Beyond the Cusp

October 17, 2017

The Storm Before the Calm

 

President Trump was quoted to have made mention that we were experiencing the calm before the storm, and at the very point one might say started the storm before the calm. The media went into a feeding frenzy making all forms of predictions of doom, World War III, nuclear Armageddon and the end of all sanity. Some predicted that, finally, President Trump had gone too far and this had to be impeachable material as if a President can be impeached because he said something that some, or many, or even most people found offensive. For all we know, President Trump could have been referring to the calm in the media who had found nothing he had said worthy of impeachment in the last twenty seconds, and now he had so the storm was sure to ensue. That would have been an accurate interpretation, as any, of the media eruption over the statement, “calm before the storm,” words which Trump had spoken. But let us assume that President Trump meant that things were starting to look quite dangerous in the world. Well, can anybody say that such a description of the current state of the world was exactly wrong? There is an upstart young and rather unstable fool firing rockets over the Islands of Japan and across areas of South Korea out into the oceans and seas surrounding these nations while exploding nuclear weapons and having restarted the plutonium producing reactor, making fuel for more such weapons ruling North Korea. There are some rather less than stable religious fanatics very likely making nuclear weapons and testing ever more capable missiles threatening to destroy the Great and Lesser Satans of the United States and Israel and then launch their troops to conquer the world. There is a war still raging in Syria where it appears that a murderous dictator backed by Iranian Mullahs and their IRGC troops and Hezballah terrorists will win the day backed with Russian air support. Libya is still in a state of chaos with intertribal fighting and Iraq is in a state of unrest with Iran and the Iraqi government about to go to war with the Kurds in the north just as Bashir al-Assad also may be fighting the Kurds in his north. As far as fighting Kurds, there is Turkish President Erdoğan, who has been at war with the Kurds of his nation as well; yet the world refuses to allow a state for the Kurds where they would live in peace if only permitted such a privilege.

 

Perhaps President Trump was being too kind referring to the present state of the world as calm. Anybody calling the present state of the world as calm might just be as daft as the media claims. Europe has an economy which has been steady in its inability to show much in the way of life. The new infiltrators and immigrants in much of Europe have brought with them crime and unrest and threats of revolution and jihad with an ending target of the imposition of sharia. China has been spreading tendrils building islands in the South China Sea which will lengthen a main trade route between the Indian and Pacific Oceans or potentially giving China complete control over this trade route while they also tend to solidify their claims over islands also claimed by Japan, Viet Nam or the Philippines. China apparently has decided to try their hand at hegemony themselves and is still spending like there is no tomorrow on their Navy and Air Force. Russia is continuing their agreement with Syrian dictator Assad in exchange for the use of Syria’s Mediterranean Sea Ports while Iran consolidates their Shiite Crescent across the Middle East (see map below). Turkey’s Erdoğan still sees himself as the next leader of the renewed Caliphate. President Sisi in Egypt has made all the right and noble statements of reforming Islam such that they learn to prefer their Mecca verses of coexistence and tolerance over the Medina verses of war and conquest until the entire world submits to Allah but has been dreadfully reticent about taking stronger actions than a speech or two at Al-Azhar University in Cairo while Coptic Christians remain targets for murderous jihad. India and China, the world’s two most populous nations and both nuclear powers are in a standoff over their border as the Chinese are constructing a road into the disputed province. Meanwhile, in Kashmir, India and Pakistan are still standing armed to the teeth and both with nuclear weapons in their standoff over who actually owns what once was an independent nation. While, what we presume, most probably accurately, is a nuclear power, Iran is rushing towards a war potentially with Egypt and more definitely Saudi Arabia, which could get nuclear weapons from Pakistan amongst other places, over who will have control over the Muslim Middle East and be the preeminent power of all Islam. Iran and Israel are in standoff mode as of the reality spoken of above where Iran has promised to wipe Israel from the map while Israel prefers to remain where she stands. And there is the growing threat globally of terrorism.

 

Shiite Crescent including Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Iran

Shiite Crescent including Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Iran

 

Then there is the threat of a civil war in the United States. The media is fanning the flames and leftists worldwide are willing to pay any price to be rid of President Trump. There is presumably a plan for a full-blown nationwide uprising in protest for November 4th hoping that it will grow in proportions until President Trump has little choice but to resign in order to save the nation. Somewhere in this plan, there may be a small problem though we would be hard pressed to point it out. Such a demonstration could be seen as an attempt to overthrow the government which would permit the President using any and all power at his disposal to end the uprising, but other than that, what could go wrong? Meanwhile the media is fanning these flames for all the ratings they are worth even to the point of Jimmy Kimmel crying over spilt milk. What else could go wrong other than perhaps a flu pandemic if they got the flu shot formula wrong?

 

There is a coming water shortage in many places on the planet and despite clean water technologies being available, little is being done to distribute it where needed as the cost would be rather daunting challenge. Funny how people are willing to spend billions to pursue political ends but they find it difficult to spend even thousands to benefit all mankind. There are also threats of famine from crop failures from poor land use and so little is being done to teach the farmers of the world better techniques let alone getting them the equipment necessary to increase yields. Israel is working in Africa and elsewhere with assisting in such efforts but cannot reach everywhere and the United States also has taken up efforts worldwide but they could use others to help more with these efforts than in starting revolutions. There will be weather and other natural disasters which the world will need to give their assistance. And there are so many other areas in which the world could be improved such as providing medical assistance to the world including such things as Saving a Child’s Heart which not only saves children with heart defects from around the world but trains surgeons and sets up hospital departments to treat children around the world. Yes, we thought ending with hope would make more noise than another story over a Trump gaff.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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September 13, 2017

Is Hamas Being Merged with Hezballah?

 

According to the Head of the Shin Bet Security Service Nadav Argaman, the Gaza based terrorist group Hamas has been deepening its ties with Hezballah in Lebanon and thus becoming closer to Iran and the Shiite efforts to destroy Israel, the United States and the Western World. This is in line with recent developments in Iraq where Iran has been taking the officers and ranking core Islamic State fighters and converting most into Shia Islam while also building Sunni units to use as enforcers against what they view as renegade Shiite groups such as those who follow Muqtada al-Sadr as we reported in our recent post, “Sacrificing Kurds Along with Iraq to Iran.” We will ignore any possibility that Iran might use Hamas to free up more Hezballah forces to be used in Syria, as Syria will be placed once again under the oppressive fist of Bashir al-Assad no matter how long that takes. This is another reason to permit the Kurds to establish their own homelands of Kurdistan across both Iraq and formerly Syria lands in the northern regions. This would provide the world with a place more dependable than Turkey from which to slow the Iranian dreams of spreading into Turkey and on to Greece as the Persians had done over two thousand years ago. The Iranian Ayatollahs have repeatedly spoken of their destiny of reestablishing the Persian Empire and how, as their descendants, their destiny is world conquest. There is that pesky little concept that the Western World gave up on when they renounced colonialism and that will continue to come back to bite them.

 

Whatever the reason for Hamas spreading into Lebanon, it will also not prove favorable for Israel. Iran took a large percentage of the monies, the over one billion dollars and almost immediately resumed their support of Hamas while increasing their aid and support for Hezballah, Bashir al-Assad, the Houthis and started rebuilding their military including the IRGC. Iran has also began consolidating their position in Iraq and with support from the United States and the Kurdish Peshmerga Militias, the Iraqi military has defeated the Islamic State in Mosul and are now using IRGC along with the Iraqi forces to clear the remaining Islamic State holdouts. In less than two weeks, the Kurds will be taking a vote on whether or not to declare their independence from Iraq. Their vote intends to include the Kurdish population in Mosul and to include Mosul within their establishing of Kurdistan. The Iranians are claiming Mosul for Iraq, or at least Iraq is claiming all of what would become Kurdistan as Iraq and will, of course, be under the direct management by the Iranian Ayatollahs. The Kurdish hopes for their homeland, which was promised by the British during World War I, only to have the rug pulled out from under them when oil was discovered in the Mosul area. Now the Kurdish dream may depend on the United Nations and the world giving them the recognition they deserve. The United States State Department official position opposes the Kurdish liberation policy and have called on President Trump to refuse to back their vote should they, as expected, vote for independence. It may end up that the Kurds will need to fight to gain their independence, which will pit them against Iraq, Iran, the IRGC as well as Turkey. Their only hope will be the active support of the United States, something unfortunately unlikely as things now appear.

 

Meanwhile, the future for Lebanon as an actual nation is all but finished as with Hamas now being trained and stationed within their country and already being all but governed by Hezballah, their next elections, if they even have any, will almost certainly remove any semblance of Christian influence and the terrorists will have gained complete control. It would not be out of the question to see the Constitution of Lebanon rewritten so as to remove any requirement that Christians be represented, protected or anything other than Dhimmi as Lebanon will have been completely Islmisized. Additionally, Iran placing Hamas into Lebanon bodes poorly for the future wars against Israel being single front wars. Israel had been fortunate that they have never been forced to face Hezballah in Lebanon and Hamas from Gaza simultaneously. Iran moving some Hamas forces into Lebanon implies that Iran plans on forcing Israel to face a two front war when they next are attacked by terrorist forces with Hamas attacking from Lebanon as well as Gaza plus Hezballah attacking alongside Hamas in Lebanon and from the Golan Heights plus a potential of IRGC forces assisting the terror armies. There is little need to make this a long article but suffer us one last paragraph speculating on possible futures and one hope.

 

Coordinated Iranian Attack on Israel Including Potential Attacks from Jordan

Coordinated Iranian Attack on Israel Including Potential Attacks from Jordan

 

The hope is that President Trump will respond to the pressures from the State Department with stiff waving off of their advice and recognizes the independence of Kurdistan should that be the result of the vote, and all indications are that independence will win by close to three to one in favor. Should President Trump go one further and invoke the support of NATO, even or especially if that requires pressing President Erdoğan to support a Kurdish State or resign Turkey from NATO, something that would actually be good for NATO. Finally, Israel should be particularly watchful for Iranian efforts to take over the Palestinian Authority (PA) or for Hamas to force elections thereby taking over the PA democratically giving Iran three fronts against Israel. Currently, the only thing keeping Fatah in charge of Judea and Samaria is the IDF and Israeli intelligence thwarting the consistent attempts by Hamas to subvert Fatah rule and take over the area themselves. Now with Hamas flush with Iranian aid of weapons and money, their efforts will no doubt be redoubled for taking over the PA. Iran may even have plans to cause an uprising in Jordan and during such conflict, come in and take over Jordan making Israel truly surrounded. This would be the death knell for peace in the remainder of the Middle East. One can expect that Iran will also do all they can to complete their conquest of Yemen and thus complete their encirclement of Saudi Arabia and potentially have the ability to cut off oil and trade between Asia and Europe at the times of their choosing. Once they have Yemen, the world can expect increased piracy in the seas near the mouth of the Red Sea and into the Indian Ocean. Iran is about to surpass North Korea as the world’s primary problem with much of their actions performed by terror entities and through proxies. The end of the Syrian debacle will signal the beginning of the next stage for the Iranian attempts for hegemony of the entire Middle East and their reestablishment of the Persian Empire.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

September 10, 2017

Taking Care of Syria Quietly Whether for Good or for Bad

 

One might even say that Israel is addressing all sides of the Syrian debacle. Israel has struck military targets, given treatment to those requiring medical attention, taken in a limited number of Syrian refugees and made sure their efforts were acceptable to the main outside, non-Muslim powers invested in Syria. That is most definitely a comprehensive and sensible Syrian plan. The nation doing what must be done and providing true humanitarian assistance is, most remarkably and surprisingly, Israel. What makes all that Israel has done is that there remains no peace agreement between Israel from the original 1948-9 war brought against Israel at her birth which included Syrian military and attacks across and down the Golan Heights. There is also no peace from the 1967 Six Day War or the 1973 Yom Kippur War or any of the other times Syrian forces tangled with Israel such as the air war and other confrontations in the early 1980’s in the First Lebanon War. Since the two nations are still officially at war and Syrian entities have launched missiles, rockets, mortars and bullets over the border targeting Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) stationed along the Golan Heights, any actual fighting coming from Israel is once again of a defensive nature and simply securing the border and keeping weapons of mass destruction out of the hands of Hezballah as well as heavy weapons systems. But Israel has been crucial on many fronts in this fiasco called the Syrian Imbroglio.

 

The latest Israeli strike against Syria came midweek of the first week of September where Israeli air forces destroyed a military target presumed to be a chemical weapons plant. Syria reported the strike occurred just prior to three in the morning near the western town of Masyaf. The site also contained advanced missiles intended for Hezballah terrorists who are fighting at the behest of Iran supporting Bashir al-Assad. Israel had previously struck convoys carrying similar advanced weapons towards Hezballah bases within Lebanon, a nation now run by the Hezballah terrorists for all practical matters. Syria is claiming that this is a new first for Israel to attack a research facility while also making sure to mention there having been almost one-hundred Israeli sorties flown against Syrian targets. They admitted that the majority have been against convoys carrying resupply of munitions, not agreeing with Israeli claims that these were resupply of Hezballah positions in Lebanon which means they were intended to be launched at Israel. Striking dangerous items in Syria which are arranged and paid for by Iran is not a wholly new thing as there was the bombing of the presumed construction of a North Korean nuclear reactor for the production of fissile material, plutonium, in the Deir ez-Zor region of Syria (see before and after images below). The New Yorker magazine gave a complete story from the first suspicions through the entangled mess the United States almost made of the entire threat and the final Israeli striking without informing the United States out of fear of the surprise being blown. One telling following event was when the North Koreans leveled a complaint over the loss of at least ten workers and engineers during the Israelis strike at what was not a nuclear reactor, or was, the North Koreans denied the accusation at first claiming the structure was not a nuclear reactor but failed to give another description. Why such strikes as the nuclear reactor and the more recent strike on the chemical weapons missile production plant are left for Israel to perform and are not taken on by the Europeans or the United States is a question which will never be answered, and possibly seldom if ever asked.

 

Syrian Reactor Chamber and Support Structures at Nuclear Processing Plant for Nuclear Weapons Being Overseen by North Korean Nuclear Scientists Before and After Bombing

Syrian Reactor Chamber and Support Structures
at Nuclear Processing Plant for Nuclear Weapons
Being Overseen by North Korean Nuclear Scientists
Before and After Bombing

 

Returning to the treatment of presumed civilians from the Syrian civil war which has more fighting groups than any civil war with which we are familiar. The solution was to allow each group to choose a secure section along the Israeli-Syrian border to leave their injured, be they fighters or civilians. Israel has then, no questions asked, treated the injured and ill returning them to the same locations where they were deposited for treatment such that the correct group receives their civilians and fighters (they are all presumably civilians as they are not in uniforms and are devoid of weaponry). Israelis have proven their high regard for life with repeated treatment of Gazan and Arab Palestinians even to include relatives of, as well as high-ranking officials, and just ordinary people in need of better medical care than available in their own hospitals. Treating people from the Syrian meat grinder of a war is just more of saving lives, something Israel has provided to many far and wide especially after disasters where Israel is often among the first to have a hospital up and running. But we are supposed to be talking about Syria, so back to the subject.

 

Israel has also had to strike numerous convoys which carried advanced weapons such as MANPADS and other high technology anti-aircraft missiles, larger missiles including some potentially capable of multiple warheads and other advanced weapons which could potentially change the balance of power between Israel and Hezballah. Never mind that Hezballah, thanks to Iran and Syria for funneling rockets and missiles into the terrorists’ hands, possess very likely over one-hundred-fifty-thousand rockets and missiles of varying lethality and range from small rockets with range of under twenty-five miles to their largest with a range of approaching four-hundred-fifty miles (see image below). These rockets and missiles provided by Iran and transported through Syria endanger every Israeli and also Jordanians and Egyptians should Iran choose to order such a strike as they have transformed Lebanon into an Iranian outpost. Still, Israel willingly treats people who very well may come back to attack and murder Israeli civilians, not just her military personnel. Such generosity is unusual to say the least but Israel honors life while they honor death, as we are so often reminded by Palestinian Authority spokespeople, Hamas and Islamic Jihad commanders, Hezballah leadership and countless others from Iran to Morocco, or so it often seems. Perhaps that is why there are so many rockets and weapons in these areas, many aimed at Israel and possibly even more they aim at one another, and so many hospitals and clinics spread throughout Israel and why Israel builds more anti-missile systems and shelters throughout the country. That is definitely why Israel treats those who need medical treatment regardless of their origins or how they came to require treatment.

 

Hezballah Rocket & Missile Threat

Hezballah Rocket & Missile Threat

 

The truth is that often Israel has been known to act in a manner, which is obviously not the way, which would be considered normal anywhere else in the world. Israel goes to great lengths to save lives, even the lives of her enemies and even the people from a nation with which she remains at war with for the last sixty-nine years (Syria). The Israelis, actually the Jews, treasure life to an extent beyond reason. Still, there are limits even to the Israeli love of life and when the choice is directly between the lives of Israelis, all Israelis, are being weighed against the lives of her enemies, then Israel will act in what the rest of the world considered rational behavior should they face such a choice. That is when the world demands that Israel should have acted opposite the very direction they would choose and they demand Israel apologize for defending herself and protecting her own. One can only wonder what would happen if Israel acted as the rest of the world would when facing similar difficulties. Should Israel ever act as if she were a normal nation and toss the concerns for life to the winds of war, then there might be a cleansing, the very cleansing which Israel is accused of committing whenever a single terrorist is killed to end their murdering innocents. Perhaps the insane charges against Israel for even a single death of a terrorist is brought because the expectation of Israel is to be the marvel she can be in every situation regardless of what rationality dictates. Israel has shown magnanimity and generosity in so many ways and beyond any rational expectation that now, it appears that the world expects that to be the norm rather than the exception. Well, it would be nice if that were the reality, would it not? The reality is many in the world use Israeli generosity as the rod with which to beat her attempting to berate her into committing suicide. The world should be warned that pushing the good to a breaking-point is a senseless and dangerous exercise. The situation, largely thanks to the willful blindness of the world, has reached a point where Israel will have little if any choice should her enemies attack once more. The situation has reached a point where delicacy and fighting simply to push the inevitable back another few weeks or months has come to that tipping-point where such has become a suicidal act. The next war pressed by Hamas or Hezballah will quite likely have to be fought as an all-out effort as their arsenals have reached the point where they have a potential to completely decimate Israeli life. This will undoubtedly shock even Israel’s friends and there will be serious deliberations in the United Nations Security Council and somewhat less serious deliberations as the General Assembly has its most heated debate over what terminology is appropriate for this round of their condemnations of Israel. In the end, the United States will need use their veto or the world will treat Israel as a pariah amongst the nations. It will mean nothing in reality as the truth will be known by all even if they refuse to accept such, or so they will act. We need remember that it was the United Nations who derided Zionism as being racism and has never missed an opportunity, real or imagined, to discredit or denounce Israel. It is when some arm of the United Nations lauds Israel that the world should wake from their slumber and applaud the rarity. Perhaps the news about this time will allow them to take an honest look and begin to appreciate the nation who heals their enemies and does so for free.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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