Beyond the Cusp

June 3, 2016

Weeds in the MENA Garden

 

 

If one were to ask the European Union, the United States, the United Nations and the world media who is responsible for the unrest throughout the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) the resounding echoes would continue to scream Israel for likely the rest of eternity, but is that an honest assessment or simply a knee jerk automatic programed response spurred by anti-Israel, anti-Zionist, anti-Semitic hatreds? The easiest way to tell would be to take a quick whirl around the MENA nations and see what the truth is. Let us start our excursion at the western edge and head to the east and see what we will see.

 

A map of MENA nations is almost up to date and is only missing the Sudan, and as the Sudan was split after years of tribal and religious violence, South Sudan; and some go so far as to include Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Djibouti, Eretria, and Somalia.

A map of MENA nations is almost up to date and is only missing the Sudan, and as the Sudan was split after years of tribal and religious violence, South Sudan; and some go so far as to include Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Djibouti, Eretria, and Somalia.

 

Coming into the North of Africa from the Atlantic Ocean the first country we would visit would be Western Sahara where we would find Morocco has occupied Western Sahara since 1975 in violation of resolutions by the United Nations Security Council and International Court of Justice ruling. Any efforts to dislodge Morocco from Western Sahara have been blocked directly by the United States whose full support of the Moroccan occupation shows no sign of relenting. The conflict reemerged as the “Independence Intifada” in 2005 which has remained as depicted in map below. Despite numerous efforts to defuse the situation the standoff remains.

 

Occupied Western Sahara  by Morocco Shaded Area  and Western Sahara Unshaded

Occupied Western Sahara
by Morocco Shaded Area
and Western Sahara Unshaded

 

Continuing on from the Morocco-Western Sahara conflict we next visit Mauritania which has had a rocky recent history including two military coups, the first was in 2005 followed eventually by elections for a new president in 2007 followed by the second coup in 2008. General Abdul Aziz took power after the coup but found the nation had few supporters amongst them predominantly were Morocco, Libya and Iran while the United States and European nations rejected the legitimacy of the coup continuing to refer to Abdallahi as the legitimate president of Mauritania. After the resignation of Abdallahi there were elections which allowed Abdel Aziz to become the civilian president. In February 2011 there were waves of unrest as the Arab Spring spread to Mauritania demanding President Mohamed Abdel Aziz institute political, economic, and legal reforms. The unrest culminated in April of 2012 as thousands of people in Mauritania attended demonstrations in the capital calling for President Mohamed Abdel Aziz to resign. Currently the nation is under military rule with the legal system based on Islam and Sharia.

 

Heading across the southern end the picture in Mali, Niger and Chad is the constant internal strife between Christian governments and Islamic uprisings with much of the major horrific attacks conducted by the terrorist group Boko Haram which literally means Western education is forbidden. Boko Haram follows Saudi Wahhabism and has pledged their loyalty to the Islamic State. Along the north there has been steady unrest in Algeria and especially Libya since the NATO backed coup where President Obama declared that the United States was leading from behind in the ouster of and eventual execution (murder) of Colonel Muammar Gaddafi. In Libya the nation is in fractious rule of numerous terror groups and tribal armies with some having declared alliance with the Islamic State. In the south east there is the Sudan which bled in the south especially in the Darfur area. Eventually the Sudan was force to divide allowing South Sudan to become independent. In October of 2015, South Sudan’s President Salva Kiir issued a decree establishing twenty-eight states in place of the ten constitutionally established states. The decree established the new states largely along ethnic lines. He took it to the parliament for approval as a constitutional amendment in November and the South Sudanese parliament empowered President Kiir to create new states.

 

This brings us to Egypt where the recent history has played out live and large in the Western media. The Arab Spring riots led to the removal of President and military strongman Mubarak. The elections were held fairly soon after Mubarak was forced to step down largely by the United States backing of the Muslim Brotherhood. These elections overwhelmingly approved Muslim Brotherhood candidate Morsi to the presidency and a large Muslim Brotherhood majority in the parliament. Within the year new rioting broke out protesting the implementation of Sharia despite warnings from Turkish President Erdogan to the Morsi government to slow their radical changes or face resistance. This led to the military removing Morsi and arresting him for election fraud. New election instated former General of the Army Sisi as President though he still had an Islamist and presumed Muslim Brotherhood controlled parliament. The Obama administration refused to recognize Sisi and demanded that Morsi be reinstated; a request which was roundly ignored. Unrest still exists between Egypt and the United States which will be resolved by the Presidential election this November in the United States. As to what either Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump might choose to do is a complete mystery at the present time as neither has addressed foreign policy beyond Hillary’s claim to deep knowledge claiming her time as a Senator of New York and a stint as Secretary of State under President Obama which included the Benghazi, Libya fiasco amongst other miscues and Trump claiming to have conducted business deals with numerous foreign governments and met many world leaders though particulars remain largely unconfirmed. Egypt has also faced unrest largely from the Muslim Brotherhood and the Islamic State where both are vying for control of the Sinai from where they would presumably unseat Sisi and retake the presidency. Hamas in Gaza was seen as providing assistance to these and some Iranian backed groups in the Sinai thus earning themselves a complete sea and land embargo enforced by Egypt from their waters and land borders with Gaza. The Egyptian blockade is often ignored with the large amount of attention paid to the Israeli “blockade” which is actually an inspection of goods before allowing their delivery to Gaza usually within one or two days done to assure that weapons are not being imported by Hamas and the other terror groups which rule Gaza. Egypt too is a work in progress.

 

We will return to Israel subsequently but meanwhile on to Lebanon where the terror groups Hezballah runs the government with an opposition often afraid to act to remove the terror group as previous attempts have resulted in untimely deaths. Lebanon cannot be addressed without discussing Syria and the state of war which has more facets than hewn crystals. The main three forces are Syrian dictator Bashir al Assad who has retreated to the Alawite tribal areas along the Mediterranean coast and Lebanese border. Assad is backed by Iran and their proxy, Hezballah, out of Lebanon. These are the Shiite forces which also receive tactical support largely in the form of air strikes by the Russians who are protecting their port area along the Mediterranean coast. Inland there are Sunni groups, oft referred to as terror groups, supported largely by Saudi Arabia and Turkey. Finally there are the forces of the Islamic State which stretch into Iraq where they face the Iraqi Army backed by Iran who uses mostly IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps) placing Iran at either end of the Islamic State. The Islamic State has been largely self-financed though there have been rumored support from Qatar. There is another group in northern Iraq and extending into northeastern Syria which is controlled by Kurdish Militias which are opposed strongly by Turkey. The Kurdish forces were at one time rumored to be receiving training by Israeli trainers on a clandestine mission though many have refuted that this was just a means of explaining the Kurdish forces resilience and holding their own against Islamist forces considered to be better equipped.

 

This takes us to the Saudi Peninsula and Jordan which we can count as a single unit of the GCC (Gulf Coordination Council) which is a group backed mostly by Saudi Arabia which includes Kuwait and the Gulf States and to a lesser extent, Jordan. Saudi Arabia has a close working relationship with the Egyptian government of President Sisi who are jointly facing terror groups including those supported or aligned with Islamic State as well as Iranian backed terrorists and the Houthi Tribes in the Yemen civil war, a front where Iran backed and Saudi Arabian backed forces are in direct confrontation. The United States has opposed and presumably attempted to prevent, though with little success, arms shipments to the Houthis by Iran and also opposed the bombing sorties from Saudi Arabia with equal lack of success and the belligerents continue to fight on. In the southernmost areas of Yemen, the prized areas which overlook the narrow passage from the Red Sea into the Arabian Sea, called Bab el-Mandeb Strait are a group of fighters originally claiming alliance with al-Qaeda but recently changing their alliance to presumably the Islamic State. These groups have benefited directly from Saudi raids as has the currently recognized Hadi-led government.

 

Yemen Battle Map

Yemen Battle Map

 

Lastly let us finally look at Israel. On the Golan Heights IDF (Israeli Defense Forces) have returned fire when fired upon by intention and otherwise has unofficial drop points for wounded individuals, civilian and combatant though no difference is noted, wounded and in need of treatment. IDF soldiers take these wounded and treat them in their field facility with the more serious cases transferred to Israeli hospitals for treatment. After treatment the individuals once sufficiently recovered are returned from whence they came at same drop points. All sides can view the individual drop points and all points are respected by other fighting factions in an unarranged agreement as all sides use this treatment method and no one side wishes to risk being cut-off from Israeli treatment and have to rely on whatever resources they have available. We have no information as to whether any Iranian forces have received treatment from the Israelis though if placed in civilian clothing they would receive the same treatment as any other individual. The Israeli border with Lebanon is currently quiet as Hezballah has sufficient on their plate with forces in the Syrian conflict and rumored even to have some fighting with IRGC or Houthis in Yemen. Intelligence believed to be accurate estimated that Hezballah has stores of rockets of varying size and capable of striking Tel Aviv, Bathsheva and even Ashkelon as well as guided missiles from Iran capable of striking anywhere in Israel including the southernmost port city of Eilat carrying warhead as large as two kilos and potentially five or ten up to one-hundred kilos warheads on their short and medium ranged rockets of which they possess as many as one-hundred-seventy-five-thousand. On their larger missiles they have warheads of as much as seven-hundred-fifty kilos on modified Zilzal-2 with a four-hundred km range and which they possess an estimated one thousand. Their Fateh-110 missile has a range three-hundred km range striking at Mach 3.5 carrying a four to seven-hundred kg warhead of which Hezballah possess more than twenty-thousand and lastly there is the Shaheen-II two stage missile which has a range of two-thousand km making able to strike anywhere in Israel and into Egypt. Each missile is capable of flight altitude of up to three-hundred km, is GPS guided, and varies a one-thousand plus kg warhead making it potentially capable of carrying a nuclear warhead and retaining it guidance hardware. It is doubtful that Iran has, let alone provided Hezballah with a deliverable nuclear warhead. Such is not far from the horizon for Iran but their providing Hezballah with such a weapon is doubtful.

 

The remaining fronts for Israel are with Jordan and Egypt which are both peaceful and with the Palestinian Authority (PA) in Judea and Samaria as well as with Hamas and ally Islamic Jihad and other terror and criminal groups in Gaza. The front with the PA is largely one where there are terror strikes which can be planned by Abbas and the his PLO terror groups or the less planned but instigated through calls for violence from PA figures, PLO figures or any of a litany of groups most of which are either headed by Mahmoud Abbas or are willful practitioners at his beck and call. The most recent round were stabbings carried out largely by Palestinian Arab and some Israeli Arab youths as well as car rammings along with rock and Molotov cocktail throwing with rioting which are carried out routinely by PA controlled terror groups, the Tamini family instigators who work closely with European Union and other European NGOs whose main aims are to cause any violent response by Israel which is filmed and the instigation causing the defensive act is edited and with careful editing and juxtaposition of stock footage, prerecorded footage or actual footage with any questionable instigations by the Arabs edited over or out completely compiled into the final product which is then transmitted throughout European news agencies within a matter of a couple of hours and they run with it unedited as if it were an actual news story followed by their governments and the European union then condemning Israel for use of disproportional force or the commission of war crimes and crimes against humanity. The Gaza front is another area where Iran attempts with some success to smuggle arms mostly containing rocket motors and rocket parts and technology. Funding for Hamas comes from UNRWA as well as from the PA making the European Union, United States, United Nations and individual European nations as well as numerous Arab countries direct or indirect financiers of Hamas terrorism and rocket attacks as well as Arab instigations and propaganda which permeates their entire society from their media to the schools, summer camps soccer leagues and every aspect of childhood and raising the children to hate Jews as well as Israel. The Hamas Charter calls not only for the annihilation of Israel but of Jews worldwide. Similar language is found in Islamic Jihad and Hezballah pamphlets and charters or constitutions. The hatred goes well beyond Israel and includes Jews everywhere as well as Western culture and societies. Hamas and their allies as well as Hezballah desire a world caliphate under Sharia and openly claim so. The main difference is whether the caliphate would be Shiite or Sunni, for the rest of us that is a minor comfort.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

February 20, 2016

When Does Enough Become Enough?

 

How many Jews need to be stabbed, run over or set ablaze with firebombs before the world says that Israelis should be permitted to fight back against these murderous attacks? The answer appears to be when the last Jew in Israel has been murdered, or better known as never. If Israeli security prevents an Arab assault by shooting dead the terrorist attacker it is called extra-judicial vigilantism. If instead the Israeli security shoots and disables the attacking terrorist and then give them top notch treatment in Israeli hospitals and returns to their family whole and with all limbs functioning as well as the day they took a knife and attacked an innocent Israeli, then Israel is causing them to be disabled and thus a drain on the limited funding of the Arab Palestinian society. The only way that the Israelis would be permitted to stop such murderous activities is if the terrorist died of exhaustion stabbing Jews and other Israelis and then Israel would likely be accused of not permitting the terrorist to have a normal sleep cycle. But there are some factors which the world willfully ignores about this stabbing Intifada which deserves investigation.

 

First item is that when these terrorists strike at those residing in Israel, they have planned them quite well attacking areas where the percentage of Jews is highest. Those who have used their employment in Jewish communities to gain entrance to the neighborhood can choose their victim carefully. This was the case this week when the stabbing attack at a branch of the Rami Levy Supermarket in Sha’ar Binyamin in which Tuvia Yanai Weissman, an American citizen, was murdered. Security cameras revealed the two terrorists roamed the aisles of the Ram Levy store for more than a quarter of an hour before attacking the couple killing the husband and injuring his wife before two other patrons at the store ended the attack responding to the distress calls by the victims. The terrorists were shot and taken for treatment at an Israeli hospital. It bears noting that the terrorists would be treated by Israeli physicians. When we say an Israeli hospital treated them it means the physician and nurses and other hospital staff could be from any background including Arab, Jewish, Christian or other parentage as in Israel all are permitted to study what they wish and become anything their intelligence and hard work will provide for them. When the terrorists attack, no matter how careful they may be in choosing a target which is Jewish, as long as the person attacked cannot be determined by manner of dressing and wearing religious clothing such as a Yamaka, the terrorist has a one in three chance of attacking an Israeli of other than Jewish religious background including a fellow Muslim, a Christian or one of the other religions represented within Israeli society.

 

 

Hamas Terrorists Abusing Their Own Children Raising Them on Hatred

Hamas Terrorists Abusing Their Own Children Raising Them on Hatred

 

 

Still, what will it take for the world instead of screaming about the Israeli response to violent murderous assaults with force of their own to actually hold that the initial attack is the root of the problem, not Israelis, particularly Jews, defending themselves. Could it be that Jews have been forced by their societies to play only the part of victim which bothers these people about Jews defending themselves? Can it be that in their eyes of an idealized world Jews would be forbidden of availing themselves of the basic right of self-defense? Granted that living amongst these peoples of the world, Arabs, Muslims, Christians, Europeans, Americans and any other places where such is true have so accustomed themselves to the helpless Jew living at the behest of their presumed betters. Their social customs often left the Jews no protection other than living in their designated areas and not intersecting with their host civilization but allowed to service their needs. Jews were forced to reside in the ‘Jewish zone’ where they theoretically could not infect their neighbors with any Jewishness as if being Jewish were caused by some virus and was an affliction, a contagion which could become infected. A basic amongst their beliefs was that the Jew was inferior and must never be permitted to own weapons. This may be a part of their trepidations, that if the Israeli Jews in Israel have weapons, then the Jews in their countries will demand the right to arm, and that is something they feel they must never permit as the unarmed Jew is the contained Jew. As long as the Jews remain over there and know their place, then society can function “normally” with all as it should be. Israel upsets that balance.

 

The sad reality is that the Western World may not have much left of their culture and society should the tap on basically open enrolment for citizenship continue much longer. The shaky balance is radically shifting and when one adds the regressive influence this unchecked influx brings with them a completely different culture and many bring absolutely no marketable skills. That means that many of the new citizens will avail themselves of the cornucopia of welfare and other support functions without adding anything into the societies where they settle. This net cost will damage such countries such as Germany which still has a robust economy, cripple the nations with lesser economic health, devastate any nation already on the brink of failure utterly pushing beyond the cusp of financial solvency those nations teetering on the edge such as Italy and France. Europe was already precariously balanced with the hope that the weaker economic powers could be injected with funds sufficient to stimulate their economies back towards some semblance of solvency. Now, with one million plus new denizens about to lay an economic strain on Germany, the Scandinavian nations and anywhere else economic promises of support to be provided these otherwise hopeless peoples will sap every last Euro and there will come that point where the native populations within Europe explode. Supporting Greece or Italy or Spain or even France once their new socialist government overtaxes the producers to finance the ever-growing class of takers and one adds in the refugees who have little to add other than a colorful new segment of society needing almost total care while adding almost nothing useful in Europe. There should be some manner of support granted Europe by those Arab and Muslim nations who refused to care for these people who are their closest match to their populations but were turned away quite possibly with the intent on their eventually being taken in by the Europeans and thus becoming Europe’s problem.

 

But the problem will not be contained solely within Europe. As the European nations realize the damage they have caused their nations and the continent as a whole through acquiescing and taking some of the burden started by Germany’s Angela Merkel, they will seek relief from the error of their ways. This will add to the numbers already being permitted to seek refugee status in the United States and Canada. The new Canadian liberal government will bring in numbers beyond what that nation can survive and they too will seek a relief by sending their refugees to the United States as well. During his final year President Obama will respond to these urgent calls for assistance and use actual existing immigration quotas in order to facilitate the entry of half to three quarters of a billion, that is as many as seven-hundred-fifty million refugees by using the fact that many are coming from places within Europe as filling European national quotas. This will be the method of entry for Syrian, Iraqi, Afghani, Pakistani and other Arab and central Asian refugees without needing to go to Congress for special permission which would be required if these refugees were being brought to the United States by honest means.

 

What this has to do with Israel is an easy question to answer. Thus far Israel has treated injured people from the Syrian war without any questions as to whose injured they were, how they were injured and any other what could be uncomfortable questions. These people are treated for their wounds or other medical conditions and returned to Syria via the same manner by which they arrived. Israel is not nor has any plans on accepting a single refugee from the Syrian war or any of the other areas from where refugees currently originate. Israel took in her fair share of refugees as she pulled out of southern Lebanon. Granted the majority of those refugees were Arab Christians, still they were refugees. Israel absorbed refugees from Europe at the end of World War II and from across the Arab and Muslim worlds from 1946 to 1959 of near equal as to those taken in from Europe. Israel has accepted the Ethiopian Jews and the Bnei Menashe Jews from India and works to take in other long thought to be lost tribes including some who had originated in Morocco and ended up three-quarters the way up the Amazon River basin where two synagogues remain in service today. Many of these ancient Jewish tribes face persecution today much as they have throughout their histories and their clinging to their Jewish roots is something amazing and miraculous. The return of these refugees, refugees Israel does not demand others to take in and who would be refused by one and all anyway, that Israel has married into a single nation and has proven to be unbelievably inventive and building one nation which is benefitting the world being as they were commanded, a light unto the nations. But it will be pointed out that Israel did not take in their fair share of the Syrian and other Arab and Muslim refugees. Israel, it will be said, as one of Syria’s neighbors, should have accepted their fair share of refugees, perhaps four or five hundred thousand. That will likely be their starting number and it will rise with time until the claims will reach the ridiculous level and from there the numbers will go ballistic. Israel will always be singled out for special blame. Also, anytime things go awry, such as this misbegotten refugee situation, Israel will be called out for doing her share or not taking on a shared burden never recognizing the refugees Israel has taken in over the years. Problems are made to fit into one of two categories, Israel did not do enough or Israel went too far this time. When the subject is Israel, there is no range where things are in balance. With Israel if five-hundred-thousand is too much, then four-hundred-ninety-nine-thousand-nine-hundred and ninety-nine are too few. On the other hand, if five-hundred-thousand is too few then five-hundred-thousand and one is way over the top, what was Israel thinking. Israel is the epitome of you can’t win for losing.

 

 

Paris France Mass Terror Attacks ISIS Takes Credit for Murderous Carnage 129 Dead Hundreds More Injured or Traumatized

Paris France Mass Terror Attacks
ISIS Takes Credit for Murderous Carnage
129 Dead Hundreds More Injured or Traumatized

 

 

Israel had the first field hospital up and running after the disastrous earthquake flattened Haiti a few years ago and still to this day the blood libel continued that Israeli efforts in Haiti were strictly to steal organs for transplant back in Israel. What a horrific claim to make and to make it without a shred of evidence is simply monstrous. The claim after every conflict involving Israel since 1980 has been that Israel constantly uses disproportional force. The implication in that claim is obvious; too few Jews are dying and the groups making that claim are the very same people who refer to the shooting of terrorists in the midst of their assaulting every target they can reach until stopped with some continuing to attack even after being shot and shot against until completely neutralized as being vigilantism or extra-judicial killings. One guarantee we are willing to make is that if the same violence were occurring in their streets they would demand their government take action to end the terror. That does not mean their government would act which would very soon lead to that very vigilantism of which they accuse Israel. Watch Europe over the next six months and see how they act. We can look back at the recent Paris attacks where the French authorities talked and negotiated and tried to find what the terrorists wanted, right? They offered them their own state with half of Paris and the Champagne region included with the wineries left intact, didn’t they? What, they shot them on the spot, imagine the cruelty. They just shot them without any trial or anything, just shot dead right in the street. Imagine the traumas caused by their actions; they wounded French society doing such a thing. Well, will you imagine that, the great moralizers of Europe and when the violence came to their streets and was murdering their citizens acted exactly as have the Israelis. Enough said, we will simply sit back and wait for the great moralizers to start their Boycott, Divestment and Sanction movement against at the very least Paris if not the entirety of that violent nation, France. Truth be told, and we all understand and know this, the French did the right thing and the Israelis have done the right thing and there is only one way to act when facing unbridled terrorism, shoot the terrorists, period.

 

 

Paris France Riots 2005

Paris France Riots 2005

 

 

The difference when it is Israel, and not a problem when the French or anybody other than Israel treats terrorist murderers with hot lead and not cupcakes and ice cream, is their hatred of Israel, the Jewish State. It breaks down to plain and simple anti-Semitism. Call it criticizing the Israeli government, call it the horrific settlements, call it anti-Zionism, call it standing up for human rights, call it the moral thing for society to do, when the standards for Israel differ so starkly from the standards elsewhere, it is anti-Semitism. When Northern Cypress, occupied by Turkey; Tibet, the entire nation, occupied by China; Moroccan occupation of Western Sahara and no protests or burning of government officials in effigy but when Israel legally settles in lands which by treaty, the Oslo Accords, allow Israel to settle and the entirety of the lands are disputed, not occupied or final disposition determined except by high minded and heavy handed navel gazing moralists, then singling out Israel from the entirety of the world is anti-Semitism and not acting morally. It is likely the most immoral action a human being can take as anti-Semitism had proven ruinous and morally empty for over thirty centuries starting with Pharaoh. The real occupation was by Jordan and their relocation of people and their gifting and selling the lands were acts against international law but that never mattered. While Jordan occupied the lands and they could have been used to found a “Palestinian” State, that was not even a glimmer in anybody’s eye. The fact that the PLO was founded in 1964, a full three years before there was any Israeli occupation to protest unless the formation of the state of Israel is the occupation that was and still is what they are referring to. Let us repeat that, the “Palestinian” Liberation Organization with Yasser Arafat as its leader and Mahmoud Abbas as his second in command was founded in 1964 with its mission and goal the complete eradication of Israel and that is the exact mission statement it retains today while Mahmoud Abbas is numero uno. Calling the PLO the PA or Fatah makes it no different; their goal is the eradication of Israel, nothing less. Truth is this is the same Arab Israeli war from 1948 and the aim has not changed, just the tactics. Israel is at war, a slow and long war, Europe and the United States are about to join Israel in that war and we will see what effect if any it has on their views when they too are in a kitchen on fire.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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