Beyond the Cusp

April 28, 2015

How to Spell Hypocrite, US or UN?

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When it comes to the subject of Israel both United States and United Nations are first class Hypocrites. Let us start with the United Nations where Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon stated in a written complaint to the Security Council stating, “I deplore the fact that at least forty-four Palestinians were killed as a result of Israeli actions and at least two-hundred-twenty-seven injured at United Nations premises being used as emergency shelters.” There were a few rather significant details which were probably missed in this one-sided complaint such as the fact that rockets were fired from locations adjacent to or on top of UNRWA facilities or that during Operation Protective Edge three separate schools were found to have caches of rockets that the UNRWA staff allowed Hamas or Islamic Jihad to remove them instead of having them destroyed or turned over to neutral observers in order to allow for them to be removed from storage under the inspection and safe passage added by UNRWA personnel observing such removals. Such actions as permitting the storage of these weapons and then granting their removal to the hostile force which had stored them illegally in these UNRWA schools made UNRWA complicit in this criminal use of their facilities. The fact that one UNRWA health clinic was itself simply nothing more than a trap set with eighty kilograms of explosives which were built into the walls and otherwise it having served as a tunnel entrance was yet another piece of damning evidence of UNRWA complicity. Beneath the clinic were found intersecting tunnels accessible from within but the real criminal act was the detonation of those explosives set into the clinic’s walls during its construction, a construction dome under United Nations supervision where UNRWA provided their trusted employees to oversee the construction who also permitted the instillation of explosives knowing the intent was to kill Israelis in any conflict where they could be drawn to enter the clinic. This was done during Operation Protective Edge when very likely combatants were observed entering the clinic implying tunnel access or other related activity within the clinic. Upon IDF troops entry of the clinic to investigate the explosives were detonated murdering in an UNRWA complicit ambush in conjunction with Hamas of three IDF soldiers; Sergeant First Class Matan Gottlieb, 21, from Rishon LeZion, hy”d; Sergeant First Class Omar Chai, 21, from Savion, hy”d; and Sergeant First Class Guy Algranati, 20, of Tel Aviv, hy”d.

 

In related information omitted from the Secretary General’s letter of condemnation was that the deaths of over a dozen innocent Arab residents of Gaza who were being shielded in the United Nations built Shifa Hospital which everyone were so quick to place the blame on Israel proved to have been a misfired Hamas Fajr-5 Iranian-made 100 kg warhead missile which was targeted at Israel which caused the destruction, but that little fact was not considered important to note as the Shifa Hospital is also run by UNRWA. Of course the United States refused to be left out of this story as well as the United Nations during the course of the Israeli operation it was Israel that was criticized by both the United Nations and the United States for attacking UNRWA facilities. After Israeli returned fire using data from targeting given by counter artillery/rocket/missile radar system to provide targeting resolution of the launch sites, which resulted in these schools being within the blast radius of the return fire of targeting of Israeli civilians by Hamas and Islamic Jihad, the same expectations of the United Nations and the United States Department of State in condemning Israel for targeting UNRWA schools when in fact Israel was targeting active launch sites which were aimed specifically at Israeli civilian targets. See picture below which illustrates the Radar Trajectory of the barrage launched from within Gaza by either Hamas or Islamic Jihad or other allied with them depicting the strike points for four rockets, including the short round strike on the Shifa Hospital which Israel was blamed by Hamas and Media accepted Hamas talking point unchecked, one falling in the Mediterranean Sea, another short round striking the Shati Refugee Camp and lastly, one running true targeting Ashkelon which was intercepted by the IDF Iron Dome system.

 

 

Radar Trajectory of barrage launched from within Gaza depicting strike points including the short round strike on the Shifa Hospital which Israel blamed by Hamas and Media accepted Hamas talking point unchecked

Radar Trajectory of barrage launched from within Gaza depicting strike points including the short round strike on the Shifa Hospital which Israel blamed by Hamas and Media accepted Hamas talking point unchecked

 

 

Speaking for the United States Department of State, Jennifer Psaki stated, “The United States is appalled by today’s disgraceful shelling outside an UNRWA school in Rafah sheltering some three-thousand displaced persons, in which at least ten more Palestinian civilians were tragically killed. We once again stress that Israel must do more to meet its own standards and avoid civilian casualties.” According to Agency France Press (AFP), an IDF spokesperson confirmed it had fired on a target “in the vicinity” of the school. Additionally, the IDF pressed the importance this is being given and the review is ongoing stating, “The IDF targeted three PIJ (Islamic Jihad) terrorists on board a motorcycle in the vicinity of an UNRWA school in Raffia. The IDF is reviewing the consequences of this strike.” According to Ms. Psaki, “The suspicion that militants are operating nearby does not justify strikes that put at risk the lives of so many innocent civilians. We call for a full and prompt investigation of this incident as well as the recent shelling of other UNRWA schools.” So as not to allow the United Nations be left out and the United States have all the apparent glee in condemning Israel for defending her citizen and valuing their safety primarily while conducting on a war footing, United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon stated, “This madness must stop.” He also demanded that these actions by Israel constitute “yet another gross violation of international humanitarian law.” Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon continued his assault on Israel demanding, “This attack, along with other breaches of international law, must be swiftly investigated and those responsible held accountable. It is a moral outrage and a criminal act.”

 

But now comes the United Nations report which looked into these seven attacks on United Nations schools in Gaza during Operation Protective Edge, the same UNRWA schools in the above situation and every other single shell of artillery or other munitions utilized by Israel in their previously determined criminal act which must not be considered an act of self-defense but a blatant attack which has been established and assumed by this report. The report has been disclosed to Hamas, possibly searching for more damning information be it fabricated or potentially supported by supposition of Israeli intent outside self-defense despite evidence to the contrary. Hamas’s warm acceptance of the report is sufficiently telling and it being a United Nations report which relied heavily on UNRWA supplied information on these strikes. There is one question which will never be asked nor will it be answered or included in any reference to UNRWA provided information, namely, was the UNRWA official in any manner or form also a member of Hamas, Islamic Jihad or other related organization or group? I am aware that even thinking such might be relevant makes me unqualified to comment on anything compiled by the United Nations because I am obviously one of those Zionist stooges who actually believes that facts matter as do Jewish lives. Since these strikes were counter-radar-tracking electronic aiming which permits the placing of return fire to within a ten meter area centered on the launch site, a three round return of fire should neutralize that firing position, but if I have my information right, the IDF often uses a single round depending on a minimalist return strike in order to minimize damage to structures near to these launch sites which are almost always next to or on the roof of United Nations structures such as UNRWA schools (or dare I refer to them as rocket storage facilities), clinics (or dare I claim these are nothing but explosive rigged walls over tunnel access simply waiting for IDF soldiers to enter before being detonated), hospitals (or do we dare mention the Hamas command and control main facility sits in the basement of the largest hospital in Gaza technically making it a valid target yet it remains standing for some reason, potentially Israeli compassions and restraint?) and other such United Nations sites such as the soccer field which hid a number of underground rocket launching locations which flip open the roof, fire, close roof and return to looking like a soccer field.

 

Hamas spokesman Sami Abu Zuhri stated, emphasis or translation added in parenthesis, “We call on the world to send the murderous occupation (Israel) leaders to international courts, and we call on the (Arab Palestinian) Authority to investigate this report and to persecute (persecute was actually the way it was presented from the source) the occupation (Israel) in international courts.” I guess the best way to end this report is with another United States threat and what we feel would be the best answer to the American hypocrisy. United States Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman demanded, referring to presumed next Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu that she has chosen to have “raised questions about his commitment to the two-state solution.” Undersecretary of State Sherman expressed further misgivings about Benyamin Netanyahu’s changing positions on the formation of a Palestinian state during his time as head of the government. This caused her pause and great consternations which were deeply troubling. One might even feel pity for this woman who is so troubled by Israel but then she expressed such things as her claim that the State Department and Obama administration will be watching very closely to see what happens on this [Palestinian] issue after the new government is formed. Just as I thought that perhaps her concerns and expressing the willingness to wait and discern the position of the government after such was formed and then she has to go and state, “If the new Israeli government is seen to be stepping back from its commitment to a two-state solution that will make our job in the international arena much tougher… it will be harder for us to prevent internationalizing the conflict.”

 

The threat of not being able to prevent the internationalizing the conflict is so beyond troubling that it reaches well past damning as it is actually quite childish. The United States can simply state in the Security Council the same promise they tell their Jewish minions at the New York Times, namely that ‘the United States backs Israel in determining their own fate through direct negotiations and the United States will veto any resolution that unfairly targets solely Israel and is not balanced.’ Meanwhile, at a White House meet and greet the President spoke with the heads of Jewish organizations across the spectrum of Jewish organizations to assure them that all is well between Israel and the United States. The President also implied that there is a lot more concern in having the Jewish organizations be on board with the Iran deal should one be signed and presented to Congress and the President expressed wishes that they give the agreement a chance. This acute attention to the Iran nuclear weapons deal and the thinly veiled threats to throw Israel as red meat to the whims of the international attempts at forcing their idea of a solution on Israel while making no demands of the Arab Palestinian Authority leadership would be awarding Abbas and Hamas a recognized state with the maximalist borders pushing Israel back to the same starting gates which brought on only war and this time would only be different in that even should the Arab Palestinians shoot rockets onto the runways of Ben Gurion International Airport bringing all flights in and out of Israel basically to a standstill, and aim other rockets, larger rockets, at downtown Tel Aviv striking a number of the tallest skyscrapers and force three or four to collapse, would the world permit an assault to prevent further carnage or would Israel be locked from such actions.

 

It is understood that should the United Nations, in their furtive imaginations, force their idea of a solution that a number of factors would very soon thereafter come to fruition. The initial firing of a couple of thousand rockets, Grad and Katyusha short range rockets which do minimal damage but are still quite lethal, start fires and will destroy a small house or even apartment building killing numerous Israelis. The entirety of Israel made vulnerable to such rocket fire from the Judean Hills is beyond the capacity of just nine or even a dozen Iron Dome systems, it would require tens of such systems possibly even over a hundred to cover the entire region efficiently and effectively. Even so armed, there would be those which would get through and strike within the most densely populated areas in Israel. Just as the sparsity of population bordering Gaza near guarantees most unguided munitions will not hit anything vital nor would it kill anybody with minimal protections such as shelters, the area around Tel Aviv and overseen by the Judean Hills is as densely populated as the Gaza area was sparse, thus any rocket fired is likely to do harm and cause serious damage, the probabilities are diametrically opposites. After a week of such rocket fire Israel would have no choice but to strike into Judea and Samaria and destroy whatever rockets and rocket supplies and machines for producing them. That would be but a temporary fix and Israel would be brought before the General Assembly, perhaps the Security Council, and be reprimanded for their invasion of a United Nations member state and not simply bringing the problem to the attention of the United Nations and allow them to get right on it in a couple of months after it had been completely validated that Israel has actually been attacked by the actual forces of the Arab state of Palestine or had it been terrorists for which Palestine must not be burdened with responsibility of preventing every terror attack and it will be determined they are doing everything that can be expected from them. Eventually the United Nations will respond to the Arab state of Palestine requesting international peacekeepers be placed on their border with Israel to protect the innocent Arabs from those horrific warmongering Israelis (Jews). The international peacekeepers will serve their purpose of preventing Israel incursions into the Arab nation of Palestine but will also be true to their mission statement which will not instruct them to intercede or interdict with the firing of rockets, missiles, artillery or other projectiles from within that Arab state onto Israelis and their properties. Eventually Israel will be faced with the choice of no longer existing as a nation or to retake all of Judea and Samaria and forcing every known terrorist or operative, officer, representative or anybody inferred to have any connection to terrorism or the launching of projectiles into Israel completely out of Judea and Samaria annexing every inch of the lands by right of international law implementing the San Remo Conference and its results and the United Nations guarantees of enforcing the terms of the Mandates set up by that treaty which was enacted with the unanimous agreement of the member states of the League of Nations and the United States signed as well in a treaty with the British and confirmed by Article 80 in the United Nations Charter. The residents under the areas under Israeli rule have the guarantee to individual rights, property rights, religious rights but are not guaranteed political rights so such may be withheld and permitted as per the necessities as determined to be in the best interests of Israel. Such would likely mean that with time these Arabs would be granted either some form of autonomy or granted political rights within Israel. The granting of an Arab state without any Arab recognition of Israeli right to exist would be a disaster simply waiting to happen and such would be triggered by the first election of the forced takeover by Hamas. But why worry about the future, that has never seemed to be the concern of the United Nations in anything they have attempted from day two, we will grant them that ratifying their Charter may have been a step in the right direction, but that apparently went directly to their heads and they have never moved in a similar sensible direction since, so why start now.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

April 6, 2013

Is North Korea Sabre Rattling for Attention or Real Threat?

The sabre rattling by North Korean Dictator Kim Jong Un was notched up another level with the transfer of middle range ballistic missiles being deployed to the east coast threatening immediate launch ability. In the past such bellicose actions were simply a prelude to demands for emergency aid consisting of both funding and sizeable shipments of food to allow this financial wreck of a country to at least feed its military more so than feed its people. The problem this time is that we once again have a new semi-deity in charge and he is very young and likely going much further than his father or his father’s father in order to be taken more seriously. This is not to make him appear any greater to the outside world as much as it could be to convince the generals and others who might think the time might be ripe to replace the ruling family that he is amply ready and willing to use force. The problem is that we have little knowledge of the young Kim Jong Un which makes the question of how far he is willing to go in this brazen belligerence and whether this will turn out to be another North Korean ploy for aid or an actual threat to be taken deadly serious. When one adds the announced restart of the plutonium producing facility at Yongbyon the threats become even more real. The unfortunate truth is that it will not be clear which motivation is driving the threatening moves by North Korea until either the missiles have been launched or the plea for food and monetary aid and other possible demands are presented. In the meantime we also have no idea whether the actions taken by President Obama are prudent and will make the consequences clear so that Kim Jong Un or his Generals will be more likely to want to stand down or if he will feel that his leadership is being challenged and make Kim Jong Un far more likely to actually execute and act on his threats. And that begs the question that with absolutely no HUMIT (human intelligence) capabilities in North Korea, what are the actual capabilities currently available to the North Korean military? We are assuming that the North Koreans do not have ICBMs capable of striking mainland United States or even anywhere on Earth or if their longest range missiles are not even able to reach Hawaii. The one thing we know for certain is that most of what we know is uncertain.

Most pundits have made the argument that Kim Jong Un would never challenge the United States as he would have to know that the counter-strike would completely devastate his country. But does he honestly believe that or would he be more likely to believe that under the leadership of President Obama who has presumably frozen most of the funds for upkeep of the United States nuclear arsenal and who has spoken of unilaterally denuclearizing the United States as an example in order to convince the rest of the world to also give up their nuclear weapons that the United States deterrence has been weakened or destroyed to the point where it has become ineffective? Even the slightest uncertainty caused by these comments and policies and other actions by President Obama could cause sufficient doubt to embolden the young North Korean leader. Much might be directly dependent upon what his generals and other advisors have been telling him which again is a complete unknown to the West. As any planner or maker of policies will tell you, the worst thing they ever face is uncertainty and lack of reliable and credible intelligence, or as in the case of North Korea, almost no intelligence beyond satellite surveillance and offshore eavesdropping. The truth we all must realize is that we are dealing with an untested and inexperienced leader of a country which has little or nothing to lose who is ramping up his bellicose belligerence for reasons unknown, for what ends, we have no idea, whose aims are also completely unknown. We are aware that he was raised being taught that North Korea had military power that was equal or superior to anything the United States might possess and that he could be acting with a completely false set of concepts and suppositions about what a response from the United States might entail. Kim Jong Un could very well believe that he has the ability to strike the United States with a knockout blow which would preclude any retaliatory strike.

With such uncertainty it is difficult to decide what would be the most prudent plan to implement. The most crucial unknown is how Kim Jong Un would react to any actions taken by the United States, South Korea, Japan or others. We cannot even be assured that Kim Jong Un would react in a predictable manner should we convince China or Russia to intervene to try to step down the situation. Thus far President Obama has presented an initial show of potential for force which could be availed but has not made any direct threats and appears to be willing to take a muted response rather than respond to the threats from North Korea by returning threats in kind. The one advantage to facing an untested and unknown entity is that there can be no second guessing as everyone is in the same predicament of a lack of knowledge. The down side is that everybody is in the dark and those tasked with making the decisions have nowhere and no one to turn to for advice or options which contain any real degree of certainty based on knowledge and previous experiences. There will hopefully not be much room for second guessing once this situation has passed as that will mean it did not escalate beyond the point of no return as starting a war is the least desirable outcome, especially one that might very well include nuclear weapons use.

For many of us this feels vaguely familiar having lived through a few of these North Korean temper tantrums and breathed sighs of relief when the whole incident returned to calm with the agreement to pay tribute as a ransom. This time feels somewhat different, even more so than when Kim Jong-il succeeded his father, Kim Il-Sung. Let us hope that the difference is simply because we are dealing with the next generation in Kim Jong Un and not something more sinister and foreboding. Should this end well, or at least without resorting to violence, we will hopefully gain the advantage of gleaning an amount of familiarity with the workings of the mind of this new North Korean leader. It is said that experience can be a very hard teacher, let’s just pray that experience will be lenient and not take too big of a toll for this lesson.

There is one great consequence when writing articles about fast progressing situations; they have the annoying habit of changing on you while you are writing about them. This one has proven that theory and in grand style. While writing news arrived informing that North Korean authorities had warned that they would be unable to guarantee the safety of embassies, consulates and other facilities after April 10, and all should consider evacuating their missions amid soaring nuclear tensions. “Their communication said that from April 10, the North Korean government would be unable to guarantee the safety of embassies and international organizations in the country in the event of conflict. Our understanding is that the North Koreans were asking whether embassies are intending to leave, rather than advising them to leave,” according to a spokeswoman for Britain’s Foreign Office, according to AFP. This is a new wrinkle and raises the level of warnings and bellicose threats considerably and makes the idea that North Korea will be launching something around mid-month almost assured. The question now is what will they place atop the missile or missiles, the plural is significantly more likely, and where will they all be targeting? Would the North Koreans go so far as to launch a small nuclear warhead to detonate over a sizeable area of open Pacific Ocean just to prove their ability? Would they detonate EMP nuclear devices which have low yield with extremely high Gama radiation which initiates a massive electronic pulse which will destroy all unprotected electronic devices and power systems? Depending on the size and placement would determine the amount of damage which would result. Or worst case scenario would be including in their launchings one capsule into a polar orbit mimicking a weather satellite which was actually an EMP device designed to appear and transmit data similar to that of any regular weather satellite and a few days later as it passed over the central United States dropping it into the high atmosphere and detonating the device possibly destroying much of the North American power grid and incalculable electronic devices and systems across the entire continent. Whatever Kim Jong Un is hatching, my bet is there will not be many applauding his efforts and I am nervous that even fewer will be able to applaud after his little surprise is over. A young unproven dictator who may feel inadequate and insecure in his position is a very dangerous entity.

Beyond the Cusp

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