Beyond the Cusp

July 2, 2017

Time is Ticking and Storms are Brewing

 

A couple of weeks back we wrote a fairly vague article titled Some Cataclysm This Way Comes where we wrote that something unpleasant is brewing and then spent time speaking of how wars start from the smallest of things and can become worldwide actions. Things are heating up as the Syrian debacle winds itself down and Iran takes control over much of the Syrian territory. The most important area in Syria is a triangle initially identified by Mark Langfan in an article here (map below). The area is marked by the three cities of At Tanf, Abu Kamal, and Ar Rusafah. The area was, and some still is, held by Daesh, also called Islamic State. It is important because it controls the Iraqi-Syrian border through which Iran is now able to pass any and all military and other equipment they require freely and without interference and far from prying eyes. Of course, everything is visible both day and night to the satellites and to their eyes in the stratosphere which can read the book left open in your lap while you watch the children play. Their sight is almost as sharp at night as in midday. These are owned by the major players who are currently both diddling in the same sandbox called Syria. As was in the good old days, they are not on the same side but at least they are not entirely opposing one another. While President Vladimir Putin is supporting Syrian President Bashir al-Assad, President Donald Trump has been backing the Kurds. Both sides are fighting against Islamic State while Bashir al-Assad and his Iranian allies are attempting to destroy every Sunni group backed by Saudi Arabia. It is hoped that President Putin has at least taken the precaution of telling his “friends” to leave the Kurdish troops, the Peshmerga and civilians alone even if they are apparently Sunni, after all the Sunni did not particularly like the Kurds either. Then there are the side players, which obviously includes the Saudi Royals as well as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan who has already felt the wrath of Russian President Putin and thus has altered his target from al-Assad to the Kurdish civilians and their Peshmerga fighters. Soon he may hear from President Trump or perhaps President Trump would have President Putin make a polite request that Erdoğan simply pass on everything Syria if he would like to be on everybody involveds’ good side. The real mess in Syria includes Iraq which is also attempting to cleanse their nation of Sunnis one way or another. All of this is to realize the Iranian dream we have been mentioning for quite some time, the Shiite crescent from the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean Sea. Iran has accomplished its objective over the past eight years with the blessings and condoning eyes of the Obama administration. All that is left is to clean the route up and secure it for the rest of time granting them free access to the Israeli border whenever they so desire. What is reassuring for Israel is that Iran has other fish they so dearly desire to fry first and that also gives the world time to wake up to what is coming as Iran wants to control the world. That is correct, we have one more contestant who desires world conquest and apparently, President Erdoğan appears to have signed on as he has been providing troops to Qatar, the possible flash point at the moment.

 

Syrian Triangle as Reported by Mark Langfan

Syrian Triangle as Reported by Mark Langfan

 

Currently Qatar has been playing a game of nerves using their media outlets to attack the Saudi Royal Family calling into question their religious observance and morals. They have accused the Saudis of allying with Israel and being the stooge of the United States. They have used Al-Jazeera, the print, on-line and television in these attacks. This started when right before President Trump made his visit to Saudi Arabia where he met with fifty Arab national leaders. There had been an agreement reached with Qatar, UAE, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia to purchase weapons and Qatar broke from the deal followed by Bahrain and UAE leaving Saudi Arabia holding the bag for the entire deal. Soon after the meeting with President Trump, Saudi Arabia led the Gulf States in pulling their ambassadors from Qatar and started to apply diplomatic and economic pressure on Qatar. Qatar has not even given the slightest sign of backing down. Additionally, one can be assured that Iran will back their friends in Qatar. Additionally, Turkey has chosen to side with Iran as well and has sent troops to Qatar. Where this will lead is anybody’s guess, and there are too many twists coming to even guess at this point. Iran is not likely ready to press too far quite yet as they have too many fronts, where they are facing opposition. They are not only stuck in the Syrian civil war but also the war in Yemen. Iran has their eyes on Saudi Arabia, and particularly the oil fields as well as Mecca and Medina, the Islamic Holy Cities. Their plan is and always has been to have two fronts, Iraq and Yemen. They also require such an attack to be made when they can apply their full force and all of this requires that they finish their wars in Yemen and Syria. The time to worry will come when the civil wars in Syria and in Yemen jump to a higher level of violence, and it will be a significant increase. When that increase brings the wars to a close, then Iran will begin their plans to replace Saudi Arabia as the main force within the Arab Middle East. That will be the start of the Iranian hopes to make Shiite Islam the dominant form of Islam replacing Sunni. After Saudi Arabia, the next target will most likely be Egypt, the most populous Arab state.

 

Obama wanted to have Iran take charge from Saudi Arabia and rule the Middle East. This will, at some point, run directly into President Trump and his backing of the Kurdish communities. What is the saddest part is the Kurds are pawns in a far larger game and they only desire one thing, their own land and to be left in peace. Unfortunately, and this is something Israel knows all too well, peace in the Middle East is a luxury bought with eternal vigilance and a very competent and well armed military. The only thing the Middle East respects is the ability to use and dispense force, and it will spread to North Africa if not stopped early. The coming struggle for the Middle East will likely be sparked through Qatar using some border infringement, real or falsely started just as the war with Poland was initiated by the Nazis which led to World War II. This all rolls back to another of our themes, there are still national leaders who have the concept of world conquest as an achievable goal and that they will be the ones who will finally accomplish the feat. Yes, I know that the nations of the Western World have long given up on world conquest while many leaders in the remainder of the world have not yet surrendered on that concept. Among the nations which still consider world conquest as something they believe could be in their future in the recent times have included Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s Turkey, The USSR, China, who may still have that idea, Iran, which definitely believes the world will become their oyster, and we are sure that there are or will be others as also in the recent past include, please do not laugh, Venezuela. The nations believing they should rule the world are a slightly longer list, but there are some crazies out there who believe they will conquer the world and we would be remiss if we did not mention our favorite certifiable dictator in North Korea, Kim Jong-un. We will need to wait and see but for the safety of the world and sanity’s sake, could somebody please change the leadership in Iran before they cause some growing conflagration? Please.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

July 1, 2017

United Nations and the Kurdistan Independence Referendum

 

The United Nations has withdrawn any participation for monitoring or otherwise supervising any Kurdish resolution for establishing their own state in what would formerly have been Iraq. The Kurdish claim has many facets of which there are two that are most mentioned. The first has been their treatment under Saddam Hussein and his Baathists as well as the Sunnis who supported him whose joint actions included attempted ethnic cleansing, nerve agent attacks on civilian targets, military attacks upon civilians and refusal of representation in the government. The second of these is the current government made up predominantly of Shiites who have refused all attempts by the Kurds to receive promised recognition, suppressed any requests for addressing needs of the Kurdish population and further has refused to provide the promised share of government revenue. Further, the current Shiite government is closely allied with Iran who have proven problematic for the Kurdish population of Iran as well as harassed the Kurds residing in Iraq. Since both other major sects who would likely rule Iraq in any future have proven to mistreat the Kurds, their only recourse is to act to take leave of their former rulers and form their own governance. It is a pity they do not have a Thomas Jefferson to draft a formal document dissolving all ties the Kurdish community has with Iraq. But thus far, the greatest blow has been the refusal of the United Nations to address the Kurdish situation or to even grant them some supervision for their referendum.

 

The Kurds of Iraq and Syria could together form land sufficient for a nation and would permit the Kurdish populations of the areas to unite against their common enemies and establish their own borders and then be able to defend that border against the Islamic State and all other forces as required, which the Kurdish militias have already undertaken. About the only things currently lacking from the formations of lands forming the nation of Kurdistan, are the recognitions by other nations of their sovereignty. The Kurdish People are choosing a correct path for the formation of their state with the referendum, especially if all residing within their territorial area, which would include the Yazidis, and the intent to allow them participation in the new nations, especially the Yazidis as they are related closely to the Kurdish People by language and culture. As for nations who should recognize the referendum and its outcome, we will hit that further into the article.

 

There are other reasons why a nation for the Kurdish People is necessary and proper. The British had promised the Kurdish their own nation after World War I for their assistance in fighting the Ottoman Empire, something the Turkish People have never forgiven. The British broke their promise folding to Arab pressure to place these lands and the oil under them with Arab control of one of the sons of the Arab King Faisal who aided the British as well. This resulted in Iraq and Jordan being ruled by his sons before revolutionary coup removed the King in Iraq while the Hashemites still rule in Jordan. Jordan was cut from the British Mandate thus taken from the Jewish Zionists who had no power to prevent such a move and Iraq was extended to include the Kurds who were unable to prevent their promised land being stolen. It appears the British had a weakness for seeing all things through the eyes of the Arabs and had little cause to promote their other promises as the Arabs opposed these other deals, the formation of the Jewish state of Israel and the formation of a Kurdish state of Kurdistan. The Kurds, like the Jews, are rejected by the Arabs despite the vast majority of Kurds being Muslims (the Christian Kurds are the Yazidis) as they are not Arab and have pretty much been a closed society with little intermarriage with the Arabs which so many other peoples did to their detriment. So, we have probably just touched on the reason the United Nations had backed away from overseeing anything to do with Kurdish independence, the Arabs plus Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and particularly Syria’s Bashir al-Assad, which probably places Russia and Vladimir Putin against any Kurdish independence.

 

Of course, President Erdoğan has designs on the Kurdish lands as he has stated he will fight the Islamic State but he has a price for his fighting them and that is to expand Turkey to include Aleppo, Syria and Mosul, Iraq. President Erdoğan is not satisfied with his current position nor the borders of Turkey and has designs on a Greater Turkey, which includes all of the Kurdish lands and beyond (see map below). President Erdoğan seeks to destroy, completely wipe out, or at least significantly diminish any Kurdish influence or presence in these lands upon which he has set his sights. He seeks this Greater Turkey as his first step towards the reestablished start of the Ottoman Empire with himself as the next Caliph. This is part of the reason much of the Turkish troop movements and air engagements have been against the Kurdish areas which he claims are his brave fighters taking on the Islamic State. President Erdoğan’s troops would likely fare better if they were fighting the Islamic State as the Kurds have proven to be a powerful enemy; but Erdoğan has his close ties with the Muslim Brotherhood and has sent troops to assist in the defense of Qatar, as he opposes Saudi Arabia, seeing them as the major challenge to his aspirations.

 

Greater Turkey

Greater Turkey

 

Finally, Erdoğan wishes to eliminate the Kurdish population much as his predecessor Grand Vizier of the Ottoman Empire Mehmed Talaat Pasha performed genocidal efforts against the Armenians from 1880 right up through 1915 into World War I. On 29 May 1915, the CUP Central Committee passed the Temporary Law of Deportation (“Tehcir Law”), which granted the Ottoman military authorization to deport anyone it believed to be a threat to national security. Using the Tehcir Law, mass property seizures of Armenian properties ensued and the Armenians were simply executed for resisting deportation and having been deemed a threat to the nation of the Ottoman Empire. We can see very similar claims coming from President Erdoğan against the Kurds both within and beyond his borders. President Erdoğan with his claims to a Greater Turkey has already annexed and confiscated in all manners the lands of the Kurds which is leading to his attempted genocidal removal of the Kurds. Erdoğan will find the Kurds far more difficult and troublesome to remove than the disarmed Armenians were to the Ottoman troops, an armed population always has greater rights which extend as far as they wish to defend them.

 

Our Idea for a Proposed Kurdistan

Our Idea for a Proposed Kurdistan

 

That brings us to the best reason for many nations, of which we will drop a few names, to monitor and validate the Kurdish referendum. Should they vote, an all but foregone conclusion, for independence, they should immediately recognize their nation of Kurdistan and grant this nation lands which include all the Kurdish lands in Iraq, Syria and Iran, as well as Turkey, should Turkey be so foolish as to declare the land for Turkey and ensue their referendum with an invasion, something which is very conceivable. The first two nations who should jump at the opportunity to recognize a proposed Kurdistan and even recognize at the least the lands in northern Iraq as well as the Kurdish areas in northeastern Syria are the United States and Israel, but for separate reasons.

 

The United States upon the declaration of the nation of Kurdistan should open relations so as to be able to arm the Kurdish Army, formerly the Peshmerga Kurdish Militias, for two-fold reasons. The first is so they can continue their efforts against the Islamic State, much of which is defensive in nature, and second that they will be capable of resisting any attacks by the Iraqi government and especially from the Turkish government. The United States might even go so far as to threaten Turkey’s President Erdoğan that any encroachment or attacks on independent Kurdish lands could result in the United States supporting a referendum amongst the Kurdish communities of south eastern Turkey to secede from Turkey and join the lands of Kurdistan and be ruled by the Kurdish government. This would be a large step towards disassembling the grievous error which was the Sykes-Picot Agreement (map at link) which divided the Ottoman Empire with complete disregard for tribal allegiances and borders thus splitting tribal lands between nations and placing rival tribes within the same borders leading to disruptions and inability for normal governance. This led to strong man dictatorial regimes which were unstable and a source of perpetual grief. The United States would be doing themselves and the world a favor by taking the first and a great and large step towards dissolving the arbitrary lines of the Sykes-Picot Agreement and allowing for normative lines and relations to be developed. This would be a step towards solving much of the strife found within the Arab and Muslim world which were part of the Ottoman Empire.

 

Israel should recognize the Kurdish nations, Kurdistan, simply because they would make natural allies. We realize that Kurdistan is Sunni Muslim but also recognize that they are not Arab and the Arabs have always given the Kurds the back of their hand against their cheeks, and that was when they were feeling sympathetic. They have attempted genocide on the other days, both Sunnis and Shiites. The Kurds and Israel have had secretive agreements over the years and it would simply be natural for the two to form an alliance of mutual support. Israel probably would not be expecting to sign any mutual defense treaty, at least not formally, but they could make for good trade partners and a way for Israel to reach into the Islamic world having a sympathetic inlet. There are just too many similarities as both were stolen from by the British, the Kurds somewhat more as they lost their entire promised nations. Israel recognizes such unfairness and the support for righting such wrongs, just as the United States does, well, more often than not. Lastly, Israel can always use one more friend from amongst the nations of the world.

 

The United Nations should recognize the rights of the Kurdish People for self-rule. But as that would be the right and proper thing for the United Nations to do, it is unlikely that is what they would do. It is a given that with the Arab world against the establishment of Kurdistan that it would come down to how the Nonaligned Nations (NAM) voted, as normally they back the Arabs; but this is a nation shaking off the wrongs of colonial injustice, something the NAM nations usually support such as South Sudan. But Kurdistan would not be in Africa or Asia but rather in the Middle East; so they may simply figure it is none of their business or interest and thus split making the vote likely to be negative. Further, in the Security Council it can be depended upon Russia in support of Iran and Syria and thus also Iraq to use their veto if needed and China for similar reasons as well, so recognition of a Kurdish nation by the Security Council would most definitely delay any hope they would have for joining the United Nations, that is assuming they would desire such a badge of shame. Let’s face it, belonging to the United Nations has not exactly been a bed of roses for Israel as she has gotten only disrespect and dishonored by the institutions of the United Nations. Only the WHO has recognized Israeli achievements and their work with underdeveloped nations and any nation suffering a crisis. So, the United Nations and Kurdistan would be a big ‘if’ at best. Still, we here continue to support the Kurdish People and pray they get their state and it includes all the Kurdish People and Turkey allows their Kurds who desire to relocate without any impositions such as special taxations, fees, demands they surrender their property, denial of funds from financial institutions, military force to retain them or other unnecessary impositions. Allowing them to safely depart is far more preferable than your other idea, genocidal wiping the Kurds wherever you can find them to build your nightmare Caliphate on their dead bodies as that is an abomination.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

May 29, 2017

A Look at the World’s Potential Hotspots

 

There are a number of places in the world which are potential eruption points outside of what the American media would have you believe. President Trump does not even rate a mention in the top few hotspots with a potential for great harm. Some of the places are more of a danger to their own people than they are to the world and others should be center of the rest of the world’s concerns before they explode onto the world scene forcing a response twice has hard, as that is what will be required almost as punishment for allowing these threats to materialize. So, let us look around the world and we can even make some happy and begin with the White House.

 

President Donald Trump in a Moment of Grimace

President Donald Trump in a Moment of Grimace

 

President Trump’s largest threat is to self-injury often through Tweets. He could be the first President to be Tweeted from office though if that will be his fate it will be done via the 2020 elections. The main challenge that President Trump would face if things continue on their current path would be from the primary challengers which are all but certain to come fast and furious from the elite mainstays of the Republican studless elites. One leader of these milquetoast candidates is Arizona Senator John McCain who has been double-guessing President Trump at every turn and fighting against his every suggested legislative order. There will be others whose names will become well known between now and then and another likely candidate might be former Governor of Ohio John Kasich, also one of the last men standing against Trump in the last primaries. There will also be the perennial also-rans who will toss in their hats as one never knows, if Trump could win, why not everybody else? You know the names, Rick Santorum, Rand Paul, Jeb Bush (unless his shellacking he took has cowed him permanently) and Marco Rubio all claiming they wish to give the Republican Party a real candidate and save the party from ruin from another Trump candidacy. Yes, many in the Republican Party are just as unimpressed with Donald Trump and desire to have a more conventional candidate whom they can control. If the primaries and the few actual real and accurate polls are any indicator, the people are quite impressed with The Donald and despite his eccentricities, they love the fits he is giving the entirety of the political elites and their machinery which they use to drive their chosen agendas. The people are done with these agendas which are the same with the big difference being the speed with which the government is driving towards utter destruction. Donald Trump may be just the President the nation needs despite all the fuss and bother. Yes, a more controlled and sane person who was less out of their mind might be preferable but then it may be just what we are looking for, one eccentric loonie-toon who Tweets too much too often who knows none of the limits any normal person might understand and be withheld by, and who sees a new world where governments take a back seat to a people-business partnership.

 

From Washington D.C. we move south about one continent worth and slightly east to Caracas, Venezuela, where we find the end result of the experiment in what was called the socialist utopia where actors, athletes and other elitists and multi-millionaires or even billionaires habituating the leftmost fringes of the political spectrum went to celebrate the wonderful socialist world being presided over by President Hugo Rafael Chávez. President Chávez would make regular pilgrimages to Castro’s Cuba in deference to the father of socialist utopias. Democratic leaders who believed that Hugo Chávez was the miracle worker who had finally perfected socialism and established that dream they had all claimed had been waiting for just the person who would unwrap the socialist utopian society puzzle they had worked towards all their lives. Hugo Chávez had, according to the great minds from academia to sports to finance on to every field in imagination, established that dream and now if only the world would acknowledge and follow his example. Today Venezuela is one of the most dangerous places to live in the world. The government is gunning down peaceful protesters in the streets. Cuba, the ones who employed Ernesto ‘Che’ Guevara at his favorite pastime, murdering innocents, has sent their current best troops of what could be called their Che Division to Venezuela to assist Hugo Chávez’s successor, current Venezuela President Nicolás Maduro, with keeping the public order. This includes the aforementioned shooting peaceful demonstrators who are clamoring for food, necessary medicine and numerous others of life’s necessities which they are unable to find in the store’s empty shelves. Large percentages of the population in Venezuela are left to seeking food in dumpsters and the black market for necessary medicines including such as insulin for diabetics, heart medication and other such basic medicines. Venezuela is the perfect example of where socialist governance will eventually result as proven by the Soviet Union, North Korea and now Venezuela. But this will not lead to any of the proponents of seeking the perfect utopian socialist governance and installing it in whatever nation they get the opportunity. Socialism seems as if it is an infection which once contracted can never be cured and leads its victim to seek the ruin of their society in the lusting for that socialist utopia which has failed every single time it has ever been tried, but they refuse to see previous failures as anything other than one more attempt that was not perfected this time and if only they are allowed to try, it will work, they promise.

 

Our next stop is almost halfway across the globe in Asia. We arrive in North Korea where dear leader Kim Jong Un rules absolutely. He lives a lavish lifestyle borderline in comparison to that of Marie Antoinette. The difference is in North Korea Kim Jong Un decides whose head was lopped off instead of Marie Antoinette whose head was sacrificed in the French Revolution. Kim Jong Un decided his uncle was a threat, so he was removed from the population. One of his generals also irked him, so he too was removed from the population. His half brother did nothing except be perceived as a threat to his position, so he also was removed, but from the world’s population. Who knows how many others within the dark nation from which little news escapes and even less is permitted entrance has disappeared. All we know is of late Kim Jong Un has been rattling sabers and acting far less sane than his father or grandfather. Each of his predecessors would act unstable when they desired aid, often food for their starving citizens. But Kim Jong Un acts as insane as either at their height of provocation as his normal daily routine. Kin Jong Un is as unstable as any leader throughout history, even further deranged than Nero or Caligula were during Roman times. Even those closest to him tread very lightly as close proximity to Kim Jong Un does not make one safe, it is more likely to be a threat to one’s life and would require extra caution and, to a degree, one to seek anonymity to avoid notice or to be chosen by Kim Jong Un for special attention and note. Making Kim Jong Un even more dangerous of a threat to the world are his nuclear weapons program and his advancing rocket capabilities. Kim Jong Un has ballistic missiles, come very close to launching an ICBM, and is even closer to a reliable continental ballistic missile. Add to this his nuclear weapons which many believe are designed not for explosive yield but for maximizing its EMP pulse strength which can be used to knock out the electricity to an entire continent as well as destroying virtually all electronic equipment within a sizeable range. North Korea under Kim Jong Un is considered a danger of starting a nuclear war by destroying the power grid in most of North America and bringing the United States to its knees with much of its infrastructure useless and the military paralyzed. But there is more as North Korea has an equally troubling ally in Iran.

 

Iran is a theocracy with a leader who has more titles than one can throw a stick at. He can be referred to as Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Absolute Guardianship and the Leadership of the Ummah, Supreme Leader of Iran and Grand Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Hosseini Khamenei. No matter who fills other positions such as President or the Parliament are actually relatively powerless in comparison of the religious ruling structure which includes the true power of the Assembly of Experts, a body of Imams. These are the people who choose the Supreme Leader and Grand Ayatollah, the only power with significance above even the Assembly of Experts once they have been chosen. Iran has consistently experimented and developed numerous varieties of ballistic missiles from middle range to continental ballistic missiles and they are working on the development of intercontinental ballistic missiles. Their development has mirrored that of North Korea which is understandable as the two often are found observing one another’s testing of missiles. The frightening reality has been the consistency with which Iranian technicians, nuclear scientists and explosive experts attending nuclear testing in North Korea. This has forced some to claim that some of the testing performed by North Korea of nuclear weapons has been performed for Iran and testing of Missiles in Iran were performed for North Korea. The two imperialist nations are cooperating and both have launched satellites which used polar orbits such that they passed over the United States from the south over Texas and the central United States, a route the USSR had investigated and found to be the soft point in the defenses of the United States. An unsettling truth is that the North Koreans have a satellite using that exact orbit which passes over the central United States on a regular basis and this satellite has no discernable utility and there are some who suspect it has a nuclear EMP device which could be detonated at any point in its orbit after ordering it to lower its orbit to three to five hundred miles where it would be within the optimum altitude for maximum destruction of the American electrical grid and military operational capability. Both North Korea and Iran place the United States as their greatest enemy and one of, if not their number one, target in all of the world. Iran also lists Israel as a nation they will destroy in a single hour or less some day in the not too distant future. Iran holds regular demonstrations every Friday where the people chant “Death to America,” and “Death to Israel.” These are their two propaganda ploys to fulfill the imaginations of the people and the targets Iran claims will prove their supreme power and their approval from Allah and as the sign that they are to lead the Islamic world to their final conquest of the world.

 

Iran and Russia are cooperating, if not cooperating directly, with another hotspot where warfare has been raging for more than five years. This is Syria where the majorities of the nation’s population is homeless and have been targeted by at least one of the numerous forces in the war including their own government. One of the main threats to many of the civilians is their own government where Bashir al-Assad, Syria’s President for life, has targeted those of his population he regards as not sufficiently supportive of his government which has included the Kurds, Palestinian Arabs in refugee camps, and many of the non-Alawite population of what was previously Syria. Assad had bombed virtually every area of Syria which is not part of his power structure with possibly one exception, the Druze whose mountain regions have been spared much of the tragic results in the rest of Syria. The Islamic State was started in Syria as a response to Assad, his Alawite supporters because of their Shiite aligned version of Islam, and their being allies with Iran, the leader of the Shiite Muslims. Syria is the final piece which the Iranians need in order to use their acquiring of southern Iraq which is also Shiite and the home of the government of Iraq. The Islamic State has taken some of their fighters from amongst both Syrian and Iraqi Sunni Muslims desiring to fight against the Shiite Iranians, Iraqis and Syrians who are attempting to complete a Shiite crescent from Iran on the Indian Ocean to Lebanon and Syria along the Mediterranean Sea. Another group fighting alongside the Iranian and Syrian Shiites has been Hezballah, the terrorist group which rules Lebanon through a proxy government and have become the Lebanese Army though they attempt to portray the two as separate. Hezballah is also the Iranian proxy force which they would use to be their initial strike upon Israel such that they could claim to be responding to a Lebanese request for assistance against Israeli aggression. This is one of the interesting themes which often permeate Islamic tacticians where they will attack an enemy and when the enemy responds to the attack, they immediately claim that they were attacked without any provocation and thus they then demand that their victim be punished for what was actually self-defense to the attack from the instigator. This has been the tactics of Hezballah with their previous two wars and numerous skirmishes with Israel as well as the next hotspot, Gaza and Hamas.

 

This is the desired and long sought Iranian Shiite Crescent across the Middle East reaching from the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean Sea after Islamic State Defeat and Iran Surge Retaking Syria for Bashir al-Assad with Hezballah retaining their iron-fist control over Lebanon and the Iraqi Shiites retaining their hold on the southern half of Iraq. This could very well be the starting positions for a final World War resulting in exchanges of nuclear weapons before the end is reached. This map also depicts the areas bordering the Iranian influence which could become the future red lines and the trip wire for a horrific conflagration, exactly what the Twelvers desire to bring back the Twelfth Imam and the Islamic Messiah who will lead them to finally realize their destiny of world conquest. Despite what many in the West view as an outdated and dead idea, the Iranian leadership dreams of world conquest and desire to that end.

This is the desired and long sought Iranian Shiite Crescent across the Middle East reaching from the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean Sea after Islamic State Defeat and Iran Surge Retaking Syria for Bashir al-Assad with Hezballah retaining their iron-fist control over Lebanon and the Iraqi Shiites retaining their hold on the southern half of Iraq. This could very well be the starting positions for a final World War resulting in exchanges of nuclear weapons before the end is reached. This map also depicts the areas bordering the Iranian influence which could become the future red lines and the trip wire for a horrific conflagration, exactly what the Twelvers desire to bring back the Twelfth Imam and the Islamic Messiah who will lead them to finally realize their destiny of world conquest. Despite what many in the West view as an outdated and dead idea, the Iranian leadership dreams of world conquest and desire to that end.

 

Hamas’s new leader, Yahya Sinwar, was a previous prisoner in Israel for his terrorist acts and was released in Shalit exchange. He was the founder of the Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades, the military wing of Hamas established so that the rest of Hamas, which is simply the support structure for the military wing, can claim to the world that they are simply a governing force in Gaza and have no connection with terrorism. Hamas has at times found Iran as an ally who have provided rocket and missile technologies as well as weapons and explosives often passing these shipments through the Sudan before passing into the Sinai Peninsula and then through the tunnels into Gaza. This has at times included IRGC commanders and experts to teach Hamas workers in the production of ever-larger rockets with greater ranges and payload capability. Then there is the normal Hamas alliance with the Muslim Brotherhood which is their natural ally as they are both Sunni while Iran is Shiite. The fact that Iran assists Hamas simply gives evidence to the hatred and absolute desire to threaten and destroy Israel drives the leadership in Iran. Hamas took control of Gaza from the Palestinian Authority in a coup during June 10-15, 2007, and since then have attacked Israel repeatedly with Israel having to enter Gaza in a major action three times, 2008, 2012 and 2014. Israel had pulled all Civilians and IDF forces from Gaza in August and September of 2005 which should have permitted the Arabs to build a functioning state in Gaza free of Israeli interference. Instead, once Hamas took control the Gaza has been used as a launching pad for rockets and infiltrations intending to murder Israelis and capture hostages to use to force Israel into releasing terrorists. This is a weakness which the terrorists will continue to exploit for as long as Israel continues to release ever more terrorist prisoners now even releasing terrorists with blood on their hands, the final red line they had promised never to cross. Hamas has been speaking up another war with Israel, as has Nasrallah of Hezballah in Lebanon. One might believe that Hezballah was too involved in Syria but they also figure that a short and limited war using mostly rockets with Israel would renew their standing amongst the Muslim population of Lebanon and if it can be coordinated with attacks by Hamas, perhaps they can have their brief conflict and take only minor damage as Israel could be more entangled with Hamas. Hamas’s new leader immediately talked of his plans to annihilate Israel, as the new Hamas forces would be vastly superior to their Israeli opponents. This type of boasting has been heard before and fortunately, these boasts have not always produced conflict. The Israelis welcome no conflict, as they desire peace with their neighbors, as they prefer not to have to fight and destroy lives and inflict casualties, especially civilians which Hamas and Hezballah both use as human shields to protect their rocket stores and launchers.

 

Russia and Turkey are both involved in Syria and the United States has taken to supporting the Kurdish forces in the northeastern Syrian regions where they mostly defend their areas from attack and are not moving to take new land but merely to push terror forces from their lands and reestablish their areas where their population resided. Turkey has been claiming to fight the Islamic State but mostly have been striking at the Kurds. President Trump mentioned the establishing Kurdistan though, like moving the embassy in Israel, that may be more talk than actual American position. Russia has one major interest in reality, their two naval ports in Syria and on the Mediterranean Sea. These are the Russian warm water ports with access to the Atlantic Ocean through the Gibraltar Straights. Turkey wants to eliminate the Kurds. Islamic State wants to conquer the world starting with Bashir al-Assad. The Syrian Free Army wants to disguise their real alliance with terrorist forces, receive American weaponry, also win against Assad, Islamic State, and then decide where to turn next as they desire as well to be the new Caliphate. Islamic State already declared themselves the new Caliphate. President Erdoğan has laid claim to being the new caliph, nobody saluted. Syria will not be producing any new Caliphate or the next Caliph, it will simply be where too many people have died and will continue to die and there will be young men who have little in their life rushing to join and make a great name so they can return home a hero. All too many will simply never return home. The real fear would be for Russia and the United States to run into a face-to-face conflict by accident or by design of one against the other trying to force a standoff to see who blinks first. There is also a small possibility that Israel could also run into a problem with Russia which there are rumors that the two do communicate normally in order to prevent just such a problem from developing but which could break down if the Russians are proved to be warning Bashir al-Assad or especially if they are warning Hezballah and their suppliers in Iran. At some point Russia is going to have to come to the realization that once Bashir al-Assad either wins back all of Syria or sufficient parts of Syria in the southeast connecting with Iraq and establishing the crescent across the Middle East and giving Iran the ability to mass troops on Israeli borders, then Iran will no longer need Russia and will desire those exact same ports the Russians desire. This could lead to Iran attempting to take the ports from Russia and forcing a confrontation between Russia and Iran.

 

The final front is all of Europe and the United States. The attackers are the terrorists and their so-called “lone wolf” attacks who have been “self-radicalized” which western leaders often just explain, “we have to learn to live with it.” Everything in quotes above is false and the reason we are losing. If these terrorists are all “lone wolves,” then why after each attack does the Islamic State claim responsibility for the attack? The reason is easy to think through, whether they had anything to do with the attack, it was still an attack for Islam and the Islamic State claims to be the leadership of all Islamic fighters, thus these “lone wolves” are all their fighters. The even bigger lie is the claim that they are “self-radicalized.” That is ridiculous as these so-called “self-radicalized” individuals received the information which turned them into a weapon of Islam, and that is what we need to call them, weapons for Islam, as that is what they claim they are, was placed in a video, a booklet, an Imam’s sermons, training in some Muslim country at a terror base protected by the government, or simply from reading the Quran, all come from other than the individual terrorist. In some means or source, they received the information and programming which turned them into a weapon of Islam and set them on their path to human carnage. Whether they are a suicide bomber, a remote detonating bomber who sits off and waits for the perfect time, of the timer placed bomber who simply hopes they chose the perfect time, they all were sent by some form of education and propaganda which they received from somewhere. There is a source and that is an Islamic source either from somewhere in the Middle East, North Africa or other Islamic nation or it is from a Mosque in the neighborhood where the Imam gave a sermon which started the future terrorist on the path and then there were the booklets from the Muslim owned book store with the free pamphlets, or the booklets and videos found on tables at the Islamic Center, or the future terrorist going to a terror base and there received the teachings of radical Islam. These terrorists will strike more and more often in shorter intervals and greater carnage as their techniques are improved. This will hit a point where the people will scream for protection and an end to this threat and their leadership will have to respond or face a very angry populace at the next elections. The people will get the leadership required to fight terrorism and take the steps required even if it takes more than one election. This will eventually lead to an alliance of leaders to end terrorism by whatever means required. This alliance will demand that the Islamic rulers either join the fight or face consequences. George W. Bush said the necessary words after 9/11/2001 and the Trade Center demolition when he said, “Either you are with us or you are with the terrorists.” He said it and then went all wobbly after his Saudi friends apparently took the wind out of his sails. The question which some have to be asking is, “Where is our generation’s Churchill, and when will he appear?” Then in Israel, we are asking whether we need a Joshua, Ruth, Deborah, King David or Samson or will we need to wait for the Messiah. These are the questions which need answering so we will know now whether we are on our own and had better start taking care of ourselves and those dear to us and possibly our countries and civilization.

 

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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