Beyond the Cusp

May 24, 2018

Gaza Borders and the Reality of Human Rights

Filed under: Israel — qwertster @ 2:27 AM
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

 

The United Nations Human Rights Council recently decided to investigate the events concerning the Israeli reaction to the peaceful protests on the Gaza border. There was not even consideration of investigating the violence and attempts to destroy property and swarm the border in order to murder Israelis by the masses Hamas has encouraged to perpetrate these violences along the Israeli border. Let us consider the vote by nations where twenty-nine voted in favor, two voted to oppose and fourteen abstained from voting with two nations not voting (see image below). The nations voting in favor were Afghanistan, Angola, Belgium, Brazil, Burundi, Chile, China, Cote d’Ivorie, Cuba, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ecuador, Egypt, Iraq, Kyrgyzstan, Mexico, Nepal, Nigeria, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Slovenia, South Africa, Spain, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, and Venezuela. The two who voted against were Australia and the United States. Those abstaining were Croatia, Ethiopia, Georgia, Germany, Hungary, Japan, Kenya, Panama, Republic of (South) Korea, Rwanda, Slovakia, Switzerland, Togo and Great Britain. The two nations not voting were Mongolia and the Ukraine. Reading the names of those voting to investigate Israel, most were either Islamic or dictatorial nations with a few whose own human rights actions are of questionable respectability. Those who abstained or voted with Israel were almost all democratic nations whose people enjoy maximum rights and have excellent human rights records. All in all, this vote could be said to be more revealing of the voting than it was of Israel. Let us look into the situation more deeply together.

 

UNHRC Gaza Vote to Investigate Israeli Actions of Self-Defense

UNHRC Gaza Vote to Investigate Israeli Actions of Self-Defense

 

The first item one need consider is what exactly are the driving realities behind the Gaza-Israeli border and the conditions within Gaza. One claim heard is that Israel is responsible for providing electricity, water, gas, and all other goods as the occupying power. Every one of these items is false and anything Israel permits to enter Gaza is a gift granted solely because Israel actually cares more for the people of Gaza than does their government. Yes, Gaza has a government, presumably has utilities and is actually responsible for providing for the people of Gaza. The Gazans elected Hamas to be their governing body. The border between Israel and Gaza is an international border. The electrical shortage in Gaza is not due to Israel reducing the amount of electricity crossing the border, it is because the Palestinian Authority, in an attempt to press Gazans into turning against Hamas and allowing the Palestinian Authority to regain control over Gaza, cut funds which prevented Hamas from purchasing fuel oil for their electrical generating plant. The recent interruption of natural gas provided to many Gazans is due to the rioters on the border setting the pipeline on fire after rupturing the pipeline while also destroying the crossing used by Israel to provide aid to Gaza (see image below). The destruction of the crossing also made the import of goods to come to a halt. These were very likely actions which were planned by Hamas as they continuously tell their people that their problems are all because Israel exists and if they could just destroy Israel they would all live the good life which Israelis live. What the world does not bother to note is that the electricity, water and other utilities, which Israel provides for Gaza and the Palestinian Authority, are seldom paid for and this causes prices for Israel to be higher leading to difficulties for many Israelis. Some Israelis go without airconditioning during the summer and set their heaters at a lower temperature and wear heavy sweaters inside just to make their electricity and gas bills more affordable. The sewage treatment plants in Gaza are left in disrepair despite Gaza being provided with the required piping and cement to repair these systems repeatedly but these items are misappropriated for building infiltration tunnels and bunkers rather than repair of these plants.

 

Gas Pipes Set Ablaze at the Kerem Shalom Gaza Crossing to Israel

Gas Pipes Set Ablaze at the Kerem Shalom Gaza Crossing to Israel

 

There have been no schools or hospitals built in Gaza and numerous apartment buildings remain destroyed and not replaced simply because Gaza places a higher importance on their tunnels and bunkers and less on providing for their citizens. Should Israel be providing the construction of new hospitals, new schools and repairing apartment buildings destroyed when destroying rocket launching pads from the past wars? At this point, allow us to restate that the Gaza border is an international border with the same legal restrictions and implications as the border between any two nations, in this case adversarial nations where one, Gaza, has sworn itself to the destruction of the other, Israel. Also, there is another such border between Egypt and Gaza and there have not been as many demonstrations along the Gaza Egypt border and Egypt has kept that border completely closed to all traffic almost continuously for years. Israel has sent trucks with supplies, tractor-trailer trucks, recently with medical aid considered to be in short supply and desperately required in Gaza and Hamas refused the aid. Additionally, the normal aid convoys were interrupted as the crossing was destroyed by Hamas activities causing Israel thirty-million shekels, eight and one-third-million dollars in repair costs. We found an interesting video on Haaretz, an Israeli strongly left-leaning news source, which gave time to all sides making their points both supporting Israel and blaming Israel that we decided to include despite some ideas with which we have some issues with their presentation of their facts.

 

 

Back to the ideas, we would like to press about these confrontations, and they are not protests and no longer rioting but an actual military confrontation with Hamas using their own population as cover for military attacks. In the past week, anybody keeping abreast have realized that Hamas has made announcement which, to say the least, have been contradictory. One set of spokespeople have claimed they have demanded that their citizens not approach the border fence while others have told them to bring wire and bolt cutters to make a breach in the fence, and others have stated the Gazans should breach the border and swarm across into Israel forcing a direct confrontation with the IDF and if able to get beyond into Israel to, with the words of Hamas leader Sinwar, they would “eat the livers of those besieging” them. He had previously told the Gazans that their boys would “tear out their hearts from their bodies.” (see video below) These are the hopes and aims of the man who rules Gaza and heads Hamas and was the one who called for this attempt to infiltrate Israel. This was his declaration of war and there are Gazans who are now angered because they saw no gains from the price the people paid. They expected something greater and had real reasons to actually expect results, as we will discuss next.

 

 

Sinwar had promised that the border would be erased, the blockade would come down and they would be swarming into Israel murdering Israelis, taking their lands, their goods, their treasure and returning to their presumed properties while gaining everything the Israelis have and assuming their way of life as if even had the Gazans sent every Israeli Jew leaving Israel, they could not continue to have the same standard of living that the Israelis live and have established. They had been given the idea that they were certainly going to completely swarm through large areas of destroyed border fence and were provided maps with the fastest routes to the closest Israeli population centers, towns, kibbutzim and cities also denoting the places where the border fence was to be breached (see image below). Remember, this border fence denotes and international border between Israel and Gaza. Israel does not rule Gaza, has no actual effect on the Gaza economy, and Israel is not by any means stealing virtually all building materials to build terror infiltration tunnels and underground bunkers for Hamas operatives and terrorists only and denied to the Gazan population when Hamas makes active war firing rockets into Israel as in the three Gaza-Israel wars. The infrastructure in Gaza is in disrepair and all provisions for repair have been used for tunnels and bunkers. So there was no border breach and they are not going to conquer Israel slaughtering the Jews as promised. The blockade, a legal blockade approved by the United Nations as Hamas is a terror organization and Gaza is considered a terror state and thus can be prevented from having the right to freely importing weapons and large weapons systems. Hamas and Islamic Jihad have still received advanced rockets and missiles with better accuracy, longer ranges and heavier payloads to have gone from rockets with a five to ten kilometer range and one to five kilogram payload to today having missiles which can reach Tel Aviv, Jerusalem and Haifa with one-hundred and even, it is believed, larger payloads. These additional abilities have been provided largely by Iran which is also sworn to destroy Israel as well as the United States. These are some of the realities which Israel has to face and make decisions, and find some means by restricting the damage to civilians and try to prevent innocent deaths. Hamas, on the other side, wishes to maximize the numbers of innocent deaths to parade before the world which is all but salivating to denounce Israel for not simply rolling over and being killed. So, how does Israel handle these challenges?

 

Hamas Maps Showing Closest Israeli Communities and Directions to use in Potential Attacks

Hamas Maps Showing Closest Israeli Communities and Directions to use in Potential Attacks

 

During the wars with Hamas, Israel would drop leaflets warning civilians of coming attacks, made thousands of phone calls warning of coming attacks and did all they could to warn the civilians even of the time and direction from which IDF troops would approach. I hear the gasp and the question as to would that not also warn the terrorists? Well, of course it would, but Israel believed that this was a small price to pay if it prevented innocent people being killed. When the Israelis sent aircraft to strike a rocket-launching site they would either have the pilot send images of the target site back to Command or a drone would be sent beforehand and send back images to Command and then officers including human rights expert lawyers would decide if the attack would be safe and not risk innocent life to the best of their ability to determine. If it appeared safe, then the attack would be authorized and when a drone was present they could call off the attack should civilians appear close to the target. I hear the question; would this not cause Hamas to use such rules to prevent Israeli airstrikes? Well, Hamas left a large number of women and children on the roof of the buildings they were using for command and control and they placed their central command bunker in the basement of the Al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City (see image below). Another question is always would this not permit Hamas to set up an ambush for IDF infantry when they know their route of approach? Well, they did and it resulted in a multi-hour battle which all but destroyed the neighborhood and led to what was claimed a great number of innocent deaths which subsequently were proven to be terrorists from the actual battle and thus legal targets. What Hamas does when one of their fighters is killed, they take away their weapons and remove any headdress or other signs that they belong to Hamas and then claim that they are civilians. What is the worst of all possible results is that by having their main command center in the Al-Shifa Hospital, Hamas has made the hospital into a legal military target and thus making it a legal target as it houses a military installation which is why placing any military use inside a hospital is considered illegal and a war crime. Terror groups really could not care less about committing war crimes as such is part and parcel of their day-to-day operations.

 

Gaza Al-Shifa Hospital

Gaza Al-Shifa Hospital

 

Hamas has even made claims that Israel struck with missile fire the Al-Shifa Hospital and the Shati Refugee Camp. Their claim ran into a problem as Israeli Iron Dome tracking systems had tracked the four rockets fired from a mobile launcher. The tracking showed their striking the Al-Shifa Hospital and the Shati Refugee Camp with the remaining two rockets heading for Ashkelon in Israel, which was intercepted, and off into the Mediterranean Sea. For the map showing the tracing use this link. Of course, by the time Israel went through their logs and found the proof that the rockets striking these locations were actually misfires by Hamas themselves came days later after the world and the media had dragged Israel over the coals and through the mud. That is another item Hamas relies on which is best represented by the quote of Sir Winston Churchill stating, “A lie gets halfway around the world before the truth has a chance to get its pants on.” This is even worse today as those lies now get around the world almost countless times, are discussed repeatedly, condemnations made and considered complete and all responsibilities assigned with the United Nations and its agencies already performing several investigations before the truth even finds its pants. From Shakespeare’s The Merchant of Venice, Act 2, Scene 2, states, “truth will come to light; murder cannot be hid long; a man’s son may, but at the length truth will out.” From this we get the phrase “Truth will out,” meaning that with time the truth will win and become known. This no longer applies as once social media decides an issue, and they jump so quickly even rivalling the speed of light, their initial conclusion never dies without long and tedious explanations as to how the truth was proven, and on social media anything longer than two-hundred-eighty characters is just too long to read and such a pain. Well, that is Twitter’s idea of limit to speech. With the media in so many forms so eager to prove that Israel is such a horrible and corrupt entity, the truth will out but so many just do not care. That is the reality and eventually it will cost the world a great debt which will eventually come due, they almost always do.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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May 18, 2018

Turkey Attacks Israel on World Diplomatic Stage, Again

 

Turkey is pulling what should be named the Mavi Marmara Maneuver once again. Allow us to give a quick refresher on the Mavi Marmara Affair. The Mavi Marmara was the lead ship in what began as just another break the Israeli Naval blockade on Hamas in Gaza. This one was organized by Turkey in cooperation with the IHH Humanitarian Relief Foundation, actually a terrorist group. The entire convoy was carrying relief in the form of past dated medicines and unusable foodstuffs. When the relief was delivered to Gaza, Hamas gave it the treatment it deserved and simply burned everything. The Mavi Marmara was the only ship which attempted to dock at Gaza and was intercepted by Israeli forces who boarded her armed with paintball guns shooting pepper spray. The Israeli forces were set upon by the IHH terrorists armed with clubs, baseball bats, iron rods, knives, machetes and other weapons. They were forced to defend themselves with sidearms and nine terrorists were killed and an undisclosed number of injured Israelis. Some of the Israelis had to be pulled from the Mediterranean as they had been thrown overboard after being beaten and one had to be rescued from the ship’s hold where he was to be abducted. The Mavi Marmara was received in Turkey with a heroes welcome on her return (see image below). Turkey screamed bloody murder, literally, and pulled their ambassador and threw the Israeli ambassador and embassy personnel who were Israeli out of Turkey. They then had the audacity to demanded million of dollars in reparations for the families of the dead terrorists and an official apology. Israel caved to the Turkish treachery.

 

Mavi Marmara Received Heroes Welcome Upon Return to Turkey

Mavi Marmara Received Heroes Welcome Upon Return to Turkey

 

Israel desired to have good relations with Turkey so much that they paid the twenty-one-million dollar ransom demanded by Erdogan presumably to be given to the families of those killed or injured resulting from the IHH terrorists setting upon the IDF which boarded the Mavi Marmara to enforce a legal blockade of the Hamas terrorists in Gaza. Many advised Prime Minister Netanyahu to stand up against Turkey’s President Erdogan and refuse to pay the ransom for relations. The Security Cabinet, on the Prime Minister’s suggestion, agreed that relations with Turkey were worth the twenty-one-million dollars. It now turns out they were probably wrong. The problem is not so much Turkey’s people who treat vacationing Israelis well as they rake in the money. Turkey has some form of appeal to our fellow Israelis that we as Olim apparently do not understand. Since many of the Israeli vacationers are younger people, perhaps it is an ageism thing. Whatever it is, we would advise perhaps Greece if one must go abroad for vacation, otherwise Israel has everything from nice sandy beaches to desert sand to the sandy shores of the Dead Sea and; well, OK, we see the problem, sand. But many go to the shores of the Black Sea in Turkey, so it may not be the sand. Time to visit the Greek Islands instead of Turkey as they once again sent the Israeli Ambassador packing and pulled the Turkish Ambassador to Israel back to Turkey for new directions. While the Israeli Ambassador was departing Turkey, he was subjected to an undo security check as if he were a suspected terrorist. He was required to be patted-down, remove his shoes, carry-on baggage ransacked and other indignities all intended to embarrass Israel and make Erdogan appear to be powerful and able to disgrace Israel at will. We have included this video from Al-Jazeera which we are sure has some angle, especially in its coverage of Gaza and the history over the Mavi Marmara. The supposed tenth terrorist who presumably died did so after return to Turkey so for that we must take Turkey’s word for this.

 

 

These actions are all in the past, some of it recent. So what should Israel do about this insult from Erdogan, and that is what this is, Erdogan coming to the support of his Hamas friends and making a scene upon the world stage. Erdogan is seeking aggrandizement to make himself appear as the leader of the Arab and Muslim world and the reestablished Caliph of the Ottoman Empire. Erdogan often speaks of reestablishing the Ottoman rule over the Middle East initially, and then North Africa followed by the world, the routine by numerous Arab and Iranian leaders is well recognized and overplayed. The Mullah are doing it in Iran using their former glory as the Persians, Kaddafi did it in Libya, Nasser did it in Egypt, Arafat and Abbas have played it looking like fools as they did and the Saudis claim it as they hold the Two Holy Cities (we will have to wait and see what Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud (Arabic: سلمان بن عبد العزیز آل سعود‎) will proclaim if anything as initially he appears to be taking an untride route for the future of Saudi Arabia. But the subject now is Turkey and its President for Life Recep Tayyip Erdogan. This would be the right time to knock this pretender to the Caliph of the Ottoman Empire down a notch and possibly change the picture of current affairs in the Middle East.

 

Turkey’s Erdogan is feeling like a big man in the world currently with his slaughtering of Kurds in northern Syria and taking his first steps to reestablish the Ottoman Empire. You do not need to take our word on this, take his quotes from an article by Jihad Watch. Israel need first make a clean break with Turkey by pulling all staff out of Turkey and leaving the embassy an empty shell of a building. This should be performed quickly and with stealth. A nation which can remove tons of actual information out of Tehran and bring it to Israel and allow the United States to view all and do that in one night can surely take out all Israelis working in the embassy in one night. Israel should advise all Israelis who work in Turkey that Israel will no longer be able to defend them nor protect them as relations have been terminated. When Turkey then retaliates, Israel should be prepared to terminate any Turkish airlines from service within Israel, close all Turkish consulates (unless that was Erdogan’s move) and expel all other services which are purely of Turkish origins. There will be those who will claim that this hurts Israelis financially, and this might be true but sometimes people get hurt when nations fight. But all of this is minor strategy. The final strategy could be almost devastating for Turkey, though it would require some assistance which we believe might be given willingly.

 

Prime Minister Netanyahu should dispatch somebody he can trust and who would be well received in Washington. The Prime Minister should not do this himself but instead allow another to take a risk, all be it with President Trump. This envoy would be empowered to state the Prime Minister supports the idea but only if help can be depended upon, as for Israel doing this alone would be a stretch. Should President Trump agree that this is the right time and the best way to protect people facing a genocidal maniac out to murder them, then this could be the time to recognize a new and deserving nation, Kurdistan. This Kurdish nation would be inclusive of all the Kurdish people and span parts of northern and northeastern Syria, northern Iraq, southeastern Turkey, and if this is to be the boldest move ever, a small part of northwestern Iran. The Kurds are a people under threat in all these areas. Turkey under the direction of Erdogan has used pogroms against the Kurds of Turkey, is currently sweeping norther Syria killing men, women and children in the Kurdish cities and towns and who knows how far he plans on going as he has mentioned his desire to add Aleppo and Mosul to his extending of Greater Turkey (see map below). Iranian backed Iraqi troops have pushed the Kurds and continue to do so in northern Iraq and the Kurds in Iran are not treated well and definitely are less equal than others. Establishing the nation the British were supposed to have made after World War I would be something whose time has definitely come. We have called for a Kurdistan before and it is almost a pet idea here. Another democratically ruled state with the liberties and freedoms that come with such a state would be a great addition in the Middle East. Stopping Erdogan’s genocide of the Kurds would also be a plus as the world does not need another Armenian styled tragedy as occurred from 1915 through 1917 in what would today be Armenia and northern Turkey. The Kurds can be saved and with the United States and Israel recognizing the new nation and providing any necessary assistance, the Kurdish People are likely to accept the invitation to this party.

 

Greater Turkey

Greater Turkey

 

One of the main reasons that the Kurds did not declare their independence after their survey in September of last year (2017), was because the United States State Department advised that they would get no assistance from the United States. We have a feeling that President Trump was not even advised of this opportunity for the establishing of Kurdistan or was poorly advised that it would be a terror state by State Department functionaries (also called the Deep State). Would such a nation be greeted in its region. Well, the answer is yes if an invasion by Iraq, Iran, Turkey, Bashir al-Assad in Syria all simultaneously but with no coordination between Turkey with the remainder who would be directed by Iran. Once the initial invading forces were neutralized and their advance halted, from that point forward we believe the Kurds would insist on protecting their own nation if given the tools. They would require the arming with heavy weapons of their entire military, which would be built from scratch. They would require air support until their own pilots were cleared to fly modern fighter jets. Once trained, judging from their experience against the Islamic State, the Kurdish militias were responsible for much of the defeat of the Islamic State which they accomplished largely on their own with only minimal assistance beyond air cover. The only condition which should be placed on Kurdistan is that anyone residing within their borders be permitted to remain providing they are supportive and not prone to terrorist activities. Founding the nation of Kurdistan would blunt Erdogan’s hopes to establish a Greater Turkey, which he would call the Second Ottoman Empire (the man has delusions), would establish a base to blunt violence, which is currently plaguing northern Syria, southern Turkey and northern Iraq, three hot spots on the globe. It would end Turkey’s current invasion of Syria and his likely planned invasion of Iraq. Ending Erdogan’s hallucinatory dreams of reestablishing the Ottoman Empire would also stave off a war between Turkey and Iran, one in which Turkey could invoke Article 5 of the NATO Treaty and drag the United States into the conflict. Apparently, the United States would likely be dragged into any conflict between Turkey and Iran, so as long as one will be dragged into a conflict, why not one which ends much of the violence and not takes it up a few notches and tempts a world war. Establish Kurdistan and it ends the possibility of a Turkey-Iran War when the two expansionist nations both want the same area, Mosul to be exact. Give Mosul to the Kurds as it used to be theirs before Saddam Hussein used chemical weapons to eviscerate the Kurdish population so his military could simple walk in without facing resistance. One more reason to protect the Kurds is by giving them their rightful country. The final reason it has to be a great idea is because the State Department hates the idea of recognizing Kurdistan because it would be the right thing to do, they always stand against the right thing as Israel can testify. The State Department advised President Truman to refuse recognition of Israel and to refuse to permit them into the United Nations and has been fully behind every harebrained idea which had derogatory effects upon Israel, our example is Gaza Disengagement which brought Hamas to our borders with their own nation of a sorts. Finally, establishing Kurdistan would really upset Turkish President Erdogan and do so to such an extent as to possibly have him burst a few blood vessels.

 

One last point which just came to our attention, and for some reason, we are absolutely positive that Erdogan had something to do with arranging this, though it is a feeling without definitive proof. What has occurred is that the UAE government, which led the investigation, seized the shipment of electronic equipment comprised of CSP 180/300 capacitors from Turkey to Iran in July 2017. Making matters worse, the Turkish company bought these capacitors from Celem Power Capacitors manufactured in Jerusalem, Israel leading the United Nations Secretariat to ask Israel to investigate the matter. A Celem company spokesperson responded to queries stating, “We will prove that we sold it to Turkey, to an orderly company. We don’t sell to enemy countries. Most of our sales are to Europe and the US, but Turkey is not an enemy state and there is no reason not to trade with it. In any event, if the shipment actually arrived in Iran, the Turkish buyer cheated us.” To us this appears as an attempt by Tukey to get these obviously Israeli capacitors into Iran thus implicating Israel after having erased any trace of their participation in the routing, which to us reeks of Erdogan manipulation of companies, people and facts.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

May 16, 2018

Iran, Europe, Israel, Syria and the State of Things

Filed under: Israel — qwertster @ 1:55 AM
Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

 

Allow us to start with a direct quote from Giulio Meotti’s article titled, “Europe has chosen disgrace” where he stated referring to Europe as a whole, “It has no interest in Israel. Indeed, I will say more: in their intimate thoughts, in their “mental deal”, most Europeans think that Israel, the country most at risk from a nuclearized Iran, is a burden, and that the Middle East would be more peaceful without a Jewish State.” At this point, we need to place a disclaimer, we really do not hate France and we are using someone else’s material and we do have to agree that France did provide the largest target of recent history of anti-Israel bias. Quoting from deeper in Giulio Meotti’s article, we find the following list.

-in 1967, when De Gaulle made the pro-Arab choice and applied an embargo to Israel:
-during the Intifada, when the Israelis were slaughtered on buses and the French ambassador in London Daniel Bernard called Israel “that little country of s….t”;
-with Saddam Hussein, when France ran to sell him missiles and nuclear technology;
-with Arafat, treated like a king by Mitterrand and who died in Paris:
-with Valéry Giscard d’Estaing who granted asylum to Khomeini in Paris;
-with the Jews killed in the French suburbs and the French authorities unable to protect them.

One last quote from the article and then we will add our commentary. Giulio Meotti further reports, “The day after the US left the nuclear agreement with Iran, trying to build a Western alliance to stop Iranian expansionism, French President Macron called Iranian President Rouhani on the phone with the aim of ‘continuing to implement the nuclear agreement and to maintain regional stability’”

 

France aside, Germany, Britain and much of Europe allowing the European Union to all agree that business with Iran is far more important than siding with some American cowboy businessman and his insult to his predecessor’s efforts to reach the JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) which, as far as the European powers are concerned, is a simply perfect agreement which at least delays the Iranian nuclear program. Anyways, the Iranian nuclear program is no threat to Europe, they chant “Death to America” and “Death to Israel” and not Death to Europe. Iran is doing business with the Europeans and everybody is sharing technology and making profits and getting what they desire from one another. Sure, some of the goods being exchanged could be adapted for use in the production of advanced nuclear devices, but the treaty will prevent that, so what could possibly be the harm. The Europeans are once again doing business with the greatest evil governance on the planet under the illusion that it would never target them, there is an agreement. Some places never learn from history, something which appears to be a problem the world over. At least our readers know of the foreboding warning given by writer and philosopher George Santayana, “Those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” So, where can we go from such a beginning?

 

Map of the European Union

Map of the European Union

 

There is the entirety of the mess in Syria which has much to do with Iran. Without the assistance of Iran, Bashir al-Assad would have been removed from power as the Russians would have simply reached an agreement with one of the dissident groups, be they Sunnis or Kurds, and in return for retaining their airstrip and naval ports, they would have allowed one to form a new government. Russia might have even permitted the breaking up of Syria into three separate nations allowing the Alawites to retain governance over their areas, the Druze to rule their mountainous regions, the Kurds to join with the Kurds in Iraq and form a new Kurdistan and the Sunni to have their own governance. Such an agreement would have ended the Syrian debacle and shut down its meat-grinder and made the region safer for many of the refugees and desperate people remaining within Syria to return and rebuild their homes and cities.

 

The problem is Iran requires that they have complete control over all of Syria such that they have a route direct from Iran through Iraq and Syria to Lebanon and the Mediterranean Sea. So, it was at the insistence of Iran that all of Syria had to be brought back into their fold and under the rule of Bashir al-Assad and the Alawite Shiite Islamic power base. Russia could have lived with an agreement with the Alawites by exchanging Russian protection of their western region and coastal Syria for using the ports to service the Russian Mediterranean and Atlantic fleets and their airstrip assuring them they would also retain Damascus. Russia and the Alawites along with al-Assad would have even gained the support of the United States had they gone for such a solution. Europe would have been less taxed as the numbers of refugees would have been reduced significantly. The only country which gains by continuing the civil war in Syria is Iran and their insistence for ruling all of Syria through their puppet al-Assad so they have a direct route to the Mediterranean and to the Israeli northern border. It is the Iranians attempt to become the hegemonic power lording over the entirety of the Middle East and using this as their power base in order to spread their power even further. This is where the Europeans are making their mistaken assumptions that the Iranians have no designs on Europe in their future. The Mullahs of Iran have designs not only on Europe, but on every corner of the globe, as their eventual rule, according to the Quran, will be the entirety of the world. The only variable is how long this conquest will take and that will depend upon their first two apparent targets, Israel and the United States.

 

Another item which should be pointed out is that Europe is anything but a monolithic culture or has any political uniformity. There is a definitive demarcation line dividing the culture and body politic within Europe and it can be drawn between the Warsaw Pact nations which emerged from the rule of the Soviet Union and the older nations of Western Europe. Where Western Europe is largely secular humanist, Eastern Europe has had a resurgence of their religious base which they had been denied for so long. Even Russia has been experiencing a resurgence of the Russian Orthodox Church. These Eastern European nations largely refused to accept the refugees from the Middle East and North Africa between a combination of refusal to permit their entrance to having military assure that they travelled straight through in the trains and left on the farthest border. Many of the refugees were passed in such manner from one Eastern European country to the next until the refugees could be dumped in Germany. This was great as far as many of the refugees were concerned as their target nations of choice were Germany and Sweden with France and Britain following initially. Soon after BREXIT, the British conservative government of Theresa May closed their border to the refugees to limit their influence and numbers. Should she be replaced by the leader of the Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn, we can expect that decision to be reversed, to the detriment of Britain. This European split is further born witness as the Scandinavian countries are suffering from a similar malaise as the Western Europeans as they too have adopted the secular humanistic vision and socialist polity, a seeming disease with horrific consequences. There is one problem which extends throughout Europe, reproductive rates well below replacement rate. Replacement rate is defined US National Library of Medicine National Institutes of Health as, “In developed countries, replacement level fertility can be taken as requiring an average of 2.1 children per woman. In countries with high infant and child mortality rates, however, the average number of births may need to be much higher.” The European levels of reproduction range from below to well below the required rates to provide sufficient replacement levels (see chart below). For a socialist based economy, low reproductive rates are a death knell, as such governance requires, at a minimum, replacement level reproduction and works best while the population is increasing. As long as there are more workers than retired people and others dependent on government welfare, then the socialist economy is possible, even if not necessarily desirable. The lack of reproduction at replacement levels pressures governments to open the borders for immigration to provide the needed and necessary workers. Problems arise if the immigrants who arrive are unaccustomed to the work ethic at the center of the Judeo-Christian ethics, as they simply add to the welfare rolls and making the economic challenges even greater and possibly far too formidable to overcome.

 

Population Statistics for Europe

Population Statistics for Europe

 

Europe’s sagging economies which are barely, if even, meeting their financial requirements which was part of the reason so many had all but their contractual obligations to support the NATO treaty. President Trump made a demand that the Europeans remember and honor their obligations if they desired remaining in NATO. President Trump, contrary to the claims of his detractors, has gathered advisors who also see the future challenges looming larger and larger on the distant horizons. The winds are blowing in just such a way that unless care is taken, then there may be some very dark clouds troubling the world all too soon. The initial targets may not be as they seem. Iran has lately tested the mettle of the Israelis with a barrage of rockets launched by their Quds Force. The Israeli response was swift and definitive. The response came the next morning from Tehran where Iranian President Hassan Rouhani stated, Iran does not want “new tensions” in the Middle East. Rouhani told German Chancellor Angela Merkel in a telephone call, according to a statement on the website of Iran’s presidency and quoted by AFP and Arutz Sheva, “Iran has always sought to reduce tensions in the region, trying to strengthen security and stability.” What Rouhani did not bother to inform anybody, though he knows the Supreme Leader’s thoughts on the issue, stability in the Middle East to Iran would mean that Iran ruled the entirety and were working towards expanding beyond either into North Africa or across Europe. This is why the basic assumptions of the European Union and the Western European and Scandinavian nations that the Iran treaty is simply all that is required to contain Iranian ambitions. The Europeans simply ignore the broadcasts from Tehran and reports coming from cities across Iran of crowds chanting “Death to America” and “Death to Israel” as simple boasting for internal consumption. They tell themselves that all the bluster is simple nonsense and, after all, such things are of no concern to the Europeans, they are above such things as waring and fighting as their societies have evolved and taken the world into the age of treaties and talking out differences. To the Europeans, nobody would resort to waging wars anymore as World War I and World War II and atomic weapons have made war something obsolete and too awful to even contemplate. Further, the Europeans are so sure of their knowledge of the world that they are betting their lives, their culture, their future and the peace of the world on it. That begs the question, what if they are wrong?

 

From here forward, unless some drastic changes come over what many call Old Europe, the remainder of history will be written without their input and very possibly their consent. The age of Europe leading the world have waned and their light has dimmed. This, at least, is the belief of New Persia, the identity which the leadership of Iran has taken. They believe that Europe is an empty land full of people with no stomach for conflict. They believe they are using Russia bending President Putin to their will in Syria. Here, there is more than a modicum of truth to their reasoning. Russian President Putin has sought to find some means of extracting the Russian forces thus far withdrawing them to protecting their naval bases and their airfield. They are no longer working to combat the enemies of al-Assad, as the Islamic State has become something that forces allied with the United States are mopping up the remainder. There are no longer any threats which Russia needs commit herself to defeating in Syria as the Syria conflict has become an Iranian war. Iran is fighting the Syrian War, the Yemen War, remains of the Iraq War, Sistan-Baluchestan insurgency and some other intra-Iranian conflicts. The coming conflicts will largely come from objectives as set out by the Iranian hunger to gain their hegemony. This is the reality which all too many have chosen to ignore. Those who are not ignoring it, many are simply unprepared to face the reality and unwilling to take the needful steps to make a difference, and, lastly, the few who have seen the coming challenges are being belittled and pecked at by media and left wing subversions. These false fronts crowd the real news off the pages and from the newscasts leaving much of the world’s public completely uninformed. The future conflicts will initially not even be considered worthy of coverage by the media unless they can be spun against Israel or President Trump. This will allow those desiring to commit mischief the freedom to do so all the while moving towards their desired ends. When things reach the fevered pitch making them unavoidable and are thus reported upon, they will claim that everything came out of nowhere and would never have become this way if only the correct people had been elected. This will be the beginning of the next great deception, something we will talk of more in the future. For now, watch Iran, Russia and the Middle East. There will be two other nations of interest which may have much to offer in the future, India and China as they are rising powers who have the luxury of time.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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