Beyond the Cusp

October 21, 2014

Upcoming Midterm United States Elections, a Slightly Different Look

Filed under: 2016 Elections,24/7 News Reporting,Abortion,Abortion,Abortion,Absolutism,Administration,Adoption,Afordable Healthcare Act,al-Qaeda,Amalekites,American People,American People Voice Opinion,Amnesty,Arab Winter,Arab World,Associated Press,Austerity Measures,Balanced Budget,Ballot Access,Baseline Budget,Beheading,Bill of Rights,Bloggers,Border Patrol,Border violence,Breakout Point,Budget,Calaphate,Campaign Contributions,Candidate,Chemical Weapons,Civil War,Civilization,Class Warfare,Class Warfare,CNN,Common Core,Concealed Carry,Congress,Conservatives,Constitutional Government,Constitutionalist,Contraceptives,Core Beliefs,Cost of Living,Courts,Covert Surveillance,Death Penalty,Debate,Debt,Debt Ceiling,Default on Debt,Democracy,Democrat,Denial Ederly of Medical Care,Department of Education,Deportation,Disarm People,Ditherer in Chief,Domestic NGOs,Drones,Earnings,Ecology,Ecology Lobby,Economic Fascism,Economic Growth,Economy,Education,Electability,Elections,Eminent Domain,EMP Device,Employment,Enforcement,Equal Opportunity,Equal Outcome,Equal Responsibility,Equal Rights,Equal Treatment,Equality,Eugenics,Extreme Leftist,Extreme Right,Facebook,Facial Recognition Software,Federal Reserve,Feminism,Financial Crisis,Fiscal Cliff,Forced Solution,Foreign Aid,Fox,Free Speech,Funding,Gender Issues Lobby,Global Climate Change,Government,Government Health Care,Green Economy,Guard Border,Gun Ban,Gun Control,Guns,Health Care,High Caspacity Magazines,Higher Prices,Hispanic Appeasement,History,House of Representatives,Idividual Protection,Illegal Immigration,Income,Increased Spending,Individual Right to Privacy,Inflated Spending,Inflation,Interest on Debt,Internal Pressures,International Politics,International Socialism,Internationalist,Iran,Iranian Military,Iranian Pressure,IRGC,IRS,ISIS,Islam,Islamists,Israel,Jihad,Jobs,Keynesian Economics,Kurdistan,Kurds,Leftist Pressures,Liberals,Livable Wage,Local Government,Main Stream Media,Mainstream Media,Maniacal Fear,Media,Media Bias,Media Censorship,Media Intimidation,Military Intervention,Military on Borders,Minimum Wage,Misreporting,Multiculturalism,National Debt,Nationalists,New Media,New World Order,New York Times,Nonjudicial Assassination,Nuclear Disarmament,Nuclear Weapons,Obama Care,Omission,Panic Policies,Party Platform,Peacekeepers,Political Talk Shows,Politically Correct,Politically Incorrect,Politicized Findings,Politics,Poverty,Pregnancy,President Obama,Private Schools,Pro Choice,Pro Life,Progressives,Public Schools,Quantitative Easing,Quarantine,Repatriation,Republic,Republican,Reuters,RINO,Russian Military,School Board,Secular Humanist,Secular Interests,Secularist Socialism,Senate,Senate Majority Leader,Senate Minority Leader,Small Government,Social Networking,Socialism,Society,Soldiers,Speaker of the House,Spending Cuts,State Legislature,State Rights,State's Rights,Stem Cell Research,Sunday Times,Talking Heads,Taxes,Teachers Unions,Television News,Term Limits,Terror,Threat of War,Troop Withdrawal,Twitter,Ukrainian Military,Under Employment,Unemployment,Union Interests,United States,United States Constitution,United States Pressure,Uranium Enrichment,US Supreme Court,Vice President,Voting,War on Religion,War on Women,Warrantless Searches,Washington Post,Washington Times,Wealth,Wealth Redistribution,Weapons of Mass Destruction,WMD,World Peace — qwertster @ 2:23 AM
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Who is ahead in the different races depends on the state and even on the political leanings of the news or talk shows one follows. If you go to polling it gets even more confusing. Not only are the polls often slanted depending on who ordered the polling but it also depends on what the subject the poll is covering. Here are a few examples from some polls. A CBS poll recently showed that fifty percent of those responding said the Democrats are the party that “cares more about the needs and problems of people” while only 34 percent chose the Republicans. Meanwhile, the Republicans have a nine point lead concerning the economy, an eleven point lead on foreign policy and a twenty-one point lead on addressing terrorism in an October CBS poll. So, who wins; the party of the people or the party which appears to be more competent? These numbers are nothing new as often the Democrats have polled well on sympathy and feeling the people’s pains while the Republicans historically win on foreign policy and confronting threats from the outside world. The fact the Republicans are polling slightly ahead of Democrats on the economy is not nationally definitive enough to be applied to every race. The probability is that in the traditionally Democrat leaning states the Democrats will probably poll even or ahead of the Republicans while in traditionally Republican states the Republicans will poll ahead. The place where that mere nine point lead for the Republicans becomes evident will be in what is often referred to as the ‘purple’ states where the parties have split the wins between them would thus likely give the Republicans a slight lead on the economy. Unfortunately that may not transfer to votes as there is also the personality of the candidates as well as the effectiveness of their campaigns and whether there are third party or independent candidates on the ballot and from which side they will draw away votes. Libertarian and Constitution Party candidates tend to take more votes from Republicans while Green and sometimes Libertarian Party take more votes from the Democrats. But other than their campaign, their affability or their campaign commercials and use of media and social networks, the most important determining item will simply be which party gets the voters to the polls, period.

With this year not being a Presidential election year, the national party machines are operating but there are far fewer volunteers and fewer funds for them to make a large determining difference. This means that it will be up to the State and even more local party machines and the candidate supporting campaign staff which will make up a significant part of the get out the vote efforts. States with Gubernatorial elections this election will have more party influence than those without. What makes these midterms so difficult to make predictions is because there is no real enthusiasm evident in the electorate and it is very possible that both of the major parties will suffer from miserable voter turnout and thus calling the elections near impossible. There will be some states where polling data is so skewed to one candidate that there is almost no challenge to picking the likely winner short of an unseen stumble where the leading candidate is caught in a criminal act or other compromising situation. They do not even need to actually be guilty as that will depend on a court of law, but such accusations can sway the court of public opinion and that is exactly what elections are, the court of public opinion choosing those they feel are less guilty of potentially bad leadership. That has been the truth in all too many elections in the United States in recent times where people are literally trying to choose which evil is less harmful. Some have gotten to the point that they have finally refused to vote for the lesser from two evils and they refuse to ever again vote for evil no matter how slight. These voters are demanding the parties to put forth candidates who are capable of leading and representing the people with integrity and virtue. This might even lead to making a third party or independent candidate to have a real possibility to take elections and possibly change the American political landscape once again. Perhaps it is time for a new political movement as the last great movement was the Abolition Movement which birthed the Republican Party and the Whig Party was laid to rest. The more likely bet is that the two major parties have so slanted and poisoned the election laws throughout the United States that it has become next to impossible for any third party or independent candidate to make the ballot, let alone have any funds remaining should they manage to make ballot, and trust I know from where I speak. This is really a sad problem as this may prevent a new direction to be proposed and placed before the American electorate and instead continue forcing them to choose between two toxins, progressive Democrats who want to double the size of government every decade, or the progressive Republican who wishes to slow government growth so that it doubles only four or five times each century. Since both the major parties are in favor of growing government and the sole difference is exactly the rate of growth the American people can rest assured that over time the Republicans will seem like the Democrats of a few decades back while the Democrats will be breaking new ground which the Republican will fall in love with a few decades hence. Should this trend not be reversed soon the United States will continue in decline and only accelerate with time.

Beyond the Cusp

Advertisements

Leave a Comment »

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Blog at WordPress.com.