Beyond the Cusp

January 25, 2018

Time for United States or Turkey to Leave NATO

 

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has received the requisite permissions from Russian President Putin to assist in their war to reinstate Syrian mass murderer Bashar al-Assad as the uncontested dictatorial ruler in all of Syria. Now Erdoğan, in his best al-Assad imitation, has launched an all out assault on the Kurds in northern Syria. There are few questions as to what Erdoğan views as the result of his efforts will produce. His desire for a Greater Turkey, or the new Ottoman Empire, will include the areas south to include Aleppo and to the southeast to include Mosul and potentially Kirkuk. Erdoğan is poised to engage and eradicate the Kurds by ethnically cleansing the entire areas which they currently hold. The fact that the Kurds were crucial in the containment and following defeat of the Islamic State matters not to Erdoğan, they are simply the wrong kind of Muslims in his book, making them just slightly less offensive than were the Armenian Christian population to the Ottoman Empire in the ramping to World War I between 1915 and 1917 and the Armenian Genocide. What is unfolding before the world is the result of the denial of the Kurdish desire for their own independent nation after their Kurdistan referendum where 93% voted for independence.

 

Where there was one nation who backed their vote and called for recognition of the nation of Kurdistan was Israel but as the United States having just finished an election resulted in a hasty decision based on the recommendations of the State Department and many at the Pentagon, both of which told the Kurdish leadership the same thing they told the Zionist leadership in 1948, wait, the time is not right and it will cause the United States difficulties which they refused to endure. You know the world has made a huge misjudgment when a maniacal egomaniac is given a green light to start and conquer lands they crave through a genocidal cleansing of the very people who desired to simply live in peace who were told their desire for a homeland was too much bother and they should wait. The difference is the Zionists did not listen to the State Department or Pentagon (Defense Department) and President Truman also made up his own mind remembering the Biblical lessons his mother had taught him in his youth. Unfortunately, the Kurdish leaders heeded the warnings from Washington and will now likely bear the consequences. Also, the fact that the Kurds in Iraq and their brethren in Syria are far apart politically also meant that only the Iraqi Kurds were polled and there was no consideration to include the Syrian Kurds. Until the Kurds can unite under a singular leadership and unite in their political preferences preferably choosing democratic capitalism over socialist governance, they will remain two separate groups and thus weak and easy victims. How far Erdoğan decides to push might depend on Russia and Iran, as they might not support his extending into Iraq. Defeating the Syrian Kurds is obviously supported by Russia and Iran as it furthers their efforts to reseat Bashir al-Assad, beyond that would only be accepted if they were working with the Iraqis. What will be interesting is the reaction of the Russians and the Iranians when they realize that Erdoğan intends to retain the extra territory he gains, conquers, and has no intention of stepping away and gifting the lands to al-Assad. That just might be where the coalition agreement comes to a brittle and violent end.

 

Greater Turkey

Greater Turkey

 

The real question will be whether or not United States President Donald Trump notices this little item in the news and whether it registers. The good thing is it will be easy to tell whether or not the President notices, simply watch his Twitter feed. Beyond that, we would be ignoring our responsibility if we did not provide our positions and any background we might have. The easiest way to address this is to go chronologically in reverse order on our main articles involving Turkey and NATO. Our articles start with NATO and the Turkey Problem from November 29, 2015; then Turkey Needs to Prove They Belong in NATO Now from September 18, 2014; and lastly we have our original article on Turkey and NATO, The Turkey Problem for NATO from January 15, 2010.

 

Perhaps we should go back as to when, why and how it was that Turkey became a NATO member state. Turkey was included into NATO along with Greece on February 18, 1952, under the direction of President Harry S. Truman as he declared that the United States would support and back militarily any nation threatened by the Soviet Union. Marking this declaration, President Truman announced the inclusion of Greece and Turkey into NATO and thus under the NATO umbrella. These two nations were the first additions since the founding states on August 24, 1949. NATO was the Western states answer to the Warsaw Pact nations under the auspices of the Soviet Union. Thus was the genesis of the Cold War which lasted until the end of the 1980’s and the fall of the Soviet Union and its satellite nations leading to a rapid expansion of NATO absorbing the Warsaw Pact nations which desired to join. This almost led to a second cold war which would have been an empty threat as these nations now had their own democratically elected governments and governance which departed from their old alliances.

 

That brings us to the current day where there is no real Communist threat from the Russians. With Turkey now aligning with Russia and the Warsaw Pact having collapsed, the reasons why Turkey was drafted into NATO are no longer viable reasons for their remaining a member of NATO. The time has long passed to reconsider the reasons and current politics and whether Turkey still offers anything to NATO or are they a threat to NATO. Then there is the question of whether NATO even has a purpose in the modern world. NATO could, and maybe should, be transformed into a trade union where the nations assure the rest free trade. The one thing the United States must determine is whether or not free travel and open borders between NATO nations is a good idea, and if that is to be permitted, then United States need assess whether or not they desire to permit such travel with all of the NATO members. There are many other international organizations which perhaps the United States and some, if not many, of their allies might decide that they have become counterproductive and require replacement. We would suggest a new international organization to replace a number of organization which have fallen to some form of political correctness and place that before their mission statements as group think has replaced honesty throughout much of today’s world. So, obviously we feel that either Turkey should be required to resign from NATO or the United States should resign from NATO.

 

Let us enter into BTC World, where things are as we envision the world. The United States places a challenge before every organization in which they are members. For the sake of brevity, we decided to use the following organizations, NATO, the International Red Cross, and the entirety of the United Nations including all aligned organizations and courts. Taking NATO first, the test is very easy, take a vote on permitting Israel to join and when the vote fails, the United States should resign from NATO. Simultaneously, demand that the International Red Cross accept Magen David Adom and when they refuse once again, the United States should pull out. And as far as the United Nations, the United States need not bother and should simply resign. Then the United States with Israel could begin a new international peace organization and allow any nation to petition for membership. Of course each nation should then be carefully deliberated as to whether or not they are worthy of inclusion. This new organization could easily replace all the aforementioned groups and affiliated functions. Imagine a world organization where Israel is not condemned automatically at the opening of every session such as the United Nations Human Right Commission or the United Nations General Assembly. Do not fear; the International Red Cross has their difficulty as they accepted the Red Crescent but refused Magen David Adom. For some reason we doubt it has anything to do with their sign being blue but rather it being two triangles, one inverted being superimposed. Perhaps they fear accepting such a sign would lead to it bursting into flames. We promise that none of the Magen David Adom vehicles have spontaneously combusted; any that have caught fire had a lot of assistance in doing so.

 

Burning Israel Star of David

 

The Israel test is a simple means of seeing if any of the plethora of international and regional organizations acts objectively. One need simply test to see whether or not the nations have chosen Israel out for particular consideration, negative consideration, and further their cooperation with the United States as a modifying test and see whether they pass that test. The sorry thing is that the vast majority of nations will be unable to pass such a threshold to enter into this new alliance. Using the United Nations General Assembly vote in reference to the United States recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel there are but nine nations who would be easily admitted; Guatemala, Honduras, Israel, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru, Palau, Togo and United States. There were thirty-five which abstained allowing them to receive additional considerations by checking other votes condemning Israel and checking their history and these nations are; Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Australia, Bahamas, Benin, Bhutan, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Cameroon, Canada, Colombia, Croatia, Czech Republic, Dominican Republic, Equatorial Guinea, Fiji, Haiti, Hungary, Jamaica, Kiribati, Latvia, Lesotho, Malawi, Mexico, Panama, Paraguay, Philippines, Poland, Romania, Rwanda, Solomon Islands, South Sudan, Trinidad and Tobago, Tuvalu, Uganda and Vanuatu. The final group was those who simply decided not to even arrive and take any stand which includes these twenty-one nations which include; Central African Republic, Democratic Republic of the Congo, East Timor (Timor Leste), El Salvador, Georgia, Guinea-Bissau, Kenya, Mongolia, Myanmar, Moldova, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Samoa, San Marino, São Tomé and Príncipe, Sierra Leone, Swaziland, Tonga, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and Zambia. The remaining one-hundred-twenty-eight General Assembly nations would find joining the United States new and rather exclusive group of nations for special and favorable treatment far more difficult. We realize that such events are a pipe dream, but without dreams what is life. We hear about Dreamers from the media all the time and how they are special and need our sympathy; what makes our dreaming any different? Yes, we realize dreams that Israel be treated fairly by international organizations are deemed unacceptable by the vast majority of the world. The world loves many things which originated in Israel such as cherry tomatoes and use the medical, agricultural and scientific discoveries and high tech inventions not to mention cell phones and security and encryption programs along with discoveries in all fields of science including life saving surgeries. Many nations have received exceptional and experienced teams who carry-out search-rescue and field-hospital alleviating their distress and giving life-saving assistance in every sort of emergency be it storms, earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanos or other forms of emergencies. Unfortunately too many of these nations forget such aid when the time comes to vote to condemn Israel for virtually any reason. That is why the Israel test is such a viable test which it is sad so many nations fail such a simple test.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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January 15, 2018

Palestinian Leadership Declare War on Israel

 

Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), Fatah and the Palestinian Authority (PA) head-man and ruler of the Palestinian Arabs as well as being leader of the revolt and instigator for terrorism, Mahmoud Abbas has decided to wage war through surrogates throughout the world. Abbas has announced standing with French President Macron that the United States has disqualified itself from Mideast peace process. Apparently, Mahmoud Abbas is serious about this, for now, as he has also refused to answer Jared Kushner’s phone call and turned down the United States invitations for a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. But he has been a busy little beaver beyond refusing everything offered which might actually be capable of finding a solution. But Abbas does not desire a solution; he simply wants to destroy Israel by any means he can leverage. His current target is President Trump’s recognition of Jerusalem as the Capital of Israel and future sight for the American Embassy. Abbas is drooling over the chances he might grab allowing him to hold the Temple Mount, Old City, Mount Olives Cemetery and all of Eastern Jerusalem where he can evict three entire neighborhoods for the fact that they are Jews, the unwanted, what he terms invaders despite the fact that two of these neighborhoods are Jews reclaiming what was their homes before the Jordanians performed their ethnic cleansing, something Abbas intends to repeat. Abbas hungers for all of East Jerusalem and every inch of the lands Jordan occupied for nineteen years. Abbas and the “PLO Executive Committee praised the “uprising of the Palestinian people” in response to the U.S. recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of the State of Israel and stressed the importance of further strengthening the “popular struggle by peaceful means.”

 

Salim Zanoun, the chairman of the Palestinian National Council (PNC), who also serves as chairman of the Palestine Liberation Organization’s (PLO) Central Council, demanded on Sunday that the Central Council members, who are meeting in Ramallah to take a stand on the future of the Palestinian Authority (PA) and to reexamine the PLO’s recognition of Israel, renege on the Palestinian supposed recognition of Israel, something which despite Abbas constantly pretending, was never accepted. The reality is the Arab leadership will once again claim that Israel is a European colony with no connection to the Jews. Additionally they will restate a claim with a slight twist, that the Arabs were the Canaanites who originally built Jerusalem six thousand years ago. They also claim that the largest navy in the world at the end of World War II, the Netherlands Navy, to transport European Jews, the ones with no connection to Israel, to take the lands away from the Palestinian Arab founders of the area and, according to another older claim, the Palestinian Arabs invented the Canaanite language which was the first written language on Earth. You cannot make these claims up and outdo their wild declarations.

 

Abbas has gone to one of his favorite Jew and Israel hating entities, this time the European Union. He has demanded that they join him in declaring the State of Palestine as an independent nation with East Jerusalem as its capital and the June 4, 1967 lines. The date he is demanding is quite important as it is the day before Jordan joined Egypt and Syria, who had conjoined to become the United Arab Republic (UAR) who had invaded Israel intending to destroy Israel and force the Jews from the land one way or another the next morning of June 5, 1967 and the war concluded on June 10, 1967 after only six days, thus the name Six Day War. Instead of driving the Jews out of Israel, Israel had defeated the combined forces of three Arab nations, Egypt, Syria Jordan and Saudi Arabia with units from Lebanon and Iraq and additional assistance from Algeria, Kuwait, Libya, Morocco, Pakistan, Sudan and Tunisia. Below is a map of Arab nations’ military moves which predicated the Six Day War as the threat encircled the Jewish State.

 

Arab nations’ military moves which predicated the Six Day War

Arab nations’ military moves which predicated the Six Day War

 

The threats became war when Israeli intelligence intercepted the attack orders and in a defensive move attacked the Egyptian Air Force while the majority of the planes were still on the ground. Israeli intelligence was so thorough that they left the decoy aircraft which were plywood replicas spread on the airfields to confuse any attacker as to which were the real aircraft so they would waste resources attacking the decoys. Israel struck only the real aircraft cementing their air superiority for the war. Later that fateful day in June of 1967 the Israeli Air Force defeated the Syrian Air Force and when the Jordanian Air Force attacked that afternoon they were met and routed by the Israeli Air Force. By the end of the war on June 10, 1967 when the United Nations, Soviet Union, United States, Britain and numerous other entities all demanded that the Israeli forces cease their advances and realizing the Arab forces had been routed and completely defeated and Israel stood ready to capture Cairo, Amman and Damascus if not prevented by the rest of the world, there was no other choice, Israel had to be prevented from capturing any Arab capital city. Israel was threatened by the world powers thus preventing Israel from declaring total victory and instead settling for territorial gains and without capture of any Arab capitals. Below are two maps showing the starting positions and resulting territories Israel captured or liberated (Judea and Samaria were occupied by Jordan renamed West Bank) during the Six Day War.

 

Six Day War Beginning and Resulting Positions from June 5, 1967 to June 10, 1967

Six Day War Beginning and Resulting Positions from June 5, 1967 to June 10, 1967

 

So, now we understand Abbas and his inspiration for choosing June 4, 1967, as he desires a reset to the starting points from the Six Day War. Egypt already made peace and all of the Sinai Peninsula was returned by Israel and Egypt relinquished all claims to Gaza which was later gifted to the Palestinian Authority in August and September of 2005, and then taken over in a coup by Hamas in 2007. This also would return the highlands overlooking the densely populated and industrialized lands within Israel allowing for direct firing of rockets into Tel Aviv and surrounding areas. Abbas is not relying solely on the European Union as he has a great idea for using the United Nations. He desires for the United Nations convening of an international conference with full powers to resolve all the outstanding issues and all final status issues. He insists that this United Nations conference be empowered to set the final borders of the Palestinian State along the June 4, 1967 lines, the 1949 Armistice Lines or the Green Line, all names for what Israeli Abba Eban; Israeli diplomat, politician and scholar, who referred to the pre Six Day War lines as Israel’s “Auschwitz borders.” The reasoning becomes evident in the two pictures below, one before Israeli retreat back to the June 4, 1967 lines and the lower one within days if not minutes after Israel is forced back behind the Green Line, the Auschwitz borders.” That is why Israel can never accept such a solution and even should the entire world demand Israel fold and accede to Mahmoud Abbas and his eternal demands, the only result would be an inevitable war as even one attack would be intolerable.

 

Tel Aviv Now Before Green Line Peace and Tel Aviv the Day After Green Line Peace

Tel Aviv Now Before Green Line Peace
and
Tel Aviv the Day After Green Line Peace

 

Abbas is attempting to collect every adversary of Israel’s continued existence calling on the United Nations and European Union to join him in declaring the maximum potential borders as reality including forcing all the Israeli residents from their Judea and Samaria communities, East Jerusalem and even areas of Western Jerusalem which would become no-man’s land just as it was when Jordanian snipers would randomly shoot any Israeli which came within their scope sights. Not only would parts of Jerusalem become areas where one’s life would be endangered just traversing, but also major Israeli roadways and even Ben Gurion Airport (see images below). For people who regularly use Trans-Israel Highway Route 6 daily, they would be required to find an alternate route using secondary roads and finding a longer and more time consuming route to and from work, family, friends or simply to go to another area of Israel as simply by constructing what appears to be a residence in order to use the roof to place a sniper making this section of the Trans-Israel Highway Route 6 completely unusable unless encased in a rocket and bullet proof encapsulation. A person with a MANPAD standing on the grounds overlooking Ben Gurion Airport they could blow any aircraft landing or taking off right out of the sky. These are further examples why Israel would not be able to permit a Palestinian State to have the June 4, 1967 borders demanded by Mahmoud Abbas, and he is totally aware of this which is why his demands.

 

Trans-Israel Highway Route 6 (c/o Dr. Martin Sherman and Arutz Sheva)

Trans-Israel Highway Route 6
(c/o Dr. Martin Sherman and Arutz Sheva)

 

Ben Gurion Airport Plane Vulnerability from Palestine (c/o Dr. Martin Sherman and Arutz Sheva)

Ben Gurion Airport Plane Vulnerability from Palestine
(c/o Dr. Martin Sherman and Arutz Sheva)

 

Mahmoud Abbas can get the European Union, United Nations and any other group, organization or grouping of allied nations to declare whatever borders or solution he can arrange, no such declaration will have any effect on the current situation and will most definitely establish any real borders which he is chasing so eagerly. The only place that Mahmoud Abbas can go and readily arrange to have borders, peace and an actual state is to meet with Israel. Only Israel is capable of making an agreement which would be enforceable. Not the United Nations and all its various institutions, not the European Union or any of its members, not Russia, China or the United States and not the Arab League, Organization of Islamic Cooperation or the entirety of Islam and the force of Allah can force a solution. If Mahmoud Abbas truly desires peace and actually wants a real nation then instead of refusing every offer and grandstanding collecting condemnations of Israel, United Nations statements which are completely unenforceable or other meaningless denunciations of the situation, then he simply need to sit down with the Israelis and not demand that Israel get nothing and he gets his entire wish list. But being reasonable or even settling for anything which does not instantly destroy Israel would be not making good on his endless promises to destroy Israel and that is why he will never accept peace as he believes that if the Arab press this long enough the world will tire of the entire affair and destroy Israel just to be rid of the conflict. We will not ruin it by providing a spoiler, as that exact situation was already predicted and the result of the ensuing conflict was given in the Bible. The world should hope it never comes to that, as the end is less than pretty.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

December 22, 2017

Predictability of the Security Council

 

The resolution designed to nullify President Trump recognizing Jerusalem as the Capital of Israel and announcing the United States intended plans for moving their embassy to Jerusalem invigorated almost every member of the United Nations Security Council bringing them to immediate action. As you probably already know, their reaction was absolutely no different from the Organization of Islamic Cooperation conclusion reached in Turkey. The fourteen nations who attempted to nullify and void President Trump and actually believed that they have the power to force the United States to cancel their plans for moving the American embassy to Jerusalem were China, Russia, England, France, Japan, Italy, Egypt, Bolivia, Uruguay, Sweden, Ukraine, Ethiopia, Kazakhstan and Senegal. The audacity of the United Nations believing they actually have the power and right to instruct the President of the United States and the Congress and the people what they could decide and do through their elected government is astonishing. Reality is that the United States is currently planning and hopefully will be moving their embassy in the near future with or without the United Nations, OIC, European Union and almost countless nations’ blessings. Of course, United States Ambassador to the United Nation Nikki Haley vetoed using the power available to the United States just as it is to France, Britain, China and Russia currently. But what if the United States decided they wanted to do more to blunt the power of the United Nations.

 

Let us go down that road for a moment. First, were New York City inspectors to go and really give the United Nations buildings a good going over, we bet they could find sufficient serious deficiencies necessary to condemn the building and setting a date for its destruction giving the inhabitants thirty days to vacate. The real estate upon which the complex at Turtle Bay sits is prime New York property worth tens of hundreds of million or more per square foot along 1st Avenue between 42nd and 48th Streets. Somebody could build a new productive structure, a nice, private, super skyscraper, nice and new with the latest technology and interconnections for the new occupants which would be far more productive than the United Nations. The headquarters could be moved somewhere in Europe such as Paris, Geneva, Vienna or better still, Mosul, Iraq. Well, if the United Nations was located in Mosul, then we would see them make a fast and furious recognition of Kurdistan and placing Mosul within its borders probably as the capital city and they would include all the Kurds and permit the Kurdish first leaders to determine who would be permitted to reside within their borders and who would need to relocate being sent into Turkey, Iraq or even Syria depending on which area they currently reside and Kurds would be granted protective relocation inside the new national borders. The United Nations would probably warn Turkey against any belligerence or resistance to this arrangement as the United Nations would probably desire to be located in a place which was stable with democratically elected governance. They could even be sent to China or Russia, just anywhere outside the United States and hopefully to some place willing to provide them with most, or at least much, of its required financing for all functions. The reason for this is the United States could decide to just pay their minimum dues or resign from the United Nations entirely and ignore anything passed as inconsequential and inapplicable to the newly freed United States. So, what would be left of the United Nations without any American funds? Very little is the honest answer.

 

United Democracies for Freedom and Liberty

United Democracies for Freedom and Liberty

 

Of course, should the United States pull out of the United Nations and take its cash flow with them, which includes twenty-two percent of the budget, twenty-five percent of peacekeeping costs, and a relatively unknown amount for UNRWA, it would be Free of the influences of the United Nations, and the United States would free themselves of many of the pressures made through that international agency. That could include the amounts that are paid to the Palestinian Authority (PA) which is not disclosed, as there are numerous ways in which funding is sent to the PA. The only honest estimation we could make is total funding of the PA is measured in tens of billions of dollars per year if not higher. Once a goodly share of that funding stopped, the leadership would actually be required to spend a higher percentage to care for the population and less would end up in their pockets. Such might allow for a greater chance for peace. Imagine the savings if peace were to break out in the Middle East, or at least a severe calm. Free from the United Nations and the dictatorships of the world, the United States could choose a dozen or couple dozen nations, or whatever number they could find willing to operate to make the world be filled with more freedom for the people, governance which provided a plethora of liberties and assist in actually solving problems, advancing conditions throughout the world and assisting the nations which are willing to work towards a better world for all peoples, of course starting with their own but also ready, willing and capable of assisting other nations still developing and requiring the basic technologies which were available to the United States by the central era of the last century such that they might join the advanced world in the future. The United States could also work on their own infrastructure, modernizing of their aging structures.

 

What many people do not realize or even have the vision to see, our world is on a precipice walking a narrow path where the technology for near infinite possibilities is on the verge of exploding and becoming very real while at the same time some of the most threatening and destructive technologies are also becoming widely available. We were watching a story which was a slight dramatization of Albert Einstein’s life and times which included parallel events such as the Manhattan Project. When World War II came to an end, they showed the scientists who worked to develop a nuclear weapon for Germany and one of their leading physicists, Werner Heisenberg, is talking with another of the physicists who wondered what prevented them from reaching the point of making a weapon and Werner Heisenberg simply replied, let me get a piece of paper and I will draw you how to make a bomb or some similar comment. He knew and likely, any number of other Nazi scientists knew how to manufacture a simple device and simply chose not to speak up knowing the people who would be using any device they produced and very privately hoping for their defeat. We can only hope that there are such principled people but we unfortunately know otherwise, North Korea has exploded devices which, judging the data provided, are most likely designed as “Super EMP” devices. Iran is said to be close and probably able to manufacture simple nuclear weapons within the next decade. We fearfully believe that Iran not only could manufacture a thermonuclear weapon of sophisticated design already and that they probably have already produced any number of “Super EMP” devices as well as any number of thermonuclear warheads capable of placement atop their ballistic missiles and their ICBM’s and these warheads are fully capable of surviving reentry. Iran and North Korea have both launched satellites which employed the most preferred approach angles upon the United States approaching from the south which is considered the area where the United States interceptions and detection systems are partially blind.

 

That leaves the world two directions, the science fiction future we saw in things like Star Trek, Babylon V, Lost in Space and other depictions of flying around the universe, or at least the solar system, and the other side of science fiction such as On the Beach, Damnation Alley, Cyborg and other post-apocalyptic stories even including Blade Runner. The possibilities of World War III actually coming to fruition are limited but a distinct possibility while a positive future may be closer than any of us believe. The difference might be how long the United Nations spends all of its efforts joining the Europeans and parts of the Islamic world in destroying the one Jewish State of Israel while ignoring the real problems in the world. The world needs to decide what direction it desires to take whether forward towards a world of cooperation and near unbelievable discoveries and advancements which science is on the verge of discovery or back to sniping with nations against nation leading to war and ruin very possibly sending the world back thousands of years losing all that has been built within a few generations needing to start from scratch once more, if some discoveries are true.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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