Beyond the Cusp

July 16, 2019

Gaza is Pushing too Hard

 

Yes, Gaza has demanded our attentions once again. This time we are doing some version of a follow-up story showing the unfortunately expected breach of trust which we first addressed here. In that article we predicted and also showed that the agreement of trust which was to bring quiet along the Gaza border was not even worth the paper it was written upon. We pointed to the “March of Return” border protests which resemble rioting and other threats including launching incendiary kites and balloons which that day after reaching an agreement, these attacks sparked twenty or so fires. This “March of Return” has been a daily occurrence which always peaks on Friday afternoons after religious services and a good sermon to get the troops riled up and fully loaded with hatred for Israel. We know that when we attend religious services, the first thing that comes to our mind is to run to the border and launch incendiaries attempting to burn down the neighboring nation. Well, no, not really. But this is exactly what has been occurring every Friday, if not every day the entire week, since near the end of March of 2018. How long and exactly how much of Israel must be turned into a scorched earth scene? And the other question is what will it take to end these provocations. Hamas and Islamic Jihad are simply pushing too hard.

 

 

In a recent article, Minister of the Knesset Avi Dichter spoke to residents at Kibbutz Sa’ad which sits in the Gaza envelope between Sderot and Netivot. As one would expect, he attempted to tell these Israelis exactly what they wished to hear. The report included some of what Avi Dichter had stated, namely, he stated, “I have known Gaza for decades. The operational solution to Gaza will be a combat move. It will not take two weeks or two months; we will need lots of patience. This will be the first Gaza war and probably the last one as well. That’s the solution I see. On the defensive issue, we as a committee will deal with problems and accompany the process to ensure that the things presented here will be resolved.” This is the basic boilerplate presentation given by virtually every Likud politician when visiting the Gaza envelope where the highest percentage of these incendiaries strike. Something has to be happening to these Likud politicians as when they get back to Jerusalem, where their party has led the ruling coalition for over a decade, they appear to forget every promise given to those living under fire near Gaza. Instead of taking bold actions as they had promised, they hem and haw debating whether or not it would be wise to engage Hamas and Islamic Jihad and speak of the horrible consequences which will come via Europe and much of the world denouncing any Israeli attempt at mitigating the terrorist attacks and defending her citizens. One would think that the world has it in for the Israeli people from their horrified reactions to every Israeli attempt to remain viable and safe. We recently spoke about how the European Union is building in areas where the Palestinian Arabs are not permitted to build according to the Oslo Accords in order to establish for the Palestinian Arabs facts on the ground such that these projects will force Israel back to her pre-Six Day War boundaries. These structures have no roads, utilities, trash removal or government services necessary to make them livable (pictured below).

 

Illegal European Union structures bearing obvious EU Identification signs

Illegal European Union structures bearing obvious EU Identification signs

 

We have decided to attempt to take the measure of what need be done to set Gaza on a new track where the people can lead normative lives. To accomplish such, the initial step is to allow them to elect their own leadership instead of having a Hamas led dictatorship where the Hamas leadership decide who amongst them would best marshal the people against Israel. The Gazan governance does not care whether or not most of the people have their electricity rationed as it is not their electricity turned off for all but four to six hours each day. They also do not worry all that much that their waste treatment plant overruns sending tons of semi-liquid waste in torrents down the streets in Gaza City. Operating presumably on orders from either the military wing of Hamas or of Islamic Jihad, a team of rioters destroyed much of the Gaza side of the Kerem Shalom Crossing including setting the feed lines which bring natural gas into Gaza simply to protest that Israel has gas and after this Gaza did not (pictured below)? Hamas and Islamic Jihad have yet to repair the damaged structures from the last three wars instigated against Israel. We are fully aware that the European Union believed that Israel overreacted when launching an offensive into Gaza after weeks of ever-increasing rocket fire which came deeper and deeper into Israel reaching almost to Jerusalem and reaching close to one-hundred-rockets per day. Their main complaint, and the complaint of the United Nations and almost countless leftist organizations was simple, the Israeli effort was disproportional as more Gazans, mostly Hamas and Islamic Jihad fighters, were killed than Israelis and IDF forces. They demand that Israel make sure to lose just as many people as died in Gaza. There were reporters and editorials which postulated that Israel must provide Gaza with these Iron Dome defense batteries which has worked miracles in preventing the majority of Hamas and Islamic Jihad rockets from striking targets in Israel. This is the kind of logic which much of the world uses when they are attempting to make everything in the Arab-Israeli conflict to come out fair in a no-win situation for all. What we cannot quite find is where this idiotic concept of disproportional casualty numbers in an armed conflict is by its nature unfair and potentially seen as racist, more on that in a moment. Wars are supposed to be disproportional as that is how one wins a war.

 

Gas Pipes Set Ablaze at the Kerem Shalom Gaza Crossing to Israel

Gas Pipes Set Ablaze at the Kerem Shalom Gaza Crossing to Israel

 

As reported in, of all places, Haaretz, they delineate how it came to be that Jews became the “super white privilege” people. This has become the latest means of being anti-Semitic while appearing so left liberal. This is sheer idiocy but there is method and motive to their insanity. By putting forth the idea that Jews are the whitest of white, actually over half of the Jews in Israel are from the Middle East and North Africa and not exactly lily-white, this allows for Jews to be denied all sorts of the little things that make life enjoyable such as employment, loans, carnival rides and virtually everything which can be claimed was racist at sometime in the past. This was the idea spread at the University of Illinois at Chicago a couple of years ago as the pamphlets were posted over the campus. Their erroneous claim was that nine out of ten people, that’s 90%, in the 1%, those people we are all supposed to hate, that 1%, they are Jews. First and foremost, the people in the top 1% changes regularly as the economy moves along and new areas of innovation arrive and people get in early such as the Internet businesses. Amazon, YouTube, PayPal and others have sent a number of people from oblivion to the top 1%. People who were financial nobodies are today ruling the 1% and, in another decade or so, it will be those who managed to put together and manage mining of the Asteroids. Fifty years ago, the ultimate 1%er was J Paul Getty, an oil magnate. Jews have only made the big times in the recent past in the United States. One only need remember the firestorm of controversy kicked up when Donald Trump opened Mar-a-Lago permitting Jews and Blacks to become members. The other country club owners did not which one of these they found more repulsive, allowing Blacks or Jews was an anathema to their thinking. Trump, as usual, simply did his own thing working to do what was correct even if it went against the going flow of that time. But it is this new definition of the Jew as the top 90% of the top 1% need be taken down a peg or two by whatever means necessary, and this will eventually result in ostracization, the final form of anti-Semitism before finding some final solution to the existence of Jews, and specially Israel. By this reasoning, Israel is to be considered more privileged and granted more breaks simply because it has been labeled as having super-white privilege. We can see how this is not going to go well.

 

Anti-Semitic Flier used on Campus of the University of Illinois at Chicago

Anti-Semitic Flier used on Campus of the University of Illinois at Chicago

 

Gazans, as Arabs, are treated as people of color while many Arabs are as white as the most privileged of that 1% which have white privilege. On the other side, there are significant numbers of Jews of color, Arab, Ethiopian and throughout the Middle East and North Africa they were stripped of their wealth, refused entry to any nation unless they possessed a passport of that nation and over eight-hundred-thousand emigrated going to Israel, the exception once again taking in unwanted Jews. Israel has taken other unwanted peoples including hundreds of Vietnamese Boat People providing them with citizenship if desired and a future in which they could remain free, and more important, alive. So, Gazans and Israelis likely span the color charts with remarkable similarity, thus neither has white privilege or any other advantage other than how they approach life and problems. Hamas and Islamic Jihad see the people of Gaza as cannon fodder to be utilized as human shields for terrorist fighters, rocket launchers, vehicles and buildings. Israel has taken great and extensive trouble to place sufficient shelters for the numbers of people at most locations. If you are in Israel and the rocket attack sirens sound, do not panic and just follow the people who will all be heading for the closest shelter. Hamas and Islamic Jihad spend virtually all their money on rockets, explosives and other instruments of their terror trade. Israel invests in items such as the Iron Dome with which she protects her people even further. Hamas and Islamic Jihad see dead civilians, or a killed terrorist stripped of their weapon and other military equipment instantly becomes a dead civilian, as propaganda wins with which to claim how awful Israel and the Jews have been. Do not think that the terrorist forces and many across the Arab and Muslim worlds see one iota of a difference between an Israeli and a Jew and often use the term Jews when speaking about Israelis.

 

Coming back to the present, this past Friday there were over six-thousand rioters launching grenades, firebombs and slinging stones at IDF soldiers while others flew the kites and balloons with incendiary weapons attached setting at least three fires which were reported. This is despite the presumed agreement to end hostile acts. We doubt that Hamas has lost control as when people demonstrated in Gaza City, Hamas ended the economic protests against their rule with all the finesse of a runaway train beating many of the protesters, raiding their homes and arresting numerous people suspected of taking a lead in these anti-Hamas and Islamic Jihad protests. Zero tolerance would be the apt phrase to describe the Hamas actions on these economic protests. But the rioting along the border, the world is told, is a grass roots movement beyond their control. A better interpretation would be that the terrorist rulers have created a monster who’s protests they have absolutely no intention of bringing to an end. Unlike the economic protests which placed the blame for the horrid conditions in Gaza on Hamas and Islamic Jihad leadership, the border riots are covered by the international pages of newspapers reminding everyone of the terrible economic condition in Gaza blaming Israel and their forced inspection of goods entering Gaza. This is ridiculous as if Hamas desires these protests to end, all they need do is stop bussing people to the riot locations, no longer provide the balloons and kites and let us not forget the incendiary packages and this alone would end the border riots and Hamas would not be required to beat severely any of the rioters as they did the economic demonstrators. Hamas does not desire for any of their active confrontations with Israel to end and they also desire to keep it at a level which the world will accept as fair. So, apparently there is a measuring stick which defines when rioters launching incendiary packages into a neighboring nation burning down square kilometers of farmlands, wildlife preserves, forests and residential areas. The Israelis who reside near Gaza are having their lives turned upside-down as these packages explode spreading fire over a wide area. Any person caught in the immediate area when one of the incendiary packages detonates would likely be killed being burned to death which would be dreadful.

 

Minister of the Knesset Avi Dichter was correct in stating what is necessary to correct the injustices inflicted on the Gazan peoples. But there is a serious problem with his idea as it appears that he is in favor of the “mow the grass” scenario for treating Gaza. This requires Israel to send the IDF into Gaza where they destroy rocket stores, bunkers, tunnels, weapons, explosive stores, rocket and warhead manufacturing, chemistry explosive labs, rocket launchers and their positions as well as any other tools of the terrorist trade and perform this every two or three years. There are a number of problems with this concept beyond the most obvious in that it does not solve any of the issues and simply kicks the can down the road. Should Israel continue with this method they will find themselves in a pincer attack when Iran orders her IRGC in Syria to launch and then invade Israel, orders Hezballah to launch and then invade Israel from Lebanon, and have Islamic Jihad and Hamas to launch and then invade Israel from Gaza. This will place Israel in the one place she really prefers to avoid, a multi-front terror war stretching the IDF thin until numbers of reserves can be called up and assembled. Another problem with Gaza, as with most Palestinian Arabs, is that for the past twenty-plus years their children have been raised and suckled on hatred of Israel and Jews, they equate the two often. These youths spend their summers at summer boot camp where they are trained to ready for that final war which will destroy the Zionist entity. These youths are raised to believe that there is no greater honor than to die while murdering Jews and that should such ever occur to them, this is the fastest, most direct path to an eternity in a heavenly environment with green grass, trees, waterfalls, rivers, and they also get seventy-two perpetual virgins who are absolute virgins every time they have sex. Their life there will be filled with sensual earthly delights and a never-ending flow of wine which, while making one very joyous and in good spirits, this wine cannot make one drunk nor cause hangovers. This is simply the icing on the cake as just murdering Israelis (assumed to be Jews) is something which they have been taught brings great pleasure to them and great honor to their family and tribe. They are versed in the Quranic edicts which spell out all the ways that the Jews are set to try and destroy the Arab world through conquest which started with their invasion (arrival actually for a century before 1948) from May of 1948 and how the Arabs were all living peaceably and were thrown from their homes and properties were stolen and that each of the children have their family lands simply waiting for them to return and Allah will make this happen. They are taught that the Jews are almost as demonic as the entities they worship and how they are the accursed of Allah. So, basically, the children in Gaza have been taught how Jews cause all the wars, steal everyone’s wealth and stole these children’s rightful homeland of Palestine (which is interesting as Arabic has no letter P so they call it Falestine) in 1948 and then started a war of conquest in 1967 and again in 1973 referring to the Six Day War and Yom Kippur War respectively. The reality is slightly different as the Arab forces initiated both conflicts as soon as Egypt closed the Strait of Tiran to Israeli ships thus blockading the Israeli port of Eilat.

 

Additionally, many of their parents were also raised on this intensive diet of hate for Israel, Jews and everything they believe. They honestly believe that their end-time savior cannot come until they have fought and defeated the Jews, not Israel but the Jew. This is why originally the Hamas charter called not just for the conquest of Israel but the slaughter of every Jew on the planet. Hezballah Chief Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah: “If Jews all gather in Israel, it will save us the trouble of going after them worldwide.” (NY Times, May 23, 2004, p. 15, section 2, column 1.) That does not sound like anybody Israel could meet halfway, and Nasrallah is probably somewhat less fanatical than Hamas’s new leader, Yahya Sinwar, their former head of their military wing, as if there actually is any difference but the Europeans find having a military wing and a political wing allows them to claim that the political wing is actually separate and desirous of peace and eschews violence. The reality in Gaza is that much of the population is enthralled with Hamas and/or Islamic Jihad and the vast majority of those under twenty-five are unemployed and so desperate to find work or some meaning of self-worth that they are willing to risk life and limb to kill Jews for the rewards they will receive. Hamas has allowed the living and work considerations to fall by the wayside which only increases their ranks as they all know in their heart that their deprivation is all on Israel and their leadership is faultless.

 

Of course, nothing could be further from the truth. There is only one means of ending the riotous border events which harm the Israelis residing in that region, and that is to remove Hamas and Islamic Jihad. Israel knows who their officers are at the top and central command. Israel knows their officers and enlisted men and knows which women are assisting their manufacturing positions, often at a direct threat to their lives. The main problem is what to do with a vast number of brainwashed individuals believing virtually anything they are instructed as they have total faith in their Hamas and Islamic Jihad groups. The only means of assuring that all the terrorist operatives have been removed from Gaza would be to depopulate Gaza and then repurpose the assets such that they are used productively, that there is plentiful clean water, 24/7 electricity, plenty of natural gas, working sewage treatment facilities, probably a desalination plant and a total environmental clean-up making the place inhabitable once more. As for allowing Arabs to return to Gaza, this would be something which has to be performed on a one-at-a-time system where everything is checked and double checked only allowing those who do not have blood on their hands. Israel would be required to take over the school system and begin to teach the children in the means which allow them to find gainful employment. The Arabs permitted to return would still be monitored closely by the IDF ensuring that they do not revert to their former terrorist ways. Needless to point out that the leadership of both Hamas and Islamic Jihad as well as some of their people who were amongst the true believers will require not being permitted to return. Anyone permitted to remain in Gaza caught performing or attempting any terrorist acts would be removed from Gaza and sent out into the world after serving their sentence, and would not be permitted to reenter any part of Israel thereafter.

 

But should Hamas or Islamic Jihad force another confrontation, this time we need to make very sure that it will not be required to do so again in a few months or even years. The next Gaza conflict should be the final Gaza conflict even if Israel need act upon the promise given to Arik Sharon by George W. Bush and Condoleezza Rice that should things go wrong from the Gaza withdrawal, Israel retained the right to retake Gaza and place it under their own military rule until everything is worked out. The problem is that Israel does not desire the problems which Gaza would present of which terrorism is in the top ten but not the top five. These five imperatives should Israel retake Gaza would be the lack of utilities, lack of adequate water, malfunctioning or useless sewage treatment and a general improvement such that the Gazans can lead normal lives and Israelis in the Gaza region will be safe from exploding balloons, rockets launched at them, sniper fire and all the other threats posed by Hamas and Islamic Jihad. Gaza requires being taken in its entirety and for the final time incorporated into Israel. The time for Israel to take control of the regions promised her under International Law and for those Arabs who cannot stand to allow Israeli (Jewish) rule, they can be invited to depart and never darken the Israeli doorstop ever again. There will be those who decide to return to their terrorist past and they will face deportation where they are to be banned from ever returning. It is time that Israel simply take the world to task for their broken promises and force the world to live up to their obligations and promises. The Arabs will scream and protest calling for the United Nations to sanction Israel or even throw Israel from the United Nations. Whatever the price for achieving peace and having the world live up to their promises which they have ignored and refused for so long, it will be worth paying that price as long as it is only required that Israel pay that price but once. The time for a diplomatic solution has very sorely passed and now Israel need act before her enemies decide that perhaps now is the time to test the defensive systems of the IDF such as the Arrow Systems and David’s Sling.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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July 11, 2019

Iran Does Not Want War with America; Really?

 

Well, actually, Iran does not want war with America…….now. Iran does desire an excuse to have a war which includes the fleets off of their shores, but they have a deeper desire which allows for this as simply a necessity. Their current desire is to fight America in their region while using such a conflict in order to instigate a war with Israel. Iran intends to replace the United States and any other contenders for the hegemonic power in the world. Iranian leadership actually sees one main obstacle to their initial steps in their hope to eventually be a world power and leader of the allied world. Please do not believe that only the United States and other powers are able to forge coalitions, Iran also seeks to form a coalition which will grant them hegemony over the Middle East and control of the oil within. Iran also seeks to gain control over the Islamic holy cities, Mecca and Medina, currently under Saudi control. Iran desires to take the Saudi, Kuwaiti and Gulf States oil fields as well as taking the region where Saudi Arabia borders on the Red Sea giving them control over Mecca and Medina. Their reasoning behind this place is plainly obvious, they would have control of approximately one-third of the world’s oil supplies, take over being the protector of the holy cities of Mecca and Medina and remove the claim to power held by the Saudi Royal Family, who claim to be the protectors of the holy cities, Mecca and Medina. But the true Iranian desire is to completely destroy Israel and being able to claim they restored the rule of Allah in Jerusalem (al Quds). This is one of the two main reasons for the Iranian involvement in Syria backing Bashar al-Assad. The other reason is to gain and retain control over Damascus, the third actual city in the Islamic hierarchy of metropolitan areas which have holiness. For the Iranians and all other Shiite Muslims, the city of Qom is also amongst the holiest places on Earth. Qom is the location where the Twelfth Imam is supposed to return after, shall we say, a rather lengthy absence from the scene. This Imam disappeared and went into hiding towards the end of the initial violence between Sunni Islam and the new offshoot, Shia Islam. The rumor being that he hid deep in a well and is to return and lead Shiite Islam to their rightful world domination. This well is in Qom, Iran.

 

Most of the Western Media and almost all of the heavily anti-Israel world media are touting Iran as the coming savior which will finally eradicate that Zionist monstrosity at the east end of the Mediterranean Sea, Israel. All one need do is listen to almost any of the regularly held Friday afternoon hate-fests, an even very reminiscent of the 1984 Two Minutes of Hate, just more drawn out. These demonstrations are often accompanied with the burning of Israeli and American flags as well as the burnings of Bibi Netanyahu and Donald Trump in effigy. These are often accompanied by chants of, “Death to Israel,” and, “Death to America.” These demonstrations are often attended by numerous high-ranking Iranian politicians, including those the West labels as moderate, and even the Supreme Leader who has been known to lead these chants of hate and spite towards the developed world. Iranian leaders often make allusions to their former glory years as Persia while continuing to persecute those people who continue to follow the ancient religious practices of the Zoroastrianism. Their relating their greatness to ancient Persia while continuing to imprint the Islamic conqueror’s Islamic faith is very much part of their having fully adopted this conquering faith of Islam. Iran not only has accepted Islam as the replacement for the ancient Persian faiths but have adopted the less followed Islamic cult of Shia Islam.

 

The first idea for supremacism under Shia Islam is the conquest of the Islamic world. The Iranian Mullahs view the destruction of Israel and the eradication of the Jewish faith as their ticket to Islamic prevalence. They believe that if they can become the party of Islam which destroys Israel that the remaining Muslims in the world will suddenly awaken to the supremacy of Shia Islam. It is their belief that they are the one, and definitely not Saudi Arabia, whose leaders they label as apostates, or Egypt which they see as far too nationalistic. Whenever others claim that Iran is also following a supremacist conquest of the Middle East, the fig leaf applied to their nurturing conquest being that of the purification of Islam. Iran sees itself as the Martin Luther of Islam and leading the revolution against the tired and former glories of Sunni Islamic conquest and replacing them with the more energetic and purist Shiite Islam and then from replacing Saudi Arabia and Egypt they see an easy path claiming their supremacy throughout the Middle East and Northern Africa. Their intent then with the destruction of Israel is on a par with their desires to replace Egypt and Saudi Arabia as the nation at the fore of Islam, Islamic thought, Islamic belief and Islamic teachings. Because they are the ones who have been chosen to lead Islam and the future world, their initial test is to destroy Israel, take the Saudi Oil Fields, replacing the Saudi Royal family as the guardians of the two sacred cities and taking over Egypt and converting these Muslims to Shiite Islam from which the rest of the Islamic world will no doubt see the light. With such conquests under their belts, they believe the entirety of the remaining Islamic followers will fall behind their leadership and place them as the true Islamic leaders leaving behind the centuries under Sunni Islam and joining its main rival. This would then be followed by a rewriting of the various Islamic historical thought with supremacist Sunni ideology.

 

Currently, the leaders of Iran view Israel as one of the protectors of Sunni Islam as they view Israel as allied with and protecting Saudi Arabia and the plethora of other peoples and forces that the Iranians are currently engaged. The Mullahs often blame Israel for their setbacks in replacing Sunni Islam with Shia Islam. The disagreement and war between Sunni and Shia Islam are almost as old as the Islamic faith. Their split, as many such dichotomies are, is over who was the rightful heir to Muhammad with each side choosing a different individual and their family lineage on to the current separate leaderships across the Muslim world. Iran also intends to not only impose their version of a perfect form of Islam traceable all the way back to Muhammad, but to replace all religious belief in the world with Shiite Islam providing those they conquer the choice of Islam or a very hurried trip to the world beyond life. These efforts by Iran currently spread across Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States, Syria, Lebanon and beyond, reaching far beyond the constraints of the Islamic world. Iran has implemented a structure of military control whereby they can use their IRGC military assets to foment terror across the globe and spreading their influence across Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and beyond to the Tri-Border Region in South America with the hopes and visions to spread Shiite Islam further. It is the Iranian intent to use this region as their jumping-off point from which to conquer the Americas striking at the United States through its southern borders. Iran and their Hezballah proxy have already been caught attempting to slip terror forces into the United States across her southern borders.

 

Tri-Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

Tri-Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994 bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

 

One of the major fronts developing in the Middle East involves Iran and the United States. Thus far, Iran has been the one initiating a conflict almost as if they relish a chance to prove their superiority over the United States who they largely blame along with the British for the existence of Israel. They blame the British for allowing Israel in the first place and the United States presumably for allying with Israel from her inception. Beyond recognition of the Jewish States, American aid and support did not start until the 1970’s. But what is one more lie amongst the myriad of lies piled up by the forces of the world against the Jewish State. Review the logs of the United Nations and her various agencies and one will find Israel as the primary target by the remainder of the world and the Iranian fervor and fire used when referring to the country of Israel. Iran is the primary supporter for Hamas, Hezballah, Bashir al-Assad, Islamic Jihad and numerous other forces which are allied together for the destruction of Israel. Iran does not desire there be a resolution and instead desires to replace continued warfare across the Middle East as conflict and confusion are two of the best weapons used by Iran and her forces with confusion as their favorite weapon behind which there is always their blanket of misinformation placing all blame upon their enemies and espousing their victim status as the offended party only there to defend their good and peaceful name and version of Islam, Shia Islam. Iran couches their claims within the various quotes from within the Quran which denounces the Jews and their Sunni enemies while claiming that Iran is forming the new Caliphate, once Iran manages to convert the bulk of Islam to their way of thinking.

 

Iran believes they can win any conflict with the United States in the Middle East theaters of operation. They also believe that Israel is unable to stand on her own were the United States forced to flee the region after realizing the foremost capacities of the Iranian forces and their masterful superiority. Funny how delusions of greatness almost inevitably lead to one’s downfall. Such is particularly valid when selling the United States short just as has been proven by scoffing at the abilities of Israel. Iran has intentionally placed themselves on the wrong side of both of these fronts and has of late been attempting to force a confrontation in the region’s waters with the American fleets. Their method has been to disable ships passing through the Straits of Hormuz while not sinking them, yet. Despite their intent to simply give the United States a bloody nose and sending them whimpering from the Middle East, their bluster and methods are more likely to lead to a direct and immediate confrontation with America. The main reason such has yet to begin is a credit to the patience of America and not to any careful planning by Iran.

 

Contrary to Iranian claims and the anti-Trump politics in America that it is the United States seeking a confrontation, it has been the patience and desire to avoid all-out war by President Trump which have thus far avoided such a conflict. When Iran pressed a confrontation shooting down an American drone presumably, and likely, in international airspace, it was President Trump who made the final decision to recall the American strike. Rumors have circulated of a difference of opinion over responding militarily and with strength put forward by John Bolton and Trump’s hopes to force negotiations without forcing direct confrontation being at the forefront of United States Iranian policies. President Trump seeks to use sanctions and other pressures to force Iran to the negotiation table that is becoming the primary American policy which we fear Iran will interpret as weakness and inevitably leading to the conflict Trump desires to avoid. Iran will likely eventually attack either shipping through the Straits of Hormuz or upon the American fleets, specifically an aircraft carrier, the stated preferred target by Iran, which could very easily light off the violence which has a great potential for breaking out. This is the unfortunate but likely end result of this face-off over the Iranian nuclear program. Iran is currently backing out of all their presumed obligation in the Iran Nuclear Deal which Europe and Iran remain signatories through the United Nations which is threatening to provoke conflict. Iran recently announced their intent to return to uranium enrichment to twenty-percent which is the greatest threat. Such enrichment in quantity can only be for a singular purpose, the manufacture of nuclear weapons. As Iran most certainly already posses the technology to produce such weapons and that they probably already possess a number of nuclear weapons which should worry the world and not the fact that President Trump pulled out of an agreement which would have most certainly led to a nuclear armed Iran with as many weapons as they are able to produce. Further, the Iranian leaders, both political and military, though there is little difference between the two, in which they claimed that they would sacrifice their entire nation if they are able to take Israel and the United States down with themselves. This is the same frightening position taken by Japan in the Pacific theater which led to the devastating battles during World War II. Iran has even invited the onset of World War III if that is what is required to end their perceived American and Israeli hegemony in the world.

 

It is the supremacist view of the Iranian Mullahs which will force any confrontation and eventually President Trump will run out of patience which will force a response to some future Iranian provocation. When such eventuality forces the confrontation, we will witness the Iranians complaining that it was the United States which forced this confrontation because they refused to comply with Iranian demands. This has been the Mullahs playbook from the onset of this situation and in other cases of the past such as their violent putting down of the Green Revolution in 2009. They blame their adversaries for starting the violence when mostly they were unarmed, as in the Green Revolution which was largely peaceful protests which were set upon by IRGC forces and Basenji militias. The same will come whenever the Iranians push the envelope too far and the United States responds. The claim will be that Iran was simply safeguarding their own waters and the United States violations of Iranian waters or airspace and not the Iranian assaults which will have set off the conflict. One needs to keep in mind that Iran claims that all of the Straits of Hormuz as their waterway which set off the last burst of conflict between the United States and Iran. This time promises to be of little difference. IRGC naval commanders have already claimed that the United States has parked their carrier fleets in Iranian waters. Such would be preposterous if it were not so serious. The American fleets are nowhere near the Iranian shores but Iran is claiming that the United States has no right to have fleets anywhere in the Persian Gulf or Arabian Sea as these are all part of Iranian sovereignty. Iran will continue to press and prick at the United States until a conflict is the only means of ending the stalemate. This will be the point that Iran will order their forces around Israel to begin what they claim will be the destruction of Israel within hours. This will entail rockets and other military assaults from Hezballah in Lebanon, the IRGC in Syria and Hamas with Islamic Jihad from Gaza very probably aided with ballistic missiles fired from Iran and potentially Iraq upon Israel most likely targeting Tel Aviv primarily. When Israel responds, Iran will blame Israel for starting any further conflict as the proper response in their minds would be for Israel to surrender to the presumed superior Islamic forces and come begging and whimpering for their Islamic betters to be kind and allow them to just enjoy their protections. Iran has already made numerous jabs at Israel using rockets, drones and tunneling under the border to which Israel has responded with care not to force the situation beyond each insult. When Israel responds to these aggressions, the Iranian leaders immediately claim that Israel is pushing for a war with Iran despite the fact that Israel has not fired a single weapon into Iranian lands. It is Iran that has placed forces in Syria, armed and trained Hezballah in Lebanon and is currently doing all they can to further arm Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza. Israel has remained within her borders even when striking back at the Iranian missile launchers and artillery in Syria firing their missiles from aircraft still in Israeli airspace. But Iran will not be satisfied until they have provoked a war with Israel and presumably the United States. Our hope is that the Iranian people can be saved from these militaristic, supremacist belligerents. This might also prove to be the best step for saving the world from a future heavily armed nuclear Iran choosing the when and where they begin their intentioned war for the proper conquest of the world by Shia Islam of which they are its ruling elites and proper world rulers if the rest of us only knew what was best for us.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

June 19, 2019

The Threat for a Nuclear War

Filed under: Israel — qwertster @ 1:58 AM
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You mention that there is the possibility that the next large conflict could include nuclear weapons and most people just give a half-hearted chuckle and walk away leaving you standing wondering if it was what you said. Well, it was what you said and nobody wants to even consider such a terrible set of events. Those who do engage in such a conversation point out that the efforts for nonproliferation will prevent any such unwanted eventualities. They refuse the argument that every weapon mankind has ever invented were used in the next big war or in the war currently raging. Gunpowder, catapults, trebuchets, ballistae, crossbows, long bows, mines, rockets, nerve gas, other chemical agents, tear gas, aircraft and virtually every other form of weapon has been used. Currently in Israel, Hamas has taken to using such innocent items as kites and helium balloons to carry incendiary devices which are burning fields, forests, wilderness preserves, towns and anything else they land near. They have also attached exploding toys and brightly packaged candies laced with poison. Mentioning that such is simply another example of weaponizing everything and when it comes to nuclear bombs, well, they are already weaponized. The nonproliferation argument also runs into difficulty as if were not for proliferation of nuclear weapons, only the United States and Russia with perhaps china would have nuclear weapons. But many other nations have developed and stockpiled nuclear weapons and others are on the verge and thus far only South Africa has gone from being a nuclear power to destroying their arsenal and becoming a nonnuclear nation with no nuclear weapons program that is known.

 

So, why our concern over nuclear weapons and their use? Well, the nations involved directly in the fighting in World War II were all given a small introduction to the horrors which nuclear weapons cause with the bombings of Hiroshima (image below) and Nagasaki. The devastation was probably no worse than the firebombing of Dresden, Tokyo and other cities. The human toll was not completely understood until much later as the side effects from high doses of radiation became evident over time. The world even agreed at the United Nations to work to prevent such weapons from ever being used again. The record of the United Nations in often causing the exact actions which they were initially attempting to prevent. UNIFIL monitoring Lebanon presumably to prevent Hezballah from rearming the border with Israel is a perfect example. Currently, Hezballah is estimated to have over one-hundred-thousand rockets and guided missiles ready to be used against Israel. Most of these are located south of the Litany River, the region that UNIFIL was to keep weapon free, and we have not even gone into the tunnel and bunker systems Hezballah has built crisscrossing the entire region. So, we would not put much faith in the United Nations preventing proliferation and, even after that, preventing a nuclear exchange leading into a cascade of unpleasant consequences. This brings us back to the fact that every weapon and weapon system ever devised by man became one of the crucial weapons in a later conflict, and usually in a conflict which snowballed into a far larger conflagration than the start ever envisioned.

 

Hiroshima Before and After Atomic Bomb

Hiroshima Before and After Atomic Bomb

 

We have pointed out that Iran more than likely already has a stock of nuclear weapons and the ballistic missiles (chart below) with which to deliver them virtually anywhere on earth. Add on North Korea and there are two nations who could be prime candidates for initiating such a conflict. This has been further evidenced in the frightening commentary made by Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani as part of his Quds Day Speech of Friday, December 14, 2001.


If one day, the Islamic world is also equipped with weapons like those that Israel possesses now, then the imperialists’ strategy will reach a standstill because the use of even one nuclear bomb inside Israel will destroy everything. However, it will only harm the Islamic world. It is not irrational to contemplate such an eventuality. Of course, you can see that the Americans have kept their eyes peeled and they are carefully looking for even the slightest hint that technological advances are being made by an independent Islamic country. If an independent Islamic country is thinking about acquiring other kinds of weaponry, then they will do their utmost to prevent it from acquiring them. Well, that is something that almost the entire world is discussing right now.

 

This is one of the overlooked items when Rafsanjani is touted as a moderate Iranian leader who is a man of peaceful intentions. Sooner or later, we hope sooner, the media and political climate of the developed Western World will start to understand the meaning of Taqiya and realize that, all too often, some of these leaders are simply not telling them the truth. This also likely applies to the Iranian claim not to possess any nuclear weapons.

 

 

Iranian Rocket Types and Varieties of Ranges

Iranian Rocket Types and Varieties of Ranges

 

There are already two nuclear powers which face one another across the thin armistice line separating them in the Kashmir region. These are India and Pakistan and these two have had a very violent history starting from the outset when Pakistan was separated from India and tens of millions of people desired or found it necessary to relocate in order to be in a place where they were assured of survival. During the dual exodus, numerous instances of violence were exchanged by the two groups over the weeks it took for the exchange to be completed. India and Pakistan have had several conflicts and almost had a war break out within the past few years. Both nations are known to have nuclear weapons and one can only wonder how these will be kept from being utilized in some future conflict between these two adversaries. Add in the probable existence of nuclear warheads in Iranian hands and their enmity towards Israel as well as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the United States and any other nation not ruled by Shia Islam. These are all instances where such weapons could be used and should Iran simply fire missiles towards Israel, the Israelis would have very little time to decide, first, if they could with total assuredness intercept all the missiles (possible but unlikely depending on the numbers), secondly, whether the missiles were topped with WMDs (whether nuclear, chemical or biological is irrelevant) and finally, would Israel respond in kind and use nuclear weapons in their response to such an attack. The next question would be whether or not Israel has the ability to destroy her own ballistic missiles should the Iranian attack not contain any WMD materials. The United States would also face a difficult decision should Iran utilize WMD’s, specifically nuclear weapons, against Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States or anybody else who the United States is obligated to defend by treaty or other arrangement. In all honesty, in Israel we not only prefer not to have the United States use any of her military in the defense of Israel, as we wish to depend as totally on our own abilities and not risk other nation’s people including service members.

 

The next argument often heard in such conversations is that the human race has moved beyond using weapons which cause such horrific results and cause such damage. How people can still hold on to such a concept after Saddam Hussein using chemical weapons on his own Kurdish citizens, Bashir al-Assad using chemical weapons and barrel bombs on areas known to have a large concentration of civilians and finally the horror show that was the Islamic State should have convinced people that barbarism is still with us. We could add in Rwanda, Ethiopia under Idi Amin, South Africa and numerous other instances and even prolonged inhumanity which were permitted in this presumably modern world. The truth is that the human race has not moved past the tribal society outlook where anyone outside the ruling tribe is considered a non-entity, a non-person, something totally without worth or concern. Yes, Europe has finally started to figure things out and have become so passive that their societies are crumbling due to low population figures which are far below replacement rates. The United States and Canada would also be in this state if it was not for some subsectors of their populations still reproducing at far larger rates making up for the lower rates amongst much of the population. Israel is comfortably above the replacement rate for which we are very happy. The one item which has been seen to correlate with the lack of sufficient reproductive rates is the secular and anti-religion populations which have adopted the far left and ecologic view that the ‘earth is being murdered by people’ religion. These are the same people who also believe that the United Nations is doing a swell job of keeping the peace and firmly believe that large wars and the use of WMDs is in our past never to arise again. These are the people who suffer from a Pollyannaish outlook that no matter what distressing news they read or are told respond with something totally irresponsible such as, but it is such a nice day, isn’t it? They will do anything to change such a conversation as they refuse to admit that things could even become horrific.

 

Does anyone honestly believe that nowhere in the world there exists a potential leader who would use nuclear weapons? If so, why? We have witnessed chemical weapons, nerve gas, barrel bombs, suicide bombers, passenger aircraft filled with people used as building torpedoes, vehicles driven into crowds, terrorism of various varieties and attacks made on places of worship during services to maximize the carnage. How none of these register with so many people is amazing and frightening. These are often the people voting for governments who might actually have to face such difficulties, and the rest are hoping they choose well. With what we have witnessed and some of the bluster coming from often unelected rulers, it would appear that believing that there is little if any chance of a nuclear exchange or a one-sided use of nuclear weapons would appear foolish. There is no real difference between using a nuclear weapon and the use of other WMDs, especially biological agents which do not respect borders. For those shaking their heads at the use of biologic agents, do we have to remind the world of the anthrax attacks, many being faked but there were quite a number which proved to be real. What if instead of anthrax they had access to use a mutant form of plague combined with the flu such that it had a two week or months long incubation of certain viruses and no known treatment while being completely resistant to antibiotics as viruses often are. Such a biologic agent would spread far and wide before the initial victims ever showed symptoms which would be the initial stage of any sort of warning. There are numerous nations who still have very active biological warfare research facilities making what would probably be our worst nightmare were they to ever be unleashed upon the world. With some actually having and potentially intending to use such weapons, why would anybody believe such people would bat an eye at the use of nuclear weapons being used if they were in control of such weaponry. The probability that there will be a nuclear exchange somewhere on earth within the next decade is, in our estimation, probably between one in ten to almost even odds.

 

The real question will be whether or not the nation initially attacked or any of their allies have such weapons and will use them in a response. Were one nation to utilize nuclear weapons against an enemy, it is possible that the victim would decide to take the strike and hope for the best responding with normal ordinance and not resort to using nuclear weapons in their actions. The odds of such is rather low as there are bound to be some anger issues involved in the decision-making process and the ability to resist going nuclear would be a very difficult idea to swallow. This is where the problem comes into play. Let us say that there is some overly aggressive nation’s leader who drank way too many espresso coffees and decided to launch three or four nuclear tipped missiles at an enemy nations fifteen-hundred miles distant. The struck nation returns the favor using ten to twelve of their nuclear weapons. The initiating country, in the fog of events and war, claims that the nation they initiated the attack upon had done something which caused the attack such as attempted an assassination and they make this plea to their allies who now join in a larger nuclear attack of the initial victim. The newly attacked nation knows nothing of any attempted assassination and only knows that they have been struck by missiles and several WMDs from now four or five nations, so they call on their allies, that is how these things work, right? By the time everything is straightened out, half the world is missing a large number of its citizens and their infrastructure is mostly destroyed. This is not an absurd scenario any more than some terrorist in the Balkans shooting some relatively unimportant but favored Archduke and his wife could launch the main powers of the day to wage a war to end all wars. As has been stated often enough, wars have been initiated by lesser acts. The world will have a war where one of the main weapons used fairly early in the conflict will be nuclear weapons, and most likely thermonuclear devices which can destroy even most modern metropolises. It is entirely possible that Iran might test Hashemi-Rafsanjani’s that, “the use of even one nuclear bomb inside Israel will destroy everything.” Israel may only be the size of New Jersey or half the size of Estonia, but that is still beyond the area of devastation which nuclear weapons are theoretically capable of causing immediate destruction. Granted, were such a weapon dropped centrally on the Tel Aviv metropolitan region, that would potentially murder close to half the Israeli population, but the nation would likely still be viable with most of the regular military remaining intact. How Israel would respond would be completely dependent upon who would be the Prime Minister and the members of the Knesset. The bravado that such an attack upon Israel would immediately result in the decimation of Iran is likely just that, bravado for the consumption and responses of the media and people.

 

The other item is that Israel would not have any real desire to cause such upon the people of Iran who actually have little say in who rules their nation and choosing those entrusted with such decisions. Yes, we realize that Iran holds elections for their legislature and President. We also know that only candidates approved by the Guardian Council are permitted to be on the ballot and they do not have anything such as a write-in candidate. Whomever the Guardian Council decides is eligible to run for the parliament and for President are permitted to be on the ballot and all the rest, well, not so much. There are many who believe, including a sizable amount of the citizenry of Iran, that the nation utilizes the Joseph Stalin philosophy for vote tabulating in that it is not so much who votes that counts as who counts the votes that matters. This was evidenced in 2009 with the people contesting the reelection of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the Green uprising. We also were made aware and realized exactly how brutal the ruling elite in Iran could be with how they handled the protests and the levels of violence dealt to the demonstrators. This was a peek inside the Iranian leadership and their concept that they are the law and operate above the law. They also provided proving evidence of their general lack of concern for human life. This is a combination which could prove to be the exact dangerous groups with power to initiate a war with nuclear tipped ballistic missiles, with the remaining question merely being against whom.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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