Beyond the Cusp

November 18, 2017

As If Israel Did Not Have Enough Problems

 

Let us start with the most bizarre of all the problems facing Israel, though this one is easily repaired, simply ignore it and it will wither on the vine, so to speak. This one comes from a nation which once upon a time was a friend to Israel. France sold Israel Mirage Jets through the 1950’s and much of the 1960’s. Those were the days, my friends, but just like the song, they did end. Now France has demanded access to prisoners by insisting for their Parliamentarians to have access to whomever they wish access whenever they are in Israel. Imagine the chutzpah French Foreign Ministry displayed releasing this statement, this audacious demand, upon Israeli authorities Monday stating they would bar entry to the country of a group of French politicians seeking to visit jailed terrorist leader Marwan Barghouti. Their hope was to raise their movement for the release of this terror master and murderer of numerous Israeli civilians so he can replace Mahmoud Abbas as the next leader of the PLO, Palestinian Authority (PA), and Fatah to continue the war to destroy Israel. This is just the most recent face of the European and world efforts to bring to fruition the destruction of Israel.

 

On the Israeli northern border along the Lebanese border (the Blue Line) and the Golan Heights from the Syrian border there lies Hezballah. They have been invigorated with fresh troops from the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) and better weaponry direct from Iran are believed to be considering the means by which to calm the suspicions of the Lebanese people that Hezballah is simply using them as a base and are actually servants of Iran and Syria, nothing more. Despite that being the reality which has become obvious even to the most casual of observers, Nasrallah likes his comfortable life in the peaceful hills of Lebanon and believes it would really be a shame if he needed relocate to the burnt hills of Syria. The word has leaked that Nasrallah may be pinning his hopes to calm the rumors in Lebanon by forcing a confrontation with Israel possibly from the Syria border so as to avoid the fighting spilling into Lebanon. The entire concept would be risky as the support for such an assault would almost necessarily need be launched out of Lebanon as that is the location of the majority of the hundred to hundred and fifty thousand rockets and missiles of various size and range held by Hezballah. Such an escalation would definitely gain a response in kind from Israel which would then bring the war onto Lebanese lands. Whether Nasrallah will risk the bloodshed and ravages of another war with Israel remains to be seen. All of Israel hopes he decides not to risk the peace, safety and lives of his people and of Israel as we prefer peace but will act according to the realities presented to us.

 

Another group in the Iranian camp is Hamas and there is always the possibility that they too might decide that by provoking Israel by attacking her civilians, towns, cities, farms, kibbutzim and population centers with barrages of rockets will please their sponsors in Tehran. Further, Iran may demand of them to attack Israel ever escalating their attacks over time in order to find exactly where Israel will draw the line and respond in kind. Hamas might also be a second prong of a pincer attack striking from the north with Hezballah and the South with Hamas. Hamas, along with Islamic Jihad, have been building terror tunnels to use to infiltrate Israel intending to use them during attacks or to abduct Israelis to hold hostage and demand the release of terrorists from Israeli prisons. This has become a point of contention in some circles in Israel.

 

Then there is the rumors about a grand plan being worked upon in Washington D.C. based on the Two-State Solution. President Trump will soon attempt to bring about another round of negotiations between the PA and Israel. The rumors are that there will be concessions asked of both sides. We have been here before where the concessions from Israel are concrete sacrifices on the lands and in assigned borders granting additional facts for the PA to claim more areas while the PA and Abbas are only requested to make promises which they will never keep. It has been the same ever since the disaster brought upon Israel by the crafters of the Oslo Accords; Shimon Peres, Yossi Beilin, Ron Pundak, Yitzhak Rabin and their select group of advisers and negotiators. Since then there have been a select group who have continued to believe in the Oslo Accords and protected them always holding to the concept that should Israel only find the exact formula of concessions and enticements, then peace will break out and roses will bloom. This has been the political Achilles Heel of Israel.

 

The Truth Arab League Wants You to Know

The Truth Arab League Wants You to Know

 

Then there is a growing rift which has grown between the American Jewish communities, particularly those of a leftist political alignment. This rift has not grown between the traditional Orthodox who largely still supports Israel just as they have since her conception seeing Israel as the realization of the dream. Meanwhile, the leftist Jews are mostly made up from the Reform and Reconstructionist movements and have recently invented a new branch designed to strike from another angle, these are the New Orthodox, Open Orthodox or whatever name they will jump to using once these names has been exposed as false branches and not truly Orthodox. These pseudo-Orthodox factions believe in same sex marriage, inter-faith marriages and numerous other leftist political positions which run contrary to Halacha. They have used this front to augment the push by the leadership of nontraditional Judaism to demand Israel bend and hold to the leftist principles followed by these sects which long ago placed their leftist politics above Halachic Judaism. They demanded a mixed gender place where women could wear Tallit, put on Tefillin, and even read Torah and Israel tried to meet them on this demand. The section was not used and remained deserted but when the Israelis decided to close the section to save resources, the hue and cry went up that Israel was drawing lines on who was a Jew and who was not. Their most damaging attempt was the demand that Israel accept any conversion to Judaism from any Rabbi or source with no regards for qualitative demands, religious knowledge of the convert, desire of the convert to live an Halachic life or even make an attempt to be Jewish in any manner or fashion. The reason behind these attacks is to label Israel as rejecting their Jewishness and not hold themselves at all responsible for their complete desertion of all things Jewish exchanging them for leftist politics and their holy revolution.

 

Another peril for Israel is the rising anti-Semitism in Europe and starting to spread throughout the world. This is an Israeli problem as Israel has a responsibility to fight to protect the Jews everywhere. By fight, we do not mean literally but politically and socially. The best antidote for anti-Semitism is a strong and proper Israel and Israeli people living proper and Torah observant lives. Israel must also be the refuge for any Jews who find themselves threatened where they reside giving them a place to which to flee should things turn that badly. This was the case throughout the 1950’s as Jews faced pogroms and exile from their homelands across the MENA region as the Arab and Muslim rulers demanded their Jews flee after stripping them of all their wealth. This was the case as the Jews fled the Soviet Union in the 1970’s through the 1980’s. This will be the unfortunately necessary case when Europe decides they no longer care to countenance their Jewish populations. This will be far from the first time that Jews have been expelled from European nations or threatened with genocide should they not exit quickly enough. This was the reason the Holocaust came about as Hitler initially demanded that the Jews be permitted to return to their homelands in what would become Israel. The British who controlled the lands at the time responded to Arab rioting at the idea of permitting European Jews to flee to Israel refused them entry. Now there is no external power preventing Israel from being the last and best hope for the Jewish People. If or when places around our world decide to expel their Jews, today there is a land which will gladly give them a home and assist them in adjusting to their new life, and that is Israel. We have heard people argue that the United States would accept Jews in distress but all we can ask them is if they have ever heard of the steamship St. Louis. Usually their answer is no and they need be educated that this was evidence of exactly what the United States did when Jews were in desperate need of assistance and were within sight of the American shoreline as well as the Coast Guard ships escorting their slow cruise along the eastern seaboard on their trip back to Frankfort. Israel is the guarantor that such a travesty never happens again. Israel is the enforcement behind the phrase, “Never Again.”

 

And now another disaster appears on the horizon. Former Prime Minister and Defense Minister Ehud Barak said on Wednesday he is seriously considering running for Prime Minister. There are also reports that he has been contacting leaders of several parties and is most seriously considering joining the Zionist Union assuming the top spot from Labor chairman Avi Gabbay. Ehud Barak was quoted by Hahadashot stating, “Today I am more mature and qualified to lead the State of Israel than any candidate around.” Yes, Ehud Barak never has suffered from excessive modesty. But please do not take our word for this, from his own mouth, “I do not need reinforcements – I am immodest enough to notice that in terms of record, experience, international familiarity, intimate familiarity with security problems, economics, etc. I am now more mature and qualified to lead the State of Israel than any of the candidates around, including Netanyahu.” This from a man who has never found any proposed sacrifice as being too excessive if their might be a Nobel Peace Prize for finally reaching a deal with the PA. Ehud Barak has taken great hope from a poll which he claims he does not know the source, really likely, which he describes stating, “I also have a poll, which I do not know who initiated, but on the question, ‘If there was a direct election for prime minister and Netanyahu and Barak were candidates, who would you vote for?’, I beat Netanyahu among the secular public.” He probably has not heard that Israel while being a secular state politically, is a largely religious state. This explains the sabotage and condemnatory statements regarding Prime Minister Netanyahu over the past eighteen months while claiming to have no interest in running for political office. We have suspected he was once again planning on running for Prime Minister as he cannot believe he is not running everything from Israel to the United Nations, the Nobel Committee and the planet, after all, he is not “immodest” by admission. Who are we to argue with Mr. Perfect?

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Advertisements

October 16, 2017

Israel Palestinian Conundrum Culmination

 

For initial articles, click for first here and click for second here.

 

Where two days ago we gave some potential options and yesterday, we gave a possible scenario; the scenario was less than wonderful for much of the free world and horrific for Israel. The fortunate thing is that none of these things are likely to occur. There is a small fly in the ointment and it is about the size of the average rhinoceros. We mentioned the problem and some of you probably caught the problem, Hamas gets to retain their twenty-five-thousand man Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades military. This will be the central question to be resolved at the Cairo meeting on Tuesday, November 21, where the reconciliation will be finalized. The main stumbling block will be Hamas’ insistence on retaining their rather large police/security forces, well over ten-thousand strong plus their military wing, all twenty-five thousand well-armed men with a number of officers trained in Iran. The initial agreement allowed Fatah and the Palestinian Authority (PA) to station a security force numbering about ten-thousand officers strong. If you do the math, it turns into thirty-five thousand Hamas force fully armed against the PA lightly armed ten-thousand police force largely toting with side arms. It’s not really a fair fight, which is why we are glad that we are not part of their security force. Hamas has little intention of allowing the PA to actually take control over Gaza and is simply making the initial steps towards unification which will come to a crashing halt at their next meeting. This has happened before with the initial agreement being reached in order to throw a large wrench into the machinery while everything falls apart subsequently after whatever peace proposals forming are burned to ashes from whence they came. The PA and Hamas are great believers in ashes to ashes when it comes to peace initiatives. As we explained over the last two days, there are quite a few peace proposals being initiated or given some trial run and the PA was getting quite nervous that things just might turn against them and they would be trapped by Trump or Mudar Zahran or whoever so they turned to their supposed rivals for a little cooperation for a period of time sufficient to destroy all peace proposals.

 

What it comes down to is that Mahmoud Abbas, the leadership of Hamas, of Fatah, of the PLO and of the PA have millions of reasons why they do not desire peace at any price. Each of those reasons has a Dollar or a Euro attached to them and amount to millions per year except for Mahmoud Abbas and family where it comes to millions per month. They cannot accept any form of peace treaty where Israel remains as a Jewish State. It could remain as an Islamic run state under sharia law where the Jews are subject to the Jizya and the Jews, Christians and anyone not within the PA, PLO or Fatah are dhimmi subjected to the shame and degradations which goes along with dhimmitude. The problem for Mahmoud Abbas is he promised to destroy the Zionist Entity otherwise known as Israel or the Jewish State. He promised to accomplish this by swamping Israel with millions of displaced Arabs, something he actually did not have until recently with the destruction and dissolving of Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and the Arab world in general after the Arab Spring initiated by President Obama with the able support of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Hamas has an even larger promise they intend to keep. They also want to destroy Israel as the Jewish state but want to also eradicate the Jewish population. Just to make things clear, Hamas wants to eradicate the entirety of the Jewish population everywhere. The rest of the terror groups are either attached to the PA, PLO plus Hamas or they are permitted to operate within the areas under their control. Islamic Jihad is one such group who operates within Gaza and is aided by Iran and work cooperating with Hamas. Sometimes Hamas uses the presence of Islamic Jihad as an excuse for terror strikes when they need to explain attacks against treaties. There are a number of other minor groups operating in Gaza plus rumors that al-Qaeda, Islamic Jihad and Muslim Brotherhood have been known to operate command and control people out of Gaza controlling their Sinai Peninsula forces. All of these groups depend on there being no peace with Israel to continue their operations.

 

The reconciliation, as we keep stating, was used as it always has, to destroy any possibility for any peace talks or other potential for ending the Palestinian cause which has been used as a center for terror operations worldwide. Hezballah in Lebanon has been used as a conduit by Iran to funnel weapons into Gaza for Islamic Jihad and at times for Hamas as well. Hezballah is not just a terror group working for Iran in Lebanon as well as Syria but also worldwide with a large base in the tri-border area in South America where Argentina, Paraguay and Brazil borders meet. Hezballah uses the area for training and attack simulations for operations anywhere in the world. They work with the Iranian IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) which includes a special group, the al-Quds force, which specializes in attacks to attack Israel in general and Jerusalem in particular (al-Quds is the Muslim Arab name for Jerusalem). The faithful execution of any missions such cells may be utilized to commit is often assured through holding family members within Lebanon as persuasion over their actions and trusted loyalty. We know Iran has extensive abilities to strike anywhere within the Americas as we witnessed in two separate bombings in Argentina; the first was the bombing of the Israeli Embassy on March 17, 1992, with the second being the bombing of the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) on July 18, 1994, both in Buenos Aires. The IRGC likely cooperating with Hezballah have also attacked American interests such as murdering United States Marines in their barracks in Lebanon as well as assaulting the United States Embassies in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and Nairobi, Kenya. All of these attacks were either simulated in Lebanon, Iran or the tri-border area before being triggered on their actual targets. Iran also supplies Islamic Jihad and often Hamas and has attempted to make inroads into Fatah and the PLO as they try to encircle Israel. This is information which should be sufficient evidence that the terrorism which starts with Israel will not remain contained in Israel. This lesson has been pressed on Europe as their Islamist infiltration has brought with it terrorism similar in nature as Israel faces. The United States has also been targeted by terrorism including the horrific attacks of 9/11 and numerous others since and before.

 

Tri_Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

Tri_Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994 bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

 

The real problem is that there can be no solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict which allows for the continued existence of Israel as the Jewish state. Where many within the European power structure appear to be fine with solutions which would erase the Jewish nature of Israel if it would bring their Islamist problem to a close, it would actually change nothing. Additionally, Israel as the Jewish state is not going anywhere and is back to stay. Further, the United States is linked with Israel though there are signs that this bond may be weakening. The Democrat Party has decided that Israel is expendable while the Republican Party has become the pro-Israel party. This might appear strange as most Jews support the Democrat Party with blind passion. The reality comes down to the fact that the Evangelical Christians support Israel and are an important group for the Republican Party. Completely opposite of what many claim, often vindictively, the United States supports Israel because the Jews control the government when the reality is the largest group in the United States supporting Israel are the Christians. This is not hard to see, as Jews are, at most, a mere two and a half percent of the total population. Israel is once again a political football which will be fumbled by many amongst the Democrat Party only to now be picked up by the Republican Party, a change from the earlier periods of Israel. The United States may find itself more alone in supporting Israel and this could lead to more challenges ahead. There are some who predict that the United States may soon find Israel too much a burden to continue their support and this leads these people to claim that once Israel no longer has American protection they will face an isolation which could spell the end of Israel. They claim that Israel is completely dependent upon American military aid.

 

The reality is that Israel can survive without the military aid providing Israel takes the steps necessary to become self-sufficient militarily. This would require Israel to begin making their own weaponry including the ammunition. Israel currently uses the .223 ammunition which is consistent with NATO despite Israel not belonging to NATO. The advantage is Israel manufactures this ammunition, as do numerous nations. Israel makes very fine rifles and their Merkava tank is first rate. They are capable in almost every area with two main weaknesses, ships and aircraft. The Israeli Navy is dependent upon Germany for her submarines which are all Dolphin class and depends on European shipyards for their Corvette class ships. Israel might be capable of constructing her own ships and even submarines if pressed as she does much of the outfitting of her ships and adapting the submarines to fit her requirements. The challenge Israel would face would be manufacture of her own aircraft, something Israel should start to consider seriously. Israel is receiving the United States fifth generation fighter F-35 JSF. This is a decent stealth airframe but they are also very expensive. Fortunately, the United States gave Israel financial assistance, something which will become more difficult as the United States debt situation grows, for reasons which historians will be dumbfounded to explain, makes supporting anybody impossible. Israel has sufficient GDP to afford the costs of developing her own aircraft and the additional jobs would be a boost to her economic health providing well paying jobs. Further, Israel could enter into the arms market and if past developments of technology, then any aircraft she produced would very likely be of a quality worthy of competing with that of any other nation and in demand on the world market. The avionics for the export model along with weapons targeting and other systems would be different than those she produced for her own use which is the same as every other nation. Most nations prefer placing their own systems of avionics and weapons rather than depend on other nations systems for such sensitive equipment.

 

Israel also has to take charge of the entire peace process. This can only be accomplished once Israel is completely self-sufficient militarily and in most other industries as well as food production leaving very little to outside providers. Israel is one of the few, if not the only, nation which could conceivably face a complete embargo from the industrialized world or even the entire world. This would mean that Israel would, and needs to face this soon if not immediately, needs to rely totally on her own production of weapons, food, automobiles and all other products which Israelis could need or simply desire. Finally, many of these items from cell phones to cherry tomatoes to software were invented or developed in Israel. The gaps which Israel faces also includes their not having a domestic vehicle, car or trucks of all sizes, production but for a nation with the capabilities Israel has shown, they will most likely produce a vehicle which runs on air and water. Any nation capable of such inventiveness will pull through despite what challenges the world throws at her. And the peace will only work when the reputed but disputed words of Golda Meir, “Peace will come when the Arabs will love their children more than they hate us.”

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

September 13, 2017

Is Hamas Being Merged with Hezballah?

 

According to the Head of the Shin Bet Security Service Nadav Argaman, the Gaza based terrorist group Hamas has been deepening its ties with Hezballah in Lebanon and thus becoming closer to Iran and the Shiite efforts to destroy Israel, the United States and the Western World. This is in line with recent developments in Iraq where Iran has been taking the officers and ranking core Islamic State fighters and converting most into Shia Islam while also building Sunni units to use as enforcers against what they view as renegade Shiite groups such as those who follow Muqtada al-Sadr as we reported in our recent post, “Sacrificing Kurds Along with Iraq to Iran.” We will ignore any possibility that Iran might use Hamas to free up more Hezballah forces to be used in Syria, as Syria will be placed once again under the oppressive fist of Bashir al-Assad no matter how long that takes. This is another reason to permit the Kurds to establish their own homelands of Kurdistan across both Iraq and formerly Syria lands in the northern regions. This would provide the world with a place more dependable than Turkey from which to slow the Iranian dreams of spreading into Turkey and on to Greece as the Persians had done over two thousand years ago. The Iranian Ayatollahs have repeatedly spoken of their destiny of reestablishing the Persian Empire and how, as their descendants, their destiny is world conquest. There is that pesky little concept that the Western World gave up on when they renounced colonialism and that will continue to come back to bite them.

 

Whatever the reason for Hamas spreading into Lebanon, it will also not prove favorable for Israel. Iran took a large percentage of the monies, the over one billion dollars and almost immediately resumed their support of Hamas while increasing their aid and support for Hezballah, Bashir al-Assad, the Houthis and started rebuilding their military including the IRGC. Iran has also began consolidating their position in Iraq and with support from the United States and the Kurdish Peshmerga Militias, the Iraqi military has defeated the Islamic State in Mosul and are now using IRGC along with the Iraqi forces to clear the remaining Islamic State holdouts. In less than two weeks, the Kurds will be taking a vote on whether or not to declare their independence from Iraq. Their vote intends to include the Kurdish population in Mosul and to include Mosul within their establishing of Kurdistan. The Iranians are claiming Mosul for Iraq, or at least Iraq is claiming all of what would become Kurdistan as Iraq and will, of course, be under the direct management by the Iranian Ayatollahs. The Kurdish hopes for their homeland, which was promised by the British during World War I, only to have the rug pulled out from under them when oil was discovered in the Mosul area. Now the Kurdish dream may depend on the United Nations and the world giving them the recognition they deserve. The United States State Department official position opposes the Kurdish liberation policy and have called on President Trump to refuse to back their vote should they, as expected, vote for independence. It may end up that the Kurds will need to fight to gain their independence, which will pit them against Iraq, Iran, the IRGC as well as Turkey. Their only hope will be the active support of the United States, something unfortunately unlikely as things now appear.

 

Meanwhile, the future for Lebanon as an actual nation is all but finished as with Hamas now being trained and stationed within their country and already being all but governed by Hezballah, their next elections, if they even have any, will almost certainly remove any semblance of Christian influence and the terrorists will have gained complete control. It would not be out of the question to see the Constitution of Lebanon rewritten so as to remove any requirement that Christians be represented, protected or anything other than Dhimmi as Lebanon will have been completely Islmisized. Additionally, Iran placing Hamas into Lebanon bodes poorly for the future wars against Israel being single front wars. Israel had been fortunate that they have never been forced to face Hezballah in Lebanon and Hamas from Gaza simultaneously. Iran moving some Hamas forces into Lebanon implies that Iran plans on forcing Israel to face a two front war when they next are attacked by terrorist forces with Hamas attacking from Lebanon as well as Gaza plus Hezballah attacking alongside Hamas in Lebanon and from the Golan Heights plus a potential of IRGC forces assisting the terror armies. There is little need to make this a long article but suffer us one last paragraph speculating on possible futures and one hope.

 

Coordinated Iranian Attack on Israel Including Potential Attacks from Jordan

Coordinated Iranian Attack on Israel Including Potential Attacks from Jordan

 

The hope is that President Trump will respond to the pressures from the State Department with stiff waving off of their advice and recognizes the independence of Kurdistan should that be the result of the vote, and all indications are that independence will win by close to three to one in favor. Should President Trump go one further and invoke the support of NATO, even or especially if that requires pressing President Erdoğan to support a Kurdish State or resign Turkey from NATO, something that would actually be good for NATO. Finally, Israel should be particularly watchful for Iranian efforts to take over the Palestinian Authority (PA) or for Hamas to force elections thereby taking over the PA democratically giving Iran three fronts against Israel. Currently, the only thing keeping Fatah in charge of Judea and Samaria is the IDF and Israeli intelligence thwarting the consistent attempts by Hamas to subvert Fatah rule and take over the area themselves. Now with Hamas flush with Iranian aid of weapons and money, their efforts will no doubt be redoubled for taking over the PA. Iran may even have plans to cause an uprising in Jordan and during such conflict, come in and take over Jordan making Israel truly surrounded. This would be the death knell for peace in the remainder of the Middle East. One can expect that Iran will also do all they can to complete their conquest of Yemen and thus complete their encirclement of Saudi Arabia and potentially have the ability to cut off oil and trade between Asia and Europe at the times of their choosing. Once they have Yemen, the world can expect increased piracy in the seas near the mouth of the Red Sea and into the Indian Ocean. Iran is about to surpass North Korea as the world’s primary problem with much of their actions performed by terror entities and through proxies. The end of the Syrian debacle will signal the beginning of the next stage for the Iranian attempts for hegemony of the entire Middle East and their reestablishment of the Persian Empire.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Next Page »

Blog at WordPress.com.