Beyond the Cusp

May 30, 2019

Two Truths Most Jews Deny

 

There really are two truths which the majority of Jews will deny, but first a truth that is well known by a large number of Jews, most of which already live here in Israel. The Jews who most deny this truth, which we will soon reveal, are our American Jews who believe that they have found their promised lands and these are in America. They live in predominantly Jewish neighborhoods where everybody is comfortably living the upper-middle-class life or nicer and all appears right with their worlds. The truth they refuse to admit is that they face a larger chance of being killed in a criminal act, including terrorism, in the United States than they would be in Israel. First, everyone’s actions make people more or less safe. If you have your own security details for round the clock protection, then you have a level of safety which would never be accepted in any study. But for those of us in the everyday world know, to increase your safety, avoid those areas where crime is known to be predominant. This is as true in Israel as it is in the United States. What is interesting, when specialists make studies on both societies, Israel and America, people in Israel are more safe than people in the United States. We are afraid this is true but it was one of the facts which convinced one of us to come to Israel when the one inviting was pointing out the advantages of life in Israel.

 

The first reality which Jews around the world, including within Israel, refuse to admit oh so frequently is that it is time for Jews to make Aliyah, period. The reasons are quite obvious as you read or hear the nightly news. In America there are lunatics whose anti-Semitic inner rage sent them seeking a Synagogue as their target for murdering Jews. In the Tree of Life Synagogue located in Squirrel Hill just outside Pittsburgh and near the weekend breakfast restaurants where numerous students from Carnegie-Mellon University and University of Pittsburgh have leisurely breakfasts or brunches, Robert Gregory Bowers entered during Shabbat Services on an otherwise peaceful Saturday morning and proceeded to shoot everyone he could find and when all was finished, eleven people were killed and six innocents were injured as he searched two levels (floors) of the synagogue. But this attack was not sufficient of a wake-up call telling the Jews that there were madmen whose politics were inconsequential as what matters is they were so driven to murder Jews that their own safety did not matter, this miscreant just wanted to kill Jews and chose to do so while they were at prayers.

 

Tree of Life Synagogue in Squirrel Hill Pennsylvania

Tree of Life Synagogue in Squirrel Hill Pennsylvania

 

Then, just to reinforce the message, exactly six months after the Tree of Life Synagogue in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, there was another Synagogue shooting in the Chabad Synagogue in Poway, California, just north of San Diego. In this heinous crime, one woman was killed as she protected the Rabbi with her body, and three people were injured including a child and the Rabbi who lost two fingers yet finished the service before allowing them to take him to the hospital. The culprit this time was John Earnest. His victims were 60-year-old Lori Kaye who was murdered and 34-year-old man named Almog Peretz and his niece, an 8-year-old girl named Noya Dahan, who were injured in the attack as was Rabbi Yisroel Goldstein who lost one finger and another was reattached. The murdered victim, Lori Kaye, was a long-time volunteer who had great respect for Rabbi Yisroel Goldstein for whom she took a bullet meant for him.

 

Chabad of Poway Synagogue

Chabad of Poway Synagogue

 

Despite these two events so close together along with all of the news about Jews being victimized across Europe and even within the Haredi neighborhoods in the New York City metropolitan area, American Jews remain calm believing they are very safe to completely safe and they need not worry about these two incidents as they are irregularities which if digested and applied to their lives should raise their discomfort. Weekly there are stories about Jews being harassed in their public schools even in elementary schools. There are anti-Semitic acts which occur regularly across the United States with such crimes spanning the gauntlet from graffiti to anti-Semitic tropes and swastikas even to firebombs and bullets fired at Jewish Houses of Prayer. Almost every synagogue in America hires or has city provided armed guards for the High Holidays and often also for Bar Mitzvahs and Wedding Ceremonies with some even requiring such protection for their weekly Shabbat prayers services. Jewish schools and pre-schools have also felt the anti-Semitism including all of the above plus simple vandalism. Still, American Jews feel safe and accepted within their society. We have thought about this phenomenon and have reached some conclusions which may explain this apparent dichotomy.

 

The vast majority of Jews live, work, worship and find recreation living largely in neighborhoods where the income level is above average. Almost all their daily contacts are professionals who largely do not harbor anti-Semitic feelings and those who do keep such hidden for fear of losing their employment. Their exercise routines often consist of running within their neighborhood or working out at a gym, often a pricey sports club. They shop at stores in their neighborhood, get their foods from kosher stores and butcher shops and often shop at the boutique stores and name brand companies. They seldom spend time in neighborhoods where the crime is higher than average nor do they frequent places where alt-right groups frequent. Their interaction with people who openly hold anti-Semitic positions are extremely rare and, as stated above, if they do meet such a person, that person would conceal their resentment and hatred which fuels their anti-Semitism. This social isolation leads them to the conclusion that they are perfectly safe and that anti-Semitism is not a problem in the United States. Even the few Jews who do live in what might be defined as a far more coarse neighborhoods where ethnic and religious hatreds are expressed regularly, if not frequently, and seldom relate such to any friends they may have at Synagogue or through other contacts as expressing such things will lead to one being shunned as one who is portrayed as being too negative. Nobody desires to be excluded from their surroundings, thus even the Jews who see these acts against Jews and have a more intimate interaction with such feelings keep their stories close to the chest and merely share them with a small group of conservatives who are often Zionists as well thus any mention of making Aliyah is met with encouragement. Eventually, things will reach a point where ignoring the anti-Semitism which is spreading into even the halls of Congress as something which is real and need be faced and decisions made. The most logical response is not to buy more expensive security, it is to move to Israel where your security, along with every other Israeli, is the first order of the police and IDF. One could not find any better security than this.

 

Many American Jews likely are not even concerned about the rampant anti-Semitism spreading across Europe. Part of the reason why is because to admit this would upset the apple cart upon which their lives are balanced. Further, they enjoy taking trips to Europe and would be put out if their favorite European vacation region became unavailable. As most European vacation areas are guarded with better than average security and police presence, their vacations are fairly safe until the unthinkable happens. The European Jews are beginning to catch on to the rising rate of the problem and many have already started arriving here in Israel. Each year the number of European Jews making Aliyah increases bit by bit. This is slowly draining the Jewish population of Europe away which will sooner or later result in a flood as the last ones to successfully escape Europe make their way to the welcoming Israeli shores. But even across Europe, the majority of Jews are still in denial about the growing problem and even the source. Ask many European Jews and virtually all American Jews from whence does the growing anti-Semitism arise and they will claim from right wing Nazi-like individuals and they will deny that there is another source. They will identify that Islam and the influx of “refugees” has worsened the problem and that there is a massive wave of anti-Semitism roiling on the far left. Their refusal to accept these realities is basically because to do so would upset their entire worldview. One can only hope and pray that these disillusioned Jews awaken and smell the coffee before it becomes too late. The German Jews who had largely assimilated also kept telling themselves that, “It cannot happen here. Germany is the most advanced, cultured, educated and socially advanced nation on earth. They would not mean us; they mean those other Jews.” If you are one thinking in this manner, bad news, you are so very wrong and we can only pray for your awakening to come before it becomes too late.

 

The other disbelief is held by mostly Israeli Jews including, unfortunately, Prime Minister Netanyahu and many in the Knesset. This is a two-part fallacy which starts with the United States will always be our friend and ally just like they have always been and continues, anyway, the Arabs of the Sunni states are becoming friendly and accepting our existence as the Jewish State. As far as the United States always having been Israel’s friend, other than President Truman voting to accept the Israeli declaration of independence of May 15, 1948, the United States immediately thereafter placed an arms embargo on the entire Middle East, which, as the Arabs were being provided for by the Soviet Union, this meant any potential for providing arms to the nascent state of Israel was made impossible. We cover the entirety of this subject in our articles “America can be a Fickle Friend,” “Time for Israel to Help Trump and America,” as well as in “The United States Will Distance From Israel.” With this out of the way, let us address the so-called new Arab friendship effort. For us, this new friendly warmth coming from the Sunni Arab world such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and the Gulf Emirates plus Kuwait is, at best, disingenuous. One might say that they have an ulterior motive which has nothing to do with our being accepted finally as their neighbor despite our being a Jewish entity. This is not the puppy love as it is being treated in much of Israel, especially by the political elite. This is good old solid we are afraid of the after-school bully threatening us in the playgrounds better known as the Persian Gulf, the Gulf of Oman, the Arabian Sea and even into the Red Sea. This bully which has the Arabs in the regions around Israel is the Persian Shiites of Iran who have been testing missiles with significant ranges and quite likely working on and building nuclear warheads to fit atop those missiles. This is what is driving these Sunni Arab neighbors of Israel closer to the Jewish State, survival, not acceptance.

 

If anyone for even a single moment believes that the Wahabis strain of Islam has accepted the Jewish State or that Jordan which has amongst the highest levels of anti-Semitism in the world or that Egypt was softening towards Israel, they have another think coming. Egypt has a number of reasons to be cuddling up to Israel of which Iran is but one. Egypt also has a serious problem with terrorists setting up camps within the Sinai Peninsula in the mountainous regions which are difficult to patrol. Egypt needs Israel to assist them in preventing Hamas from interacting and providing the provisions of war and terror into the Sinai Peninsula as well as on occasion allowing Israel to attack some of these groups when they attack Israel or assist Hamas or Islamic Jihad. Egypt also benefits from Israeli intelligence which has often tipped the Egyptian military with timely information about terrorist plots against Egypt. Meanwhile, Jordan is cautiously approaching Israel though they continue to pretend that whatever new charge against the Jews or restriction which the Jordanian Waqf can bring preventing Jews from ascending to the Temple Mount or other restrictions for Jewish use of the Temple Mount, visiting the Jewish holy sights in Hevron and other areas without difficulties is simply enforcing the status quo. The problem is that the status quo is anything but static. We have discussed this status quo situation in our articles “Temple Mount Status-Quo Not so Static Though.” “Temple Mount Is Not and Never Has Been at Status-Quo,” “Temple Mount Status-Quo Must Go” and “History of Jerusalem and Status Quo Incompatible.” Right now, the King of Jordan is worried about retaining his crown and position as the Arabs in Jordan are restless. He also fears Iran and even more so with them perched in Syria along his northern border.

 

But Saudi Arabia is the biggest of the fish caught in this conundrum. Saudi Arabia is fully aware that Iran is desirous of their oil fields which are along the Saudi northeastern border which is close to Iran. They also are aware that Iran would love to take over Mecca and Medina, the two holy cities of Islam dating back to the start and before the Arabian forces climbed out of the Arabian Peninsula intent on taking over all the lands they would be capable of conquering. Saudi Arabia is also the big fish in the Gulf States pool with some of the other Gulf states having deep pockets as their resources other than oil. Where the Saudi Royal Family has shown mixed signals but still tending towards a thaw in relations for expediency has made overtures with Israel. Still, with the Houthi Rebels along their southern border and the Iranian special units assisting and the Houthis launching a missile every so often, even to include some at Riyadh, the Saudi Arabian capital city, the Saudis have a great deal of Iran on their borders. This is probably why the majority of the communications originate with Saudi Arabia. The Saudis are also the ones who stand to lose the most should Iran begin to attack the Sunni states in the region in order to take over Islam simply by taking the Saudi oil fields along with the cities of Mecca and Medina then being able to claim that Iran is the protector of the two holy cities of Islam. It is the guardianship of Mecca and Medina upon which the Saudi Royal family rests their right to rule and be the foremost influence within Islam even to rival Egypt and Al-Azhar University, the most prestigious Islamic University where leading Imams are trained and sent all over the world to spearhead the spread of Islam. Iran faces an uphill battle to become the leader of the Islamic world as they practice a minor form of Islam consisting of about ten percent of all Muslims. Iran feels that if they can take the Saudi Oil Fields and the Two Holy Cities of Mecca and Medina, then they might be able to convert masses of Muslims to Shiite Islam and take over the Islamic world. For mounting a successful attack to capture those two targets, in order to simplify that attacks on Mecca and Medina, Iran would best be served by mounting the attack from the south and north simultaneously. The pincer from the south would originate in Yemen while the northern pincer would be required to originate in southern Jordan. This is another fear for the Jordanian Monarch.

 

Iran also holds the world hostage to two threats Iran posses to maritime traffic in the world. The one most well known are the Straights of Hormuz through which almost one third of the world oil supplies move. Additionally, through Yemen, Iran also has tactical control over the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait which controls the southern exit from the Red Sea. Closing this second waterway to shipping would paralyze Europe as it would effectively close the Suez Canal and would prevent all Israeli shipping from Eilat on to Asia. According to international law, cutting off Israeli shipping from exiting the Red Sea is a casus belli for war and is a direct attack on Israel. Such would also be the same for Egypt with the Suez Canal. So, a quick look around and the main countries facing Iranian aggressions are Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan and the Gulf States. This is just an introduction to the threats Iran poses currently to the world. It goes far beyond the chess match being played currently which could strike a point which ends up misinterpreted by either the United States or by Iran at which point the standoff could turn hot and cause a chain reaction which nobody needs. The one item that the world can believe was the threat by Iran that should they be attacked by anyone, then their first retaliation will not be against their attacker, not even if it is the United State (Great Satan) but rather Iran would immediately attack Israel (Little Satan). Why would Iran attack Israel first, simply, because after an attack on Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia or the American fleet, there probably would not be enough of Iran left to attack Israel plus Iran is convinced that nobody would attack Iran no matter what they might do when attacking Israel. Iran is currently assured that none of the European nations would attack Iran no matter what they did short of attacking Europe. Should the Iranians drop a nuclear warhead in the center of the American fleet sinking virtually every ship, the Europeans would possibly send wreaths to the United States and exclaim how they mourn with the Americans but due to treaty obligations under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), they were powerless to act, so sorry. The world is facing trouble and all that most of the world appears ready to do is surrender, throw up their arms, wail unmercifully and then blame Israel for the entire situation. Israel and Israelis and their politicians need to understand that the warm feelings they feel coming from the Sunni Arabs is driven by fear of the Shiite Arabs of Iran and once that problem becomes resolved, then back to the regularly scheduled antagonistic low-level warfare through sponsoring terrorists against Israel, Sunni terrorists such as the Palestinian Authority or Hamas in Gaza.

 

Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

 

One might say that these are the pressure points of the World, the points where even a minimal amount of pressure produces the maximum effect and currently both can have pressure applied by the Iranian regime. The current Iranian threat level is high with few specific regions where Iran has and is posing threats to the well being of the world. Currently there is a threat of war breaking out and should such a war break out, we are all but guaranteed that Israel will be one of the first targets to feel the Iranian threats with Islamic Jihad, Hamas and Hezballah all poised and ready to pounce upon the Jewish State. The only guarantee over the next Middle East conflict is, that no matter who else will be concerned, Israel will be one of the first targets struck by Iran through her proxy terror groups deployed where they can do the most harm armed with the weapons required to pose such threats. Iran can always use these groups to dial up the tensions and violence in the region even if merely to distract attention away from Iran herself.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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January 8, 2019

The Opposing Powers Regarding Syria and Israel

 

There is going to be one of the strangest alignments when Syria becomes an even greater blood-bath. The problems will spill over into Iraq, mostly in the northern regions, and Russia is going to be dependent and thus in a strange alignment with Israel in order to slow and eventually repulse the Iranian attempts at hegemony. The other force which will be adding in no small manner will be Turkey as they attempt to sweep the Kurds off the map in northern Syria and may make a fatal mistake and take their fight with the Kurds into Iraq. The Kurdish forces in Iraq are the same forces that largely were responsible for the defeat of the Islamic State. Their major mistake was not declaring their independence immediately after the highly favorable call for the establishment of Kurdistan back with the September of 2017 referendum. The main problem the Kurds will face is their lack of adequate air forces, but on the ground they proved to be formidable fighters. Yes, we know that Turkish President Erdogan promised President Trump he would only fight the Islamic State and related terrorists. The problem is Erdogan defines all Kurds, even the infants, as dangerous terrorist forces. President Trump is fully aware that despite Turkey presumably being a NATO ally, they are no friend of the United States and that Erdogan sees himself as the great new leader who will be the initiator of the new Ottoman Empire and has designs on Aleppo in Syria and Mosul in Iraq. Hopefully Erdogan realizes that for him to take Mosul he will first be required to fight through the Kurdish forces in the North and then be required to take Mosul from Iraqi forces who are backed by Iranian forced from the IRGC. These are some of the elite forces from the IRGC which are holding Mosul.

 

Meanwhile, the Iranian regime is facing some turbulence on the home front as a plurality of the people desire returning to Western styled Democratic governance. The Iranian economy was not as sturdy and thriving as the Europeans and others claimed it was and the American sanctions are doing their intended effect and doing so well. The slacking wages, rising unemployment, farmers facing under-valued crop prices, and retirees joining the farmers in massive demonstrations in Tehran and Mashhad (Iran’s second largest city) have shaken many a Middle East expert. There is a pair of videos plus many pictures of the demonstrations, the noisy demonstrations. These are simply the latest round of demonstrations. They are following a general worker strike, at least two of them one of which even the taxi drivers joined bringing the capital city and others to a virtual standstill. Before that was a student’s demonstration, it drew support from many workers, including salesmen and many middle-aged men who were witnessed in this set of protests. Basically, the Iranian people want to end the Islamic revolution and instead have an economic revolution which empowers them to improve their lives.

 

Meanwhile, Iran is still making attempts, largely successful, to be the proxy rulers in Iraq and in Lebanon. In Iraq they are simply using the mostly, if not totally, Shiite government as their sock-puppet having it execute their desires which was largely behind the attacks on the Kurds which were carried out largely by militias and IRGC forces. In Lebanon, the Iranian control is far more basic. Nasrallah runs Hezballah, Hezballah basically is the Lebanese government and largely controls its military and Nasrallah takes his orders from the Mullahs of Iran. Iran also holds sway over Gaza with Islamic Jihad, their original agents in Gaza, and Hamas recently coming on-board and receiving additional rocket motors and the plans for machining additional motors providing them with enhanced range which they now threaten Haifa, Jerusalem and Tel Aviv plus all the places inbetween. The latest threats have come from the mouth of Islamic Jihad leader Ziyad Nakhalah who has been threatening that a new war is coming against Israel and this war will be unlike the failures of the past as this time Israel is going to be attacked from the north and south at the same time. One might even conclude by the way he spoke that he was including the Quds Force, a special group from the IRGC specifically trained to take Jerusalem and fight against Israel, attacking over the Golan Heights. One can be assured that during his visit to Tehran and meeting the leadership of the Iranian tyranny, he received guarantees that they would instruct Hezballah to support whatever may be coming from Gaza. He made references to the existence of numerous infiltration tunnels which Israel has yet to find and how the attackers from the North (Lebanon) would swamp the Israeli forces in the north by coming out behind them, between them and possibly within their formations and surprising the IDF and defeating them handily while taking numerous Israeli cities at the same time. Perhaps we should thank him for the warnings.

 

This is all on top of our article from January 6, 2019, titled Iran on the Offensive, in which we discussed the intent by Iran to send warships into the North Atlantic Ocean, very likely close to the United States’ eastern seaboard. What is their intent? Well, it could be to attack the United States at the same time as they unleash their terror forces against Israel and who knows what other surprises the Iranians might have in store for the world. We know that they have worked on making EMP devices which are not nuclear in nature with a fair degree of success. We have always concluded that they must have numerous nuclear weapons by this point in time as they have been working on this since the 1990’s and this would provide Iran with an EMP device capable of potentially threatening much of the North American electrical grid. The problem is attempting to predict what a group of aged Mullahs with grandiose dreams that their forces are invincible and that Allah will double the effect of their efforts and that they are the ones who will rule the world. But there are any numbers of items which make the rulers of the Iranian theocracy even more dangerous at these times.

 

First and foremost is the unrest at home, knowing that they no longer have the protection of an American President who believes much the same as do they. They are completely aware that President Trump would love nothing more than to assist their overthrow by their own people with minimal if any American assistance beyond providing the weapons required to the right people. Should the people take to the streets en-mass as happened in 2009, President Trump will be siding with the people of Iran, and not its leadership and the enforcement terror system upon which they rely to be a constant check threatening the people. Further, they know that President Trump has turned the inhibiting of Iran curbing their meddling beyond their borders to those in the Arab world along with Russia who have the most to lose should Iran complete their Shiite Crescent and all but engulf Saudi Arabia and gain control of the Straight of Hormuz where much of the Arab oil passes and the Bab al-Mandab (see map below) choking off the Red Sea making the Suez Canal useless and destroying a large part of the Egyptian economy. Using these two choke points, Iran can cut off virtually all oil shipments from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait to the rest of the world, mostly Europe, and with the straight at the southern exit for the Red Sea, they prevent 90% of the shipping between Europe and Asia with the sole other route using the Black Sea and then overland. Of course, neither of these causes too much consternation for the United States, as she is virtually energy independent and can ship to Europe from the East Coast and Asia from their west coast and still have the Panama Canal to go between the two great oceans. Still, closing such strategic waterways would be the quickest means of provoking a war which Iran would likely lose.

 

Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb Strait

 

They are aware that their best chance is a knockout first strike decapitating the United States and then economically crippling her. The first is accomplished with a number of nuclear tipped missiles targeting both Washington D.C. as well as New York and then launching a few long-range rockets set to detonate nuclear warheads designed for low yield and a massive EMP Pulse approximately three-hundred miles above Kansas City and allow the destruction of much of the electronics across North America and the short-circuiting of the majority of the large power transformers destroying the electronic grid to such an extent that it may take as long as fifty years to fully repair and in the meantime at least three-quarters of the United States and rest of the effected regions populations will die. Before these people suffer death by any of any various means, they can be satisfied knowing that absolutely nothing of Tehran will remain and those who sent these terrible horrors onto their shores will have been hunted down and killed, possibly too quickly for many, but dead just the same. The United States Navy and other military assets around the world are more than sufficient to end this war with an American victory over Iran. The horrors come from the suffering these conflicts will bring on to so many lives. Still, there is some dark recess in the minds of the ruling Mullahs in Iran who honestly believe that by bringing such horrors unto the world that they are simply preparing the way for the Mahdi and their promised Caliphate where they will rule the world or end up with their perpetual virgins in whatever afterlife they dream over. For so many of us in the developed world the concept of conquering the world died off quite a while back and was completely destroyed by World Wars I and II. What we find incomprehensible is that there are people on the Earth today who still see themselves or those who follow them ruling the world imposing their singular religion upon every person living on the planet and if they refuse putting them to the sword, a nice way of saying kill them, even if it means sawing their heads off with a small knife and taking five to ten minutes to complete the task. The religion which the majority of those with these delusions is Islam; either Sunni or Shiite, but Islam. And, yes, there are those such as the Iranian Mullahs, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the Saudi Royals as well as the leaders of Wahhabi Islam, numerous different schools of Sunni and Shiite Islam and a number of dictatorial powers many of which see themselves as ruling over the final result of Communism which will prove triumphant in the end, or so they believe. There are probably a collection of other crazies who actually see themselves ruling the world, as for us, we would be glad for a small patch of the lands between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea ruled by Israel.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

November 5, 2018

Crossroads

 

The world is spiraling perceivably out of control. Europe is reducing itself into an echo of its once dominance. Canada has begun her graceful exit from anything more than a footnote. Russia is desperately holding on to things from her periods past. China is the bursting powerhouse without an ample provider of direction or purpose. Japan is as she most often has been outside of World War II, a region which defies definition and insulated by her restrictive immigration policies. South America is still most often between periods of economic power followed by leftist folly bankrupting once powerful nations and eventually back to productivity only to sink once again. Argentina and Venezuela are two prominent examples. Cuba is relatively impotent with only one thing to offer, proximity to the United States. Mexico has about the same situation with slightly more open governance. The Far East sits in the shadow of China simply sleeping hoping not to catch the giant to the north’s attention, except for North Korea which is led by an unbalanced megalomaniac. Still, the most they could prove to be is a small blip before being crushed if they ever did attack anyone. This leaves three main powers, one established, one growing and one for the distant future. The established is, of course, the United States, the growing are the Islamic powers and the future power is central and southern Africa. All of these are currently swirling towards a series of collisions.

 

We thought the main front would once again be Europe, but that assessment required being reconsidered. Europe will be where the initial confrontations will come, but the secular left will simply turn over and surrender. Should there be a last stand for Christianity within Europe, it will come from the nations of Eastern Europe where being under the choking hold of Communism until around 1989, their freedom brought to them a return to their former religious beliefs and a reestablishing of the Eastern Orthodox Church. Just as the remains of the Roman Empire was the Eastern Roman Empire, which was also known as Byzantium or Byzantine Empire, Europe is once again split along a central line where Western Europe is sliding into a coma while Eastern Europe is still awakening from a long oppression. Will the confrontation be any different this time or will Eastern Europe prove just as incapable opposition to an Islamic wave attempting to take control of Europe. The immigrant influx of Muslims from northern Africa and Syria, Afghanistan, Pakistan and other Middle East countries with oppressive governance is slowly consuming Western Europe where they are being welcomed without any controls or real opposition. The initial laying of the welcome mat was placed out by Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany who promised to take up to 800,000 refugees from the Middle East and was almost immediately inundated by waves of immigrants. As has been noted by ourselves and numerous others, the vast majority of these immigrants are men between 18 and 50 unaccompanied by wives or children. Such an influx historically has been called an invasion, not normal immigration.

 

Eastern European nations have wisely closed their borders and are only allowing immigrants who board trains which pass through their territories to ride straight on through and are refused from exiting the trains. Many, even the majority are heading for Germany and Sweden as these are the two nations with the highest support structure for unemployed people with minimal requirements as these immigrants are not seeking jobs, they seek the guaranteed good life compared to their former homes and imposing Islamic rule on their new homes. This would appear to be not an advantageous change as it would bring to their new homes the exact same systems which proved so disastrous to their former nations. Still, that is what they are comfortable with living under and it would provide them with the comfort of the imposing of a system which is close to identical to their former homes. Freedom is a burdensome formula under which to live as it makes each person responsible for their own survival and allows them to choose their own path and requires effort. This is what resulted from the Judeo-Christian ethic which brought the modern democratic nations into the industrial age and beyond making them the leaders in technology, science, and weaponry allowing Europe to be the most powerful force in the world opening up much of the road to a modern existence through their spreading over the entire planet during the Age of Discovery where the European nations established empires spreading throughout the world leaving a web of commerce and bringing great wealth to the Europeans. This spread technology from Europe to the rest of the world advancing many cultures from barely beyond hunter-gatherers or early agricultural age into the modern age providing these populations with great opportunities if they were able to receive education permitting their understanding.

 

After a pair of World Wars ravaged Europe, their age of colonization came to an end. The last remaining colonies slowly demanded and took their independence from their European masters. Since this end of the age, European society has largely refuted their Christianity and adopted the newest religion of secular humanism which places the onus for the destruction of the Earth on their own society and its use of fossil fuels. They believe in many cases that humankind is a blight on the planet and that the planet would be so much better off without people. This is represented by their negative reproduction rates which are well below replacement levels. This is the sign of a society which has entered into its death throes. This is also the main driving reasoning behind the opening of their borders to refugees in the hopes they will replace the children they never had in the work force. The problem is that a fairly large percentage of the immigrants are not coming to take jobs as much as to collect benefits while plotting to impose Islamic rule over Europe. This was what we had thought might lead to an initial confrontation between the Islamic conquerors and the European indigenous population in defending their free societies. The indigenous Europeans in Western Europe do not appear to be interested in retaining their former free society and are willing to allow the Islamic takeover of their nations providing it does not alter their life as the leaders. They are in for a great surprise as the leadership of these nations will be amongst the initial casualties when Islam versus European free society comes to a head. The struggle for retaining their freedom will be left to the small but not insignificant children, that is, providing they do not just sell out and join the Islamic push in order to go along to get along. They may be in for a surprise when their conversion reaches a point where they are tested. Our advice for those who believe this would be a wise choice, start now memorizing the Quran and attending the Mosque which is the largest within your city or area and familiarize yourselves with the teachings of the Imams.

 

Canada and the United States are just as vulnerable as is Europe to the immigration challenge. We recently read a disturbing article reporting on the progress of Islamist interests within Canada and their alignment with the far left in what will prove to be a self-defeating alliance for the far left. This same alliance exists throughout much of the free world including Europe, especially Britain and the European Union, the United States and Canada. There had been such an alliance in Israel and there are remnants of the effects of their joining in many leftist policies especially those who continue to support the “Two State Solution” which requires surrendering large portions of lands to the Palestinian Authority (PA) in exchange for promises of peace. This concept has lost much validity as many from the PA and others from within the society currently ruled by Fatah which controls the PA governance; actually, Mahmoud Abbas is the President for Life in the thirteenth year of his four-year term which began in 2005. Even the majority of those on the left and even the far leftists have realized that doing so would not bring peace and only serve to arm the Islamist interest with a permanent base from which to work to destroy Israel and murder her people through terrorism and launching rockets into Israeli cities. This was brought to the fore by Hamas after they took control of Gaza in a bloody coup replacing the PA after which they have worked steadily attempting to produce as much destruction onto any part of Israel which they could terrorize. This has led to a number of wars which Israel decided would be limited engagements which has only served to provide Hamas with the feeling of invincibility and empowered them even further. This has led to an ever-increasing support for Hamas which is reported to have topped 80% with the youth coming from their education system, more of an indoctrination system, leading the charge to destroy Israel and support the Islamist propaganda and their Islamist supremacist ideology. This has been behind the constant rioting and launching of incendiary balloons, kites and even attempted use of live birds such as the falcon in the picture below. The use and murder of such a beautiful and proud bird is just a further representation of the contempt for life held by these Islamist terrorists. One of the messages broadcast by Hamas run television includes a quote stating, “From the Al-Qassam Brigades to the Zionist soldiers: The Al-Qassam Brigades love death more than you love life.” This broadcast is just one of the times this message has been used as it boosts the followers often giving them the needed boost to commit suicide attacks against Israelis.

 

Dead Falcon Found in Tree with Twine and Incendiary Device Attached

Dead Falcon Found in Tree with Twine and Incendiary Device Attached

 

So, that concludes our quick and broad summary of the world which will be involved in any future conflict and now we will try to look into our crystal ball and look into the future. The threat of Islam is going to continue to grow. The world very well could be in the leading edge of their next attempt by Islam to enlarge their regions of control. Their initial conquest came from 622 AD through to 750 AD as shown in the top map reaching as far as Tours, France before being stopped by Charles the Hammer Martel. This was how their empire remained with their next evolution coming from within when a small tribe from northeastern Turkey known as the Ottomans which led to the Ottoman Empire shown in the middle map. The Spanish Inquisition was responsible for the pushing of Islam from the Iberian Peninsula in 1492, the same date as Columbus making his initial voyage to the New World. The Ottoman Empire replaced the Caliphate and faced a series of wars which ate away at their empire as shown in the bottom map and which was finally destroyed when they allied with the Austrian-Hungarian Empire and Germany in World War I. This led to the Mandate System and the carving up of the Ottoman Empire, Austrian-Hungarian Empire and Germany creating modern Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Northern Africa including Israel which was granted their set aside in the San Remo Conference which defined the Mandate System which was adopted by the League of Nations and then taken up for enforcement by Article 80 of the United Nations Charter.

 

Expansion of Islam Across MENA and into Europe before Ottoman Rule

Expansion of Islam Across MENA and into Europe before Ottoman Rule

 

 

Ottoman Empire Ascending includes Golden Age of Islam

Ottoman Empire Ascending includes Golden Age of Islam

 

 

Ottoman Empire in Decline 1800 through 1914 and Start of World War I

Ottoman Empire in Decline 1800 through 1914 and Start of World War I

 

Now back to the future and looking at what the next attempt at expansion of Islam will provide or what it might cost. There are a few points which need to be stated to provide more of a background which includes the United States mainly. The initial conflict began under the most isolationist President, Thomas Jefferson, who when facing ever higher tributes demands from the Barbary Pirates sent the Navy and Marines who forced an agreement ending the intercepting of United States shipping and most of the pirating and taking of sailors as slaves of European ships as well. After the war with England in 1812, the Barbary Pirates decided that the United States would be weakened and started taking sailors once more. This led to the Second Barbary Wars which again ended this practice. Then, as part of the Spanish American War, the United States faced attacks from the Moro natives in the Philippines which were Muslim. This revolt was put down by General Blackjack Pershing who was reputed, but unproven, to have used some questionable tactics. President George H. W. Bush (Bush I) engaged in a war with Saddam Hussein in Iraq War I in the 1990s. Then President George W. Bush (Bush II) engaged in wars with Islamic nations after the 2001 attack on the World Trade Center and Pentagon in Afghanistan and once again in Iraq where this time Saddam Hussein was overthrown. Then there were the attacks during President Barack Obama continuing in Afghanistan and then including Libya after the Benghazi attack on the Consulate and the urging of the overthrow of Sunni governments in what was called the Arab Spring which more resembled the Arab Winter by the time it completely failed in Syria and Egypt ended up removing the resultant Muslim Brotherhood led government after the overthrow of President Mubarak. President Trump has continued with these interventions and aided the Kurds in their fight with the Islamic State. These have awakened the Islamic nations with two centers of power within Islam which are again fighting one another. This is another conflict between the main groups in Islam, the Sunni, and their longstanding opposition which consists of approximately 10% of Islam, the Shiites. The Sunni center of power is held in a loose alliance between Saudi Arabia and Egypt while the Shiite center of power is Iran which still sees themselves as the modern Persian Empire. Iran is allied with Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza, Hezballah in Lebanon and who are allied to back Bashir al-Assad in his civil war in Syria which was a result of the Arab Spring efforts of President Obama. Iran is also supporting the Houthi revolt to take control of Yemen. The Iranian aim has been to establish a Shiite Crescent across the Middle East using Iran, Syria and Lebanon so they have connections to the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea shown in the map below. Part of the Iranian tactic is to envelop Saudi Arabia from Iran to the north and Yemen to the south. Iran also is attempting to take control of two vital waterways, the Straight of Hormuz and the Straight of Bab-el-Mandeb. The first controls the shipping lane for most of the oil from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait while the second would control the exit from the Red Sea controlling the Suez Canal as well as the Israeli southern port of Eilat. This would provide Iran with the ability to cut off all trade between the Middle East and Europe as well as cutting off the European and Israeli shipping lanes to Asia.

 

Shiite Crescent including Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Iran

Shiite Crescent including Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Iran

 

Whether Islam attempts to once again gain lands by taking control of Europe and possibly then attempting to wrest control of Africa and then being enabled to take on the Americas, specifically the United States, will depend heavily on which nation ends up calling the shots. Should it be Saudi Arabia, then the main conflict will likely be within Europe while if it is Iran there is a definite possibility that it will become a world conflict. The initial conflict will be between Iran and Saudi Arabia which will center on the oil fields in the northeast of Saudi Arabia and the control of the Two Holy Cities of Mecca and Medina along the Red Sea coast in the west of Saudi Arabia. Should Iran take these two cities, they can attempt to declare that Shiite Islam is the ascending power in Islam and play themselves as the strong horse hoping to have the majority of Muslims to change from Sunni and adopt Shiite Islam. Such a conflict in Islam could deplete both sides to the point that neither would be capable of mounting any serious threat to the remainder of the world and Islam will return to rest for the foreseeable future. The Islamic leaders of Iran have an extremist and expansionist view of their place in the world which was expressed by the Supreme Leader Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini which has been carried forward by Supreme Leader Grand Ayatollah Sayyid Ali Hosseini Khamenei. Their visions of world conquest are probably considered to be insane and in the developed world, such concepts have been relegated to the trashcan of history. Unfortunately, in both Sunni and Shiite Islam, they believe the promise in the Quran that Islam must become the only religious belief held by every person on Earth. They believe that world conquest is still possible despite the complete failure to accomplish such a feat by even the most powerful empires in the past. This now viewed insane concept is not seen as such within Islam; to the believers this is the inevitable future of our world. Many an Imam in Islam is currently preaching that Islam is on the verge of their final push which will result in their finally realizing their inevitable prize, the world and every person within believing their version of Islam, be it Sunni or Shiite. For the record, there are numerous Muslims who do not believe or even care about world conquest. Many of these are at the forefront of the Islamic struggle to allow Islam to evolve and learn to coexist with others. One such leader is Egyptian President Sisi who has delivered speeches before the governing board and Imams who are the instructors at the leading university of Islamic thought, Al-Azhar University.

 

What is their struggle? There are two very different and separate streams of thought in Islam. These result because of the two very different visions written by Muhammad, with the first verses which were universalist in accepting others and coexistence written in Mecca and the supremacist and world conquest warlike writings in Medina. We give a short introduction into the reasons and there are a plethora of links within the comments including links to a Quran with the verses in chronological order all in our article and the comments at Which Quran, Mecca or Medina? Should the reformers succeed in having Islam return to the original writings in the Quran, the world will flourish and the many religions will all work in greater harmony. Should they fail, then there will be a constant state of conflict between Islam and everyone else. That may sound pessimistic, which it is, but just because it is pessimistic does not mean it is not a valid truth. Islam, as currently interpreted using what is called abrogation, where the newest verses overwrite the older verses making the Medina Quranic writings supreme over the earlier Mecca Quranic verses. This was used by the 10th century Islamic scholar Hibatullāh who listed two-hundred-thirty-seven instances of abrogation, with the verse 9:5, known as the so-called “Verse of the Sword”, which alone accounted for almost half of the abrogated verses. Later Quranic interpreters had disagreements with his findings and often with one another. If, instead of using abrogation the Muslims were to adopt instead an originalist view and interpretation of the Quran, then Islam would be able to exist in peace with the world. Until, if such is ever to be, Islam does away with abrogation adopting originalist Quranic verses, Islam will forever be at war with the rest of humankind. This actually has Biblical beginnings, which surprises many. Islam is said to be the religion founded by the generations tracing their origins to Ishmael. In Genesis Chapter 16 verses 11 and 12 we learn of Ishmael and the way he is described is how his prodigy will also be found to act, as is the way of the Old Testament. These two verses read as follows:


11 And the angel of the Lord said to her, “Behold, you will conceive and bear a son, and you shall name him Ishmael, for the Lord has heard your affliction.
12 And he will be a wild donkey of a man; his hand will be upon all, and everyone’s hand upon him, and before all his brothers he will dwell.”

This was the Biblical curse of a sort which was placed upon the descendants of Ishmael and it is one which has proven to have been validated by history. This also is something which does not bode well for the future. Islam, we must remember, is similar in one way to Judaism, both are religions which also have a complete political system defined for the adherents to follow. The Old Testament tells the Jews, the Israelites, that they would rule over the lands between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea, and from the Litani River to the Wadi of Egypt. These were to be our eventual final borders and we were to treat the stranger with respect as long as they lived in peace and obeyed the Noahic Code. We were to reside and serve Hashem and live our lives as an example and for as long as we lived an exemplary life, then we would live at peace. This would become possible once the Temple was built after King David’s reign with his son, King Solomon, tasked to build the Temple. Obviously, there were problems back then and everything collapsed. The rest is, as they say, history. What will be interesting is that the coming Great War, should that be the fate of the world, Israel will not be at its center and very possibly, if we are very careful and live as Hashem desires, we will not be even included in that coming disaster. Where this coming conflict will break out is difficult to predict. If we were pressed and had to choose such a point, we would think very likely the initial wars which lead to the coming horrors have already begun and surround Saudi Arabia. Then there are the infiltrations of Europe, Canada and starting in the United States. Of the Western World, the initial conflict started with the riots in Paris and across France, the terror attacks throughout Western nations, and the culture clashes which have led to an explosion of crimes against women with most being of a sexual nature. These could easily lead to vigilante actions which could escalate into a general societal state of warfare across Europe. Canada, we fear, will fall with barely a peep where the central west and northernmost territories possibly forming their own country. The United States is having its own problems currently and Islam would not be able to take over the United States through infiltration, as there would be a revolt against such politically. The so-called silent majority is a far larger section of the populace and would take control of the government to address any threat ending possibly the entrance of advents of Islam if this were required. But first, the United States must first survive its current divide between the leftist and the conservatives, particularly the Constitutionalists, often referred to as populists. Whatever the future, with any good fortune our little corner of the world will be left alone and ignored by any and all the possible violence, we have enough problems already. As for the rest of the world, well, we doubt the next great conflict will begin in China or anywhere within Asia, or at least that is our thoughts.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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