Beyond the Cusp

September 16, 2019

Election Day is Almost Here

 

Well, we are going to try and elect a government one more time tomorrow. We attempted to do so back in April but that became a bad joke as nobody could reach the magic number of sixty-one mandates. There is a better than even chance that we will simply have a repeat performance by an evenly divided country. Now, we know the question on so many minds, how can there be an election without one side reaching a majority. The answer is easy to understand once one realizes that a large segment of the populace refuses to join with either the left or right, the Arab sector parties. When Ra’amBalad and HadashTa’al, both a combination of far-left party and an Arab party plus another Arab party with a Communist party, take on average around ten to a twelve mandates, this means the major parties need to gather sixty-one or more mandates out of merely one-hundred-eight to one-hundred-ten available mandates. This means that instead of being required to form a government with fifty-percent of the vote plus one mandate, to form a government they require between fifty-five-percent to fifty-seven-percent plus one to form a government, a far more difficult task. These outlier parties have as part of their platforms anti-Zionism, support for two-state-solution, socialism/communism and a general disregard, if not outright hatred, of the right and simple disdain for the left and support for Israeli Arabs plus the Arabs of the Palestinian Authority and those in Gaza. Israelis will await the results as it is unsure which side, right-wing or left-wing, will be able of forming a coalition. So, what should the world expect come Wednesday morning and the results are finalized?

 

BTC Israeli Election Banner

 

We can all expect another close election with the balance being determined by which side gets their supporters to the polls to vote. Initial indications from those permitted to take advantage of early voting have presented a disturbing realization, they are voting at a rate measurably below their percentage in April. Should this hold valid for the turnout for the elections tomorrow, it means that whichever side loses the least in turnout will likely come out as the leader. But just because one side receives a larger percentage of the vote does not mean that they will realize sufficient support to form a government. Things have gotten to the point of absurd as Bibi Netanyahu came out making a similar announcement so as not to be outdone by the Blue White Party, where Ganz stated he would accept Arab parties in his coalition if needed to form a government and that negotiations were proceeding in that direction; Bibi stated he would not refuse to work with Arab Ministers who might join his coalition. The reality is almost every Arab Minister from the Arab parties would never join a Bibi led coalition, but Ganz could be a wholly different and definitive possibility. Even should either side make a coalition with Arab Party Ministers, such a coalition would be excessively shaky and unlikely to be sufficiently stable to survive even one year.

 

So, what has accurately changed since April? One thing is that Avigdor Lieberman, leader of the Yisrael Beiteinu Party, has entered into a vote sharing where should one part be close to attaining an additional seat, the other party can gift them any votes which would not cost their party a position. This is performed in order to attempt and provide one of the parties, and thus their combined number of mandates, an additional position. Lieberman had been seen as potentially leading his party along with the rest of the right-wing parties and this places Yisrael Beiteinu definitely allied with the left-wing and has removed any doubt as to their current loyalty. This is a definite change from history and was suspected when Lieberman refused to join any government led by Netanyahu, thus moving to the left of center. This could result in their receiving fewer votes and thus mandates with some of their more conservative members leaving and joining Likud or possibly even Yamina combined right party. This will be another of the variables which will be beyond the polls and prognosticators ability to accurately predict. Then there is the other difficulty which drives and makes Israeli elections different and more variable than other parliamentary governments, the fact that there are numerous, what are best described as, personality parties where they are centered around a person whose positions are often either narrow or even contradictory such as being largely a right-wing party as well as marijuana legalization, which often fail to reach the threshold in order to receive ministers in the government and thus their votes go wasted. This often leads to what becomes lost positions and mandates for either side depending on how many of such parties or alliances of such parties fail to make it into the government. On the other hand, should the majority of such parties on either side actually make it into the government, then that side will have a stronger position in forming a government.

 

So, what have the polls been claiming? Here we must be honest; we have tended to disregard Israeli polling as it is often well off the mark. If President Trump is to be believed, then Prime Minister Netanyahu will waltz to victory with ease, another thing we doubt as nothing in Israeli politics is easy. What people have mentioned in conversations about the elections is that there are polls claiming the right will form the next government and claiming the left will form the next government. There you have it, polls made to order, and that is the unfortunate reality about Israeli polling. Israel has the same dividing political criteria as in the United States. The big cities, starting with Tel Aviv, vote largely for the left-wing while the religious, Zionist and smaller cities tend to vote more right-wing. Similarly to the United States, the population is relatively evenly split with one exception, right-wing voters in Israel are often the ones more determined to make it out and vote. This may prove to be the defining difference when the dust settles and Israel will once more set out to form a government. The bigger question is which person, Bibi or Ganz and company, does the Israeli populace trust to lead the country sustaining the economy and keeping the nation safer. This is where the left very well could hit their largest problem, they are too defined by the memory of the Oslo Accords and the well over a thousand Israelis murdered in the following flood of terrorist attacks. Netanyahu has allowed for terrorism to be greatly decreased with the terror wall, technological miracles such as Iron Dome, and other mitigating factors. Netanyahu has also had the advantage of a strong economic picture. But he does have one looming fault which he has attempted to cajole and coax a picture of his turning over a new leaf and suddenly has reached a point where he claims he will extend Israeli sovereignty over the Jordan Valley, all of the Israeli towns beyond the Green Line and numerous other offerings to the Zionists and stronger right-wing voters. Part of this rhetoric has been his weapon attempting to drive voters from the further right Yamina into the fold of Likud. Netanyahu has gone what some may see as overboard with claims that Yamina will not pass threshold and thus voting for them is wasting your vote and only the Likud is the safe vote. This has been the main difficulty with Bibi as he desires having a coalition made up of Likud without any other parties. By attempting to reach such, he often attacks the other right-wing parties which in the end makes forming a right-wing government that much more difficult as he could cost some of the smaller parties to fail to reach threshold thanks to his attacks. His attack on Yamina would be completely unfounded as it is a coalition of parties which Bibi pushed and pressured Jewish Home, National Union and The New Right to combine so they would easily pass threshold and now he is attacking them for not being able to make threshold. Netanyahu has also been seen to be attacking largely Zionist parties such as Yamina which makes his promises for extending sovereignty all the less believable. Only a strong showing by Yamina would be capable of holding Netanyahu to his word while others would allow him to forget these promises seeing them simply as politicking for these elections.

 

Then there is always the question as to who other than Bibi can lead Israel from the right. That is a question which will have to be seen after the era of Netanyahu as the Likud is the eight-hundred-pound gorilla in the room. But this will change over time and within the next thirty years, and conceivably less, the leading party will likely be a coalition of religious-Zionist parties which will have taken control of Israeli politics. This prediction is based on simple mathematics. The religious sector in Israel, as in the United States and Europe, are reproducing at a far higher rate than the left-leaning populace. This population will be split between the Haredi Parties and the religious-Zionist parties and somewhat less for Likud. There will be, for some time, the ability for Likud to continue to lead as long as they can find some means of retaining the support of the Haredi Parties. Eventually, their allegiance will be swayed to support of the religious-Zionist groupings as they take the lead ahead of the Likud. But all of this will take a few decades and, in the meantime, Israel is a very divided nation with a fine enough balance that we might not form a government with these elections either making new elections in another three months necessary.

 

So, what happens if we have another election which does not produce a government? Well, as we have mentioned to friends and observed, Israel is doing just fine without any functioning elected government and the main difference is there is less news. We have always felt that less news is good and no news is great despite it making blogging more difficult. Eventually Israeli populous will figure out what is what and a government will be voted into power and then we will have more news than we probably desire. We have often found the old Ronald Reagan quote of, “Government is not the solution to our problem, government is the problem.” Perhaps this is partly why we have no problem having Israel continue without a government. Further, as long as we do not have a government, we will not have Trump’s “Deal of the Century,” something we have had a great deal of trepidation concerning what it may present. We are aware that the State Department likely had a fair amount of influence, and that is one area of the United States government which has proven to be very much anti-Israel and definitively anti-Zionist. Their influence is the central figure in our consternation. Perhaps Israel being unable to form a government is Hashem’s way of protecting her from potential disasters where Israel is once again forced to make concessions without a single guarantee that such concessions will bring us any peace. The greatest three concessions Israel has made have been some of the most destructive and now constitute the greatest threats to Israel’s future. The first was the Oslo Accords which brought us the two-state-solution paradigm which promises to produce even more terror wars were it ever to be fulfilled, the pulling of the IDF out of Lebanon without any promise for safety on the northern border leading to Hezballah on the northern border representing the Iranian desires and whims and finally the Gaza withdrawal which produced Hamas and Islamic Jihad who both are also enforcers of the will of Iran. We have our doubts that Israel could survive too many more peace plans as each brings us a new disaster and the renewed threat of devastating wars in the future. The only secure resolution of the Arab threats to Israel is the world finally actually fulfilling the promises we were given and are still the only solution which meets with International Laws, treaties, conferences, Mandates and all enforceable by the United Nations. We are not fools and realize that much of the world desires an end to the state of Israel even if it costs, or especially if it costs, the lives of seven-million Jews. Perhaps the reality is Israel is safest and best off as long as she does not have a government upon which such future demands would be pressed. Yes, perhaps no government is the best government, something Thomas Jefferson would have understood and likely supported.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

May 20, 2019

As the World Spirals into Tighter Knots of Hatred

 

There is no denying that the world has become more coarse and hate-filled. Leading the groups of hatred is the usual, anti-Semitism. Oh, wait, most of these are not anti-Semitic as they merely discuss and are critical of Israeli policies and the treatment of the Palestinians and the denial of their basic rights. That is not actually anti-Semitism, it is merely honest criticism.

 

Really? Merely honest criticism you claim. May we ask if you have any criticism for any nation other than Israel? Is it only Israel which is deserving of your selective scorn? Well, let us look a little closer at the main complaints which are spread about Israel and the Palestinian Arabs. If you are willing to look at these claims from another angle and try to have an open mind, maybe we can realize some valid points.

 

One of the biggest complaints comes down to the fact that the Palestinian Arabs have not voted in a general election since 2005 despite Israel holding three elections since then. Well, you have a valid point that the Israelis have had three elections and the Palestinian Arabs have not voted in a general election since 2005. Have you ever bothered to find out why they have not voted in any general elections since 2005? Well, despite Israeli elections, the Palestinian Authority has cancelled elections for their Parliament and for President at every opportunity when elections were scheduled. Every time some problem has cropped up making election impossible. One of the favorite reasons is because the Palestinian Authority controls areas in Judea and Samaria and Hamas controls Gaza and they just do not get along that well. Another difficulty which may have some bearing on the lack of elections is that Mahmoud Abbas knows that he would fail in retaining his position as President of the Palestinian Authority which could lead to his being removed as Chairman of the PLO and the leader of the Fatah Party which gives him the triple crown of power over the Palestinian Arabs in the areas Fatah controls. Meanwhile, in Gaza there are two groups, Hamas (often working with Iran despite being mostly Sunni or Muslim Brotherhood) and Islamic Jihad (another Shia arm of Iran in their threats upon Israel) who have an arrangement which allows Hamas, the stronger of the two, to choose whomever they desire to be the leader and head of the government. Currently that position is held by Yahya Sinwar (the former commander of the Hamas military wing and proof that there really is no difference between the military and political wings except in the eyes of most Europeans). Since the position is by appointment of a ruling council whose members are largely a secret, elections are completely unnecessary as the leadership and support are appointed positions. And talking of Israeli elections, the Palestinian Arabs are not Israelis and thus are not a party to Israeli elections and just as foreigners do not vote in other national elections (such as the French do not vote in Italian elections and the Italians do not vote in French elections and neither Italians nor French vote in the American elections). So, the Palestinians have not voted in elections since 2005 is because their governing powers have decided that elections are simply too bothersome and thus none are being held.

 

One last comparative statement and then we will move along. Just as Mexicans and Canadians do not vote in American elections and Americans do not vote in Canadian or Mexican elections; Israelis do not vote in Palestinian Arab elections, be they under the auspices of Islamic Jihad, Hamas or Palestinian Authority and the Palestinian Arabs do not vote in Israeli elections. We know what the next accusation will be, so you admit that the Palestinian Arabs cannot vote in Israeli election. That is true. So, you admit that Arabs are not permitted to vote. Everyone see the logical leap making one huge assumption, namely that all Arabs are Palestinians and thus all Arabs are denied the vote. This is the fallacy which is used all the time to prove Israel denies Arabs the vote. The slick slight of language equates all Arabs with Palestinian Arabs but Palestinian Arabs across the Arab world are denied the right to vote even if elections were held. There is a group of Arabs which make up almost one-quarter of the population and who do vote in Israeli elections as well as run for office and sit in the Knesset, the Israeli parliament and work in every profession in Israel (technically even Rabbi as there are Arab Jews in Israel who were or their relatives were thrown out of their Arab homelands within the first decade and a half after Israel was founded with the vast majority of these Arab Jews coming to Israel). The Israeli Arabs who are Muslim or Christian or any other religion all get to vote in Israeli elections as they too are citizens of the State of Israel. What many find surprising is to learn that according to the conventions under which Israel was provided to be founded by the League of Nations and the Mandate System, they were not required to allow anyone other than Jews the vote. They were required to provide economic rights, religious rights, social rights, humanitarian rights and virtually any other form of rights with one exception, they did not need to provide political rights to those within their borders who were not Jews. This was not and obviously is not Israeli law, but it was one option permitted the Jewish State which they decided not to adopt. Thus, the non-Jews in Israel have the exact same rights as the Jews and in some instances it appears they have rights denied most Jews, but these are not consequential to our discussion.

 

But this article is not going to rehash these arguments which are the backbone of the BDS Movement and are made entirely of fallacies. Instead, we are going to look at the rise in anti-Semitism and the concurrent rise of violence against Jews across Europe and in North America. The targeting of Jews has been spreading around the world as part and parcel of the leading wave of Islamist influences. In the United States it became policy in 1965 under the Hart Cellar Act. Under this legislation, immigration was switched from predominately European immigrants to areas which had less immigration previously which turned out to be used as a means for bringing Muslims to America as the preferred and target immigrants which were to be preferred. Dropped were requirements that one need learn English; any language would do as these special immigrants were to be placed together in special cities. This piece of legislation was heavily supported and all but personally walked through the Congress by Senator Ted Kennedy. The special immigration of these minorities who were minorities both as their racial definition as well as their religious preferences. The Arabs were defined as people of color despite the majority being as Caucasian as the average Norwegian. This was done for numerous reason amongst which was the programs which they would qualify for as people of color and thus an automatic minority and other benefits also permitted the government to provide them with housing thus by some miracle they were slowly introduced into the population centered by their nation of origin each resulting eventually in their becoming the plurality if not majority in numerous Congressional districts. Thus, there is now in the United States Congress Representative Rashida Tlaib who was elected from a district within Detroit but has claimed that she represents a constituency quite removed from those Detroit, Michigan neighborhoods which elected her to Congress as she has claimed that she is the Palestinian representative in the Congress. Take along side Representative Tlaib the other extrovert anti-Israel, anti-Semite Ilhan Omar as well as many anti-Israel, anti-Zionist and anti-Semitic members of the Black Congressional Caucus and their ever present apologists such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Nancy Pelosi plus Steny Hoyer and there is the makings of an uncontroversial beginnings of an anti-Semitic and anti-Israel block within the United States Congress which has been growing over the past seventy years to the point where it is becoming a danger for both the Jews of the United States and all of the people of Israel, Jew and Gentile alike.

 

Rashida Tlaib, Ilhan Omar and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Rashida Tlaib, Ilhan Omar and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

 

As if the growing hatred for Israel and the Jews within the Congress and add to this the seemingly ingrained anti-Israel activities and positions taken by what appears to be a majority of those who control the State Department and add in the trends following the same or similar trends across the nation and in Europe on the university and college campuses and the future is looking very bleak. According to, in English literature, the character of Prometheus speaks the phrase: Whom the gods would destroy they first make mad in the poem “The Masque of Pandora,” and we are witnessing such madness spreading through the world’s populations. This is becoming increasingly observable in Western civilization which is actually very sad. Looking back throughout history, one notices that every great empire began their downward slide leading to their eventual collapse, every one of them began having streaks of anti-Semitism which marked their turning point. This should serve as a warning to the developed world that this sickness has always led to disaster for every civilization where the ills of anti-Semitism and anti-Jewish State feelings sets in. One would hope that people are capable of learning from history, but this is happening again and, in every country, there is at least one party, often two with one far right and the other far left, willing to accommodate the influx of an anti-Semitic and often anti-Israel group of immigrants. These political operatives appear determined to change the demographics and accept this poison simply because these immigrants will elect their candidates. They are going this route in the name of gaining power but they are trading their souls for power, never a good idea as it will always lead to ruin.

 

There are those who claim that there is little to worry about because these anti-Semites and anti-Israel individuals are too small a minority to really cause any problems. That is ignoring history as this always starts out with a vocal and determined minority who over time and using the same methods gain sufficient strength to seize power and destroy the target nation from within. The difference this time is that the efforts are not to transform one nation but to transform entire continents. The Arab world already controls the equivalence of an entire continent under their control now though it is not unified at this time. All it would take is the right charismatic leader with what will be taken as the plan and the Arab world could easily be brought to congeal around such a person. If this person also takes Europe along with the Arab world and then you have a heavily armed body of nations brought together in an effort to then destroy Israel on their way to world conquest. What the world needs to awaken to is that Islam still is insistent that they are to rule the world and they are currently making their third or fourth drive for doing exactly that. We understand that the Western World which has fought two world wars has given up on the concept of one leader ruling the world unless it is through the United Nations. That in and of itself is frightening enough when one realizes that the General Assembly and all the disparate agencies of the United Nations are controlled by the Group of 77, a coalition of one-hundred-thirty-four developing nations which are led and willingly follow the Arab and Islamic world to the point that they chose Mahmoud Abbas to be their chairperson. This group has proven to be highly antagonistic towards Israel and have tended to largely vote as if they were a single unit. This makes them the gatekeepers at the United Nations.

 

Group of 77 Member States

Group of 77 Member States

 

The world is teetering on a knife’s edge with another great world sweeping conflagration waiting for when the world topples from that perch. Such a war could start over any small item just as World War I was initiated over an assassination, or it could begin as a plan by even a single nation deciding they are ready to enact their plan for domination and world conquest such as World War II began. Add in China, which many a far eastern expert has stated they have been building their military around a single concept, the ability to win the war with the United States for control of the Pacific and then the world. Be it China or Islam (namely Iran), and either way the world cannot afford to pay the price of such wars. When part of the plan is to use EMP weapons and you are talking about the mass extermination of the nation so struck, and should anyone be so foolish as to use such a device on the United States and the world would witness mass starvation with only the nations capable of feeding themselves surviving. Additionally, there are those who claim that it is entirely conceivable that nuclear weapons will be used to eradicate entire nations and then there would be the counter attack which would devastate the initiator of such an exchange. The resulting contamination by nuclear fallout and much of the world would suffer catastrophic population losses leading to potentially our world reverting to the technological level of the mid seventeenth century with all the wonders of such a brutal life spent at subsistence farming for most of the world population. One can only question is it worth destroying the world and any future it might potentially reach with the coming advancements in exchange for ruling over an impoverished and technologically reverted world. Some of those seeking to spread their rule to the world would tell you that if that was the result, then it was the will of their divine being. The one good thing is that should you reside within a few hundred miles of any major population center, which is most of Europe, both coasts of the United States, the entire Great Lakes region and the coastlines of much of the world, then your suffering will be minimal as the initial exchange of nuclear missiles will make quick work of such regions. We can only hope that sane minds will take over before the insanity gets too far, but in the meantime, pray for the Messiach as such an intervention is the best hope for avoiding the follies of man.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

April 11, 2019

Finally, the Israeli Elections are Done

 

Well, that is except for the yelling and finagling required to form a coalition. Here is where Israeli elections become confusing for most foreigners and also many Israelis. First, it will likely take until Friday before all the votes including from oversees diplomats, soldiers posted away from polling stations and a small select group who are not required to actually vote in person. Israel does not have early voting, mail in ballots for any but a select group as mentioned above and that about covers the voting. The next step is to take the votes for the parties which cleared the threshold of around 3.25% and figure what percentage of the one-hundred-twenty seats in the Knesset each one received. Then the heads of each party or block select who they would prefer to be the Prime Minister and send this to the President of Israel. He then tabulates which of the top vote getters will be first to attempt and cobble together a coalition. As the President is the only person technically who will view these choices, he could pick whomever he preferred and nobody might be the wiser. From the vote breakdown, it appears that the coalition will be a right of center coalition under Likud and Bibi Netanyahu, again. Yes, again. The estimates are he may end up with the exact same coalition as last time and as of this time, the main difference might be that Naftali Bennett and Ayelet Shaked and their New Right Party may not clear threshold. Their split from the Jewish Home (our party) may be seen as a huge miscalculation or they may be credited with forcing Likud to move slightly further right and promise many of the same changes on which they had campaigned.

 

The way a coalition is put together in Israel also leaves something to be desired. There are far more parties in the Israeli soup than anywhere else than we know. This leads to the next Prime Minister having to meet demands from each party. All too often, two parties will demand the same Ministership such as defense or finance leading to real headaches, for the coalition builder, not us, we get to cover all the in-fighting. Other parties are easier to deal with as their main expectation is monetary support for their schools or their neighborhoods or their specific defining character of their party. The sticking point often comes down to who is permitted and in how many numbers or percentages are permitted to be deferred from Military service. Please do not request that we follow down this path any further, thanks. Eventually, a coalition will be hammered out or maybe the President will be forced to either allow another election high vote party leader to make a go of it or he can call for new elections. There is a time limit on how long each individual is permitted to put a coalition together and this limit is often the deciding factor on whether parties forgive their main demands and settle for half a loaf instead of two loaves, one under each arm. All of this fun and excitement will likely take a few weeks before all is said and done, and as usual, more will be said than done.

 

There will be a second result from the election which Americans will fully understand, the Israeli media will need to explain how so many of their polls and predictions could be so wrong. This will extend also to the American media which also called the Israeli results quite incorrectly. In both cases, this can be credited to a combination of political bias and wishful speculations rather than honest evaluations. That is fine as the Israeli media fell very much in line with their American counterparts in calling the United States Presidential elections wrong for the 2016 election cycle. In many cases, we all wish the media would do more reporting and less pontificating and editorializing. News is to be reported with as little bias and massaging as possible, something we all could benefit from. Us, we do not claim to be reporters, we state clearly that we are editorialists and thus have a flavor to what we write. Some have thanked us for being as straightforward as we do try, but where we fall on most issues is obvious and we seldom vary from our positions. At the least, we try and also provide alternate views and are quite liberal in accepting comments including critical commentary.

 

What probably was the most interesting prediction about this election was that the government would collapse in approximately six months and Israel would be driven into yet another election cycle. It has been quite a while since an elected Israeli government completed their four-year term before new elections were called due to the coalition collapsing or the main party deciding that elections were advantageous at a particular point. As elections are not held immediately after the fall of a coalition, going to elections is always a bit of a risk. There can be a whole sea change in the mood of the people from unpredicted events and other influences. It really is you call elections and you takes your chances. This was evident in the election results this time as when elections were called, within a week it appeared that Bibi would win easily, the New Right Party formed by Bennett and Shaked after leaving Jewish Home looked to be strong and polling comfortably over ten mandates while the Jewish Home appeared in complete free-fall and total disarray barely clearing but a mere one percent. With the initial numbers in, Jewish Home and the small bundle of parties brought together appears to be at five seats plus one they will receive from Likud as promised in the deal-making agreements and the New Right is on the cusp of not even making threshold, actually, without strong support from the votes left to be tallied, they very well may be beyond the cusp in the wrong direction and failing to make it into the Knesset. Some are blaming Bibi for their potential failure as he made a number of announced policies which were directed at the New Right taking their positions which may have brought a fair number of votes back to Likud which they initially stood to lose to the New Right.

 

Bibi Stands and Promises Judea and Samaria Local-Council Leaders

Bibi Stands and Promises Judea and Samaria Local-Council Leaders

 

This brings us to the final and longest lasting stage of Israeli elections, blame placing. There will be no lack of finger-pointing, accusations, recriminations, subversive theories, rapprochements, excuse-making, blame-laying and all-around claims laying all the blame on anyone but those who felt cheated by actions of others. There is no love lost in politics and Israel is no different. The saving grace in Israel is within a month of the new coalition taking power, there will be an entirely new set of reasons to blame them for not delivering on what they promised. Then start the in-fighting and eventually it gets to the point that nobody wants to take the heat and everyone runs from the kitchen resulting in, you guessed it, new elections. Of course, the largest amount of excuse making will come from those who are not included in the coalition and the loudest screaming will come from those who expected to do well and ended up not even making it into the government either in the coalition or in the opposition. You will note we did not say loyal opposition as politics in Israel has become almost as contentious as it has in America and as such those not in the coalition show no love lost on those they blame including or especially Bibi Netanyahu. We will all be told how he used devious maneuvers, outright lies, exclusionary rhetoric and just about every possible accusation of evil doings which anyone can imagine, and Israelis are imaginable if nothing else. So, if your party is included in the coalition, then you have to remain slightly reserved for a while and if your party is in the opposition then whale-away at whoever you believe is most responsible for you not getting your way, after all, they deserve everything you can throw at them, don’t they. In the meantime, we will wait and see how the coalition shakes out, what our party (Jewish Home) receives as an enticement and whether it parallels that we most desire. As for us here, we are waiting to see if Bibi will keep his most contentious promise which he stood before Judea and Samaria local-council leaders promising that immediately after the new coalition is seated, he would move to extend Israeli civil law to all their communities ending the horrors they have faced under military law and the vulnerability that placed them in before the courts, specifically the Supreme Court (see above picture). This is definitely one promise which would be political suicide for him to backtrack as doing so would make him vulnerable to parties to his right leaving the coalition. But some who are always suspicious have claimed this is exactly the situation Bibi seeks such that he will be forced to seek new coalition members from the more left leaning parties or even form a unity coalition with Gantz and seek some form of peace with the Palestinian Authority along the lines which Gantz proposed early in the campaign. His plan included another disengagement while leaving IDF stationed in the areas of Judea and Samaria, something we covered in some depth here in our early run-up coverage of the elections. This includes what we foresaw as the deepest and most serious problems which could result. Anyway, Israeli elections are done and in the can except not quite yet as the song and dance stage is soon to be entered.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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