Beyond the Cusp

June 13, 2017

Trump Sunni Middle East Plans to Crash and Burn

 

President Trump has planned this wonderful little arrangement for how to counter and defeat the Iranian menace hegemonic ambitions whose launch was assisted by President Obama and currently is assisting miring Russia in Syria. A quick aside, this Trump plan has very little if anything further to do with Russia, sorry kids. Trump’s master plan would be wonderful from a tactical viewpoint as it would add the Saudi Arabian money and weapons systems sold to them by the United States with the manpower of the Egyptian military and have them directed and assisted by the Israeli technical, intelligence, coordination and military superiority in an allied effort to oppose Iran. The Iran side is augmented by North Korean nuclear and missile technology, Chinese military plans and technical assistance, Iraqi military, Houthis and Alawite civil wars for expanding their spheres of influence, Hezballah terror infrastructure which spans the globe, and a recent influx of billions upon billions of American dollars with some in pallets and pallets of hundred dollar bills freshly minted and which were likely still warm when arriving. Iran and North Korea ally in coordinating their testing and development between their respective technical and physical abilities. On paper or in a game of Risk, President Trump’s policy might appear ideal. Unfortunately, in the real world it will run into some obvious and some not so obvious difficulties which will blow it to pieces. So, let us delve into the deep underbelly of this beast.

 

We will start with the obvious and work our way to the ridiculous in his perfect Middle East plan. First, no plan in the Middle East lasts more than thirty seconds from when it is attempted to be implemented. Second, plans which try to ally Arab nations with Israel, the Jewish State, or as they call it, the Zionist Entity, are guaranteed to be blown apart and possibly lead to a war to prove that there never was any such plan as soon as it hits general knowledge. Fortunately, or not so fortunate for us, BTC does not lead directly to general knowledge. The American mainstream media does and would more than happily place such an agreement made in secret very public while claiming that President Trump was out of his mind making this agreement public while they scream it from every newspaper front page and six and eleven o’clock news casts and radio news on the hour and at the halves. But this aside, they would wait until such a secret alliance of these abilities was most needed before making everything public, providing they could actually contain themselves that long. But Israel is more an inconvenience to blowing this plan apart. Allying Saudi Arabia and Egypt for any long-term agreement which requires their sharing responsibility and each allowing the other operational independence in command leaves large holes in any planning as each will assign the most dangerous and difficult field assignments to the other nation. Neither nation cares to take the more difficult upon themselves or place their soldiers at risk in an agreement with anyone else, as risking other nation’s soldiers is always preferable to risking your own. This was instrumental in their alliance against Iranian forces fighting in Yemen despite both nations having tactical and financial reasons to defeat that threat. Saudi Arabia has Yemen on their southern border which would provide Iran with a southern front against them in Yemen and a northern border with them in Iraq which would be intolerable and pose a difficult threat to address in any conflict with Iran. For Egypt, having Iran control the Bab-el-Mandeb strait at the southern exit of the Red Sea, this could make the Suez Canal useless to any ships Iran prefers to prevent passage. This would cause Egypt extreme financial difficulty as passage through the Suez Canal is one of the major inflows for funds to the Egyptian economy. Still, the two nations were incapable of coordinating and continuing an allied effort to fight the Houthis and prevent the Iranian efforts. Egypt pulled from the alliance without comment, normal in the Middle East, as they thought their losses were excessive for the effort share they had assumed. So, just getting Egypt and Saudi Arabia to play well together is enough of a difficulty and adding Israel to the mix is the same as throwing lighted Zippo lighters into a pool of gasoline while standing in a central island in order to remove the gasoline, it appears to work on paper but explodes in ones face in reality.

 

Trump in Saudi Arabia

Trump in Saudi Arabia

 

But let us assume for the remainder of the article that threats of being exiled from the military assistance of the United States will be sufficient to keep these three nations and the ancillary nations necessary to complete the alliance together. For the inquiring minds, the ancillary allied nations include the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Jordan, with some North African states whose addition is mostly inconsequential adding little military power but providing the appearance of a large coalition. So the alliance is rumored to have a number of Arab nations with reports that Israel is a silent ally though being crucial to the operational ability of the entire alliance as the Israelis have the critical command and control ability and experience as well as the intelligence capabilities and assets necessary for operational planning. The point of critical and highest contention would be the days immediately before any actions were required. This would be the absolute worst possible time for it to become common knowledge that Israel would be making decisions on where and against whom Arab forces would be fighting and that the Jews would be sending Muslims to fight other Muslims for the Zionist Entity’s benefit. Just imagine the destructive force a headline stating “Zionist Entity to Command Muslims Forces Against Muslims” would read as the one-inch print on the top half page of the New York Times (NYT). Exactly how long after that morning in New York and the NYT hits the streets and its news alarm gets around the world in seconds after 5:00 AM. That would be the absolute end of that coalition as every Arab and Muslim nation in the alliance officially announce their not knowing about the Zionist Entity’s inclusion in the coalition and demonstrably screaming they would never work with the forces of the Devil. That is why initially the mainstream media would be silent or even denying reports from Iran and their allies about the Israeli efforts as a part of the efforts for as long as such knowledge was not critical. Destruction of any Trump plans are best served when they will do the most damage to Trump and his Administrations even if doing so places the entirety of the free world at risk. Destruction of all that is good is but a small price to pay if Donald Trump can be brought low. The end of all President Trump attempts to accomplish is the main reason for having the mainstream media. News and accuracy are secondary to the deconstruction of all things Trump, that is the new call of news desks across the United States and much of Europe where Germany leads the anti-Trump charge.

 

The efforts by President Trump were almost completely ignored as he made his first foreign tour stopping in three critical points on the globe. Only the final stop was more photo opportunity than anything else, as the Pope has already made his disgust with President Trump more than adequately obvious. The work was completed by the time President Trump hit Rome and made coverage safe again. What was completely not newsworthy was that President Trump was presidential and had much success in his first two stops, Riyadh and Jerusalem. In Saudi Arabia President Trump met with fifty heads of Arab nations, all ruled by Sunni leadership. There was an agreement reached which simply placed a price-tag on President Trump’s visit and that was presumed to be shared between the three wealthiest nations, Qatar, UAE and Saudi Arabia. The agreement was struck and the arrival of President Trump imminent when suddenly Qatar backed out of the agreement which immediately led to the UAE exiting right behind. This left Saudi Arabia footing the entirety of the bill but also will provide all the American weaponry to the Kingdom. President Trump made his disdain for the two nations reneging on their agreement as unprofessional and of causing extreme displeasure. President Trump was not overt but showed his disdain subtly through giving a cold rift to the defaulting leaders. Trump gave them the idea that business rules now applied to the dealings with the United States and any actions would be taken as insult and treated as serious affronts. President Trump made evident to all, there is new leadership and the taking advantage of a weakened United States Presidency was past and that toeing the line was now expected and nothing less was acceptable. Still, President Trump was honored by participating in a sword dance and was awarded the top Saudi honors all while the women in his entourage remained with their hair uncovered. This too was a statement that wherever the President of the United States visited, the rules of conduct of the United States take precedence. President Trump stated in clear protocols and conduct of his people down to the woman who carried his briefcase with hair to the winds, the United States has resumed her position of leadership and the world take note. This was not meant as insult to the Saudi Royal family or the other Arab leaders, this was a political statement meant to claim the highest seat in the yard. This was very possibly a lesson which was taken hard but accepted as reality has returned to normalcy.

 

President Trump may have set up the initial structure with the Saudi Royals and Egyptian President Sisi. Presidents Trump and Sisi were reported to have held a cordial and warm talk during the Riyadh summit. Now, on to Jerusalem and President Trump in Israel where the President made all the regular pilgrimages to Yad Vashem, the Prime Minister’s house for dinner, the Knesset and on. President Trump also made a first when he prayed at the Western Wall. Whether President Trump left a note in the crevasses will remain a secret as that is the nature of such notes, they are not meant for us here to know, they are meant for a higher force. There was another notable event which showed that President Trump is growing in the high office. He was shown evidence which should have come from his advisers, but they too are learning that they are in a whole new game with its own rules and atmosphere. Somebody, we all assume it was Prime Minister Netanyahu, introduced President Trump to some of the delicious realities on You Tube showing the real education of incitement and the actual incitement by Mahmoud Abbas personally. This led to the dressing down in Bethlehem. President Trump was apparently very perturbed and let Mahmoud Abbas know that lying to President Trump, and especially doing so blatantly with the truth so readily attained, was unacceptable and only earns one a place of scorn in the President’s circle. President Trump read Abbas the riot act making it very well known that further financial assistance from the United States would be pinned to the ending of financial rewards for terrorists and their families and an end to incitement. This should become evident in a complete loss of funding by the Palestinian Authority and perhaps also UNRWA as Abbas will not change nor will their education of hatred and murderous desires against Jews, not just Israeli Jews, but all Jews. This dressing down and allowing it to be known publicly is a new precedent setting act by President Trump. Apparently being on his bad side can become costly.

 

Should the rumors that President Trump desires setting up a secret alliance where Saudi Arabia and Egypt, begin working together again under the direction of the United States which also will have them working in some manner with the Israelis, on the qt; this has all the intricacies of a good spy novel. We have seeming enemies being allied by an overseeing superpower with a new leader who is unlike any other previous leader. The contrast with the previous holder of the office makes Trump a complete game changer. The meetings in Riyadh were likely the most dramatic and far reaching in that President Trump was speaking to fifty Arab leaders and laying down an entirely new set of rules for his time as President. We can bet that many of these rulers long for the previous leader or a close facsimile. Unfortunately for those leaders, for at least four years and barring any surprises, this is what they have to work with. At the other extreme, the Israelis thought they had the change of a lifetime. The reality came up somewhat short as they did not exactly get the complete and total reversal as hoped. On the other side, there were few who were not pleasantly surprised with the public dressing down of Mahmoud Abbas by President Trump. Still, everything is still in the potential phase where there can be many a slip between the bowl and the lips. It remains to be seen how much of what was displayed and what the reality will be once the State Department gets their input and inflict their anti-Israel bias. This is where there needs to be much swamp draining. The lack of moving the embassy was presumably an upsetting bit of news, though if honesty is permitted, this was actually accepted. The news that moving the embassy would very probably become used as the bargaining chip used as a threat against Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority and as reward for Israel is extremely distressing as it makes the whole move questionable. The reason this was no surprise here at BTC was because, something we had previously reported as being the mistake by Prime Minister Netanyahu pressing Iran as more important than all other issues. Prime Minister Netanyahu had stated that Iran was the only Israel problem and refused to discuss any and all other issues until the Iran threat would be settled. Some, including us at BTC, thought this emphasis was used too strongly and that these other issues are equally important as the defensibility of Israel depends on having a defensible depth at the middle of the country. The nine miles which the Green Line offers is not acceptable and Abbas and the Arab world realize this and that is why their demand is for all the lands. Somewhere in the near future Israelis will need to wake up and find new and inspired leadership. We hope that day comes soon as the new leadership has already made themselves known and obvious, now we just need everyone else to catch on and see the light. Hopefully this will happen before another anti-Israel President is elected in the United States and the threat to Israel become unbearable.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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1 Comment »

  1. Reblogged this on Oyia Brown.

    Like

    Comment by OyiaBrown — June 21, 2017 @ 8:31 AM | Reply


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