Beyond the Cusp

February 22, 2017

Nasrallah and Allies Throwing Threats at Israel

 

Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah warned Israel to “Count to one million!” this past Monday before starting any attacks or violence against Lebanon. To those who know Israel they realize this threat has nothing to do with any threats which might emanate from Israel, they have everything to do with Nasrallah reinforcing his own standing as Hezballah has some difficulties as their losses in the Syria conflict continue to mount. Hezballah requires their front with Israel to give their movement legitimacy and without support in Lebanon they would not have this front. Nasrallah’s problem is the fighting by Hezballah in support of Syrian dictator Bashir al-Assad in his war to try and reestablish his country with him still in control. Hezballah only has an obligation to fight for al-Assad because Iran insists they assist the Iranian efforts to support al-Assad, an ally, or should we say the more honest assessment of puppet, and thus retain Syria as the anchor on the Mediterranean of the Shiite Crescent across the Middle East. This Shiite Crescent begins with Iran bordering the Indian Ocean and Persian (Arabian) Gulf across Iraq and on through Syria and Lebanon to the Mediterranean Sea. Should Iran lose their claim to Syria personified by Bashir al-Assad who is more Shiite than Sunni as an Alawite Muslim, they lose their western Shiite Crescent anchor. The civil war in Syria has drawn more assets from Iran who has sent mostly Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) units and as the fighting had continued they demanded that Hezballah assist the efforts and this demand has only increased as the fighting became more and more desperate. Initially Hezballah had great successes but soon they began to have sufficient losses that they were no longer able of hiding the deaths and severe injuries to their fighters. As Hezballah is mostly an all-volunteer force, leaving Hezballah has proven bad for some individuals’ health.

 

Hassan Nasrallah Gesturing during remote feed video onto large screen during Hezballah semi-annual pretense of readiness to defeat any Israeli assault as he remain in hiding presumably beyond the reach of Israeli drones and commandos. This enhances his appearance of constantly under threat by Israeli forces seeking to assassinate him. The likely truth is that Israel had no reason, desire or even bothered to draw up plans to do so. As far as whether Israel could find Hassan Nasrallah’s various secreted locations, probably already have them pinpointed on some map just in case it becomes advantageous to remove Nasrallah from his position as the figurehead of Hezballah.

Hassan Nasrallah Gesturing during remote feed video onto large screen during Hezballah semi-annual pretense of readiness to defeat any Israeli assault as he remain in hiding presumably beyond the reach of Israeli drones and commandos. This enhances his appearance of constantly under threat by Israeli forces seeking to assassinate him. The likely truth is that Israel had no reason, desire or even bothered to draw up plans to do so. As far as whether Israel could find Hassan Nasrallah’s various secreted locations, probably already have them pinpointed on some map just in case it becomes advantageous to remove Nasrallah from his position as the figurehead of Hezballah.

 

Still, and especially with the losses in Syria, Hezballah needs volunteers to fill their ranks of fighters. They control much of the government forces throughout Lebanon and is allied closely with President Michel Aoun and through these connections they control the education system in much of the areas and through this they indoctrinate the youth thus providing for future volunteers. One of the main attractive themes which is used in the schools and in their seeking for new recruits is the idea of fighting the Jews, Israel in particular. This has been a central theme even in Iran where their two major indoctrination inducing themes are “Death to America” teamed with “Death to Israel” both of which are often chanted in demonstrations after Friday prayers. This is the Iranian version of George Orwell’s 1984 “Two Minutes of Hate.” The similarity between the Iranian use of hate and Nasrallah using hate for Israel and the Jews are asimple means of holding power through defining and demonization of the other. This has been one of the means of unifying populations throughout Islamic history beginning with Muhammad during his later period in Medina after his being cast out of Mecca as his preaching that his revelations were the only truth, something the pluralistic society of Mecca refused to accede to, eventually rubbed the leaders of the city and the populace to such an extent they rejected both his preaching and soon the man himself, Muhammad, was cast out of the city. Once he established his power base in Medina he turned on those who had rejected him, first the Jewish tribes in the vicinity of Medina and then on Mecca bringing it down and subjugating those who had formerly rejected him. This was why he called his religion Islam which best translates as submission. This is still the method used by Islam that all must bow to their wishes and as Muhammad chose the Jews for a special place as the most accursed by Islam, this theme is repeated today. This is part of why Israel is so hated and why they so often depict the United States as controlled by Jews or as the puppet of Israel and thus singling the United States for equal hate as is given Israel. Some may ask why then is Britain also given such hate even more so than France, which was just as much a colonial power after the end of the Ottoman Empire in World War I, and the reason is simple, the Balfour Declaration brining Israel into existence, as they were under Jewish control. Everything traces back to the Jews no matter how absurd such a premise may be. Below we have Orwell’s “Two Minutes of Hate” and a rally against Israel, Britain and America from Tehran and the similarities are easily recognized.

 


Two Minutes of Hate

 


Endless Mindless Hate

 

There has also been a renewed belligerence from Gaza using a new tactic of firing their rockets from both within Gaza and from the Sinai Peninsula. Other than opening up a new front by using Egyptian territory there may be more involved. These rockets have been largely a single volley and then a return to what can be described as a normal level of fear and anxiety. The truth is, as we noted in our article Hamas Appointments Signal Coming Conflict, the recent retirement by Ismail Haniyeh and his replacement by Yahya Sinwar signals an expected increase in belligerence and the definite possibility of another Gaza war as Hamas will likely start a new rocket offensive this spring and into the summer. More rockets were fired into Israel today and all that remains is to see who and how many take credit for the attacks. Currently there is a war ongoing in Gaza in a rather subdued struggle for control of the area, the attacks on Israel as well as potentially Egypt between Hamas and Islamic State. Both groups would desire to eradicate Israel and both find Egyptian President Sisi to be a threat to their particular version of Islam, as he is calling for a reformation within Islam placing the emphasis on the Meccan coexistence verses instead of the Medina conquer the world and subjugation verses. Both Islamic State and Hamas see conquest as the true path of Islam holding no question in the supremacy which must be brought about by any and all means necessary including by the sword. Their argument with Sisi still would take a back seat to their hatreds for Israel and the Jews. In the case of Hamas one should not believe their aim is simply to destroy Israel and scatter the Jews to the far corners of the Earth as their Charter calls for the annihilation of all Jews wherever they may be found. Quoting the Hamas Charter, it states in Article 7, “The Day of Judgment will not come until Muslims fight the Jews, when the Jew will hide behind stones and trees. The stones and trees will say, ‘O Muslim, O servant of God, there is a Jew behind me, come and kill him.’” Further, it states in Article 32, “Zionism scheming has no end, and after Palestine, they will covet expansion from the Nile to the Euphrates River. When they have finished digesting the area on which they have laid their hand, they will look forward to more expansion. Their scheme has been laid out in the ‘Protocols of the Elders of Zion.’” These are actual beliefs which they intend to act upon yet nobody appears capable of understanding their deep-seated anti-Semitism and the extents to which they intend to carry the extermination of the Jewish People. What the world need understand is that the Islamic hatred for the Jews goes all the way back to the beginning starting with Muhammad and was not a product of their influence from the Nazis but rather it was an Islamic influence of Jew hatred which spurred the Nazis even further and was responsible in part for the “Final Solution” which was in part formulated through the input of the Mufti of Jerusalem in discussions he partook in at the Wannsee Conference. Hamas is simply the continuation of Muhammad’s preoccupation with the extermination of the Jewish People.

 

Ismail Haniyeh and Yahya Sinwar

Ismail Haniyeh and Yahya Sinwar

 

What poses the real threat is the possibility of facing a two front assault from the south using both Gaza and the Sinai Peninsula by Hamas as well as facing Hezballah in the north potentially attacking from both Lebanon and onto the Golan Heights from within al-Assad held areas around Damascus in Syria. Where such would not prove an impossible task for the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), it would limit that care which could be granted should the IDF only need fight on just one front. There would be a necessary broadening of any theater of operation with less ability to use discretion when targeting essential structures being used as rocket launching facilities or command and control. This would be particularly true on the front against Hezballah as they have been provided with sufficient ability to destroy much of Israel with their estimated one-hundred-fifty-thousand rockets and missiles. With such an arsenal they could probably overwhelm the Iron Dome systems and in order to preserve the nation the IDF would be required to rely on intensive air strikes and use of Israeli missiles in a series of precision munitions. The usual surgical precision and calling off air strikes simply because there would be a potential for civilian casualties would need to be given less urgency as many of these rockets and missiles and their launchers have been placed in what Hezballah refer to as their hardened positions which they claim Israel is unable to strike. What they are relying upon is that no Israeli government would ever permit the unrestricted use of missiles and air strikes regardless of civilian casualties. The difference in any coming conflict with Hezballah is that it would come down to Lebanese casualties or Israeli casualties and that would not be a difficult, though it would be an unpleasant, thought for any Israeli Prime Minister no matter where on the political scale they may sit. Any Israeli Prime Minister who would hold Lebanese or Gazan lives as more important and more precious than Israeli lives and call off strikes which would save Israeli civilians simply because Lebanese or Gazans might be hurt should step down immediately. There is a point where being humane when fighting a war has to give way to the practicality of fighting a war. Any war with Hezballah who have been provided with more missiles and rockets than many European military powers could put into use at any given time by Iran with the intent of overwhelming Israel and destroying as much of the country and murdering as many of the people as possible, that requires taking off the gloves and fighting any confrontation as what it is, an all-out no-holds-barred war. Such is not exactly something to be proud over, but reality has consequences and the only thing which Israel can promise is that she will not fire the first shot.

 

That leads us to the final reason Nasrallah made the comments he did. His other purpose is to establish through quotations the idea that any confrontation must have been started by Israel. In this with repeated statements of how Hezballah will go to any length in protecting Lebanon from Israeli aggressions, Hezballah will not shy when Israel attacks, Hezballah stands ready for the coming Israeli attacks and statement after such statement that when Hezballah strikes Israel in a cross border raid killing IDF soldiers on patrol and kidnapping soldiers if able they will claim the Israelis attacked and the world, even for a moment believes and reports such, then the entire following conflict will be blamed on Israel. Many of the world media will point to all the times Nasrallah warned of impending Israeli attack. The problem is Hezballah claims that the Galilee is occupied land and that Israel illegally holds these lands so when they attack it is in defense of lands they claim are occupied despite there being a recognized international border which places these lands within Israel. The entire length of the Lebanon Israel border is fenced and any attack required crossing through the fence at recognized crossing points. The entire border between Israel and Lebanon is supposed to be monitored by the United Nations peacekeeping force in Lebanon. These are the same peacekeepers who were supposed to prevent Hezballah from rearming and prevent their digging an entire new set of underground facilities. This is the same United Nations peacekeeping force which the Europeans walked out of supporting, India left after they were threatened and these peacekeepers now basically work for Hezballah. These United Nations forces were referred to as UNIFIL (United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon) and were put in place after the Second Lebanon War and almost lasted two years before basically turning the other way and allowing any breaching of the agreements they were supposed to enforce. They became so threatened that one seldom sees any United Nations vehicles south of the Litani River and those one can find are often being driven by and used to transport Hezballah units, rockets and provisions. UNIFIL became a joke and if there is any logic left in Israel, they will never again trust the United Nations, European union, European nations or most of the world to keep even a single promise if doing so places them in opposition to the forces of Islam as the world is more afraid of terrorists than they are of Israel because Israel will not be blowing things up in their capitals or anywhere they care about. Israel needs to realize they are on their own for the most part and any friends they may have after an election may disappear after the next election and their promises will leave with them. Such is the lesson of the written agreement given Ariel Sharon by George W. Bush which has since become a dead letter with at best may become resurrected briefly but will then be eclipsed somewhere down the road, guaranteed. The only promises Israel can count upon are in Torah.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

October 9, 2015

Why Are the Muslim Refugees Heading to Europe and not Arabia?

 

There are those who will claim that none of the Arab nations were prepared to take any Syrian refugees in but for the one-hundred-thousand airconditioned tents that Saudi Arabia informed the media were prepared for taking in and caring for three-million refugees. The reality is that these tents which are located roughly 2,150 miles from Syria in the city of Mina are only used a few days a year to house pilgrims on their way to Mecca for the Hajj. Only the very best possible accommodations are provided for the pilgrims on the Hajj. These tents contain a bathroom and a kitchen and are presumably fireproof. Despite the show and tell for the media, these tents were never intended nor will they ever see a single Syrian or other refugee, these are for the privileged, not the needy. Still, one-hundred-thousand airconditioned tents are quite a sight as you can see below.

 

 

one hundred thousand airconditioned tents Saudi Arabia to accommodate pilgrims on Hajj each has kitchen bathroom fireproof and never intended for refugees

So, if a refugee will not be permitted to take up refuge in those one-hundred-thousand airconditioned tents that Saudi Arabia used to house pilgrims on the Hajj, what is a desperate refugee to do? Their options are not exactly brimming with hope of any kind for their future as the civil war in Syria has been going for five years claiming the lives of approximately one-third of a million, nearly four million predominantly Muslim Syrians refugees currently in camps and unknown countless people maimed and injured as no official numbers are available. The latest development has been the stampede of refugees breaking from the camps, which the hosting countries are only too anxious to permit, heading into Europe using any possible passage and forms of transportation they are able to find, and for the more fortunate, afford would be a better term, to get them onto the soil of any European Union nation which facilitates free access to everywhere within the European Union. Often the easiest means for reaching the European shores is by crossing the Mediterranean Sea or the Aegean Sea in crafts of varying viability with the refugees often attempting such crossings in inflatable rubber rafts with outboard motors as depicted below. Many refugees have been caught by cross currents or rough seas during storms, something soon to be an ever present danger as the winter storms are soon to be upon them. Even should the refugees survive their struggle set before them in order to reach European Shores, there is still the problem of reaching a desired destination.

 

 

Syrian and Other Refugees in Rubber Inflatable Boat with Outboard Motor Risking Aegean Sea Dangerous Currents Cross Currents Hazards Claimed Enough Lives as Pictures Strew Front Pages

Many of the refugees end up landing in Italy, Greece or Spain, none of which are desirable destinations as the economic opportunities and social safety cradles are not much superior than were their home nation from which they are fleeing seeking brighter futures. Not all of the refugees are from war torn Syria as many are from Iraq, Afghanistan, Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Somalia, Nigeria, Libya, Algeria, Morocco, Niger, South Sudan, Egypt, Tunisia, Lebanon, Iran and other Islamic or Arab states where the economy has collapsed as governments have recently changed and thus there has been a power vacuum which has presented the former citizens of these now failed states with some extremely difficult decision to make as to where their families will see the best possibilities for the future. It is exactly these reasons what many have taken on the risks of reaching Europe and have paid a handsome price for escort by those who traffic in human misery taking full advantage of desperate peoples. The map below details the facts that there are nations preferred by the refugees such as Germany, Britain and the Scandinavian nations being the most prized followed by France, Switzerland, Poland and Czech Republic being amongst the secondary countries as depicted in the map below. The first consideration is the economic opportunity of their targeted nation, then there is the climate and for many there is also the comfort allowed for the unemployed who must live solely on the generosity of government programs.

 

 

Refugees Fleeing Middle East North Africa Heading to Europe Prefer Best Social Welfare Safety Net Highest Payments Standards of Living

 

The social safety net offered in Europe is the determining reason that the refugees from anywhere in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) are heading to Europe and not the numerous Arab and Muslim nations, even to include the oil wealthy nations. The nations of MENA will not share their wealth nor offer any real safety net for any peoples beyond their immediate native born population, if even them. The Arab and Muslim nations provide limited assistance to their own population and are unlikely to assist any others. This has not always been the case as during the Golden Age of Islam there were funds to care for those incapable of caring for themselves. That age had long past and was a forgotten time with the final coup de grâce was delivered after World War I when the Sykes-Picot agreement divided up everything outside the Mandate Lands which were also reserved for particular communities.

 

The charge into Europe is based on a dual-track where one is a plan for the future in a long-range planning and the immediate need drives the other track. The immediate track is driven by the need to have a place, a homeland away from the ravages of war where their children can have a future assured of their education and promising opportunities. These refugees have had quite some time to realize that their Arab and Muslim brothers and sisters would allow them to perish rather than open their borders and allow the refugees to gather within and require aid and funds to feed and care for them. Instead the Arab and Islamic countries encouraged the refugees to invade Europe and to take large numbers in each of wave after wave all attempting to reach one of the prime nations as indicated in the map above. Germany became the cry by many a refugee after German Chancellor Angela Merkel claimed she was prepared to process and accept eight-hundred-thousand refugees which was taken as an open invitation and the refugees began pouring over the German border. Initially, only Hungary took a stand against the refugees refusing to permit them to cross into their nation and those who managed to cross the border were advised to leave and were afforded all the assistance necessary to send them on their way. Remarkably, after Hungary there were other nations who also adopted similar no entry policies with varying amounts of success. The sheer numbers attempting to rush into Europe will eventually overwhelm any security forces short of riot troops using water cannons and other riot dispersal methods to protect the border and even then there will be those which manage to cross into every nation. This is the short term plan, simply to transfer the responsibility for caring for the Syrian and other refugees onto the European Union and the United States establishing a foothold. We should expect that any declaration to permit the extradition of those accused of criminal acts will be met with denial of their responsibility and the leaving of the accused within the European nations where the charges were leveled. This influx of religious Muslims to a largely now secular Europe will force the Europeans to reach compromises to accommodate their religion as a permanent condition facilitating their faith and its practice.

 

With time there will develop areas which will be Muslim dominated and under Sharia which is the intermediate step expected in this long term invasion by phases, something very similar to what is threatening Israel with five-million refugees and their descendants from the Arab initiated war of annihilation of 1948-9. Any non-Muslim entering such areas had best know their religious practice in order to perform their duties without causing insult. The long-term goal is to bring sufficient numbers of Muslims into the entirety of Europe that they will simply rule it using the ballot box, democracy and a decent amount of intimidation thrown into the mix. This will result in an Islamic Europe under either the Islamic States or under Iranian rule as these two main powers will determine whether Europe, as well as Islam, will turn towards Shiite or Sunni Islam as the Official Religion. The aim is to overrun Europe with Muslims today and down the road have Islam become the dominant and soon only acceptable religion across Europe. This will be a conquest by immigration and population predominance. Many of the secular Europeans with their history based on things they will have taught children will very likely be easy pickings when they have such little knowledge of the Bible allowing for them to be easily saturated with the Quran. The schools will be utilized in forcing the learning of the Quran and Europe will slip into the darkness of Islam and Jihad while the rest of their world watches them dissolve away being replaced with Islam either ruled by the Islamic State or Iran with little hope of retaining even a core of secularists and obviously Christianity and Judaism along with all other religious beliefs will have fled, converted or been beheaded. Eventually the Quran will have come to have consumed the Bible and once doing so it will have assured to have dominated and subjected all secularists as well. There will be only the Quran, the Muezzin’s call to prayer five times each day from right before sunup to just after sundown (something which will prove very interesting in the most northern lands in the European Scandinavia where the sun does not set in the summer and never quite rises in the dead of winter). The one last thing which all can be assured of, and that is after the fall of Europe the United States then Canada will not be far behind.

 

There will be those who will question how it was that Islam swept across Europe and conquered the continents of Europe and North America almost without firing a single shot. That will be a misguided question as where bullets may not have been used as the favored form of execution but there will be harsh attacks on those who refuse to believe and show sufficient reverence and devotion in their prayers often resulting in public hanging or beheading. It is needless to point out that each of these heretics to Islam will have been made to make a very public apology and recounting of and confessing their sins and their evil core before being executed making a spectacle for the public including a reinforcement of Islam. Much will parallel the story line for the society as described in George Orwell’s 1984 except instead of Big Brother there will be Allah and the Imam’s watching you while each and every European left will bow before Allah and learn to recite by rote the Quran so they will be good Muslims. Their role model will be sold them as the principles by which Mohammad lived and there will still be the Two Minutes of Hate, as pictured below, which will probably have a person to scream at on the screen who will very likely have a name such as “Emmanuel Goldstein” as that will need no tweaking.

 

 

Two Minutes of Hate Screaming at Video of Emanuel Goldstein from the George Orwell Novel 1984

 

 

Some things can share a remarkable resemblance with only the smallest of changes from the realm of good fiction to future events in real life. That is what probably makes such classic stories classic, their ability to strike that chord in people where they can see these exact principles, as in the case of the novel 1984, almost the entirety being as near an exact copy coming into fruition as one may imagine. Instead of nationalist based fascist socialism taking over all of Europe as in 1984, it does appear that there will be a form of religious based fascist socialism sweeping Europe if the power behind the refugees achieves their goals. In many ways the governance under Islam is a form of universalist, fascism with some forms of redistribution of wealth and comes with an entire self-regenerating hierarchy by which its current leadership directly trains and promotes the next generations which will carry on exactly in the same identical ways of the previous generations with little if anything ever changing.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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