreme. There was a meeting Tuesday between leaders of Jewish communities in Judea and Samaria and Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon hosted by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu at his official residence despite the possibly over ten-thousand demonstrators demanding that actions be taken to make all Israel safe for all peoples. We mention this as there were things stated which are not only important for Israelis and Zionists to hear but the rest of the world as well such that they will understand the motivations of these two men in the most powerful of position in Israel and what those motivations will produce. The truth here is very frightening. One participant who is considered reliable has told Arutz Sheva that Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon informed the leaders of Jewish communities in Judea and Samaria according to the anonymous participant, “Ya’alon argued in the meeting that there is a connection between violent events by settlers and terror attacks. There are gangs on both sides.” One should not be surprised that this comment was met with some excessive expressions of frustration, anger and disbelief. Where does Defense Minister Ya’alon get his news? Is he quoting the impressions that the European Union’s High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Federica Mogherini who, like Catherine Ashton before her, is a well-recognized extreme leftist and suspected communist, pro-Palestinian, anti-Israel, anti-Zionist crusader who never met a disparaging slam of Israel she couldn’t agree with. Where such a damning remark would play well in Brussels, Defense Minister Ya’alon is not a member of the European Union governance located in Brussels, he is the Defense Minister of the State of Israel and if he cannot see that his one and only job is to look out for the betterment of Israel, the protection of its lands and citizens, to predict, plan and execute those tactical requirements to keep Israel safe from all attacks whether internal or external and to serve the State and its citizens, then it is time to replace him with one who will. It is not his place to sympathize or, even worse, adopt the terminology and accusations of the enemies of the State of Israel which is exactly what he has expressed here. These comments make him unqualified to hold the position of Defense Minister and Ya’alon needs to be replaced immediately. The participant had some further comments before we conclude with Defense Minister Ya’alon as the participant stated, “The man has gone mad. At a certain point Ya’alon began to stutter and he understood that he had gone too far in his analysis.” Well, the catch is we can only expect to hear in glowing terms about how Ya’alon had protected Israel at a great sacrifice and with his every effort since taking the position of Defense Minister and all Israel should be glad to have such a warrior on their side. But then we need to consider the source of such praise, Prime Minister Netanyahu more likely than not.

 

 

 

 

Fortunately, we also had a little birdie reporting on comments made by Prime Minister Netanyahu. It was reported that the Prime Minister Netanyahu told the local government leaders that he does not intend to build in Judea and Samaria. The reason was simply because to do so might upset Washington and Israel must not complicate things and test the relations with the United States with such actions. The Prime Minister reported that the United States objects strenuously to such building and Israel must not get into a confrontation. Since when did Prime Minister Netanyahu develop this phobia against stirring the pot with the United States, in particular with the White House and President Obama? It is not like the two have even the resemblance of a relationship. There was no hesitation when it came to giving an address to Congress despite the strong protestations from the White House. The relations were not even warm enough to permit the Israeli Prime Minister to enter the White House through the front door instead being relegated to using the kitchen entrance and being refused the courtesy of a meet the press photo op even without taking question or speaking. What relations is it exactly that all of a sudden prevent the otherwise brazen, brash and unabashed Israeli Prime Minister from taking matters into his own hand and allow for the tenders he keeps issuing and then preventing their being awarded and if awarded then holding back building permits and then allowing the leftist groups to trample all efforts in the courts without even the resemblance of a fight. Why not just tell us and the world the truth Prime Minister Netanyahu, tell us that after the Iran deal fiasco you have lost all heart and that the recent United Nations speech was your swan song, your last hurrah, your last big game hunt and now you are simply going to lie back and sway whatever way the winds blow knowing that they will always blow ill will upon Israelis. You know inside that if you were to confront and fight the White House that you would find friends coming out of the woodwork to fight alongside of you. There would be a greater distance between the United States and Israel if President Obama could find a way of pushing Israel under the bus and then roll that bus off a cliff if he could. And if it were not because the two nations have such similar goals, needs, security arrangements, defense agreements and are intertwined in so many ways including a large block of voters who will vote to protect Israel; that limits the actions by the President which would completely leave the Jewish State vulnerable to its neighbors’ aggressions. That group goes far beyond any groups there may be of Jews as we are referring to the Evangelical Christians who support Israel and her people with every sinew and prayer. I think it might even be an idea for testing the waters for this Twitter hashtag, #Jewish Lives Matter and Settlers too.

 

 

Beyond the Cusp