Beyond the Cusp

December 15, 2017

Will America Explode First?

 

There has been any number of editorials commenting about the presumed unrest in the United States. They all, more often than not, have referred to the extreme anger and protest existing on social media. They assume that as social media was largely quiet during the Presidency of Barack Obama and has been very noisy since the election of Donald Trump as President that the United States public was more unified during the former and very distressed now. There have been those who point out that there is this old expression of the “silent majority” which was described as what awoke to elect President Reagan. This was presumed to explain that the “silent majority” actually is silent. There is some support to this as these are presumed to be the older people plus ones who are not as computer active as the ones now protesting so vehemently. After all, they are presumably silent, right? Still, how completely upside down and fouled does the world, and the United States in particular, have to be for Donald Trump to be elected to the Presidency? That has been one of the overriding questions which are somewhat more difficult to answer. Had the election gone the other direction, there would be people asking how far things must have gone awry and has become to elect Hillary Clinton. The other question is how crazy have things become that an avowed socialist and former Communist to almost win the Democrat primary elections. Well, how far gone have things become in the United States?

 

The first point that we believe shows that the political class has completely lost all connection with reality has been the debt. Things were viewed as having reached the verge to going off the rails when George W. Bush was elected President and the debt stood near five-trillion dollars. Eight short years later the debt had all but doubled pushing towards ten-trillion dollars. Then enter President Barack Obama and another short eight years later and the debt had almost doubled again approaching twenty-trillion dollars. Things actually went off the rails far earlier when the politicians decided that they could only afford to pay the interest on the debt and never pay down the debt. When under President Willian Jefferson Clinton with a Republican Congress managed to make a budget that on paper did not add to the deficit, the nation celebrated as if President Andrew Jackson completely paid off the debt which was celebrated on January 8, 1835. By the end of 1935, the debt had returned to between thirty to thirty-five billion dollars. Apparently, the debt had been eradicated for just a few weeks and then Congress returned to business as usual. Debt appears to be the norm and not the exception. Eventually, one of two things are going to happen, either there will be a Constitutional Convention called by the States to amend the Constitution placing a balanced budget amendment onto the Constitution with a stipulation that some percentage, ten sounds like a good number, of each budget must be applied to the principle of any existing debt until all debt is vanquished and to be reapplied instantly should new debt accrue. Anything short will lead to the worst possible option, default.

 

Eventually the interest on the debt will exceed the ability to allow paying the full amount and still running the government and meeting promised payments and allotments. Now it is possible to continue to pay the interest and all government expenses as long as there is somewhere for the United States to borrow the necessary amounts of money. This became a problem when China closed its loan office to the United States. This led to some creative financing. The Federal Reserve sold the United States the needed moneys while creating this money through bonds which it gave to the main lending banks. This method works just fine providing that these funds remain dormant in the lending banks. The problem comes when the economy becomes more active and there comes a demand for more loans and these funds begin to be utilized by the loaning banks. This is called giving the money velocity in economics. This leads to inflation as the money supply begins to increase, and in this case possibly rapidly. With inflation comes the problem of removing this excess currency from the monetary supply. There are two means for completing this task, taxes and interest rates. There are, needless to point out, ramifications to each of these means. Increasing interest rates makes the interest on the debt, which is refreshed through short-term loans on the debt, rise and eventually this leads to default or spiraling inflation. So raising interest rates is out of the question and explains why interest rates have been artificially kept so low. The other means is taxes and increasing taxes ends the economic activity and leads to less tax moneys being collected. This would also eventually lead to default or spiraling inflation. Any means used will, eventually, lead to default on the debt which will cause a loss in faith of the dollar. What would that cause?

 

A crisis in the dollar would have any number of consequences. First, and likely the most devastating, the world would all but immediately demand that some different or group of different monetary notes be used as the new reserve currency. If a group of currencies were chosen, there would be some form of complicated and intricate formula to determine what the rest of the world’s currencies would be worth. The other choice would be some mythical means for establishing exchange rates and the various values of currencies. The reason for these confusions and problems is easy to explain, gold is no longer the basis of any currency. As the dollar was the reserve currency when President Nixon took the dollar off the gold standard, he took the world off the gold standard and now currencies floated against the arbitrary value of the dollar. This is also why gold prices fluctuate against the dollar, though they actually do not gain or lose value. If you were to figure what a Ferrari would have cost in gold in 1971 and then figured the price of a Ferrari cost in gold today, the difference would be relatively negligible. That is why these claims that investing in precious metals, especially gold, will make you more wealthy in the future. It will not, you may receive more dollars, Federal Reserve Notes, but they will have very much the same purchasing power as the money you utilized to purchase the gold in the first place.

 

Tulipmania

Tulipmania

 

Would defaulting on the debt ruin the United States? Interestingly enough, such a default would allow the United States to get out of debt faster. The dollar would immediately lose much of its value and imported goods would become prohibitively more expensive. On the other hand, it would make American made goods extremely affordable to the rest of the world, except China who falsely set their currency tied to the dollar, so China would also become a pauper nation. This would allow the United States to become a prime location for manufacturing, as American labor prices would be lower than almost everywhere else where the ability of the work force is comparable. Made in America would become desirable once again not only for quality but also for affordability. Still, a default would be ruinous for American business initially and numerous companies, especially those manufacturing overseas, would find they were no longer able to be profitable and they would be replaced by new companies which would spring up almost overnight. The largest problem would be foreign corporations and billionaires could buy large shares of American companies which would provide the United States with the funding to climb out of the hole they would find themselves to have fallen. The real losers would be those people holding stocks and other investments which were in dollars as overnight they would become almost worthless compared to their value just a few days, possibly hours earlier. Such a default might lead to another stock market crash but the following dark days could be avoided providing that Congress was locked in political gridlock and unable to act. Financial bubbles burst and that makes room for new smaller bubbles to begin. That is the normal cycle for investing, especially if you are investing in tulips in the Netherlands from 1619 to 1622 when the bottom fell out when one person decided that tulips were not worth their price and everyone realized that mania had led them astray. Those left holding tulips had lousy investments but very pretty flowers to show for the insanity. On that flowery lesson, we will let the American mania continue and see when their crash comes or if they might be saved by some sagely leadership, whenever that is proven to be found. In the meantime, stay tuned for more fun and watch the crazed social media; it can be amusing as long as nobody gets hurt.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Advertisements

December 14, 2017

What Difference Do “Days of Rage” Make?

 

Last week, after President Trump recognizing the reality that Jerusalem is the Capital of Israel, though also adding enough qualifiers so as not to actually change anything other than making clear that, at the very least, half of Jerusalem will be the Capital of Israel, the Arabs on all borders and within Israel announced three Days of Rage. Perhaps a little clarity would be of some assistance. Every Friday afternoon the Arabs in Judea and Samaria have demonstrations at specific locations where they act against Israeli security forces, IDF, Border Police and regular police, with varying degrees of violence from shouting curses and spitting to throwing rocks often using slings of the variety with which David slew Goliath or even shooting at the Israeli forces from behind rock throwing children so as to get movies of Israeli security forces firing rubber bullets presumably at the children with the people with the rifles out of frame. So if these outbreaks of violence are almost as regular as clockwork, what is the big deal with announcing Days of Rage? That is simple. Where the regular violence is performed so that the Pallywood cameras can record everything from various angles such that the best editing makes the acts look real to use in Arab propaganda throughout the world to portray the Israelis as savage monsters; the announced Days of Rage are special because that signals the world media to come and record the action for the six o’clock news broadcasts and are aimed largely at the United States media as well as international media such as CNN and the BBC. There will be a less official Day of Rage again this Friday and actually are being carried out in select locations all week for the remaining media who are still hanging around just in case a really good action piece emerges showing Israel in the worst possible light.

 

Three Views of Jerusalem

Three Views of Jerusalem

 

The reality is that there are staged eruptions at the most effective checkpoints often organized by European and other leftist groups some of which include leftist Israelis. Just as are present in the United States, Europe and the rest of the developed world, there are the useful idiots who take the side that their country is a terrible and oppressive nation, as it had not adopted their idea of a socialist utopia. We have them here in Israel as well except here they are far more dangerous as the world, especially in Europe; use these people to demean the government and the security forces which protect them. These are far leftists who would demand for Israel to sacrifice its Jewishness on the altar of a socialist plurality which permitted the entirety of the so-called Palestinian refugees who number closing in on eight-million to become Israelis along with the Arabs in Judea and Samaria giving the Arab Palestinians a majority voice in the government. To them having a Jewish State is an anathema and anachronistic as they argue that no other nation in the world is religiously based. Obviously they have never heard of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq or the other nations which claim to be Islamic States, but it is not that Israel has a religiosity, it is that it is Jewish that bothers them. These often are Jews ashamed of their own Jewishness so they argue that everything Jewish must be made less Jewish until nothing is Jewish. For this reason, they side with their enemies believing that their enemies will reward them once Israel as a Jewish State has been destroyed. Should such an event ever occur, Hashem forbid, then they will find out that they are considered as Jewish as every other Jew in Israel and will receive identical treatment.

 

Pallywood

 

Still, with or without any assistance, the Arab Palestinians will protest and riot on a regular basis with checkpoints which are most effective in preventing terrorist attacks targeted in hopes of forcing their being dismantled, on the Temple Mount, and in Bethlehem and other readily recognized locations which will thus garner the greatest amount of media coverage. The media in much of the world has reported that there have been riots in every part of Israel in response to President Trump’s announcement on Jerusalem. That is far from the reality. There were some demonstrations along the Gaza border with a small number of rockets launched into Israel, disruptions on the Temple Mount and in Eastern parts of Jerusalem, in Bethlehem and some other locations in Judea and Samaria. As for most of Israel, life has continued uninterrupted and as peaceful as can be. But a peaceful Israel does not make for breathtaking news alerts on the hour and the half hour, only broad rioting wherever the media can see amounts to making for good news reporting. Ask yourself if you saw coverage of rioting in Tel Aviv, Ashkelon, Ashod, Netanya, Herzliya, Ma’alot, Eilat or Akko. Isn’t it remarkable that there have been no reports of rioting or violence in all of these Israeli cities, some of the most well known and largest in the little country? Perhaps the lack of news about problems in all of these locations is because the violence is limited to the few locations where the news coverage was directed and nowhere else. What is not a very well know fact about Israel is that, even including terrorist acts, you are less likely to have a violent crime committed against your person in Israel than you are in the United States. Part of the reason is that Israel has remarkably low crime and a well-ordered and happy society. This is proven by the World Happiness Report where Israel is the eleventh happiest nation on the planet. That is an eye-opener, is it not?

 

Truth of Middle East Conflicts and their Death Tolls

 

Now for the real brain-teaser, we are about to enter the low rioting season. Arab rioting in Israel is seasonal and when it is colder and rainy, there is far less rioting, terror and violence in general. On the other hand, when it gets very hot in the balmy days of summer there is far greater propensity for violence from the Arab Palestinians. This is similar to crime statistics in most major cities where crime increases when it is very hot and drops precipitously when winter arrives. The rioting in Israel is very seasonal peaking in July and August and dropping off in January and February. If the rioting, terrorism and violence really were about the harsh and terrible treatment imposed by Israel, then one would expect there to be an even number of provocations throughout the year and a very steady level of related violence. But that is not the case as it is actually very seasonal with peaks also coming during Jewish holidays, specifically those holidays when Jews are most likely to desire visiting the Temple Mount. This is why during the weeks leading up to Rosh HaShana, Yom Kippur and through Sukkot the rioting on the Temple Mount hits a crescendo forcing the closing of the Temple Mount. What is interesting is this closure of the Temple Mount is more often just imposed on Jews and only when the rioting becomes dangerously damaging that the Temple Mount is completely closed, which leads to greater rioting at the entrances which are barred by Security Forces. Odd that it is during these special holidays that suddenly there erupts violence by the Arabs to close the Temple Mount to all non-Muslims; but when Christmas arrives there is no rioting, instead, there are Arab merchants at the entrances selling seasonal gifts and souvenirs as well as food to the visiting foreigners who have money to spend. Then again coming into and through Passover there oddly enough is no second wave of Temple Mount violence. This would be strange as it is another holiday when Jews desire visiting the Temple Mount. But Passover always corresponds to Easter and that brings those tourists with the money to spend and business takes precedence over preventing the Jews from visiting the Temple Mount. Some things are universal and making money off holiday traffic is one of them.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

December 13, 2017

Another Terror Attack, What Will it Take?

Filed under: Israel — qwertster @ 2:58 AM
Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

 

New York just had yet another terrorist attack. This was definitely a homegrown relative incompetent with a pipe bomb, but he still managed to injure three with at least one fairly seriously. Granted there was a fourth victim but that was the terrorist whose device apparently detonated prematurely. What we here call a premature detonation whenever the terrorist goes boom and it was unplanned. That differentiates them from the suicide bombers who intend to blowup with their devices. The Palestinian Arab leaders made a claim once that Israeli security forces were decapitating suicide bombers because their heads were found separate from their legs, their torsos were rarely found at all, as they were mostly in very small pieces spread over a wide area. The absolute gall to make such a sick claim about often young people with mental difficulties or gullible youth who were brainwashed into the belief that they would have a corporeal existence with wine, grass fields of green, palm trees and their seventy-some perpetual virgins and other sexual delights in the next life. These kinds of monsters will never stop voluntarily as long as they can find others to carry out these deadly deeds, these lethal terrorist acts. Sometimes, if the attack is worthy, they will sacrifice themselves but they still require some others who are often not told the entire plan and allowed to believe they will survive the attack only to find out too late that there will be no returning from the attack. The terror attacks on Paris, London, New York and the others are just the trickle before the torrent that is coming. Wake-up people, these terrorists are just the introduction to the main events to come at a later date. The attacks will only grow in lethality and competence.

 

We have map showing the terror attacks year-by-year from 2001 through 2016 below. We took the information from the Tech Insider within Business Insider which displayed these United States maps within a World Map which is impressive as it is frightening. Those maps are worth a look-see. But the maps we took and enlarged depict a continuous string of terrorist acts in or around New York and the Washington D.C.-Philadelphia-New York-Boston corridor. This begs the question of how many or how frequently do these terror attacks have to become before the people demand the government put an end to your vulnerability? The only idea we could come to is that you thusfar are considering these acts of terror as infrequent enough and of such a nature as they do not rise above the common violences your cities have suffered already and you simply added this to street crimes. The only other explanation was that most of these terror attacks were classified as some other criminal act and not reported as terrorism and only later, possibly considerably later, were the people told the truth, that is if they were ever told the truth. If your reality has been hidden and disguised as something other than terrorism, well these maps provide the real picture and now you can act as informed people. We wish you best of luck with City Hall. (Article continues below maps)

 

Terror Attacks in the United States from 2001 Through 2016
Terror Attacks in the United States from 2001 Through 2016
Terror Attacks in the United States from 2001 Through 2016
From the World Maps from Tech Insider within Business Insider

 

We would like to look to the coming future for a while. The violence in the Middle East in general and Israel in particular, was at some point a terror attack every month within a sea of violence under British Rule where both Jew and Arab fought the British, sometimes even cooperating. Once it became apparent that the British were not going to prevent completely the formation of a Jewish State, the Arabs became more angered by that eventuality than British rule. That meant that some of the attacks, which had been carried out against the British, were now done against the Jews. Israel was declared a state and the 1948-9 War was initiated by the Arabs with six countries and numerous militias invading Israel on the morning of her birth and before she had established a military. The Jews call this their War of Independence despite it being an Arab War to Annihilate the Jews and Erase the Jewish State. The Jews and Arabs who fought as Israelis claim they won the war as they still existed, but the reality is they lost some of the lands west of the Jordan River, the Jordan River was the original eastern boundary. Egypt had possessed the Gaza Strip and Jordan possessed Judea and Samaria, which they gave a less Jewish sounding name of West Bank. The bias of the world and the media is made obvious by their use of the terminology “West Bank” as that simply furthers the lie that these lands were not part of Israel at dawn of May 15, 1948, according to international law and the recognized set boundary by the United Nations and most of the world including the United States, Britain and the Soviet Union. The world has attempted to forget that and to allow the Arab world to have an advantage in crushing the Jewish State from existence.

 

This is also why most of the terror attacks, if they are not able to spin them as part of the vital fight against the oppressor Israel by the unfortunate Arabs ignoring that the Arab League has backed the Palestinian struggle, as it is defined, with arms and supplies and the world has all but buried their leaders in gold through their funding of all efforts blindly. The terrorism rose continually with an uptick coming with the founding of the PLO in 1964. From that point the terror slowly crept higher and higher until with the onset of the Second Intifada in 2000 after Yasser Arafat ended negotiations and returned home waiting for any event on which to blame the Israelis for his already planned waves of violence designed to drive the Jews from Israel. He got his golden opportunity when Ariel Sharon visited the Temple Mount where he walked in the open areas and entered none of the buildings found there, especially not the al-Aqsa Mosque or the Dome of the Rock which were used as the instigation for the waves of suicide bombers, shootings, bombings and other terror activities. If you read the Al Jazeera version, you will note the Arab reports were he entered their sacred place defiling it by his presence. Their reasoning is they define even the open spaces as part of the Mosque in order to refuse Jews even entry onto the Holy Site of three religions. This violence which was leading to unacceptable violence and losses through deaths and maimed individuals, some being Druze, Arab, visitors from the world over, but mostly Jews as they were target one, led to the building of the Security Barrier which is mostly fencing, with well kept sand to register anyone crossing through the fence, as well as concrete walls where sniper fire had become a problem. The Security Barrier is the “wall” of oppression, which Arabs had sued in the Israeli Supreme Court and got it rerouted when it would have cut a farmer from his lands. Once constructed this barrier cut down on infiltrations and the related terrorism to almost nothing with the occasional terror attack. The world now calls this Security Barrier an “Apartheid Wall” demanding it be torn down so as to permit the free slaughter of Israelis to begin again. That is the actual reason for demands to remove this barrier, to permit the destruction of Israel just as the BDS Movement also is attempting to destroy Israel as they connect almost every Jewish company with their claims of using the Arab lands for their products and services because the entirety of Israel is considered occupied Arab lands to the leaders of these movements.

 

The story here is if you do not nip terrorism in the bud when it is little more than a nuisance, then with time it will become life threatening. Yes, the police claim they are preventing dozens of attacks that must remain secretive. Eventually they may be preventing hundreds or even thousands of attacks while the number of attacks which get through also rise proportionally leading to terror attacks on a weekly basis with a mass attack once or twice a month. The question you need ask is from where do the reasons and ideas come from for these terror attacks and at what point might New Yorkers in particular and the free world in general going to do something about these attacks. The vast majority of the terror attacks are attempts to force submission out of the Western Free World and have them submit to Islam and bow before Allah. These terror attacks will continue until Sharia with Imams holding all the positions of power in Government and all non-Muslims taking the position of Dhimmitude. This includes but is not limited to having no right to witness in courts of law (Sharia), Muslims using the sidewalk while non-Muslims use the gutters of the street, bowing so as to never appear taller than a Muslim, accepting degrading treatment from Muslims and a whole host of other fun things ending with the paying of the special non-Muslim tax, the Jiyza and eventually being given the choice of convert to Islam or die. This is the end which terrorists believe they are forcing you into through their acts. They also are granted a free pass into heaven no matter their former crimes and sins, and in an Islamic community, having sinned is their version of the Scarlet Letter.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Next Page »

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.